Niftyprediction
NIFTY : Trading Plan and levels for 11-Dec-2024Trading Plan for Nifty on 11-Dec-2024
Intro for the Previous Day's Chart Pattern :
On 10-Dec-2024, Nifty exhibited a mixed trend with a sharp shift in demand zones. The chart revealed a significant buyer's support near the CHoCH (Change of Character) level, with a consolidation phase observed in the "No Trade Zone." The yellow trend marked sideways action, while green and red trends indicated bullish and bearish movements, respectively. The index also faced resistance in the liquidity zone, signaling profit-booking scenarios.
Trading Plan for 11-Dec-2024 :
Gap-Up Opening (+100 points or more above 24,620):
A gap-up opening above 24,720 would position the index near the liquidity zone. Traders should:
Wait for the first 15-30 minutes to observe price stability.
If Nifty sustains above 24,780 (liquidity zone), initiate long trades targeting 24,891 (Resistance/Profit Booking Zone).
Place a stop loss below 24,652 (Opening Resistance/Support Zone) on a closing basis.
If prices face rejection near 24,820 , wait for a bearish hourly candle to confirm a downside move towards 24,680 . Avoid aggressive buying in the resistance zone.
Flat Opening (near 24,620):
A flat opening suggests indecision. Plan of action:
Let the market settle for 15-30 minutes within the "No Trade Zone."
Breakout above 24,652 can lead to bullish momentum, targeting 24,780 and higher.
Breakdown below 24,541 could initiate bearish moves targeting 24,374 and 24,338 .
Risk management is crucial here; tight stop losses are essential to avoid unnecessary losses.
Gap-Down Opening (-100 points or more below 24,620):
A gap-down opening near 24,500-24,480 will likely test the buyer's strong support zone around 24,374 . Actions to consider:
If Nifty holds above 24,374 , initiate long trades for a reversal, targeting 24,541 (Opening Support Zone).
If the index breaches 24,338 , prepare for further downside with targets at 24,280 .
Wait for clear rejection or reversal patterns to confirm your entries. Avoid panic-selling in bearish moves.
Tips for Options Trading Risk Management:
Trade with defined stop losses and avoid holding positions beyond your risk appetite.
Use "ATM" (At-The-Money) options for quicker returns in trending markets.
For sideways trends, prefer strategies like straddle or strangle.
Avoid over-leveraging, and never risk more than 2-3% of your trading capital on a single trade.
Summary and Conclusion:
Nifty's movement on 11-Dec-2024 will hinge on its ability to sustain critical zones like 24,652 and 24,374 . While green trends indicate bullish potential, red trends signal caution for bearish moves. Adhering to risk management principles and waiting for clear price action confirmation will enhance your trade quality and reduce unnecessary losses.
Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. All information provided is based on personal research and is for educational purposes only. Traders should perform their own analysis or consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NIFTY Trade SetupAs Predicted Yesterday (09-12-2024)
Weak OB (24580 - 24600) Broke down on 10-12-2024
Market tested Buy Zone - 24495 - 25525
and Reacted strongly closing at 24620
New Weak Sell Zone now active for 11-12-2024 (24680 - 24705)
If BUY ZONE 1 is tested again, One can go long;
Target 24680 - 24705
STRONG BUY ZONE - 24495 - 25520
STRONG SELL ZONE - 24825 - 24845
WEAK SELL ZONE - 24680 - 24700
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 10/12/2024Gap up opening possible in nifty. Currently nifty trading in the consolidation zone of 24550-24750 level. Any major direction rally only expected if it gives breakout of this zone. Strong bullish rally expected if nifty starts trading and sustain above 24800 level. This bullish rally can goes upto the 25000 level after breakout.
Nifty Intraday Trade Setup | 10th DecemberNifty opened with gap-down near our buy level 24640 but gave a sharp bounce towards 24705 and then started falling. Nifty broke our sell level 24640 and hit 1st target on sell side at 24590. After that it was trading in a range.
For tomorrow, we will look for the sell opportunity either from 24700 - 24690 or if breaks 24580 for the targets of 24530 and below marked level on the chart.
Expectations: Trending day
Intraday Levels:
Buy Above - Sell on rise
Sell Below - 24580
To motivate us, Please like the idea If you agree with the analysis.
