Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term : 09-Sep-24 to 13-Sep-24Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term : 09-Sep-24 to 13-Sep-24
Nifty closed at 24855 ( Last week 25235 ) and touched low & high of 24807-25335 ( all time high)
Market touched new high last week and went down on last fri, Market broke the Ist Support at 25000 and went down last week and currently it is in rangebound.
RSI and stochastics levels moved up last week (52% and 33% respectively). MACD level crossed and went down below signal.
Nifty 24855 Short term (Short term neutral, need to cross key resistance 25545)
Nifty short term resistance 25545 as shown in chart.
Support at 24480 (Fib Support) & 24650 (Trend line support and recent low).
Medium Term 25235, next target is 25800 ( Fib Resistance). if it moves above decisively next target is 26250.
Medium term Support - 24000
Long Term : Nifty have a target of 27000 ( Fibonacci Resistance). If market close above 25540 decisively. Support at 22800
Post Indian Elections, reduction of interest rate by RBI is expected on a staggered manner till it reaches 5% ( in span of 2-3 years ) in line with US fed rate reduction expected in Sep 2024. US President Election scheduled in Nov 24. Until then Market may correct if any global news upto19500 as there is strong multiple fib support in this range.
Caution to be emphasized on Nifty as nifty PE is in high level with high valuation especially in Mid cap & Small Cap.
Those with lesser risk can sell partial portfolio ( 20-30%) stocks which have less valuation and can wait for opportunity to buy when nifty dips upto 22800. This is the best period to start SIP MF when the valuation is high.
Deploy stop loss of upto 7%-8% which is crucial. More Risky players can have stop loss of trend line resistance of 23750 as shown in the chart.
Nifty bank 50582 (Last week 51117) - Index have target of 54000 in medium term and support at 49900
Stock Picking is needed at current scenario in Bank, auto, Pharma stocks.
Newly added stocks to buy are CAMS, UTI AMC & HDFC AMC and removed tanla platform from the list as the profit is stagnated, to await till next quarter ( Q2) Results.
Based on the Q1 results, following stocks can be added to portfolio: ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank, Indian Bank & Punjab National Bank.
Fundamentally good stocks can be added as it posted good results on every dip in finance stocks such as Manappuram Finance, suryoday small fin, Motilal Fin, Chola Finance, Dr Reddys, Natco Pharma, Cipla, JK Cements, Biocon, Persistent Sys, PI Ind, PNC Infra and Ashoka Buildcon. There is a possibility of dip to 21000-22000, hence please buy in parcels and every dip of Index and every dip of individual stocks (2-5% of portfolio on each purchase for long term) The above stocks mentioned are based on analysis of top line & Bottom line performance, hence based on the risk and portfolio mix one can add after analysis.
Nifty IT 42234 (Last week 42760) indices dipped to 37848 in Jun month, bounced back and all time high last week. Recovery of US stock market and awaiting FED rate cute decision pushed the US stocks up and followed by Nifty IT Index.
Niftyprediction
NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 09/09/2024BUY ABOVE - 24960
SL - 24910
TARGETS - 25020,25080,25130
SELL BELOW - 24860
SL - 24910
TARGETS - 24800,24740,24700
NO TRADE ZONE - 24860 to 24960
Previous Day High - 25150
Previous Day Low - 24800
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement
HAPPY TRADING 👍
#nifty50 analysis for next week 9th Sept-13th septThe Indian stock market experienced a significant downturn last week, with the Nifty 50 closing at 24,852, a substantial 400 points below the previous week's close. Despite reaching a weekly high of 25,333, the index ultimately settled within its expected range of 25,850 to 24,600.
Looking ahead, a bearish outlook prevails for the coming week. The Nifty is anticipated to trade within a range of 25,500 to 24,150. A bearish engulfing candle formation suggests continued selling pressure on Monday and Tuesday. However, a potential bounce to 25,000 on Wednesday or Thursday could offer bears an opportunity to initiate fresh short positions. A daily close above 25,080 would be a positive sign for bulls, while a close below 24,486 (DEMA50) could lead to further declines, potentially opening the gates to 24,150, 24,000, or 23,840 (DEMA100).
Globally, the S&P 500's decline of 240 points from the previous week's close triggered selling across various markets, including India. The 5,380 support level (DEMA50) is crucial for the S&P 500. A break below this level could result in a 3.5-4% correction, potentially testing the 5,200-5,170 support zone, which would likely exert further pressure on global markets.
NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 06 SEP 2024BUY ABOVE - 25190
SL - 25130
TARGETS - 25240,25320,25400
SELL BELOW - 25130
SL - 25190
TARGETS - 25080,25030,24970
NO TRADE ZONE - 25130 to 25190
Previous Day High - 25240
Previous Day Low - 25130
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement
HAPPY TRADING 👍
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 06/09/2024📊 Nifty Market Update:
🚦 Opening Expectation: Flat opening near the 25200 level.
