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Amazon - Greed, Just Like Speed, KillsFirst, I understand that Amazon had an excellent earnings report, whether analyst estimates were gamed to the downside and it was easy to beat notwithstanding. What you have to be really careful of right now is the excess greed that abounds in the markets. Greed is the thing that kills accounts the fastest, and when you blow your account, there won't be any use for TradingView anymore, and nobody will be able to have fun until you can save up to reload. I am not saying any kind of bearish commentary on Amazon, although you should have reservations on this company because a lot of its business model is just to serve as an export faucet for stuff made in the Chinese Communist Party's land. And you have to be careful with anyone whose business is tightly knit to communist China, because the International Rules Based Order is chattering disaster about "de-risking" from China. Because the narrative about "Taiwan Invasion" really means that the CCP is close to falling and everyone is thinking about how to take control of that country. But to take control of China, you need someone Chinese, which means you need a handpicked appointment from the Republic of China who will serve the globalists. All this, and the 24th year of persecution against Falun Dafa by the CCP's Jiang Zemin faction just completed on July 20. In 1999, Jiang began a full genocide and organ harvesting campaign against 100 million spiritual believers, and it's persisted to this day despite Xi Jinping never participating. In fact, Xi's Anti-corruption Campaign has been hitting the corrupt officials involved in the persecution ever since he took power in 2012. Consider that the next time you see the media going off about what a Mao Zedong Xi Jinping is. Amazon's monthly provides some clarity. The most notable thing is that the 2021-2022 distribution bars during the rest of the market's bull run indicates a proper and clear topping pattern. And despite that, price never took out the most critical of lows, the COVID pivot at $81.30. Instead, it spared it by 13 cents. Because numerology. What it means is that long term, $80 becomes a target. What's notable about price action before today's earnings report pump is that Amazon maintained the July low, albeit barely. And this creates three weekly lows of equal "support." Which also becomes a target. Bear in mind, with Nonfarm Payrolls also being tomorrow morning, you may get yourself a trade setup that looks something like what happened to AMD on Wednesday: AMD - Greed Doth Bad Habits Breed When its ER came in hot in premarket and at open, and turned into a huge sell off and red day: So the point with this call is to say that the August '22 $146 pivot may really hold. And if it doesn't hold, it might just get raided. Which makes buying the top tomorrow morning something that isn't a particularly intelligent thing to do. Worse, it means that buying the dip may be trading in the wrong direction, while selling the dump's retrace might actually be an optimal short entry. Just keep in mind that we may have as much as another 2-3% of downside left in the SPX before we retrade towards/take out the tops: SPX - The Sound of a Shattering Iceberg If the markets really get blown to pieces heading into the end of Q3 in accordance with the JP Morgan collar, stuff like Amazon is going to head to a 5-handle by next year. SPX/ES - An Analysis Of The 'JPM Collar' You'll know the truth, in my opinion, when Amazon breaks the $125 flat bottoms, price won't come back, just like what happened with Netflix: Netflix - I Hope You Like Catching Knives What I really want to tell you all is that life still seems stable, it seems like all there is to worry about is making money and entertainment. But our world may very well change overnight, with no warning at all. And what we've all done while the cards were still face down will be what determines who wins the pot and who loses their stack.
