Niftytradesetup
NIFTY - Trading Levels and Plan for 18-Nov-2024** Nifty Trading Plan for 18-Nov-2024 **
Previous Day Overview:
On 17-Nov-2024, Nifty displayed a consolidative pattern near the Important Zone for Long-Term Trend at 23,711 , signaling indecision among traders. The chart highlights three key trends: Yellow showing a sideways movement, Green representing bullish attempts facing resistance near 23,808 , and Red depicting bearish pullbacks testing support at 23,504 . The session emphasizes the significance of these levels in determining market direction.
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** Opening Scenarios: **
Gap Up Opening (100+ points above)
If Nifty opens above 23,808 , it could test the Last Resistance for Intraday at 24,009 . Monitor the price action in the first 15-30 minutes for consolidation near 23,900 . A sustained breakout above 24,009 could indicate strong bullish momentum. Avoid chasing trades in case of high volatility; instead, wait for a retest of 23,808 as support for a safer entry point.
Flat Opening (within ±50 points)
A flat opening near 23,559 may provide a clearer picture of market sentiment. If Nifty holds above the Opening Resistance at 23,711 , a bullish move toward 23,808 is likely. Conversely, a breakdown below 23,568 could lead to a retest of the Opening Support at 23,504 . Prioritize risk management, as a flat opening could result in sideways movement initially.
Gap Down Opening (100+ points below)
A gap-down opening near 23,504 will shift focus to the Support Level at 23,123 . Allow the first 30 minutes for price stabilization; if Nifty sustains below 23,504 , expect a bearish move toward 23,123 . However, a quick recovery above 23,504 may present a reversal trade opportunity targeting 23,711 .
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** Risk Management Tips for Options Trading :**
- Use well-defined stop-loss levels, preferably based on hourly candle closes, to avoid unnecessary losses.
- Reduce position sizes when trading gap openings to manage volatility risks effectively.
- Opt for at-the-money (ATM) or slightly out-of-the-money (OTM) options for better liquidity and quicker premium adjustments.
- Avoid over-leveraging, especially in highly volatile market conditions.
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** Summary & Conclusion :**
For 18-Nov-2024, the key levels to monitor are 23,711 on the upside and 23,504 on the downside. A breakout above 23,808 could signal bullish momentum, while a breach below 23,504 may indicate bearish pressure. The market remains poised for both sideways and directional moves, depending on the opening scenario.
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**Disclaimer:**
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is for educational purposes only. Traders are advised to conduct their own analysis or consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Key Technical Analysis of Nifty50: Upcoming TrendIntroduction:
Understanding key support and resistance levels is essential for traders and investors looking to capitalize on market movements. This article provides an in-depth analysis of the Nifty50 index's weekly chart, highlighting essential price levels and trends that indicate potential bullish or bearish movements in the coming months. With Nifty's recent performance, it is crucial to evaluate these technical levels to identify future price action possibilities.
1. Previous Resistance Turned Strong Support
Nifty previously broke out of a strong resistance level around the 19000 mark, which now acts as robust support. This previous resistance level, marked with a red zone, signifies a major price zone that could halt potential downward movements, providing a solid foundation for buyers if Nifty pulls back to this level.
2. Support Trend Line and Bullish Continuation
A support trend line, indicating an ongoing bullish trend, extends from early 2023 to the current date. This trend line has been a crucial indicator of the index's positive momentum, providing support on multiple pullbacks. As long as Nifty respects this trend line, it could continue its bullish trajectory, making this level ideal for those looking to enter long positions.
3. The Key Support Zone at Last Swing Low
A major support zone sits around the 21000 level, marked by Nifty’s last swing low. This green zone is a significant area of buying interest. If the index begins a downward correction, this support zone will be closely watched by traders looking for signs of reversal or continued decline.
4. Trend Reversal Zone and Bearish Potential
If Nifty breaks down below the support trend line, it would signal the potential start of a bearish trend. Sellers could see this as an opportunity to enter short positions, especially if the breakdown is accompanied by strong volume. This area is essential for risk management, as a trend line breakdown could lead to a decline toward lower support levels, such as the 21000 zone or even further to 19000.