⏳ Wait for Confirmation: Observe the market for strong downside signals.
📉 Downside Movement: If confirmed, a potential drop up to 25000 is expected.
📈 Upside Potential: A strong rally is anticipated only above the 25250 level.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 05/09/2024Gap up opening expected in nifty above 25250 level. After opening gap up if nifty sustain above 25250 level then possible strong upside rally upto 25400+ level. Downside possible in case nifty not sustain above level and starts trading below 25200 level.
NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 05 SEP 2024BUY ABOVE - 25240
SL - 25180
TARGETS - 25320,25400,25470
SELL BELOW - 25180
SL - 25240
TARGETS - 25130,25080,25030
NO TRADE ZONE - 25180 to 25240
Previous Day High - 25240
Previous Day Low - 25080
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement
HAPPY TRADING 👍
HDFC BANK LONGTERM
HDFC Bank can be a good long-term investment for a number of reasons, including its quality, stability, and returns:
Quality
HDFC Bank has higher scores for quality than other blue-chip lenders, and its stability ratios are superior.
Returns
HDFC Bank has given returns of +18.93% in the last year, and +82.31% in the last 3 years.
Analyst ratings
18 analysts have given HDFC Bank a strong buy rating, and 14 analysts have given it a buy rating.
However, stock investment depends on several factors, and investors should consider their own investment goals and horizon before investing.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 04/09/2024Slightly gap down opening expected in nifty near 25200 level. After opening possible it will take a support at this level. If nifty starts trading and sustain above 25250 level then possible 25400+ rally in today's session. Strong downside fall expected in case nifty starts trading below 25200 level. 25000 level will act a strong support for today's session.
NIFTY on the cusp for potential correction!Dear Traders,
I trust this message finds you well in both your trading endeavors and personal pursuits. I am pleased to present a compelling opportunity through a new NIFTY analysis that indicates an imminent significant market shift. The recent upward surge in the market has prompted concerns, as my analysis over the past two months has consistently pointed to an anticipated correction owing to market overvaluation and distinct completion patterns.
Technical details:
I. Resistance I: 25,388 ~ 25,430 (Extended trend line from 17th JUN'22)
II. Resistance II: 25,490 ~ 25,510 ~ 25,526 (Conj. Extended trend line from 24 JAN'24 & 24 JUN'24)
III. Resistance III: 25,590 (Extended trend line from 29 FEB'16 – Long & strong Resistance)
*** Please note that these values serve as indicative levels of support and resistance.
The wave patterns depicted in the diagram
signal the completion of the trend.
imgur.com
Additional observations:
Time series Forecasting:
Top - Top
- Today (04/09/2024) = 1690 D from 20jan'20 (1710 = 360*4 + 270)
= 1053 D from 19oct'21 (1080 = 360*3)
= 644 D from 01dec'22 (630 = 360+270)
= 356 D from 15sept'23 (~360)
Bottom – Top
- Today (04/09/24) = 1626 D from 24mar'20 (1620 = 4*360+180)
= 811 D from 17jun'22 (810 = 720 + 90)
= 315 D from 26oct'23 (exactly an important angle)
= 535 D from 20mar'23 (540 = 360 + 180)
Given these short and long-term observations, the time resistance(s) are notably robust.
Historical Repetition:
The ongoing 14-day winning streak, continuously setting new records, typically precedes short-term corrections ranging from 3% to 24%, as historically observed. For instance, in May 2006, Nifty’s non-stop 9-day rally culminated in a 24% index decline in the subsequent month, while a similar trend in February 2000 resulted in an 11% decline in the subsequent month.
Consequently, a market breather is anticipated, with profit booking potentially driving the market to deeper levels before embarking on a new uptrend (anticipated correction in the monthly scale, evident in the 3M time frame). Further details will be provided as the market unfolds.
A correction of this magnitude is expected to materialize, with the following scenarios:
The initial focus is to prioritize the trend line-based correction scenario. The primary support levels are identified at 23,100. Any subsequent breakout will result in distinct scenarios.
Scenario 1: From 15,183.40, retracement towards 21,500 = 4,000 pts (38.2%R) (-12 to 15%), highly probable given the aforementioned reasons.
Scenario 2: From 16,828, retracement towards 21,100 levels = 4,400 pts (50%R) (-13% to 17%), also plausible within the realm of reality.
One of these scenarios is poised to unfold as the market progresses into correction.
Fed and Markets:
Considering the correlation between interest rates and market fluctuations, it is wise to take them into account. Typically, their relationship is inversely proportional. However, the Fed has been delaying the easing process due to economic conditions such as employment and inflation data. This month may bring many surprises.