NASDAQ:AMZN
by LordWrymouth
NASDAQ 100’s special rebalance On 24 July, the NASDAQ 100 Index conducted a special rebalance to reduce the concentration of the so-called ‘magnificent seven’ in the index. The seven stocks whose strong performance this year has driven the index are Apple, Amazon, Microsoft, Alphabet, Tesla, Nvidia, and Meta. The index is typically reconstituted annually in December, with additional rebalancing opportunities each quarter. A special rebalance outside the usual schedule is only happening for the third time in the index’s history, with the first two having been in December 1998 and May 2011. According to NASDAQ, a special rebalance may be triggered if the aggregate weight of companies individually accounting for more than 4.5% of the index tops 48%. Based on this, NASDAQ announced its plan to rebalance the index on 7 July. The new weights were applied before the start of trading on 24 July. What happened in the past? Strong rallies in tech stocks were behind the special rebalances both in May 2011 and December 1998. In 2011, Apple was among the stocks that saw its weight being reduced notably following a period of strong performance. And in 1998, it was Microsoft1. Performance of the index following the two rebalances does not give much to go by. Following the rebalance in December 1998, the NASDAQ 100 continued on its upward trend while the index was weighed down following the rebalance in May 2011. What it means for investors For investors looking to position themselves tactically to benefit from this development, arguments can be made to support both bullish and bearish cases. Passive money tracking the NASDAQ 100 Index will be forced to sell the biggest names on Wall Street which have made a significant contribution to the index’s performance this year. This could create some volatility in the short-term especially given the special rebalance has happened in the middle of the earnings season and market sensitivity to announcements may be heightened. Already in the week of 17 July, when Tesla and Netflix announced their earnings, markets reacted adversely to their cautious outlook for the third quarter. This also means that it would be hard to completely isolate the impact of the rebalance on stock prices. A dip in prices may, however, may be seen by some investors as an entry point. But while the move from NASDAQ is aimed at reducing the concentration of the biggest tech names in the index, the special rebalance does not mean that the NASDAQ 100’s risk profile has changed materially. The index follows a modified market capitalisation methodology which means that, subject to some limits of influence, the biggest companies will still occupy the largest weight. The index, therefore, continues to give investors a way to capture the sentiment in growth stocks, bullish or bearish. In some of our recent blogs, we have also emphasised how the NASDAQ 100 is not a way to capture specific tech megatrends such as artificial intelligence (AI), despite investor sentiment towards AI driving the fortunes of some of the top names in the index. Dedicated AI strategies, such as the NASDAQ CTA Artificial Intelligence Index, tend to have relatively low overlap with the NASDAQ 100. Again, the rebalance does not fundamentally change this. Closing word The NASDAQ 100 Index was launched in 1985. This is only its third special rebalance in almost four decades. For an index which is focused on growth stocks, it signifies how contributors to performance have been concentrated right at the top this year. For tactical investors, there may be opportunities in the short-term resulting from this. For others, it may be a reminder of the need for diversification. Sources 1 Source: CNBC report from 05 April 2011 This material is prepared by WisdomTree and its affiliates and is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast, research or investment advice, and is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy. The opinions expressed are as of the date of production and may change as subsequent conditions vary. The information and opinions contained in this material are derived from proprietary and non-proprietary sources. As such, no warranty of accuracy or reliability is given and no responsibility arising in any other way for errors and omissions (including responsibility to any person by reason of negligence) is accepted by WisdomTree, nor any affiliate, nor any of their officers, employees or agents. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the reader. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
FRED:NDQ100
by aneekaguptaWTE
Netflix Overbought and Facing Resistance Netflix NASDAQ:NFLX EARNINGS RELEASE TODAY (AFTER THE CLOSE) Entry Pending Until: - Break above overhead resistance, making it support - A revisit of the 200 Day SMA - In both, tight stop required We are currently oversold on the RSI and whilst the stock could remain oversold for weeks the last 2 times we reached this exact RSI level we were rejected. For this reason I see no reason to be rushing into this trade. If you put on a trade you need a tight tight stop loss. The head and shoulders pattern could take another year to play out. For the moment I am focused on the immediate resistance overhead, the overbought RSI signal and the 200 SMA. Its amazing we don't see more Netflix in feeds, we are up 200% over the past 12 month period. Hope this helps anyone trying to build a structure of the chart for a potential play. PUKA
NASDAQ:NFLX
by PukaCharts
1