Happy Trading!
InvestPro India
NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 10-Dec-2024Trading Plan for Nifty 50 – 10-Dec-2024
Intro:
On the previous trading day, Nifty witnessed a mix of consolidation and momentum shifts. The Liquidity Zone around 24,767 acted as a crucial resistance level, while support near 24,541.65 helped stabilize the index. The chart shows a No Trade Zone between 24,626.60 and 24,652.35, indicating indecisiveness. A clear trend above or below this range will dictate the next move. Yellow signifies sideways movement, green shows bullish potential, and red highlights bearish breakdowns.
Opening Scenarios:
Gap-Up Opening (+100 Points):
If Nifty opens near 24,767 or higher, it will test the Opening Resistance . This level aligns with the Liquidity Zone observed previously.
Action Plan:
A breakout above 24,767 could push the index toward the Profit Booking Zone at 25,053. Enter long positions only if the first 15-minute candle closes above 24,767, with a stop loss at 24,652.35.
If rejection occurs at 24,767, expect a pullback toward 24,652.35. Short positions can be considered below 24,767, targeting the No Trade Zone.
Risk Management Tip: Avoid aggressive positions at key resistance zones. Use limited-risk strategies like debit spreads to manage exposure.
Flat Opening:
If Nifty opens near 24,652.35, it enters the No Trade Zone . This is a neutral region, and waiting for a clear breakout or breakdown is recommended.
Action Plan:
A breakout above 24,652.35 can lead to a bullish move toward 24,767. Initiate long positions with tight stop losses at 24,541.65.
A breakdown below 24,626.60 could trigger bearish momentum, targeting 24,541.65. Consider short trades in this scenario, with stop losses at 24,652.35.
Risk Management Tip: Avoid overtrading in consolidation zones. Use trailing stop losses to secure profits during volatile phases.
Gap-Down Opening (-100 Points or More):
If Nifty opens near 24,541.65 or lower, it will test the Opening Support or even the Buyer's Strong Support near 24,338.
Action Plan:
Watch for a bullish reversal near 24,338. If the price sustains above this level, initiate long positions targeting 24,541.65. Use 24,300 as a stop loss.
A breakdown below 24,338 could lead to a bearish continuation toward 24,200. Short positions can be initiated in such cases, with stop losses above 24,338.
Risk Management Tip: In gap-down scenarios, prioritize hedged strategies like iron condors to mitigate large swings.
Summary & Conclusion:
Resistance Levels: 24,767 , 25,053
Support Levels: 24,541.65 , 24,338 , 24,200
A breakout or breakdown from the No Trade Zone will set the directional bias for the day. Traders should remain cautious and avoid emotional trading.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only. I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. Please consult your financial advisor or conduct independent research before trading.
NIFTY Trade Levels for 10 Dec 2024Levels given for 09-12-2024 have not breached
OBs not tested and remained sideways
Minor OB at 24580 - 24605 is breached once and tested thrice without any big reaction.
So it may get broken .
BUY ZONE 1 - 24495 - 24525
BUY ZONE 2 - 24325 - 24355
SELL ZONE - 24825 - 24850
Nifty Intraday Trade Setup | 9th DecemberNifty opened flat as because of RBI Policy we saw some volatility in first hour but then Nifty traded in a small range whole day and it was more of a options sellers day.
For tomorrow, if Nifty sustains above 24755 you can consider buying for 27800 and above marked level. On the other side, if Nifty sustains below 24640 you can consider taking a sell trade for the target of 24590 and below marked level on the chart.
Expectations: Volatile movement.
Intraday Levels:
Buy Above - 24755
Sell Below - 24640
To motivate us, Please like the idea If you agree with the analysis.
Happy Trading!
InvestPro India
Riding the Correction: Unlocking NIFTY’s Next Chapter!Dear Traders,
I hope this message finds you well in your trading endeavors and personal pursuits. I am excited to share a compelling opportunity with you through a new NIFTY analysis that sheds light on the continuation of the market shift. The recent upward movement & the following correction in the market have unfolded as anticipated. Over the past two months, my analysis has consistently pointed to an expected correction due to market overvaluation and distinct completion patterns.
Technical Analysis Overview:
There are three potential scenarios for the ongoing trend, ranked based on their likelihood of occurring.
