We already reached the neckline of the adam & eve on 5/5!A very important update on bitcoin! I would have posted this much sooner, but as murphy's law would have it, just as everything reached the neckline, and the turned back towards the downside, my computer's hard drive failed and the day prior to that I broke the lcd screen on my phone essentially locking me out of my crypto accounts. Phone took 2 days to fix, but my computer has been having all its data backed up on it for the past 5 days in a row and micro center still hasn't finished backing it up yet. So for now I've had to resort to using a lenovo tablet that's memory can't handle more than a webpage at a time and trying to move trendlines around on a chart takes 10 times as long because it keeps moving the wrong trendlines. Because of these technical difficulties, it took me way longer than it should have to go back and reevaluate the double bottom trendlines and come to an exciting and very encouraging realization. The Adam portion of the double bottom's left trendline is actually a notch or 2 higher than the tip of its right trendline. Because of the height difference between the 2 lines, the neckline of the double bottom is actually on more of a downward sloping angle than originally thought. Due to this, the curving pink eve trendline has already converged with the neckline of the double bottom on May 7th, but the price action actually already broke above the neckline 2 days prior to that on Cinco de Mayo. The price action did not stay above the neckline long enough to trigger the double bottom breakout however and is likely now just forming a handle to attach to the eve portion of the double bottom's cup like exterior. Eve seems to be multi tasking taking on the roles of both a cup and handle and a double bottom at the same time. The question now is just how deep and how wide Eve's handle will go before it breaks upward and back above the neckline to trigger both the cup and handle and the double bottom. One guess I have is the longstanding horizontal grey line that has acted both as strong resistance and strong support in the past. It sits just below the 9,000 mark, and that is around the exact same area that the projected price drop of the recently triggered head and shoulders pattern had us dropping to as well. On top of that we can see that the 4hr stoch rsi now has plenty of room to go back upward and that the standard rsi would just then hit oversold conditions upon reaching that zone. All a perfect recipe for a huge rebound bounce. Hopefully you followed my opinion from a few ideas back on limit selling a few pips below the psychological resistance of 10k with a stop buyback set up a pip or 2 above the 1day chart's 200 MA that was sitting as strong back up resistance just above the 10k resistance. If so you'd be sitting pretty right now, and could buy back in comfortably once this handle's downtrend is finally over for a nice profit. It's exactly what I was planning to do myself but having both my trading devices break on me back to back days prevented me from getting my limit sell in on time. Next time I will be better prepared and will always expect the unexpected. One thing to never expect however is for what I share here to be financial advice, for it never is and your financial advisor I am not. Choose your own path and make your own decisions if you choose to base any of your decisions on any of my ideas you do so on your own accord and at your own discretion. I wish you luck and in my next idea I will go into details about the hidden cup and handle fractal I'm seeing throughout many alt coins right now and how it lends feasibility to the entire price action of 2018 from bitcoin being potentially inside one big cup and handle pattern Stay tuned for that one and as always, be excellent to eachother and thanks for reading!
Neckline
Nano breaks current hypothetical neckline of cup&handle patternShould see twice the bullish climb we already have on nano if it has brroken the real neckline of the cup, if not the real neckline may be where the horizontal purple dotted line indicates.
Vechains successful cup & handle still playing out nicelyOne of the select few who actually broke out along with Siacoin and Tron so far. It is taking its time casual to hit its projected targets but getting there none the less.
Ethereum potentially reach neckline of its cup and handle.Keep in mind to the left of the cups left side of its rim is a higher candle wick which could potentially be the real rim of the cup and the cup could be deeper and have yet to have formed its rim...We will know whether or not the current neckline is the real neckline of ethereum's cup when we see large bull volume after we break the neckline within the first 3 consecutive 4hr candle closes above it. If not we have most likely not formed our cup yet and have will thus more dipping to so
Digibyte getting awfully close to breaking neckline.Get entry point on digibyte most likely...keep in mind that there is a higher peak to the left of the cup where a deeper cups rim could form should breaking this neckline fail to initiate a big surge of bullish voluem. That would mean we would then still need to form a handle. If this is the real rim line you will know withing 2-3 4hr candlees closing above it from a big momentum surge.
