Analysis for Nifty Swing Position
We have a Fresh 3H Demand which is the Source of the Uptrend till the Destination Fresh Weekly Supply.
Further in lower timeframe we will check for a confirmation
We see how the price has been moving making new lows ands new Highs until it reaches the 3H Demand and after reacting to the 3H Demand we see that Price has violated its previous high and now we also have a fresh Demand in 1H chart.
This 1H Demand is the Potential Trade Demand with an Amazing Reward to Risk Ratio.
But the Price where it reaches the Weekly Supply we are looking for a big downward move from this Weekly Supply hence make sure to exit on time.
Niftytradesetup
NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 10/05/2024BUY ABOVE - 22070
SL - 22020
TARGETS - 22120,22180,22240
SELL BELOW - 21960
SL - 22020
TARGETS - 21900,21850,21800
NO TRADE ZONE - 21960 to 22070
Previous Day High - 22300
Previous Day Low - 21960
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
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HAPPY TRADING 👍
Falling down ... Falling down!!Nifty spot and FUT, both settled at crucial levels marked in our previous analysis. This is the level that has to be protected for Nifty to stay "NOT BEARISH" at least. Now with an even in sight, I am not sure how it will behave. My previous narrative was that Nifty would stay at ATH levels and with the election result, would fall. But now it seems like there is a different narrative playing out. In the opposite scenario, Nifty should visit 21750 levels and consolidate there, to rally on "surprisingly" (Sarcasm intended) good results for BJP with a stable Govt.
NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 08/05/2024BUY ABOVE - 22350
SL - 22300
TARGETS - 22420,22470,22510
SELL BELOW - 22240
SL - 22300
TARGETS - 22200,22160,22100
NO TRADE ZONE - 22240 to 22350
Previous Day High - 22510
Previous Day Low - 22240
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement
HAPPY TRADING 👍
Long term NIFTY wave counts - potential downside ahead!I was reviewing long term EW counts of NSE:NIFTY and here is what I think. Overall, I can see potential 2 alternatives and have highlighted them in blue and red respectively. This is a monthly chart.
Blue Alternative
Let's start with blue counts first. Larger degree wave 1 (marked by square blue box) which started from Covid lows of March 2020, ended in October 2021. Wave 1 is the same for both blue and red alternatives since there is no confusion till that point. But from that point onward, things change. I have marked the correction in larger degree wave 2 (marked by square blue box) as a W-X-Y correction which ended in March 2023. From there, I am assuming a larger degree wave 3 started.
Within the larger degree wave 3, we seem to be near completion of the minor degree wave (i) of larger degree wave 3. This is marked in black since wave (i) of 3 in the red alternative also ends at the same point even though counts for the red alternative are different.
We can see the red bar forming for this month but this is too early to say if we'll get a negative close for this month. However, wave v of (i) has an ending diagonal look (more clearly visible in lower timeframes). Plus, we can see massive negative divergences in RSI and momentum oscillator which suggests that a correction is due. Make no mistake - correction will occur soon. If not this month, then maybe next month.
For the uninitiated, ending diagonal (ED) is typically the last leg of a move. In this case, it should be signaling the ending of wave (i) of 3.
Now, before we come to the size of the correction, let's take a look at the red alternative.
Red Alternative
Larger degree wave 1 remains the same in red alternative as mentioned earlier. However, in this alternative, larger degree wave 2 (marked by square red box) ended in June 2023 followed by immediate start of larger degree wave 3. In this alternative, we are taking all follow-up moves as i-ii-i-ii-iii-iv-iii-iv-v.
Don't worry about this count, just understand that this move (first leg (i) of larger degree wave 3 ) also seems to be ending exactly where blue wave count suggests, i.e. possibly this month end or next. I can't confirm now since this month's candle is still forming.
Conclusion
Both wave counts suggest that minor degree wave " (ii) of 3 " (marked in black on the right most part of the chart) should begin soon, if not already started.
Finally, coming to the size of this move, if we go by blue alternative, 38.2% retracement level is around 20500 and 50% is around 19800.
And if we go by the red alternative then 50% retracement is around 19000, 61.8% is around 18100. At the minimum, I would expect 19200-19500 levels (38.2% retracement) if the red alternative is in play.
