NIFTY view on 14th January, 2024 (Likely headed below 21K)The whole move in NSE:NIFTY from the high of 22124 on 24th January this year looks corrective in nature. We seem to have completed W and X legs of the complex W-X-Y correction so far and Y seem to be unfolding. Y is typically the largest leg so we will likely see sub-21K levels soon. For the time being, #NIFTY is falling in a channel and top end of the channel is around 21850 which also falls within 50% - 61.8% of the move from X so far. At max, we might touch 21900 but that should be potentially the high zone after which we should keep heading lower.
Nifty50
Once again decent recovery effort by Nifty but stopped by 50 EMANifty made a decent recovery effort on the back of short covering in some of the oversold Nifty stocks but again 50 Hours EMA Mother line proved to be too powerful resistance and stopped the dash of Nifty which was aiming to go further. Also there is a trend line created resistance which might hinder the growth of Nifty Further. It looks like Nifty might squeeze further in the triangle created between the two trend lines. Till we get a closing above 21857 I do not think we are in a safe zone. Only after we get a closing above 21857 bulls can think of making a come back.
Nifty Supports: 21663, 21620, 21549 and 21459. Below 21459 levels of 21351 and 21285 are the only supports for Nifty before bears take full control.
Nifty Resistances: 21749, 21796, 21836 and 21857. Above 21857 21922 and 21970 can be the resistances before Nifty can gain 22K levels again.
Sell off continues in Nifty. Strong Sell off continued in Nifty with major sectors like PSU and Private Banks, Public Sector companies, Small and Mid-Cap seeing no respite in mass sell off. In one way the sell off will cool down the RSI. Lot of these companies are seeing a cuts like hot knife cuts through butter slab. Amongst the fallen the companies which have given good results or seemingly decent results will be the first to bounce back. Saving grace was today Nifty giving a close just above 200 Hours EMA and just above or at par with mid-channel support.
Nifty Resistances from here will be at 21698, 21758 to 21796 (Strong Resistance Zone), followed by another important resistance at 21851. Above 21851 closing Bulls will be back to calling shots.
Nifty Supports from here on will be at 21613 (Very important support just round the corner, 200 Hours EMA), 21549 and 21459. A closing below 21459 will make the bears more powerful and will drive Nifty towards the support levels of 21351 and 21285. Bottom of the current channel is near 21100 below which market will be in total control of bears.
If we can get a proper closing above 21613 tomorrow that is if this level is not broken we can see a fight back of bears tomorrow or later in the week.
Nifty Takes support at Mid-Channel support. (Nifty Next Week).In the trade on Friday Nifty took support at the Mid-Channel support which was also a trend line support which was near 21629. The 200 hours EMA support was also nearby at 21610. So Nifty made a turn around from this support zone. The Nifty stopped and closed the week just below the 50 hours EMA resistance which is at 21795. This will be the immediate resistance for Nifty as it opens on Monday. The other important resistances for Nifty to conquer in the next week will be at 21849, 21922, 21970 and 22013. If 22013 is conquered the next resistances will be near 22062 and 22126. Support zone for Nifty will be between 21648 to 21610. If we get a closing below 21610 Nifty will be in trouble as bears will wake up near that level. In such a scenario the next support will be either at 21459 or 21285 only.
Bajaj Finance Flat CorrectionBajaj FInance is in a long term flat correction which started from late 2021 & it can continue for few more months.
It loks like in Wave C where it can make a 5 wave fall. Minimum target should be 6443 of this pattern but seeing the impulsive wave it shouldn't stop here & we can see straight fall to 5800 levels then later on 5200-5300 levels. This pattern can go in till April May 2024
As per Ichimoku too it has broken weekly cloud & next monthly cloud support appears near 5900 levels
Buying otm puts for march or April is not a bad option right now.. Risk reward is good with small risk & can hedge this trade too if you want
Nifty now rests delicately near important support zone. Nifty found rejection again from the same resistance zone described in Yesterday's idea linked to this message. Nifty Now rests near important support zone consisting of a trendline support, mid channel support and 200 hours EMA support the father line. All these are in the range between 21669 and 21600. Closing below 21600 has potential to awake the bears and take Nifty towards 21459, 21285 or even 21130 levels. Resistances for Nifty on the upper side will be 21810 to 21849 (Tough Resistance zone consisting of 50 hours EMA and other very strong multiple resistance). In case this zone is crossed the next resistance will be near 21970. The closing on Friday will be very important and may decide trend for the coming week or the next fortnight.
Again the same resistance zone pushes Nifty back.As described yesterday again the same resistance zone between 21964 and 22063 traps Nifty and pushes it back. Trendline is giving Nifty support and not allowing to fall drastically. The same resistance trapping the candles again and again does not help the rally and makes it weak. Thus the shadow of Nifty is negative. Resistance and Supports for Nifty are as under:
Nifty Supports: 21870, 21819, 21652 and finally 21587. (Below 21587 Nifty becomes very weak and bears come in full force).
Nifty Resistances: 21964, 22063 and finally 22127. (Above 22127 the door for our target of 22357 opens).
Nifty Confirms 50 EMA (Mother Line) Support and rises ahead.Nifty today confirmed the 50 EMA Mother line support and raced ahead only to be stopped by resistance zone near 21950-21964. Crossing and closing above 21964 will unleash further upside and can take Nifty towards 22063 or 22127. Peak of the rally based on the current trend lines can be near 22357. Supports for Nifty are now at 21819, 21779 and finally 21561. Closing below 21561 will give a chance to the bears to wake up from slumber.
