Ndxsignals
NDX are you rdy for long ?🧨🧨👌Nasdaq index, did you know that this index has an upward trend in the past two weeks? Well, interestingly, Bitcoin also has and I announced this in my analysis.
Well, how far the index should go up, you should be careful, I won't say here if it goes up.
Two more targets will not be seen, the first target is 15265.42, the index will go up to this price.
Our second target is 16607.19. I am giving you this information based on the method of dirty banks, so don't forget that this index is bullish to see these targets.
NASDAQ broke above the 1W MA100 after a year!Nasdaq (NDX) is extending the bullish trend inside the short-term Channel Up as mentioned on are recent idea two weeks ago (see below):
Today the index reached a very important benchmark as it broke above the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) for the first time in more than 1 year (since the 1W candle of April 25 2022). This was a critical Resistance as it rejected the uptrend back on the week of August 15 2022. With the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) supporting and the Channel Up that started in December intact, we see a Resistance test of the 13730 High as inevitable, so there is your short-term target if you are looking for one.
On the longer term, since the February 02 Higher Highs trend-line broke, the Channel Up can target the November 15 2022 Higher Highs trend-line. A typical +11% rally within this Channel Up can easily target this trend-line, so now we are setting a 14100 long-term target on Nasdaq. Especially if the 1D RSI breaks above its own Lower Highs trend-line.
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nasdaq nalysis 24/04/2023dear traders last setup was respected this key level meant alot so follow the instruction and trade safe wait always for price action to react from each zone good luck
NASDAQ Correction for few days then buy the dipNasdaq (NDX) has gone a long way since we called for a rebound on the 1D MA200:
The recent rally within this Channel Up pattern that started in December (its second Bullish Wave), came to an end after it broke the Inner Higher Lows trend-line in similar fashion as the first wave did on February 17. That pulled-back to the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level before rebounding to a Higher High.
The current 0.5 Fib is on 12460, a little under the March 28 Low and the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which has been basically supporting since mid-January. If the RSI bounces off its Higher Lows trend-line, then the bottom may come earlier. In any case, we will buy this pull-back and target 13400, a potential contact with the 1W MA100 (red trend-line), which rejected the August 16 High.
The best level to buy during this run is on the Higher Lows trend-line of the RSI. A similar Higher Lows trend-line during the January bullish leg (note that both sequences started on a Double Bottom), gave 5 clear buy entries.
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Nasdaq Breakdown analysis 28/03/2023Dear traders nasdaq respected last setup as I said just follow the instructions in my chart and wait for price to react so today as you can see Nasdaq was Bearish and he was respected previous daily candle so I see if price reject zone 12664 it will be high probability to sell target will be 12435 and if he breaks above 12736 it will be chance to look for buy trade safe and good luck
NASDAQ broke below the 4H MA50. Pull-back possible.Nasdaq (NDX) broke and closed a 4H candle below the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in 2 weeks. With the 4H RSI not having touched its Higher Lows trend-line yet, this is an indication that the index might pull-back some more towards the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) - 1D MA50 (red trend-line) Support Cluster (even as low as the Symmetrical Support), before finding the new demand zone for buyers. We are buying this pull-back and target the bottom of Resistance Zone 1 at 12895. The Higher High extension though can be much greater, even as high as 13,200 on the long-term.
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NASDAQ Its weekly Pivot closing determines the long-term trendLast week we looked into Nasdaq (NDX) from a 1D perspective, giving emphasis on the important of the 1D MA200 and 1D MA50 as Supports, giving emphasis on the Pivot Zone involved since September:
It is important now to show you why this level is important for the long-term, this time on the 1W time-frame. As you see on the current chart, despite last week's sell-off, Nasdaq closed its 1W candle exactly on the Weekly Pivot line. This is the line that separates the bullish from the bearish trend. As long as the price closes above it, the trend is bullish and vice versa if it closes below it, the trend is bearish. It is therefore critical to see where the 1W candle will close tomorrow.
The 1W RSI shows us a steady rise, indicating that we are technically outside of the Bear Market. The October - November Double Bottom managed to fil the 1st Gap on Resistance 1 (12885) and if the 1W candle closes above the Pivot line, we expect this pattern to fill the Gap on Resistance 2, but as with our usual low risk approach, we set a Target lower on a potential 1W MA100 (red trend-line) contact at 13360.