So which one is going to happen? To be honest, I have no idea but we can go with the least of both alternatives at a tentative level and refine as the move evolves. That gives us 19800 which is still more than 2000 points correction from current levels.
20 month moving average is currently at 19675, and rising. This potentially makes 19800 a viable target in a month or two.
Happy (wave) counting ;-)
Possibility of further downside. If we consider the high and low of the last day candle in futures as a range, a break in either direction can give a sharp sting that way before turning and going the opposite way. This is just a story that played in my head. And the probability of this being on the down side seems more likely. 22350 and 22300 may be likely in this case before we see a short covering rally.
NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 07/05/2024BUY ABOVE - 22470
SL - 22420
TARGETS - 22510,22550,22600
SELL BELIW - 22420
SL - 22470
TARGETS - 22360,22270,22210
NO TRADE ZONE - 22420 to 22470
Previous Day High - 22600
Previous Day Low - 22420
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement
HAPPY TRADING 👍
Mia Culpa Shorters at 22800-900 range have proved me wrong. I should have thought of the "Retracement" shorters, who are essentially piggyback day traders who wat for a retracement to institutional bulk orders and punch in their own, hoping the levels hold. Plus the news of taxation, did th trick. In this case, we should either fly or Consolidate. Not fall further.
Short covering from the word GO22650. Who are these straddle writers who believe in the fables of the fall of Titans? Depending on the Pre market open price, we can see when they will run for cover. Not IF, but WHEN. Let us see if we can gather enough buyers to take out the fabled 22800 short sellers today. Most likely it might happen by the end of the day.
Analyzing Nifty50 Spot's Triangle Pattern Breakout Trade PlanGreetings fellow traders,
I've been closely monitoring the Nifty50 spot since April 25th and have observed a range-bound movement, forming what appears to be a triangle pattern. I anticipate a breakout from this pattern tomorrow, which could lead to significant moves in the market.
My trade plan revolves around this potential breakout. If Nifty50 breaks out tomorrow, my targets are set at T1 (22727.80) and T2 (22895.40) . However, for the breakout to sustain above T1, my proprietary option pricing calculations indicate that the 22550 put option (2nd May expiration) should trade below 10.15 (today's closing price was 57.35).
Therefore, I'm planning to buy the 22550 put option above T1, with a stop loss set at 10.10 to manage risk effectively.
Let's stay tuned and execute this trade plan strategically.
NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 30/04/2024BUY ABOVE - 22660
SL - 22600
TARGETS - 22700,22770,22830
SELL BELOW - 22600
SL - 22660
TARGETS - 22550,22510,22470
NO TRADE ZONE - 22600 to 22660
Previous Day High - 22660
Previous Day Low - 22430
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement
HAPPY TRADING 👍
See you on the other side, NIFTY!There is one significant support that has to be protected this week. Any retracement will have to be absorbed around this area and Nifty will gather steam to revisit OR perhaps even break ATH. 22800 in FUT is where bears have big orders. Let's see what happens when we retest that area to eat up all those orders.
NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 29/04/2024BUY ABOVE - 22470
SL - 22430
TARGETS - 22510,22550,22620
SELL BELOW - 22390
SL - 22430
TARGETS - 22360,22320,22270
NO TRADE ZONE - 22390 to 22470
Previous Day High - 22620
Previous Day Low - 22390
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement
HAPPY TRADING 👍
NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 23/04/2024BUY ABOVE - 22360
SL - 22320
TARGETS - 22430,22470,22510
SELL BELOW - 22270
SL - 22320
TARGETS - 22210,22160,22100
NO TRADE ZONE - 22270 to 22360
Previous Day High - 22360
Previous Day Low - 22210
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement
HAPPY TRADING 👍
NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 22/04/2024BUY ABOVE - 22160
SL - 22100
TARGETS - 22210,22270,22320
SELL BELOW - 22100
SL - 22160
TARGETS - 22050,22000,21960
NO TRADE ZONE - 22100 to 22160
Previous Day High - 22160
Previous Day Low - 21800
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement
HAPPY TRADING 👍