Nifty 50 Reached CHANNEL Top. Wait for Breakout, which directionNifty 50 reached again "CHANNEL" Top. Wait for Breakout to confirm which direction. If Breakout above the Channel Top, it will become Very Bullish. Otherwise, it may come down.
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Nifty50
NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 29 MAY 2024BUY ABOVE - 22950
SL - 22900
TARGETS - 23000,23100,23180
SELL BELOW - 22850
SL - 22900
TARGETS - 22780,22710,22640
NO TRADE ZONE - 22850 to 22950
Previous Day High - 23000
Previous Day Low - 22850
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement
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Consolidation and profit booking phase in Nifty. Nifty is seeing a consolidation and Profit booking phase after making a new All Time high. There was a massive pressure seen across indices. This phase and volatility which we have seen off late can continue for a while till election results are declared and a little bit post results too. FMCG and Pharma were the only 2 indices which withstood the selling pressure but broader markets were seen bleeding a bit specially the cash counters. Next one week or so will test the patience of investors and speculation should be avoided. Stay away from high risk counters and derivatives if you are not an expert. Support for Nifty can be seen near 22864 which is rather a weak support. Next support is near 22767 which is considerably strong support of 50 Hours EMA (Mother line). If 22767 is broken further support can be found only near 22602 and 22489. This zone is a strong support zone having mid channel support of the current channel and 200 hours EMA. Resistance on the upper side for Nifty are at 22937, 22999 and 23053. Above 23053 Nifty will become little strong and Bulls can further take the index to 23108 or 23150 levels which will be a strong channel top resistance.
Not much room to grow for Nifty unless it breaks the channel. Nifty hit the channel top today and immediately receded as there is not much space left of it to grow. Either it has to break the parallel channel and go above it or it has to fall to cool down the RSI and then come and fight to make a new high. It is obvious that as we hit levels above 23K there will be bout or bouts of profit booking too. With election results around keep expecting such volatile ralles and snap rallies. Supports for Nifty on the lower side are at 22877, 22775, 22716 and 22457. Below 22457 Nifty becomes a little weak. Resistances on the upper side for Nifty are at 22999, 23053, 23110 and finally 23150. Shadow of the candles is absolutely neutral.
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Nifty What ifs? it is 2004 again / seats are close to 400. Last phases of election are going on the result will be declared on 4th June the talk of the town is what will happen to Nifty if election is won by someone who is expected to win the general elections in India and what will happen if the results are unexpected. We can not predict elections and we can not predict how the Nifty will behave but certainly the charts which are representations of human emotions tell us a story and give us projections which we have seen are very close to being accurate. We have taken the help of Fibonacci retracement and parallel channel to help us understand where human emotions can lead Nifty to.
Scenario 1) 2004 (History repeats itself)(Thunder seldom strikes twice in the same place but what if?)
Let us talk about unexpected scenario like what happened in 2004. In this case market will definitely market will take a hit. The support levels for Nifty in such a case will be 20391. 20391 happens to be our channel bottom additionally it is also a Fibonacci support.
If the Nifty falls below 20391 which it potentially can as investor emotions rather than valuations will take precedence the next support will be at 18688. In case 18688 will not hold (which is unlikely) worst case scenario as of now is Mother line support 50 Months EMA is at 17358. (This is what chart tells me as of now). In case of hung parliament / policy paralysis / War like situation at border and major internal strife Nifty may even fall to 15471.)
In short there will be a lot of wealth erosion initially but nevertheless market will stabilize and upward journey will definitely begin once again if the euphoria of loss settles down. As companies will adjust / adapt and keep performing. The show will go on. When Trump lost US experts were saying that US market will have a free fall but against all odds US markets saw new highs in Biden term. Always remember that markets are unpredictable.
Scenario 2) Seats are close to 350 or 400.
The Euphoria and mad valuations in some stock might continue for a while but surely there will be Profit Booking fall sooner than later. The Major Nifty Resistance is near 23608 which also happens to be a mid channel resistance. That can be a potential point of profit booking. If we get a closing above 23608 which is less likely in near term, but you never say never. Or whenever in future we get a closing above 23608. This will open the doors for long term target of 27K. In 4/5 years time the best case scenario seems to be Nifty between 27 and 30K.
Scenario 3) Seats are between 250 and 300. It will be victory or close to victory nevertheless it has potential to damage emotions of the investors and profit booking cycle can begin right then and there. 21376 or 20391 is possible even in such a scenario. Eventually when dust will settle and valuations are affordable again Nifty will restart it's journey towards 23608 in this case.