Scenario I:
The move initiated from 20 MAR’23 – 27 SEPT’24 (16,828.35 – 26277.35) has spanned over 80 weeks (18M) and indicates a significant completion of wave patterns, suggesting an imminent correction. See the visual representation of the trend lines and corresponding fib retracement levels here:
The correlation between static supports can be observed around 23,893.70 and 21,181.45. This correction is expected to be visible within a 3-month timeframe.
Potential support levels include
S – I: 24,893 ~ 24,753 ~ 24,430 levels,
S – II: 24,050 ~24,000 levels and
S – III: 23,683 levels.
*These values are not actual but just levels
The correction might extend to deeper levels (22,664 & 21,550) as the market progresses.
Time resistances are anticipated on 09th OCT, 17th OCT, and 30th OCT for all probable scenarios.
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Scenario II:
The move from 26 OCT’23 – 27 SEPT’24 (18,837.85 – 26,277.35) has completed mid-way and is expected to continue after this correction, potentially reaching unprecedented levels. Find the visual representation of this move with trend lines & fib retracements here:
The range of this move is limited to the monthly timeframe, indicating the completion of 1 year from the start of this sub-trend.
Potential support levels include,
S – I: 24,525 ~ 24,378 levels,
S – II: 23,900 ~ 23,893.70 levels and
S – III: 23,450 levels.
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Scenario III:
The move from 04 JUN’24 – 27 SEPT’24 (21,121.45 – 26,277.35) has almost completed its half journey and is facing a correction before extending its uptrend by a few more waves. While this scenario has the lowest probability compared to the others, it is essential to consider its potential impact on the current trend.
The pictorial representation can be seen here:
Further details are not added as the market actions till now does not validate this probability.
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Other Influential Factors:
Geo-political tensions and concerns regarding escalation have historically preceded corrections prior to the US presidential elections, indicating a prevailing bearish sentiment. Tensions in the Middle East have also contributed to the market plunge, albeit not solely responsible for it. Additionally, the FED's likely rate cuts have been influenced by the upcoming US elections, and SEBI's regulatory actions aim to curb over-optimism and maintain market neutrality.
Important Dates to Remember:
Mark your calendars for OCT 9th (RBI interest rate decision @ 10AM) and OCT 10th (US inflation reports).
---------------
Final Verdict:
While the scenarios are meticulously laid out, the selection of the valid scenario remains a work in progress. We are eagerly awaiting further cues from the market and will provide updates as they unfold. However, one thing remains certain – the current trend has reversed (at least for the mentioned time frames). Therefore, adopting a bearish stance could prove to be profitable.
---------------
Strategy:
Considering the current market conditions, adopting a bearish stance seems prudent, especially levels around 24,450 ~ 24,000 are to be tested. Keep a close watch on the market and stay informed for potential opportunities.
Disclaimer:
Before concluding, I must underscore that the insights shared are based on my analysis. It is imperative for you to conduct your research and, if necessary, consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions. The dynamic nature of financial markets necessitates that your strategies align with your financial goals and risk tolerance.
Fellow Traders,
Countless hours of dedication and effort have gone into creating this valuable analytical resource. If you find it useful, I humbly ask for your support by boosting the idea and following me (updates will be made via this post, new post & through minds) . Your comments and thoughts on this idea are highly valued, and I am committed to engaging with each one personally.
Thank you for investing your time in reading this article,
Your readership is greatly appreciated.
Wishing you profitable and joyful trading!!!
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 09/12/2024Gap up opening expected in nifty above 24750 level. After opening if nifty starts trading above 24800 level then possible strong upside rally in nifty upto 25000 level in today's session. 24550 to 24750 range is consolidation zone for nifty any major downside only expected below 24500 level.
#NIfty50 Outlook for upcoming week 9-13th Dec, Nifty Rallies, Bu
The Nifty 50 index concluded the week on a high note, closing at 24,677, a significant 550-point surge from the previous week. The index oscillated wildly, touching a high of 24,857 and a low of 24,008. As predicted, the index faced selling pressure around the 25,000 level, a critical resistance zone that triggered a downward trend in late October.