5. Reversal Confirmation and New Highs
On the upside, a reversal confirmation near the current support trend line could signal a renewed bullish push, with the possibility of Nifty making new highs. If this reversal takes place, it would present an attractive opportunity for long-term investors and buyers aiming for a rally continuation.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 14/11/2024NIFTY will open gap up in today's session. After opening 23750 level will act as an immediate resistance for nifty. Downside 23500 level is important support zone. In case nifty gives breakdown of this level and starts trading below 23450 then strong downside expected. Any bullish rally only expected above 23800+ level.
NIfty 50 Analysis for tomorrow (intrday level)today price opened on 4h orderflow and made a bullish wick
which then got rejected at inside bar and in the end of day we have 1hr bearish fvg (orange)
and downside we have 15mn OB (green)
but it seems we would get to see liquidity sweep marked in white dots so wait or avoid trading the breakdown
if the breakdown happens and price makes another bearish fvg then its valid or else it will invalid as trading short
Nifty 50 analysis- "In recent days, Nifty has formed a bearish head and shoulder pattern, indicating potential downside. It has currently reached 26,277.34, which is approximately 10.50% below its previous high. The 23,500 level is a crucial support zone, coinciding with the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). Historically, Nifty has tended to bounce off this 200-EMA.
However, it's important to note that market sentiment has turned bearish. Therefore, a prudent strategy would be to adopt a cautious approach, considering selling into rallies until we receive clear signs of upward momentum."
NIFTY 450+ Points Profit Short Trade: A Perfect Execution The NIFTY (15-minute timeframe) chart highlights a well-executed short trade setup, delivering exceptional precision and profitability. Using the Risological Trading Indicator , traders were able to navigate this trade seamlessly.
Trade Highlights:
Entry Point : Positioned at 24,207.85, following a strong bearish signal confirmed by the downward Risological Lines and swing trendline alignment.
Targets Achieved : All targets were successfully hit:
TP1: 24,128.20
TP2: 23,999.25
TP3: 23,870.30
TP4: 23,790.60
Stop-Loss: A tight SL at 24,272.35 ensured disciplined risk management.
Key Observations:
Risological Lines : The collapsing Risological Red lines indicated strong bearish momentum, guiding traders to confidently hold the short position.
Momentum Continuation : Steady selling pressure confirmed the trade's directional strength, allowing all targets to be met efficiently.
Conclusion:
This trade on NIFTY showcases the power of technical analysis and precise execution. The well-structured risk-to-reward ratio made this short trade an outstanding success. Traders leveraging the Risological Indicator reaped impressive intraday profits—yet another win for technical discipline!
NIFTY Bears Dominate! 200+ Points Intraday Profit BaggedNIFTY Intraday Short Trade Analysis:
The NIFTY 15m timeframe revealed a strong short trade setup, capitalizing on bearish momentum. As of 12 Nov, 1:17 PM, the trade has already hit TP1 (24128.20) and TP2 (23999.25), delivering over 170+ points profit intraday – a remarkable gain for a single session!
Trade Snapshot:
Entry: 24207.85
Stop Loss (SL): 24272.35
NIFTY Targets:
TP1: 24128.20 ✅
TP2: 23999.25 ✅
TP3: 23870.30
TP4: 23790.60
Key Highlights:
Massive Intraday Momentum : The trade leveraged a steep bearish trend, with prices moving sharply downward.
Confluence of Signals : The short setup aligned perfectly with a downward sloping RISOLOGICAL Lines and bearish candlestick patterns, validating the move.
Quick Scalping Opportunity : The quick descent to TP2 within a short timeframe exemplifies the strategy’s efficiency for intraday traders.
Profit Perspective:
This setup's 200+ points profit intraday is a massive score for NIFTY, offering traders an exceptional risk-to-reward ratio. The move towards TP3 and TP4 looks probable, with continued bearish sentiment driving prices further down.
