Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term : 21-Oct-24 to 25-Oct-24Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term : 21-Oct-24 to 25-Oct-24
Nifty closed at 24854 (Last Week 24964) and touched high & low of 25185-24557
Last week Market was down by more than 700 points but recovered on last day of trading of the week. FII pulled out money and invested in China more than 77000 Cr till date in Oct 2024.
Nifty Bank 52094 ( last week 51179), touched the target of 54000 as proposed 2 months before to 54400 all time high and fell down, it started picking again, maintain support at 49900. Continue to Buy on dips.
RSI ,Macd and stochastics levels are down. Caution to be emphasized as still further room to go down. Q2 results, Global news( US Election results and Relaxation of middle east tension) awaited which will pave way for more clearer path in market.
Nifty 24854 Short term ( Short Term : neutral) There will be comeback rally, however
Nifty short term resistance 25100 & 25376
Support at 24560 (last week low)
Medium Term next target is 25750 ( if move up decisively above next target is 25370), 26268 ( all time high), 26968
Medium term Support 24290 and 23885.
Long Term : Nifty have a target of 27740, 28000 & 28190 ( Fibonacci Resistance). Support at 22800
US started reducting fed rate as expected in Sep 2024, expected it shall continue in reduction of interest rate in next year.
Caution was emphasized on Nifty for last 3 months as nifty PE ( Currently 23.4) is in high level with high valuation especially in Mid cap & Small Cap. Mutual Funds SIP shall be invested as the goal is for more than 5-10 years at this critical period as the valuation is high.
Those with lesser risk can sell partial portfolio ( 20-30%) stocks which have less valuation and can wait for opportunity to buy when nifty dips upto 22800.
Deploy stop loss of upto 7%-8% which is crucial. More Risky players can have stop loss of trend line resistance of 23750 as shown in the chart.
Fundamentally good stocks can be added as it posted good results on every dip in finance stocks such as CAMS, UTI AMC , HDFC AMC, Manappuram Finance, suryoday small fin, Motilal Fin, Chola Finance, Dr Reddys, Natco Pharma, Cipla, JK Cements, Biocon, Persistent Sys, PI Ind, PNC Infra and Ashoka Buildcon, ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank Indian Bank & Punjab National Bank.
Stock Picking is needed at current scenario in Bank, auto, Pharma stocks.
Based on the Q1 results, following stocks can be added to portfolio: There is a possibility of dip to 21000-22000, hence please buy in parcels and every dip of Index and every dip of individual stocks (2-5% of portfolio on each purchase for long term) The above stocks mentioned are based on analysis of top line & Bottom line performance, hence based on the risk and portfolio mix one can add after analysis.
Nifty IT 42106 ( last week 42335 ) indices marginally decreased last week, Q2 results will pave way for the clear direction.
Niftyprediction
#Nifty50 outlook for upcoming week 21-25th Oct 2024The Nifty 50 index concluded the week at 24,854, a 110-point decline from the previous week's close. Despite hitting a high of 25,212 and a low of 24,567, the index remained within its expected trading range of 25,550 to 24,350. Looking ahead, I anticipate the Nifty to continue trading between 25,400 and 24,300.
A breakdown below 24,486 , the WEMA21 support level, would signal a bearish trend, potentially leading to a decline towards 23,400 or 23,300 . Conversely, a sustained move above 25,144 could pave the way for a rally to 25,500-25,600.
Meanwhile, the S&P 500 index achieved a new all-time high weekly close of 5,864, up approximately 40 points from the previous week. This suggests a potential upward move of 2-2.5% from its current level, targeting the significant Fibonacci level of 6,013. It remains to be seen if this positive momentum in the U.S. market will translate into a recovery for the Indian stock market."
Bank Nifty Mastery: Capitalizing on Volatility for Quick ProfitsToday’s trade exemplifies how strategic timing and keen market insights can turn volatility into opportunity. Leveraging technical analysis and precise risk management, we navigated the swings to secure a tidy profit in Bank Nifty. Dive into the details of our setup and execution strategy—perfect for traders looking to refine their approach in a dynamic market!
This caption is designed to attract attention, summarize the trade’s success, and invite other traders to explore your analysis further.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 18/10/2024Nifty will open slightly gap down in today's session. After opening if nifty starts trading below 24700 level then possible strong downside fall upto 24450 level in today's session. 24750-24900 will act as a consolidation zone for nifty. Any bullish side rally only expected above 24900 level.