For the upcoming week, the Nifty is expected to trade within a range of 24,100 to 25,000. A sustained break above 25,000 could propel the index towards 25,250. However, a pullback to retest support levels is likely before the next upward move.
Meanwhile, the S&P 500 index gained 1% to close at 6,090. Key resistance levels for the S&P 500 are 6,142 and 6,225, while support levels are 6,013 and 5,963.let's see if US market this week also support world market or not.
NIFTY : Trading Plan and Levels for 09-Dec-2024Nifty Trading Plan for 09-Dec-2024
Previous Day's Chart Pattern:
On 08-Dec-2024, Nifty displayed a range-bound movement within the No Trade Zone (24,674 – 24,780) , with intermittent attempts to break out on both sides. Buyers showed interest near the liquidity zone around 24,484 , but resistance at 24,780 capped upward momentum. The yellow zone signified consolidation, green highlighted bullish efforts, and red depicted bearish dominance. This creates a balanced yet cautious outlook for the next trading session.
Trading Plan for 09-Dec-2024:
Gap-Up Opening (+100 points or more above 24,780):
If Nifty opens above 24,780:
The immediate target will be 24,878 . A sustained move above this level may lead to a test of the profit-booking zone at 25,053 .
Enter long positions above 24,780 with a stop loss at 24,730 . Watch for rejection patterns near 24,878 for partial profit booking.
In case of a sharp reversal from 24,878, the index could retrace toward 24,780. Avoid aggressive longs if rejection occurs at higher levels.
Risk Management Tip: Opt for slightly OTM call options in small quantities. Use trailing stops to secure profits near resistance zones.
Flat Opening (Within the No Trade Zone 24,674 – 24,780):
A flat opening within the No Trade Zone requires patience:
If Nifty breaks above 24,780, initiate longs with targets of 24,878 and 25,053 .
On the downside, a fall below 24,674 can lead to a retest of the first buyer’s support at 24,484 . Initiate shorts cautiously with a stop loss above 24,700.
Risk Management Tip: Avoid overtrading in a sideways zone. Wait for clear breakouts before taking positions. Avoid weekly options in choppy zones.
Gap-Down Opening (-100 points or more below 24,674):
If Nifty opens below 24,674:
First support lies at 24,484 . If this zone holds, we may witness a reversal toward 24,674. Look for bullish candles to confirm long entries.
A break below 24,484 will likely test the liquidity zone at 24,446 or deeper support at 24,374 – 24,338 . Enter shorts below 24,484 with a stop loss near 24,500.
Risk Management Tip: For gap-down scenarios, consider put options with a spread strategy to limit losses. Avoid chasing price movements without confirmation.
Summary and Conclusion:
Nifty's key levels to monitor are 24,674 – 24,780 (No Trade Zone), 24,878 (Opening Resistance), and 25,053 (Profit Booking Zone).
The green zones represent bullish trends, yellow highlights consolidation, and red indicates bearish zones.
Focus on executing trades only after confirmation and manage risks with disciplined stop-loss placements.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. Traders are advised to do their research or consult a financial advisor before trading.
NIFTY Surges 900+ Points: Massive Gains Unlocked!NIFTY on the 1-hour timeframe displayed an exceptional bullish momentum, achieving 900+ points in profit so far. This long trade setup, captured using the Risological Swing Trading Indicator , has already hit TP1 and TP2, with the remaining targets likely to be reached soon.
NIFTY Key Levels:
TP1: 24204.50 ✅
TP2: 24786.30 ✅
TP3: 25368.10 🔄
TP4: 25727.65 🔄
NIFTY Technical Analysis:
The trade initiated at 23844.95 with a stop-loss at 23554.05, providing an excellent risk-to-reward ratio.
The price consistently respected the Risological trend line, confirming the strength of the uptrend. Both TP1 and TP2 have been achieved, showcasing the precision of the system.
The breakout above key resistance levels hints at a continuation towards the upper targets.
This setup reflects how effectively the Risological Swing Trading Indicator identifies profitable opportunities with minimal risk.
Namaste!
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 06/12/2024Nifty will open gap up in today's session. Expected opening near the 24800 level. After opening if nifty starts trading and sustain above 24800 level then expected upside rally upto 25000 level in today's session. Downside 24550 level becomes strong support for nifty. Any major downside rally only expected below 24450 level.