Conclusion:
A picture-perfect short trade setup on NIFTY has already delivered stellar returns. Traders riding this wave are poised for even greater profits as the index inches toward its lower targets. Keep an eye on the next support levels!
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 13/11/2024Today will be flat opening in nifty. After opening important level for nifty is 23800 level. In case nifty gives breakdown of this level and starts trading below 23750 then possible strong downside movement upto 23500 level in today's session. Upside 24000 level will act as a strong resistance for the nifty.
NIFTY : Levels and plan for 13-Nov-2024Intro:
On **12-Nov-2024**, the Nifty 50 index saw consolidation in the lower zone, with strong support around the "Must Try Zone" and signs of buyer activity. Moving forward, we have identified key levels for potential bullish, bearish, and sideways movements. Yellow trends indicate potential sideways movement, Green trends represent a bullish outlook, and Red trends show bearish sentiment.
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Trading Plan for 13-Nov-2024
**Gap Up Opening (100+ points):**
If the market opens with a significant gap up beyond 24,100 , watch for immediate resistance at 24,395 . If Nifty sustains above this level, we may see a bullish rally toward the next resistance level at 24,464 . However, if selling pressure emerges, expect the index to pull back to the "Opening Resistance" zone around 23,986 , where buyers might attempt to regain control.
**Flat Opening:**
In case of a flat opening near 24,025 , monitor the initial price action closely. If Nifty sustains above this level, a test of the "First Resistance Zone" around 24,361 is likely. Breaking this resistance could lead to a rally up to 24,423 or even the "Last Resistance Zone" at 24,464 . Failure to break through 24,361 could result in a retracement to the "Important Buyer’s Support" at 23,825 .
**Gap Down Opening (100+ points):**
A gap down opening below 23,767 would place the market within the "Important Buyer’s Support" zone. Here, a strong buyer presence could lead to a rebound toward 23,986 . If this level holds, an upward move back to the "Opening Resistance" is possible. However, if the index falls below 23,582 , it could signal further bearishness, targeting the "Possible Bottom Zone" around 23,504 .
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Risk Management Tips for Options Trading:
- Limit your position size, especially near key resistance or support levels where reversals are more probable.
- In volatile market scenarios, consider using stop-loss orders based on hourly closes to avoid unnecessary stop-outs due to intraday volatility.
- Avoid entering trades in the "No Trade Zone" as highlighted on the chart, as these areas lack clear trend direction and increase the risk of whipsaw movements.
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Summary & Conclusion:
For 13-Nov-2024 , key levels to watch are 24,395 for resistance on the upside and 23,582 for critical support on the downside. Price action within the "Important Buyer’s Support" zone could dictate market direction. Green trends indicate potential bullish moves, Red trends signal bearish opportunities, and Yellow trends suggest caution with possible sideways action.
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Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is based on my personal trading strategy and psychological theory. Please perform your analysis or consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
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Happy trading!
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 12/11/2024Nifty will open slightly gap up in today's session. After opening it will face resistance at 24250 level. Possible reversal from this level upto 24050. But in case nifty starts trading and sustain above 24300 then possible strong bullish rally upto 24550 level in today's session. Major downside expected below 24000 level.
NIFTY : Levels and Strategies for 12-Nov-2024Intro:
In the previous session, Nifty traded within a defined range, testing key levels without strong directional movement. We observed a sideways trend (yellow) near 24,122 - 24,171 , while the bullish trend (green) highlighted potential resistance points, and the bearish trend (red) indicated key support zones. Today's session will focus on reactions near these levels to identify any possible breakouts or breakdowns.
Opening Scenarios:
Gap Up Opening (100+ Points Above)
If Nifty opens above the 24,171 level, it may initially face resistance in the First Resistance Zone at 24,327 - 24,361 . A breakout above this weak resistance level could open the path to the Last Resistance for Intraday at 24,423 . Further strength above 24,423 could lead to a move toward the Profit Booking Zone at 24,530 - 24,601 .
Traders may consider long positions if the price sustains above 24,327 , aiming for targets at the higher resistance zones, but they should exercise caution if Nifty struggles to hold above 24,361 .