Nifty Next MoveNifty have formed harmonic pattern
we can expect a small down trend and after Rally
also the area is above 70% of the trend line formation so we can expect buyers in Discount area
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Nifty Plummets! All Targets Achieved in 15-Minute Short TradeTechnical Analysis: Nifty – 15-Minute Timeframe (Short Trade)
Nifty provided a clear short trade setup with an entry at 25006.45 on 16th October at 2:45 PM. The trade has been highly successful, with the price reaching all designated profit targets.
Key Levels
Entry: 25006.45 – The short position was initiated here following a strong bearish signal.
Stop-Loss (SL): 25032.75 – Placed above recent resistance to manage risk against a potential reversal.
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 24973.90 – The first target was quickly reached, confirming the initial bearish momentum.
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 24921.30 – Further downside pressure pushed the price to this level.
Take Profit 3 (TP3): 24868.70 – The bearish trend continued, achieving this target.
Take Profit 4 (TP4): 24836.20 – The final target, marking a complete and successful trade.
Trend Analysis
The price stayed firmly below the Risological Dotted trendline, affirming the strength of the bearish trend. The sustained selling pressure helped achieve all targets, indicating strong market momentum in favor of sellers.
The short trade on Nifty has concluded successfully, hitting all targets, with the final target at 24836.20. The precision of the entry and the guidance of the Risological Dotted trendline ensured a profitable trade.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 17/10/2024Flat or slightly gap up opening expected in nifty near 25000 level. Bullish rally expected if nifty starts trading and sustain above 25050 level. Below 25000 level there will be downside expected upto 24850 level. For today session 24850 level will act as an important support for nifty. Below this level strong downside expected in index.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 15/10/2024Gap up opening expected in nifty near 25200 level. After opening in case nifty gives breakout and starts trading above 25250 level then possible strong upside rally upto 25450+ level in today's session. Downside expected below 25200 level. 25050 level will act a strong downside support for nifty.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 14/10/2024Flat opening expected in nifty. Expected opening near 25000 level. After opening if nifty starts trading below 24950 level then possible downside upto 24700 level. Any upside rally only expected if it's sustain above 25000 level in starting session. Upside 25250 will act as a strong resistance in today's session.
#nifty50 outlook for upcoming week 14th-18th Oct 2024The Nifty 50 closed the week at 24,964, a 50-point decline from the previous week. While it touched a high of 25,234, it also dipped to a low of 24,694. As predicted last week, the index remained within the range of 25,600 to 24,400.
Looking Ahead: A Cautious Outlook
For the upcoming week, I anticipate a trading range of 25,550 to 24,350. However, the low of 24,694 is a crucial support level. If the Nifty breaches this, the next strong support lies at 24,400-24,350. A breakdown below this level could signal a potential decline towards 23,300.
A Bullish Monthly Perspective
Despite the recent volatility, my monthly outlook for the Nifty remains bullish. Therefore, I will follow a "buy on dips" strategy.
S&P 500: A Positive Sign
As mentioned previously, the S&P 500 has successfully reached its first Fibonacci target of 5820. To initiate the next leg of its upward movement, it needs to sustain above this level. If it can do so, we could see it touch 5899 or even 6012 (a significant level). This positive momentum in the U.S. market could also provide support to Indian equities.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 11/10/2024Today expected slightly gap down opening in nifty near 25000 level. After opening if nifty sustain above 25000 level then possible upside move upto 25250 level. Below 24950 level there will be strong downside fall possible upto 24700 level. Any major bullish rally only expected in case nifty starts trading and sustain above 25250 level.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 10/10/2024Slightly Gap up opening expected in nifty near 25100 level. After opening if nifty sustain above 25050 level then possible upside rally upto 25250. Strong 200-250 points downside expected in case nifty starts trading below 24950 level in today's session. Any major upside only expected if nifty starts trading and sustain above 25300 level.
NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 10/10/2024BUY ABOVE - 25060
SL - 24970
TARGETS - 25120,25180,25230
SELL BELOW - 24970
SL - 25060
TARGETS - 24890,24800,24700
NO TRADE ZONE - 24970 to 25060
Previous Day High - 25280
Previous Day Low - 24970
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
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