I hope that the above Technical analysis will help you in bracing yourself for impact on D-day that is 4th June. Even if the landing is going to be smooth airlines always asks us to wear seat belts. In cars also we wear seat belts for safety. On bike we are supposed to wear helmets. What are all these equipment for? Safety.
Safety mechanism of Stock market is Stop loss and Trailing stop loss. Keep them in a proper place whether it is scenario 1, 2 or 3. It will save you in case of scenario 1 or 3. Incase it is scenario 2 some of your stop losses may be hit and then the stock will run upward but remember it will be loss in profit. Loss in profit is better than loss. No one in the world has become a pauper by keeping stop losses.
Disclaimer: There is a chance of biases including confirmation bias, information bias, halo effect and anchoring bias in this write-up. Investment in stocks, derivatives and mutual funds is subject to market risks, please consult your investment advisor before taking financial decisions. The data, chart and other information provided above is for the purpose of analysis and is purely educational in nature. The names of the stocks or index levels of spot Nifty mentioned in the article are for the purpose of education and analysis only. Purpose of this article is educational. Please do not consider this as a recommendation of any sorts.
ATH Breakout for Nifty but has the rally got more steam?Major ATH All Time high Breakout for Nifty today however Nifty could not cross the much coveted level of 23K. Can Nifty do to it tomorrow? has it got the steam? RSI is high indicating that Nifty is getting overbought and valuations of a lot of stocks are very pricey. However there might still be opportunity left in a few Large cap stock specially IT, Banking and Finance space which have fallen out of favour of investors lately. Valuations in some PSU, Mid and Small Case space are questionable currently and we advise keeping a strict trailing stop loss wherever you have good profit.
Remember nobody has ever become a pauper by booking profits. Keep strict trailing Stop Losses. They are best friends. Loss in Profit is ok but Profit to loss is not ok.
Nifty Major Supports levels: 22784, 22507 and 22298.
Major Future resistance levels: 22293, 23060, 23208 and 23407.
NIFTY - Quick Analysis - 23rd MayTwo weeks back when we had a look at the NIFTY, the index was moving down after making a double top like formation, it was approaching a good support zone around 21710-21840. It did take support from this zone, reversed and started moving up. Then we had a Bullish “W” like pattern. Now it has taken out the previous rejection zone at 22795-22550. Today we saw a Bullish widespread bar on increased volume closing at the top. We can see the momentum also flipped to the positive side. Now we can expect the NIFTY to move to the top of the inclined channel or the supply line of the inclined channel. The top should be around 23300 from where we could see a reaction. So next week we could see the NIFTY approaching this level and it could hover around this level till election result. And quite possibly. based on the Election result on the June 4th, it may break about the channel supply line and move into a higher trajectory.
U-formation on cards if resistance at 22632 is cleared by Nifty.It looks like Nifty can create a U formation if the resistances at 22632 is cleared and we get a proper closing above it. However for perfect U-formation the Nifty will have to cross other resistances at 22693, 22734, 22768 and finally 22794. In case we do not get a closing above 22632 and Nifty returns the supports for Nifty will be at 22536, 22484 and 22445. Below 22445 there are important support levels of 50 and 200 EMA which are 22409 and 22345. Below 22345 Nifty becomes very weak and Bears take over the market. Shadow of the candle is neutral to positive for tomorrow.
NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 23/05/2024BUY ABOVE - 22640
SL - 22590
TARGETS - 22710,22780,22830
SELL BELOW - 22550
SL - 22590
TARGETS - 22500,22440,22350
NO TRADE ZONE - 22550 to 22640
Previous Day High - 22640
Previous Day Low - 22500
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement
HAPPY TRADING 👍
Nifty returning from 22591 indicates strong resistance zone.Nifty returning from high of 22591 has given indication of strong resistance zone ahead. Also closing above Mid-Channel resistance was a good move but still it is not a convincing upward gallop with market breadth remaining negative and FII still selling relentlessly. Some decent mid and large cap stocks are not moving despite good results and some average stocks and PSU are moving towards exaggerated valuation. PE investing or comparing the 10 year PE to the current PE of the stock should be the way to go for investors. Do not get trapped at levels which might not return for years. (I am nor fear mongering but that should be the case in every and any circumstance anyway.)
Nifty Supports levels: 22470, 22402, 22345, 22257 and 22055.
Nifty Resistance levels: 22530, 22591, 22658, 22730 and 22831.
Good move ahead if mid channel support is held by NiftyGood move ahead for Nifty can hold the levels of 22470 and give a closing above 22522. Incase we get a closing above 22522 the resistances ahead will be 22587, 22658, 22730 and 22800+. In case Nifty gives a closing below 22470 the supports will be at 22345, 22246 and 22055. 22522 is however a strong trendline resistance and gap up opening and holding above it is the way to overcome it faster. Shadow of the candle is positive for the beginning of the week.
NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 21 MAY 2024BUY ABOVE - 22500
SL - 22430
TARGETS - 22550,22600,22640
SELL BELOW - 22430
SL - 22500
TARGETS - 22350,22300,22230
NO TRADE ZONE - 22430 to 22500
Previous Day High - 22500
Previous Day Low - 22350
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement
HAPPY TRADING 👍
JK Lakshmi Cements: It could break either way. Be prepared.Key Zones
Supply Zone (Resistance) represented by the Red Box.
The price has shown a clear rejection in this zone multiple times, indicating strong selling pressure.
Demand Zone (Support) represented by the Green Box.
Historically, this zone has acted as a strong support, suggesting buying interest in this area.
Patterns and Trendlines
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Current RSI is around 40.73, suggesting the stock is approaching the oversold territory, but not quite there yet.
Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: 875 - 900 INR (Supply Zone)
Support: 675 - 725 INR (Demand Zone)
Intermediate Support: 723.10 INR
Possible Scenarios
Bullish Scenario:
If the price breaks above the descending triangle's upper trendline, it could challenge the supply zone around 875-900 INR.
Confirmation would require a strong breakout with high volume.
Bearish Scenario:
A breakdown below the descending triangle’s lower trendline and the support at 775 INR could lead to a drop towards the demand zone around 675-725 INR.
The gap fill mentioned in the chart could be a target area in the event of a breakdown.
Conclusion
The chart shows JK Lakshmi Cement at a crucial juncture within a descending triangle pattern.
Watch for a breakout above the triangle for a bullish move towards the supply zone.
Alternatively, a breakdown below the current support could lead to further downside, targeting the demand zone and potential gap fill area.
Monitoring volume and RSI will be key in confirming any breakout or breakdown.
Overall, traders should keep an eye on these critical levels and patterns to make informed decisions.
DISCLAIMER: EDUCATION PURPOSES ONLY. NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE.
Technical Analysis: NIFTY 50's Recent Shifts and Future ProspectHello, TradingView community! Today, we're diving into a detailed technical analysis of the NSE:NIFTY index, which has shown some interesting movements lately. We'll break down the technical signals, look at the potential implications, and discuss what to watch out for in the coming days.
🔍 Overview of Recent Trends
The NIFTY 50 has been following a well-defined upward trend channel over the past several months, making consistent gains each time it hit the upper boundary. However, recent patterns suggest a change in dynamics, which we need to scrutinize closely.
🔁 Current Technical Setup
Most notably, the NIFTY 50 recently deviated from its usual pattern by not reaching the upper boundary of the trend channel before reversing its direction towards the lower boundary. This could be an early sign of weakening bullish momentum.
📉 Significance of the Double Top Pattern
The formation of a potential Double top, a classic bearish reversal indicator, adds weight to concerns about a bearish shift. While this pattern is not yet confirmed—since we haven't seen a definitive breakdown below the neckline—it's a development that warrants attention.
📊 Intersection with the 100-day SMA
The recent drop of -1.5% in the NIFTY 50 brought it down to the lower boundary of the trend channel, which coincidentally aligns with the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). This SMA has historically served as a strong support level, often triggering rebounds.
🔄 Potential Outcomes
Bounce Back: If the 100-day SMA and the lower boundary of the trend channel hold up, there's potential for the NIFTY 50 to rebound towards the mid or upper boundary of the channel.
Bearish Reversal: A decisive close below the 100-day SMA & Neckline of Double Top could indicate a more significant Bearish Trend or the start of a consolidation phase.
🌐 Broader Market Context
Quarterly Earnings: The index is feeling the pressure from non-impressive Q4 results for 2024. Lackluster corporate earnings can dampen investor sentiment and lead to a reevaluation of stock valuations.
Volatility Index Rise: The NSE:INDIAVIX , which measures market volatility, is on the rise. This indicates increased uncertainty among investors, as they price in a higher potential for market swings.
FII Activity: There has been significant selling by foreign institutional investors (FIIs), contributing to downward pressure on the index. FII flows are crucial as they represent substantial investment volumes and can influence market direction.
US Federal Reserve's Stance: The hawkish stance of the US Federal Reserve, signaling potential interest rate hikes, is also a critical factor. Higher US interest rates can lead to capital outflows from emerging markets like India as investors seek higher returns in US assets.
These points illustrate how external factors are intricately linked with the movements of the NIFTY 50 index and should be considered when analyzing its future direction.
📈 Trading Strategy Recommendations
For those actively monitoring the NIFTY 50, it's crucial to keep a close eye on the 100-day SMA and the lower trend line of uptrend channel. These areas serve as critical junctures that could determine the market's short-term direction.