Conservative traders might look for pullbacks near support levels before entering long positions.
Flat Opening
In the event of a flat opening around 24,122 , the No Trade Zone 24,100 - 24,171 should be monitored closely. Price movement within this zone could indicate consolidation.
A breakout above 24,171 could signal bullish intent, leading to targets at 24,327 - 24,361 . Conversely, a breakdown below 24,100 might drive the index toward the Buyer’s Support at 23,988 .
Flat openings generally suggest patience, so traders may wait for a breakout from the No Trade Zone before initiating positions.
Gap Down Opening (100+ Points Below)
If Nifty opens below 24,100 , it may find support in the Buyer’s Support Zone around 23,988 . If this support holds, a recovery move back towards 24,100 is likely. A failure to hold above 23,988 could bring Nifty down to the Buyer’s Must Try Zone (Do or Die) at 23,828 - 23,777 .
Traders might look for shorting opportunities if Nifty breaks below 23,988 , with a target near the Buyer’s Must Try Zone. Alternatively, a bounce from the Buyer’s Support level could provide a chance for long trades towards 24,100 .
In gap-down scenarios, trading with a cautious mindset is crucial, and it’s often wise to wait for clear price action signals before entering trades.
Risk Management Tips for Options Trading:
Use appropriate stop-loss levels ( 24,100 , 24,327 , 24,423 ) to safeguard against unexpected moves.
Limit position sizes to manage potential risks, particularly during volatile conditions.
Consider using options spreads, like debit or credit spreads, to cap potential losses while still allowing for profit.
Avoid chasing trades in the No Trade Zone; wait for confirmed breakouts or breakdowns to enter options positions.
Summary and Conclusion:
The key levels to watch for 12-Nov-2024 are 24,171 (No Trade Zone upper boundary), 24,361 (First Resistance Zone), and 23,988 (Buyer’s Support). Observing price action near these levels can provide trading opportunities. Manage risks carefully, especially in options, to navigate through volatile market conditions effectively.
Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is based on technical analysis and personal insights. Traders should conduct their own analysis or consult a certified financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NIFTY : Levels and Trading Plan for 11-Nov-2024
Nifty Trading Plan – 11-Nov-2024
Intro:
On the previous trading day, Nifty exhibited a mix of sideways and bearish trends, giving us valuable support and resistance zones. The yellow trend zones indicated periods of sideways movement, green zones showed bullish momentum, and red zones highlighted bearish pressure. We’re seeing strong resistance at 24,437 (Last Resistance for Intraday) and crucial support levels around 23,970 (Best Buy Zone for Buyers). Here’s how to approach the 11-Nov session based on potential market openings.
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Trading Plan for All Opening Scenarios:
Gap Up Opening (100+ Points):
- If Nifty opens with a gap up above the First Resistance for Trend Reversal at 24,327, observe if it sustains above this level for the first 15-30 minutes.
- Bullish Scenario: A sustained move above 24,327 can trigger a bullish trend toward the Last Resistance for Intraday at 24,437. If it continues its momentum, target the Sideways Zone/Resistance for Retracement at 24,714 as the next potential upside. Enter with caution, aiming to buy on retracements toward the 24,327 level.
- Bearish Scenario: If it fails to hold above 24,327 and dips back, expect a retracement toward the Opening Support zone around 24,164. Aggressive traders can look for short entries below this level with a target back toward the Best Buy Zone at 23,970.
Flat Opening:
- If Nifty opens flat around the 24,110 mark, wait for the price to settle for 15-30 minutes before taking any positions.
- Bullish Scenario: A move above the First Resistance at 24,288 can give bullish momentum with targets toward 24,327 and potentially 24,437. Enter long positions if prices show strong support around 24,288.
- Bearish Scenario: If Nifty breaks below the Opening Support level at 24,106, it could signal weakness, with targets around the Best Buy Zone at 23,970. Look for short entries if price action confirms bearish sentiment below 24,106.
Gap Down Opening (100+ Points):
- A gap down opening below 24,000 could lead to initial volatility. Monitor how it behaves around the Best Buy Zone for Buyers at 23,970.