ETH ROCKET UPDATE .3 (CORRECTION PHASE)Traders,
Here we have ETHUSD D chart.
Kindly check the main idea here below:
Update.1:
Update.2
So update.3
we faced a very strong resistance at 700$ and the candle can't break it for 3 days so we are going to break the neck line as we said at the previous ideas and updates to reach and retest the 500$ levels again.
The last day candle was a bearish engulfing
and hence ETHUSD is quite confirmed to form a doulbe top
we can sell ETHUSD now and aim for a great down fall.
Also break the neck line.
Regards,
Mohsen
Nano next in line to break above handle & flirt w/ cup neckline good entry point here on nano....it wille ventually break above this neckline.
Stellar's Cup & Handle is Nearing its NecklineAn agressive trader would enter here a conservatie one would wait for 1 hr hour close above the neckline. In context with every other cup and handle that have been triggering around the market the risk/reward ratio right now is very good to ladder in fractionally ahead of tim with smart stoplosses....always most wise to wait for the breakout and a 4hr close above though. Keep an eye out and you make your own decisions because this is not financial advice.
Digibyte is above the rim of its picture perfect cup & handledgb has formed a picture perfect cup and handle and has broken above the rim/neckline...if it closes the current 4hr candle above the neckline then I think it's ready for blast off. Also take a look at the volume boost on it on the last 4 hour candle...explosive.
Cup & Handles forming all over cryptomrkt; TRX just broke above!I never thought I'd find myself posting an idea chart for crypto but I have been following all these potential cup and handle patterns forming all across the crypto market closely all day. It seems as if Bitcoin Cash and Zclassic were the first ones to trigger....meanwhile other great alts have been slowly forming their respective handles to their cups all day including, Siacoin, Bitshares, Digibyte, Digital Note, Ripple, Steller, Cardano, Iota, Storm,BNB, and Ethereum just to name a few....most of those cups and handles have completed their handles and are now trying to rise up to break their necklines some still are finishing out their handles....but the first big one of these alts to break the rim/neckline of its cup and handle pattern appears to be none other than Tron! After zclassic,bitcoin gold, and bitcoin cash....Tron is next out of the gate to achieve cup launch which is a great sign for the odds of btc continuing its bull run...the more alts that start triggering their cup and handles the better the odds of us being able to break upward out of the current rising wedge BTC is stuck inside. Here on this chart I have drawn the breakout projection with the appropriate pricepoint on top...not a bad idea to take a ride on the troncycle to the top of the dotted line and then see if fomo or any other factors allow it to continue up any further. For me this will likely be a short term entry and not a long term hold. UYou choose your own path however because this is not meant to be taken as financial advice. I expect many more cup and handles in the alt market to trigger not much longer after tron so keep your eyes out on any cup and handles I may not have noticed and also keep your eyes on the ones I listed above. Thans for reading and good luck
Two potential inverse head and shoulders scenariosThere are two potential inverse H&S scenarios playing out for ethereum. I have overlaid both on the chart, one in blue and the other in green. We are currently in a potential bearish flag (purple parallel line) and it all depends on how this breaks.
Scenario #1 (green): the flag is currently forming at the 0.786 fib retracement since last bottom and top and may be a short term reversal, however this is not supported by the volume (trending down and full of bear activity). If this somehow breaks up then we could be forming a IHS that will probably be rejected at the neckline at first but then may cross on a second attempt. I recommend a buy at this break (on the pullback to retest the neckline) with a reasonable stop below the neckline. This might leave us in the area of $450-470 where I recommend a heard sell and then wait to see what happens. If we break that major outermost trendline then we might be headed to even higher highs but from my previous analysis I still see a leg further down so don't count on it. I'll have more analysis before then.