If everything goes according to plan, interest rates will be reduced, theoretically boosting investment in gold and stock markets. On the other hand, if the dovishness in the rate decision continues, it will likely unsettle the markets, at least in the short term.
Further data releases this month will help in forming a consensus.
IMPORTANT DATES TO REMEMBER!!!
Sept - 5, 6, 11, 12, 18 (FOMC)
Strategy :
1. Being bullish beyond this point is not recommended.
2. Bearish bets are prudent from 25, 300 – 350, 400 for FOMO traders.
Risky traders may consider waiting for the 25,500 levels to be tested.
Disclaimer:
Before concluding, I must underscore that the insights shared are based on my analysis. It is imperative for you to conduct your research and, if necessary, consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions. The dynamic nature of financial markets necessitates that your strategies align with your financial goals and risk tolerance.
Your feedback is genuinely appreciated, and I would encourage you to share your thoughts in the comments section. I am committed to engaging with each response.
Fellow Traders,
Countless hours of dedication and effort have gone into creating this valuable analytical resource. If you find it useful, I humbly ask for your support by liking and following me. Your comments and thoughts on this idea are highly valued, and I am committed to engaging with each one personally.
Thank you for investing your time in reading this article,
Your readership is greatly appreciated.
Wishing you profitable and joyful trading!!!
NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 04 SEP 2024BUY ABOVE - 25320
SL - 25240
TARGETS - 25400,25470,25530
SELL BELOW - 25240
SL - 25320
TARGETS - 25200,25180,25080
NO TRADE ZONE - 25240 to 25320
Previous Day High - 25320
Previous Day Low - 25240
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement
HAPPY TRADING 👍
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 03/09/2024Today will be slightly gap up opening expected in nifty. After opening expected upside rally upto 25400+ level. In case nifty starts trading below 25200 then downside fall expected upto 25000 level. Strong bullish rally possible once nifty starts trading above 25450+ level.
NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 03 SEP 2024BUY ABOVE - 25320
SL - 25260
TARGETS - 25400,25470,25530
SELL BELOW - 25260
SL - 25320
TARGETS - 25300,25130,25080
NO TRADE ZONE - 25260 to 25320
Previous Day High - 25320
Previous Day Low - 25260
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement
HAPPY TRADING 👍
NMDC Downside Target 220, 210, 200NMDC may see a decline in the upcoming few sessions, the stock is currently in a downtrend and has been rejected by a strong resistance on the daily chart where an inverted hammer candle has formed indicating weakness in the stock. 220 is a strong support in the stock, if the stock breaks this support, then the stock can also see 210 to 200 levels.
Nifty 50 - MovementNifty 50 NSE:NIFTY Movement that am mentioning here is for Educational Purpose so that you can be prepared.
As far as i have expedited this will continue until 25,390 and there should be Retracement. i.e, it will move the 1 % and there is less chance to move 1.618% which is 26,320 without a Retracement.
Let's wait and see how this goes!
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 02/09/2024Gap up opening in nifty. Expected opening near 25400 level. After opening if nifty starts trading above 25450 level then possible strong upside rally upto 25600+ level in today's session. 25400 level will act as a resistance for today's session. Expected some correction from this level. Downside 25250 level will strong support for nifty.
NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 02 SEP 2024BUY ABOVE - 25260
SL - 25200
TARGETS - 25320,25400,25470
SELL BELOW - 25200
SL - 25260
TARGETS - 25130,25080,25030
NO TRADE ZONE - 25200 to 25260
Previous Day High - 25260
Previous Day Low - 25200
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement
HAPPY TRADING 👍
Nifty50 analysis for next week 2nd Sept-6th Sept 2024#Nifty surged to a new all-time high of 25236 this week, gaining nearly 400 points from the previous week's close. As predicted, the market remained within the 25500-24200 range.
For the coming week, I anticipate Nifty to trade between 25850 and 24600 . A break above or below these levels could trigger significant price movements. If Nifty can sustain above 25300, it might reach 25400, 25568, 25650, or even 25809 (a crucial resistance level).
While the weekly RSI is showing signs of a bearish M pattern, I believe Nifty needs to reach 25500 or 25800 before a significant decline. Overall, for coming week market remains bullish.
The S&P 500 closed just above the important Fibonacci level of 5637. A break above 5670 could lead to gains towards 5700, 5806, or even 6142, which would likely benefit Indian markets. However, a breakdown below 5550 could trigger a sell-off, with potential support levels at 5486, 5373, and 5180. Such a scenario would have negative implications for global markets, including India.
NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 30 AUG 2024BUY ABOVE - 25200
SL - 25130
TARGETS - 25260,25320,25400
SELL BELOW - 25130
SL - 25200
TARGETS - 25080,25030,24970
NO TRADE ZONE - 25130 to 25200
Previous Day High - 25200
Previous Day Low - 24970
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement
HAPPY TRADING 👍