- Bullish Scenario: If Nifty holds above 23,970 and shows signs of a reversal, consider going long with targets around the Opening Support level at 24,106.
- Bearish Scenario: If selling pressure continues and Nifty breaks below 23,970, expect a deeper pullback toward the Do or Die Level for Buyers at 23,728. Look for short opportunities if it sustains below 23,970 with a strict stop loss above the 23,970 level.
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Risk Management Tips for Options Trading:
- Use limited-risk strategies such as spreads to control risk.
- Set stop losses based on daily candle close to avoid getting stopped out by intraday volatility.
- Adjust position sizing based on your risk tolerance; avoid over-leveraging.
- Consider exiting positions near target levels rather than waiting for exact points. Options premiums can decay quickly.
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Summary and Conclusion:
The market structure suggests key levels to watch for support and resistance. If Nifty sustains above key resistance at 24,327, it could lead to a bullish move, while a breach below support at 23,970 could prompt further downside. Be patient, wait for confirmation at each level, and manage risk effectively.
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Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This plan is for educational purposes only. Please conduct your analysis or consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 08/11/2024Slightly gap up opening expected in nifty. After opening if nifty starts trading above 24300 and sustain above this level then possible strong upside bullish rally upto 24550 level in today's session. Below 24250 expected negative side in index upto 24000 level.
NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 08-Nov-2024Previous Day’s Chart Overview:
On 07-Nov-2024, Nifty displayed a bearish movement with opening tick , with a clear consolidation phase after the breaking mentioned support zone. The chart highlights significant levels for both support and resistance that are likely to influence price movements on 08-Nov. The Yellow trend represents the sideways movement, the Green trend indicates a bullish scenario, and the Red trend shows potential bearish paths.
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Trading Plan for 08-Nov-2024
Gap Up Opening (100+ points):
If Nifty opens above 24,358.00 (Opening Resistance) and holds, look for buying opportunities on pullbacks near this level. A sustained move above could target 24,460.00 , the next intraday resistance.
Should Nifty face resistance near 24,460.00 and fail to break above, consider short opportunities for a quick pullback to 24,358.00.
Watch for a potential breakout above 24,460.00 which could trigger a move towards the 24,643.00 – 24,714.00 zone, where sideways resistance may impact the uptrend. Book profits or trail stops in this range.
Flat Opening (within ±50 points):
If Nifty opens near 24,190.60 and finds support above 24,174.95 (Opening Support) , consider long positions targeting 24,358.00 (Opening Resistance) .
A failure to hold 24,174.95 could signal weakness; watch for a potential test of 24,106.25 (Best Buying Level) , a strong support level for intraday buyers.
If Nifty consolidates between 24,174.95 and 24,106.25, remain cautious with small trades until a clear breakout or breakdown occurs.
Gap Down Opening (100+ points):
If Nifty opens near or below 24,106.25 (Best Buying Level) , observe if it finds support. A strong buying interest here could provide an opportunity to target the 24,174.95 - 24,190.60 zone.
A breakdown below 24,106.25 may lead to a bearish trend toward 23,970.00 , the next critical support level. Traders can consider short positions here with strict stop-losses.
If Nifty tests and breaks below 23,970.00 , the next “Do or Die” level for buyers is at 23,700.00 , where a trend reversal may occur if supported by volume.
Risk Management Tips for Options Trading:
Always use stop-loss orders, especially when trading near resistance and support levels.
Limit your position size to a maximum of 2-3% of your total capital to manage risk efficiently.
For option trades, consider hedging strategies such as spreads or using out-of-the-money options to minimize premium risks in volatile markets.
Summary & Conclusion:
Tomorrow’s market could present significant trading opportunities given the current setup, especially around key support and resistance zones. Be cautious near the “Do or Die” level for buyers at 23,700.00, as it may lead to a trend reversal. Focus on risk management to protect capital in volatile conditions.