Reversal Falling Wedge pattern in NIFTY50NIFTY 50 INDEX
Key highlights: 💡⚡
📈 On 15 MIN Time Frame Stock Showing Reversal of Falling Wedge Pattern.
📈 It can give movement upto the Reversal Final target of Above 21884+.
📈 There have chances of breakout of Resistance level too.
📈 After breakout of Resistance level this stock can gives strong upside rally upto Above 22140+.
📈 Can Go Long in this stock by placing a stop loss Below 21670-.
weakness persisted in Nifty after a good start. Weakness was seen in Nifty after a strong start perhaps due to situation in China and developments in the Middle East as tensions are escalating to a certain extent. Purely on Technicals there was a shooting star daily candle formed on Friday and today on the hourly chart a miniature sort of Head and Shoulder pattern is formed. These to formations indicate weakness setting in Nifty and the trend can continue for rest of the week or even few weeks to come. For weakness to persist however Nifty has to break Two important supports which are at 21740 and 21536. These Two levels are potential reversal zones.If 21536 is broken further supports will be near 21449 and 21290 or 21136. Resistances on the upper side for Nifty will be at 21815 and 21964. We are at a critical juncture near trend line as well as 50 EMA support 21740. Tomorrow is an important day closing below 21740 will strongly suggest further weakness.
Runaway Train of Nifty Was halted by ATH Resistance. Runaway Train of Nifty Was halted by ATH (All Time High) Resistance. From the Early morning Friday Nifty looked poised to make a new high and did so without much stutter. Once it reached All Time high there was heavy profit booking seen in the index. 21800 level however provided a much needed support and Nifty closed well above that range. Support levels for Nifty from here will be at 21805, 21752 followed by strong Mother and Father line support of 50 and 200 hours EMA at 21697 and 21511. Trend changes to negative if we get a closing below 21136. Resistances for Nifty on the upper side are at 21907, 21964, 22064 and 22127. Top of the current trend triangle seems to be near 22351 level.
IRM ENERGY 240 MINS TIME FRAMEThe Structure looks good to us, waiting for this instrument to correct and then give us these opportunities as shown on this instrument (Price Chart).
Note: Its my view only and its for educational purpose only. Only who has got knowledge about this strategy, will understand what to be done on this setup. its purely based on my technical analysis only (strategies). we don't focus on the short term moves, we look for only for Bullish or Bearish Impulsive moves on the setups after a good price action is formed as per the strategy. we never get into corrective moves. because it will test our patience and also it will be a bullish or a bearish trap. and try trade the big moves.
we do not get into bullish or bearish traps. We anticipate and get into only big bullish or bearish moves (Impulsive Moves). Just ride the Bullish or Bearish Impulsive Move. Learn & Know the Complete Market Cycle.
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Nifty is Squeezing in a tight Triangle. Nifty is squeezing in a tight triangle and within this week or the next will give way on either side with a big breakout or a big break down.
Today Nifty respected the trendline resistance near 21832 and also respected the Mother line 50 EMA Support near 21626 where it came in the touching distance near 21658 and reversed to end the day at 21697 just below the psychological level of 21700. Same Set of supports and resistances will come into play tomorrow with very little room left for Nifty to give a break out on either side.
Nifty Supports: 21626 and 21482.
Nifty Resistances: 21806 to 21852 (Strong Resistance zone), and 21966.
NIFTY50_01FEB2024Prediction Next three months:
Level: Alert
Action: Accumulate funds for long term investment
Nifty50 seems at cautious levels. It seems like market was expecting a boost from interim budget with various schemes , specially for infra boost. Budget has a sufficient amount of fund allocation with continuation to growth and GDP figures achievement plans.
But this isnt enough for nifty to cross 22000 levels. Execution from companies need to be fast tracked. New players need to involve in market. Retail, Private and Public partnership could lead to further growth. Next boost is expected with three main expectations:
1) JPM's inclusion of Indian bond market (JUNE 2024)
2) FED and RBI cut in interest rates
3) Main budget after election.
Formation of current government again after election is already absorbed by market. Now if current government is not re-elected or elected with less majority compared to previous election, than it may lead to failure in market prospectus and a bigger correction upto 18800 levels may be seen.
For time being, expect a level of 20050 soon. Period of 1 FEB to 1 May is crucial.
Again Nifty facing important Trendline resistance. 2024 first month has seen volatile, erratic, sudden tide to ebb and ebb to tide behaviour of Nifty which is at it's unpredictable best. The zone starting from 21741 to 21839 is having many resistances both small and big in addition to the trendline resistance. if Nifty is able to close above 21850 further journey towards 21966 and 22124+ is possible. Supports for Nifty are available at 21593 and 21464. If we get a closing below 21464 the Nifty may fall further to 21354, 21245 or 21136 levels. Usually budget days are marked with high volatility. Adding fuel to fire is the US FED meeting tonight. Do not take many / any high risk decisions tomorrow.
Trendline resistance 21800 works again to pull Nifty downTrendline resistance 21800 works again to pull Nifty down. This only shows that the strength of rally decreasing with extreme increase in volatility. There was a news of situation escalating in Middle East and US striving to take some action against the mess created by some disruptive forces in the Red sea. With this news there was selling and profit booking seen specially from the FIIs and Retail investors however DII remain net buyers and gave support to the market near 21500. How much support they can provide going deeper into the week is the question.
Nifty Supports will be at: 21500, 21448 (Major Support 200 hours EMA), 21258 and finally 21152. Below 21152 bears will start licking their fingers.
Nifty Resistances are ate: 21562 (Major resistance 50 hours EMA), 21660, 21723 (Major trendline resistance) and 21800-21820 range.