Scenario #2 (blue): the flag breaks downwards and touched the bottom trendline. Support here will confirm a typically bullish descending right angle broadening wedge where Bulkowski recommends a buy at this third touch with a pretty tight stop below the trendline. We would then likely work our way up to test the neckline, fighting through some resistances along the way, and eventually be rejected at first, drop down, create a right shoulder, retest the neckline, maybe get rejected slightly but then break and head towards the major resistance trendline where once again recommend a hard sell between $440-460. Don't follow the timeline of the drawings exactly, there should be a lot of up and down before the neckline is reached.
We had a very similar set up following the March $7200 bottom for bitcoin where the first push (similar to the last few days) came short of the trendline, consolidated, and the second push touched but then got rejected bringing us to new lows. I expect something similar.
This is up to 5 days out and a lot can happen between now and then and ultimately it relies on bitcoin and what its price action is doing. Both bitcoin and ethereum have room down and we should not yet be at our true bottom.
If we break this bottom trendline somewhere near the stop then don't bother jumping in until we see something more concrete. The market is still bearish so these are short term swing plays.
Peace and love,
crypt0guy
Inverse H&S scenario or wedge bottom or pits of hellBitcoin is currently consolidating in a bearish flag (purple lines). This often marks the halfway point of a move. We are also currently in a descending right angled broadening wedge (dashed lines) which is typically bullish according to Thomas Bulkowski. I don't anticipate a break upwards on this, however if we do then consider taking a position above the top trendline on the pullback with a stop right under that line. My two more likely scenarios are forming an inverse head and shoulders or a further decline to new lows. The most likely trajectory is the bold red line.
Scenario #1: this flag breaks bearish and lands us right near the February bottom of ~$5800. This would also be the bottom trendline of the megaphone shaped descending right angled broadening wedge. It is typically recommended to play these patterns at the third bottom touch and seeing that it is also the $5800 area bottom, we might see a lot of activity in this area and is a strong buy recommendation with a stop just below the bottom trendline of the megaphone. If it bounces up here, then move your stop loss up below every MAJOR consolidation on the way up. I cannot definitively say anything about where a sell target is on this move so my best recommendation is to follow it because this might in fact be the bottom we are looking for. The IHS should terminate near the major bearish trendline that has contained the market since the all time high. We will likely be rejected at first and if you want to protect profits then take them at this trendline and re-enter if we break through.
Scenario #2: flag breaks bearish but IHS fails to form in which case, wherever we get rejected we would be headed to new lows where the next good buying opportunity would be near the support trendline since February 24th. This would also complete the descending wedge pattern forming since then and is also a strong buy opportunity with a stop not to far below that trendline support because if we fail there then who know where we are headed. However, if we break back into the wedge, then consider re-entering. I play conservatively and have no problem losing some potential profits on that.
Peace & Love,
crypt0guy
BTC has yet to close 2 consecutive 4 hour candles above the neckBTC has yet to close 2 consecutive 4 hour candles above the neckline and instead continues to flirt with it and play hard to get. We've bounced under the tline but are still well above the 50EMA as well as the buy sell sign so it's still very much a buyers market see this as an opportunity to buy the dips...with each passing day breaking the neckline shoudl become easier and easier to acvhieve though so far we've yet to close a singlr 1 day candle on the 1 day chart above the neckline. I still am fairly confident and maybe a little more hopeful than my own good that we will soon see a close of at least 3 consecutive 4 hour candles above the neckline, and hopefully 2 consecutive 1 day candles finally confirming a breakout. One downside to a prolonged breakout is since this inverted h& shoudlers is sloping downward the longer it takes to break the neckline the lower the target price spike of the breakout becomes. I'd say if we're still gonna see a breakout it's gonna happen sometimes this upcoming week or at the very latest by the 15th.