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Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Please consult a financial advisor before making trading decisions.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 07/11/2024Slgihtly gap up opening expected in nifty near 24500 level. After opening important level for nifty is 24550. In case nifty starts trading above this level then possible strong bullish rally upto 24800 level occurs in today's session. Downside 24350 level will act a strong support for the session. Any major downside expected below this level.
NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 07-Nov-2024Trading Plan for Nifty - 07-Nov-2024
Intro:
On the previous trading day, Nifty displayed a strong bullish movement, trading near resistance zones and showing signs of potential reversals. The key levels for today's session include the profit booking zone at 24,841 , opening resistance at 24,583 , and opening support around 24,407 . The chart’s yellow trend lines indicate potential sideways movement, green represents bullish scenarios, and red highlights bearish trends.
Opening Scenarios:
Gap Up Opening (100+ Points Above):
If Nifty opens with a gap up above 24,583 , closely monitor price action around the 24,781 - 24,841 profit booking zone. A strong breakout above 24,841 could indicate further bullish momentum, creating an opportunity for long entries with a stop-loss below 24,583 .
However, if resistance at this level holds, expect a retracement towards 24,583 . This can signal a potential reversal, allowing for short trades targeting the opening support near 24,407 .
Flat Opening:
If Nifty opens near 24,493 , focus on the levels at 24,583 (opening resistance) and 24,407 (opening support). Observe these zones for directional clues:
A move above 24,583 could test the profit booking area ( 24,781 - 24,841 ), creating a favorable long opportunity.
A rejection at 24,583 could suggest a sideways trend between 24,583 and 24,407 . In this range-bound scenario, consider small scalp trades with defined stop-losses.
Breaking below 24,407 may drive the index lower, with a potential target at 24,273 (buyer’s support at retracement).
Gap Down Opening (100+ Points Below):
If Nifty opens below 24,407 , look for support around 24,273 . A bounce from this level may provide an opportunity for a quick recovery trade towards 24,407 .
Should 24,273 fail to hold, bearish pressure could take Nifty towards 24,160 or even the last buyer's support at 24,108 . This scenario would favor short positions with stop-losses above immediate resistance.
If Nifty rebounds above 24,407 post-gap down, look for a potential pullback rally targeting 24,583 .
Risk Management Tips for Options Trading:
Define stop-loss levels based on critical support/resistance areas ( 24,583 , 24,407 , 24,273 ) to limit risk.
Avoid aggressive trades during high volatility; keep position sizes manageable.
Use hedged strategies, such as spreads, to control premium outlay and reduce risk.
Continuously trail stop-losses in favor of the trend to secure partial profits.
Summary and Conclusion:
The main levels to watch for Nifty on 07-Nov-2024 are 24,583 (opening resistance), 24,407 (opening support), and 24,273 (buyer’s support). Stay vigilant around these areas to capture potential breakout or reversal trades, and adhere to disciplined risk management in options trading to safeguard against volatility.
Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is based on technical observations and personal insights. Please perform your due diligence or consult with a financial advisor before taking any trading actions.
NIFTY Soars Higher – All Eyes on Key Targets on RisologicalNIFTY Index Analysis:
NIFTY’s long trade setup on the 15-minute timeframe has already hit TP1 at 24,403.10. With positive momentum, we are now looking for it to reach the next targets, with TP2, TP3, and TP4 firmly in sight.
NIFTY Key Levels:
Entry: 24,178.95
Stop Loss (SL): 23,997.55
NIFTY Targets:
TP1: 24,403.10 (Achieved)
TP2: 24,765.90
TP3: 25,128.65
TP4: 25,352.85
Technical Indicator Confirmation:
The Risological Dotted Trendline continues to show a bullish trend, supporting further upward movement towards TP2 and beyond.
With TP1 already achieved, NIFTY traders should stay alert as we anticipate further gains towards the remaining targets.
Watch closely for potential breakthroughs at each level!
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 06/11/2024Gap up opening possible in nifty near 24300 level. After opening if nifty starts trading above 24350 level then this bullish rally can extend upto 24500 level. Below 24300 level possible downside movement upto 24050 support level. Above 24500, Nifty will indicating strong bullish rally in upcoming sessions.