NIFTY : Trading Plan and levels for 06-Dec-2024Trading Plan for Nifty – 06-Dec-2024
Intro to the Previous Day's Chart Pattern:
On 05-Dec-2024, Nifty exhibited a volatile session but from the level (excatly where I mentioned in yesterday's trade pan) a significant rally towards the Wave C completion zone but a huge volatility in the prices seen in the last trading hour, . A sharp rejection from this zone reinforced bearish pressure, driving the index back to the Opening Support/Resistance zone at ₹24,697 . The chart highlighted three critical zones:
Red Trend: Bearish resistance around Wave C completion ( ₹25,050 ).
Yellow Trend: Sideways consolidation in the Opening Resistance Zone (₹24,882–₹24,697) .
Green Trend: Bullish momentum originating from the Initial Support Zone (₹24,412) .
Trading Plan for 06-Dec-2024
Gap Up Opening (+100 Points):
If Nifty opens above ₹24,882 , it will likely face immediate resistance at the Wave C completion zone (₹25,050) .
Action Plan:
Look for bearish rejections or reversal candlestick patterns near ₹25,050 . A failure to sustain above this level indicates a shorting opportunity, targeting ₹24,697 and ₹24,412 .
If Nifty sustains above ₹25,050 for at least two 15-minute candles, it signals a breakout. Go long, aiming for ₹25,300 and ₹25,450 .
Risk Management Tip:
Use a trailing stop-loss once the trade moves in your favor. For options, consider selling OTM puts below ₹24,700 to benefit from time decay.
Flat Opening (Near ₹24,697):
A flat opening will test the Opening Support/Resistance zone (₹24,697) .
Action Plan:
If Nifty holds above ₹24,697 , expect a bullish move towards ₹24,882 . Breakout above this level can lead to ₹25,050 .
Failure to sustain ₹24,697 could drag Nifty towards the Initial Support Zone (₹24,412) . Monitor for price rejection at ₹24,412 for potential long entries.
Risk Management Tip:
For flat openings, avoid aggressive entries. Let the first 30 minutes establish the trend, then act accordingly. Use spreads (e.g., bull call spreads) to cap your risk in options.
Gap Down Opening (-100 Points):
A gap-down opening near ₹24,412 or below will test key supports.
Action Plan:
If Nifty finds support at ₹24,412 , look for bullish price action. Enter long positions targeting ₹24,697 and ₹24,882 .
If Nifty breaks ₹24,412 , the next critical zone lies at ₹24,224–₹24,142 . Watch for signs of demand in this deep retracement zone for potential reversals.
Risk Management Tip:
In case of high volatility, trade with reduced position sizes. Use iron condors or straddles to take advantage of elevated option premiums during gap-down scenarios.
Summary and Conclusion:
Resistance Levels: ₹24,882, ₹25,050
Support Levels: ₹24,697, ₹24,412, ₹24,224
Key levels to watch: A breakout above ₹25,050 or a breakdown below ₹24,412 will dictate intraday momentum.
Use proper risk management strategies like trailing stop-losses and avoid over-leveraging in volatile markets.
Disclaimer:
The above analysis is for educational purposes only . I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. Please perform your own research or consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions. Markets involve risk; trade responsibly.
Waiting for 24540 area break NSE:NIFTY
I am not SEBI registered :) This is not a trading advice.
An upward break and close above the 24,540 level could signal more upside, indicating strong buying momentum and a potential continuation of the uptrend.
Let me know your thoughts or if you have any suggestions/questions.
Nifty Intraday Trade Setup | 5th DecemberNifty opened with a gap-up and gave more up-move in morning, our buy level triggered and Nifty went near 24575 but then we saw a knee jerk reaction and Nifty lost more than 200 points from day high so as per setup SL was taken out.
For tomorrow, if Nifty sustains above 24540 you can consider buying for 24600 and above marked level but keep small quantity on buying side. On the other side, if Nifty sustains below 24410 you can consider taking a sell trade for the target of 24360 and below marked level on the chart.
Expectations: Volatile movement.
Intraday Levels:
Buy Above - 24540
Sell Below - 24410
To motivate us, Please like the idea If you agree with the analysis.
Happy Trading!
InvestPro India