"In the world of Market, it's not about how much you know, but how well you understand what you know and how you apply it in uncertain times."
To conclude, while the NIFTY 50 presents an intriguing technical setup, traders should proceed with caution given the current uncertainties and the index's recent behavior.
This analysis is intended to enhance understanding and encourage informed decision-making. Keep watching these indicators and adapt your strategies accordingly to navigate through these potentially choppy waters.
Lastly, thank you for your support, your likes, Follows & comments. Feel free to ask if you have any questions.
Good closing by Nifty just above mid-channel resistance. Nifty saw a good closing today above mid channel resistance but could not hold on to higher levels as it found the resistance at 22502 to hot to cross. 22502 was today's high and might act as a resistance again tomorrow. If this level is crossed and we get a closing above it the next resistance levels will be at 22587 and 22658. Above 22658 bull have potential to take full control of the market and in such a scenario we can see Nifty climbing to the highs of 22730 and 22801 in the coming week or weeks. On the lower side, today's low of 22345 is a good support followed by Mother line support of 50 Hours EMA at 22235. Below 22235 Nifty becomes week and we might again see the levels of 22055, 21937 and 21815. Below 21815 closing Bears take total control of the market. Nifty is interestingly placed with shadow of the candle being neutral and it was a Doji candle that we saw today emphasizing the tussle between bulls and bears or shall we call it a tussle between FIIs and DIIs + Retail investors?
Remarkable Comeback Nifty but now faces Mid-channel resistance.Nifty recovered handsomely 349.85 points from the low of the day in the last hour against all frantic FII selling. This shows the power of DII and retail investors. Now Nifty faces a tough mid channel resistance 22438 which will take some doing to cross it. If Nifty manages to cross 22438 the next resistances will be at 22496, 22587, 22658, 22730 and 22801. If Nifty is not able to cross the Mid channel resistance the supports will be at 22298, 22215 and 22054. Nifty will be very weak below 22054. Shadow of the candle is looking neutral to negative but if FII jump into action (which unlikely) then frantic upside is possible. Volatility and peak tussle between FII and DII might continue.
NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 16 MAY 2024BUY ABOVE - 22230
SL - 22190
TARGETS - 22270,22300,22350
SELL BELOW - 22190
SL - 22230
TARGETS - 22160,22120,22070
NO TRADE ZONE - 22190 to 22230
Previous Day High - 22300
Previous Day Low - 22160
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement
HAPPY TRADING 👍
Nifty Squeezing in tight space between supports and resistances.Nifty is squeezing in a tight space squeezing between major supports and resistances. A major move on either side can not be negated. With US inflation, Lok Sabha election phases, Announcements by FM about course correction discussion with SEBI on how F&O will operate in future, and other important data awaited, mixed bag results. Today 200 Hours EMA acted as a major resistance. Nifty barely touched it and returned closing fractionally below 50 hours EMA. Trend line resistance and support are also acting not allowing Nifty to move much in either directions. FII is selling on every rise. DII is buying on every dip.
Very interesting phase which is testing the patience of investors is going on. All we need to do is watch important levels, important results and important data. Holding on to what we have high conviction in and letting go of what is not convincing valuation wise is important. Not reacting to market noise and filtering out your portfolio is important, before the next bull run begins. If it has not already begun.
Important Resistance Levels: 22242, 22302 (200 Hours EMA) Father line, 22400 mid channel resistance and 22501.
Important Support levels: 22148, 22068, 21937 and 21815 (Nifty becomes very weak and goes into bear grip below this level.)
Good Closing For Nifty but major resistance ahead. Nifty closed very well above 50 hours EMA (Mother Line) but is facing a formidable resistance of 22273 and 22309. The best thing to happen can be if Nifty opens gap up above this resistance and sustains the level. In such a scenario the next resistance it will face will be at 22374. Crossing and closing above 22374 will bring back bulls firmly in the business and they can push the nifty towards 22501, 22598 or even 22695. In case the resistance of 22273 and 22309 are not crossed by Nifty successfully the supports for Nifty will be at 22205, 22096, 22020 and finally 21937. Below 21937 Nifty has only one support of channel bottom at 21815. closing below 21815 can empower the bears to run havoc but shadow of the candle looks positive right now.
NIFTY50 INDEX BREAKOUT CONFIRMED, WHAT'S NEXT?The NIFTY50 has indeed followed the projection I made last week, confirming the breakout on the channel we identified. Now, I anticipate a continuation of the bearish trend towards the lower support level. This retracement should provide a significant pullback from the current bullish momentum observed on the hourly timeframe.