Has Nifty Bottomed Out??Long term chart of Nifty is still in uptrend. Recent event of US election has caused some turbulence in the market. Though market has not fallen much (Its just 9% from the top).
People are getting impatient.
Nifty is near 200 day moving average.
Nifty has formed Tweezer bottom pattern near its support.
I think nifty has bottomed out at least for some time now. And its fantastic opportunity to Add NIFTY ETF.
Nifty Set for an Uptrend Soon..?The NIFTY index has been experiencing a consistent downtrend over the past month. Throughout this period, it has encountered rejection from the established trendline approximately five to six times, indicating strong resistance at that level. For NIFTY to initiate a reversal and shift to an upward trend, it is essential for the index to not only break through the trendline but also to maintain a position above it for a sustained period.
Moreover, the level identified as 24150 is not only a crucial support level but also serves as a significant support range that has been tested during July and August. Therefore, if the price can hold steady at the 24150 level for a few more days, combined with a decrease in selling pressure from Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs), we may witness the formation of a new upward trend. This convergence of factors could provide the necessary momentum for a trend reversal in NIFTY.
NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 06-Nov-2024**Trading Plan for NIFTY on 06-Nov-2024**
Intro:
In the previous trading session, NIFTY showed a bullish momentum from the important levels highlighted in yesterday's Trading plan. The chart indicated multiple resistance and support levels, with specific zones highlighted for different scenarios. Yellow lines represent potential sideways movement, green lines indicate a bullish trend, and red lines signify a bearish trend. Observing the market's opening tomorrow in relation to these levels will guide the trading approach.
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Trading Plan Scenarios:
For 06-Nov-2024, here are trading strategies for various opening scenarios:
Gap Up Opening (100+ Points):
If NIFTY opens with a significant gap up above 24350 (Opening Resistance), watch for signs of strength to sustain above this level.
- If it holds above 24350 , wait for a breakout confirmation before entering a long position. Target levels would be 24581 and 24682 , keeping in mind the Last Resistance for Intraday.
- If it fails to sustain above 24350 , be cautious of a pullback towards the Opening Support at 24156 .
- Watch for sideways movement (yellow trend) if NIFTY consolidates between 24350 and 24156 . Avoid trades during this sideways movement unless a clear direction emerges.
Flat Opening Near 24156 - 24144 Zone:
If NIFTY opens flat around the Opening Support levels, monitor the price action closely.
- A quick rejection from 24156 could indicate a reversal opportunity towards 24350 (Opening Resistance). Enter long if the price breaks above and sustains.
- In case of a breakdown below 24144 , NIFTY may test the lower support at 24020 . Consider short trades if there’s a clear break below this level, aiming for the "Best Buy Zone" near 23725 .
- Keep an eye on sideways movement in this range. Avoid trades if the trend remains unclear within this zone.
Gap Down Opening (100+ Points):
If NIFTY opens with a significant gap down, near or below the "Buyer's Support at Retracement" at 24020 , trade cautiously.
- If NIFTY shows buying interest around 24020 , it may present a buying opportunity, targeting 24156 as a recovery level.
- If the gap down leads to a breakdown below 24020 , watch for support around 23725 and 23579 in the "Best Buy Zone". Enter short if the bearish trend persists.
- Avoid early entries without confirmation of direction, as a gap down could lead to volatility. Use strict stop-loss levels.
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Risk Management Tips for Options Trading:
- Stick to defined entry and exit points based on these levels and trends to avoid chasing price.
- For long positions, consider buying at-the-money calls if the price breaks resistance levels or sustains a bullish trend.
- For short positions, consider buying at-the-money puts near resistance rejections or if NIFTY trends down after a gap down opening.
- Use stop-loss orders consistently to manage potential losses. Avoid doubling down on losing positions in highly volatile market conditions.
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Summary & Conclusion:
Focus on these key levels to navigate the trading day effectively. Monitor the price reaction to opening levels, as it will guide trade direction. Sideways movement could indicate a consolidating market, while breaks above or below specified zones may present entry opportunities.
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk and consult with a certified professional before making any trading decisions.