Netflix - I Hope You Like Catching KnivesNetflix is that $200 billion company trading at $441.44 that everyone seem to have forgot about, even though it more than doubled in a year. Personally, I think these streaming services are a colossal waste of your time and money. What you're watching is the intellectual equivalent of a Big Mac or a bag of potato chips, and permeated with the things of socialism and atheism. And Netflix is really quite woke and some of the content is unforgivably degenerate. You shouldn't look at warped mirrors and shouldn't cast your eyes on ugly things, or they'll twist your heart and your soul. When it comes to the markets-at-large, I believe we're definitely going to see a correction, rather than a new all time high, which I detail in the two calls below: Nasdaq NQ - A Fundamental and Technical Warning Signal SPX/ES - An Analysis Of The 'JPM Collar' If there's to be a new all time high, let's wait and see what Q4 has in store for us. There's a lot of geopolitical risk in the markets right now. The War between the Russian Federation and NATO via Ukraine is a big one, and a bigger one is the situation in Mainland China with Xi Jinping and the Chinese Communist Party. More or less, I believe the globalists want to topple the Party to have their men from Taiwan go in and take control of China and depose Xi. But I believe Xi is likely to topple the Party himself before that can happen. Big gaps will come that day and things will be very hard because Wall Street won't be in any kind of a risk-on mood. The 24-year persecution against Falun Dafa launched by former Chairman Jiang Zemin and the Shanghai toad faction is something Xi can weaponize to implicate the entire world. Because to do business in Shanghai you've needed the Jiang Faction's approval. To get its approval, you've had to dirty your hands in the persecution and swear vows to the Flag of Blood. And unfortunately, most of the world has wanted what the Party has. Read the story of British billionaire Neil Heywood, who decided to court Jiang's minion Bo Xilai. Bo told Heywood that to prove his loyalty he had to divorce his wife. Heywood refused, and so Bo's wife poisoned him. Heywood died in 2011. Bo Xilai was ruined in Xi's Anti-corruption Campaign in 2013, stripped of all his assets, and sentenced to life in prison in a CCP dungeon. Gambling with the Party is one foot in the grave and the other in prison. Live a virtuous life instead. Moreover, they always say zoom out. Looking at Netflix on the yearly, it's hard to say you're not in the crosshairs of a savage trend reversal. And you can see these daily bars far more clearly on the weekly chart: There might be that fat gap above that you have your eye on, but you're dealing with a very long and very steep ramp in the first place, and this is in a stock which stayed away from a true gap between April and August of '22. Another notable factor is that the FINRA short volume for Netflix, while still notably low, is the highest it's been in three months and posted its first green month since April and only its second of '23. Short volume This is quite notable in light of the fact that June was one of the best months for equities in a long time Netflix doesn't have an ETF, except for a 3x levered ETF on the Mexico exchange. Insignificant except for it fell from 5 pesos to 5 pennies. What's sad is even if it Netflix was to fall 50% in value the thing would still only be worth like 30 cents. % base levered ETFs will kill you. So, here's the call. Netflix printed a proper daily pivot in mid June (you'll have to look yourself because I can't zoom the chart in for the post) and has been flirting inside that range ever since. If she makes a new high I suppose then it's time for more uppy and you can buy calls at the top and feel pretty good. But if she breaks the $420 range the next area to watch is the June low, which Netflix printed on a green candle and on the first day of the month at $393 After that, things might happen and happen fast. If bearish momentum and level breaking manifests, then where I believe it will return to is the $180 to $160 range. For Netflix to have a chance to return above $500, it will have to hold the $162.71 bottom. If you can catch that falling knife you'll feel pretty smart if you can hold the bag for a few months. But if you try to go long before the bottom you'll cut your hands and cut your hands some more.
NASDAQ:NFLXShort
by LordWrymouth
6
Short-term top of NFLX has already appearedShort-term top of NFLX has already appeared This chart shows the weekly candle chart of Netflix's stock over the past year. The graph overlays the recent bottom-up golden section. As shown in the figure, the recent high point of Netflix's stock is exactly 3.618 on the golden section in the figure! The weekly pattern of Naifei stock last week showed a very long up shadow, indicating that the short-term top has already appeared, and the probability of maintaining a relatively high level of major volatility consolidation in the future is likely to be maintained!
NASDAQ:NFLX
by Think_More
Netflix Long will move and reach Target 1 is 1200$,before....New 52-week highs this week, powered by the Dow which, on Friday, extended its streak of positive days to ten — something the blue chip index has not done in almost six years. The Dow has been powered by, among other things, a slew of corporate financial results, particularly from the banks, which showed not only improved profitability, but also strong guidance for the next quarter and full year. I have explained 2 bullish scenarios,1 bearish(worse case). Bullish: higher highs higher lows poc uprising volume increasing capital flow rising In case the Take profits hit, and we have increased volume, I will ride the trend. I will only take profit 10% of the microsoft portfolio and let the profit run. Exit :Stop loss or trend change signal The mid and long term horizon is bullish. If any Profit taking level reaches, and trend continuation is signalizing that the uptrend will be continued, I will increase agressively my positions and take only 10% profits of each position.I will let the prfoits run. This trade setup is only for trend followers and on daily TF.
CAPITALCOM:NFLXLong
by DaveBrascoFX
Keepit easy: NETFLIX long goes to 1156USDNetflix uses jump massively amid account sharing ban Sentiment is cautiously bullish into the next US CPI figure, due tomorrow, and the next FOMC decision due Wednesday. Investors are flocking into call options because no one wants to miss a further rally in stock markets, but no one is sure that the rally will continue given the fact that the Fed has hiked rates at a record speed since last year, leading to the failure of a couple of US regional banks on the way. Across the Atlantic Ocean, the European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to hike its interest rates by 25bp when it meets on Thursday, while the Bank of Japan (BoJ) is expected to keep its policy rate at the negative territory despite the rising inflation. Netflix’s share price could benefit from a mild fall in the US economy. The logic is based on stay-at-home dynamics and fading competitors in tougher economic conditions The risk to this outlook is that unnecessary subscriptions are one of the first expenses that consumers are likely to cut back on. Netflix fell significantly in 2021, but there has been a decent bounce recently. Netflix Stock Forecast By Month Year Mo Min Max Close Total% 2023 Jul 432 511 482 9.55% 2023 Aug 476 536 506 15.00% 2023 Sep 499 563 531 20.68% 2023 Oct 525 591 558 26.82% 2023 Nov 534 602 568 29.09% 2023 Dec 560 632 596 35.45% 2024 Jan 583 657 620 40.91% 2024 Feb 612 690 651 47.95% 2024 Mar 625 705 665 51.14% 2024 Apr 656 740 698 58.64% 2024 May 689 777 733 66.59% 2024 Jun 705 795 750 70.45% 2024 Jul 717 809 763 73.41% 2024 Aug 753 849 801 82.05% 2024 Sep 768 866 817 85.68% 2024 Oct 778 878 828 88.18% 2024 Nov 817 921 869 97.50% 2024 Dec 825 931 878 99.55% 2025 Jan 864 974 919 108.86% 2025 Feb 907 1023 965 119.32% 2025 Mar 914 1030 972 120.91% 2025 Apr 939 1059 999 127.05% 2025 May 986 1112 1049 138.41% 2025 Jun 1035 1167 1101 150.23% 2025 Jul 1087 1225 1156 162.73%
CAPITALCOM:NFLXLong
by DaveBrascoFX
Impact of Netflix Subscription Increase on Stock PriceFirstly, let's acknowledge that as a leading global streaming platform, Netflix has experienced tremendous growth and success over the years. However, the recent announcement of a subscription price increase raises concerns about the company's future profitability and market dynamics. While the subscription increase may seem logical to counter rising content production costs and maintain profitability, it is essential to consider the potential consequences. Historically, price hikes have been met with mixed reactions from subscribers. In some cases, these increases have resulted in customer churn as consumers seek alternative, more affordable streaming options. Given the intensely competitive nature of the streaming industry, with established players like Amazon Prime Video, Hulu, and Disney+, it is essential to assess the potential impact on Netflix's subscriber growth. A possible slowdown in subscriber acquisition or an increase in customer churn could negatively impact the company's revenue and, consequently, its stock price. Therefore, please exercise caution and consider holding off on buying Netflix shares until we have more clarity on the market's response to the subscription increase. Monitoring key metrics such as subscriber growth, churn rate, and competitive positioning will be crucial in making informed investment decisions. As investors, it is our responsibility to assess risks and opportunities objectively. While Netflix remains a dominant player in the streaming industry, the potential repercussions of its subscription increase must be noticed. By adopting a wait-and-see approach, we can better evaluate the long-term implications on the company's financial performance and stock price. In conclusion, I encourage you to exercise caution and closely monitor the developments surrounding Netflix's subscription increase. Holding off on buying Netflix shares until we have more visibility on its impact will allow us to make more informed investment decisions.
NASDAQ:NFLXShort
by bryandowningqln
$NFLX approaching a topI do think there is likely a small move higher coming next week prior to topping. I'm looking for one last push higher into $457, at which time I think is a good time to go short, because after that, the move down should be a big one. Most likely scenario IMO is that we break the previously lows in the $170ish range and form new lows down between $139-$111 before bottoming. All of this should play out within the next 6-9 months. Let's see what happens.
NASDAQ:NFLXShort
by benjihyam
NFLX testing significant overhead resistanceNetflix Inc. (NFLX) testing significant overhead resistance, able to absorb monthly buying pressures. From here (NFLX) can fall back to channel support eliciting losses of 15 - 20% over the following 2 - 3 months. A settlement below a near-term channel bottom would be the signal of this downward trajectory. Inversely, a weekly settlement above the significant overhead resistance occurs, gains of 20% would be anticipated over the following 2 - 5 months time.
NASDAQ:NFLX
by SpecialeAnalysis
NETFLIX is heavily bullish. Buy this pullback.Netflix is trading inside a Channel Up for more than 1 year and is headed for the historic January 20th 2022 Gap of 508.45. Trading Plan: 1. Buy on the current market price. 2. Buy on the MA50 (1d). Targets: 1. 508.45 (Resistance 1 and January 2022 gap). 2. 621.00 (Resistance 2). Tips: 1. The RSI (1d) resembles the late August 2022 consolidation that led to a Higher High. Another bullish indication. Please like, follow and comment!!
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by TradingBrokersView
1
Netflix: Are you still watching…? 👀Well, the question should rather be: “Are you still climbing?” Indeed, Netflix still has got some room left to expand wave 1 in turquoise further upwards, although the next top can be placed anytime now as well. As soon as this is done and dusted, the share should turn downwards to develop wave 2 in turquoise before the next stage of ascent can start. However, there is a 34% chance that Netflix could continue to climb higher than primarily anticipated. In that case, we would expect the share to already develop wave alt.3 in turquoise, meaning that wave alt.1 and alt.2 in turquoise would be finished by now.
NASDAQ:NFLX
by MarketIntel
NETFLIX: Sell conditions emerge. Bearish rest of Summer.Netflix is trading inside a Megaphone pattern since the May 2022 bottom and is approaching the formation's top. The 1D time frame is on green technicals (RSI = 68.406, MACD = 15.870, ADX = 40.286) but just 2-3 weeks ago it was massively overbought, showing that the massive bullish leg is getting exhausted. Be ready to sell and buy back on the 0.382 Fibonacci (TP = 370.00). That will make a technical Megaphone bottom on the HL trendline while approaching or touching the 1D MA200. This is where we will buy again and target the 0.786 Fibonacci (TP = 585.00). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
NASDAQ:NFLXShort
by InvestingScope
I might want to own DisneyI might want to own Disney as my first stock. Now this is why! Are you aware that Netflix stopped allowing users of different IPs to log in and watch the show, even when you had a premium subscription? That means, even if you are from the same household, but one of you has an extended overseas trip, he could be booted out after he has "used up" the overseas button. In some countries, the subscription fee of Disney is 3 times cheaper than Netflix. I'm unsure if that's what Disney offers for the first-time sign-up client, but it is worth noticing. Disney owns some of the biggest brands, such as Marvel, Starwars, 20th Fox Century Studio, and more. Although I'm not optimistic about some of the new Marvel series, there is so much more potential with Disney. So when the Bullish Shark Pattern has confirmed at $87.90, it is great news for me to own my first stock and it might be Disney. What's your take on this?
NYSE:DISLong
by RaynLim
2
Research firm claims Netflix adding new subscribers According to a recent report by a research firm, Netflix has added a significant number of subscribers after their password crackdown. This is excellent news for investors as it shows that Netflix is taking proactive measures to protect its content and attract new subscribers. As we all know, a growing subscriber base is crucial for the success of any streaming service. With this in mind, I encourage you to consider investing in Netflix. The company has a proven track record of success and constantly innovates to stay ahead of the competition. By investing in Netflix, you can be a part of their continued growth and success. I hope you will join me in investing in Netflix and taking advantage of this exciting opportunity. I look forward to your comments. msn.com/en-us/money/technology/netflix-added-subscribers-after-password-crackdown-research-firm-says/ar-AA1cleMG?li=BB16M4hs
NASDAQ:NFLX
by bryandowningqln