If the 1W candle closes below the pivot, expect the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) to be tested and then the lower symmetrical Support at 11280.
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NDX is trading in Supply zone for 2nd week nowThe main resistance is at 12805 to 12900
There is an extension to 13500, in case it wants to extend.
Biden is travelling to Poland on the 20th, and it's a long weekend.
There are some rumours about Poland attacking Belarus before the 25th.
Something big is coming from now till July of this year.
This high in Feb/Mar might be "the high" for the year...
Have a great week
NASDAQ Potential short-term correction. The Double Bottom's testNasdaq (NDX) broke above its 4H MA50 (yellow trend-line) today but following the U.S. CPI (higher than expected) is giving up the initial gains. We are closing the buy we made last week (as shown below) exactly at the short-term bottom on the Higher Lows trend-line in order to secure the short-term profit:
A closing below the 4H MA50 will be the first sell alert, confirmation of which would be a 1D candle close below the 4H MA100 (green trend-line) which has been supporting since January 10. The 1D MACD is already on a Bearish Cross. In that case we expect to see a test of the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) inside the Pivot Zone.
That is the Zone that has made the most lows (rebounds) and highs (rejections) since September 2022. That would be the true test of the Double Bottom pattern formed on December 28, and if it holds, we expect a rebound towards the 1W MA100 (red trend-line).
It is interesting to point out the amazing symmetry of this pattern. As you see, Nasdaq already filled the first Gap on February 02 (from Resistance 1) and the next one is at 13750 (Resistance 2) slightly above the 1W MA100.
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NASDAQ on its 1-month Support. Strong Buy.Nasdaq (NDX) broke yesterday below its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and is testing today the Higher Lows trend-line that started on the January 06 Low. This is the buy entry with the highest short-term probabilities of success. We clearly outlined this solid buy level on the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level in our analysis last week:
As long as the Higher Lows hold, we are on a buy targeting 13400 (+9% rise which has occurred 3 times so far during that pattern). A break below targets the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line).
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NDQ/DJI - Short; Significant Statistical Arbitrage opportunity!While the NDQ/DJI, itself, represents a significant trade opportunity here, even more notably, a number of the index components display remarkably skewed "Greeks"! (For example, APPL-GOOGL, CAT-PEP, TSLA-BA, etc..) E.g., It is a rather strait forward process - at these levels - to assemble baskets of stocks (Long) in each index (Short) with rather juicy, +30%-40% near term (<7 months!) profit targets.
All this is a strait forward process - once one starts looking :-)
p.s. Will provide ideas for some of these stock baskets if/as time allows.
NASDAQ 1st closing above the 1W MA50 in more than 1 year!Nasdaq (NDX) closed last week above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since the week of January 10 2022, so effectively for more than 1 year. On this analysis we diverge from our usual 4H - 1D time-frame analysis such as the recent one below, and look into the bigger picture on the 1W time-frame:
Having broken two weeks ago above the Lower Highs trend-line of the Bear Cycle, this 1W MA50 closing last week is the last of the bullish confirmations we need to validate that the long-term trend has changed.
With the price however rejected on the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level, we may see a short-term pull-back, especially since the 1W RSI hit the top of the Rising Wedge that is holding since March. The Support Zone is now within the 0.236 Fib and the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). If however the index closes above the 0.382 first, we expect a structured continuation of the recovery to at least the 0.786 Fib by the start of Q3. See how almost perfectly the Fib retracement levels match key Resistance and Support lines of the Bear Cycle. The market should treat them as demand/ supply zone on the way up too.
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NASDAQ holding the 1 month patternNasdaq (NDX) is pull-back following Friday's high. This is nothing more than a technical 1-month pattern which, supported by the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) is posting rises around +6% and pull-backs around -3.5%.
The 4H MA50 is currently a little over 11800 and a -3.80% pull-back (max on the pattern) can make exact contact with it tomorrow. With the Higher Lows trend-line just below it, we are willing to buy there and aim at a +5.85% rise at 12530.
The 4H RSI Buy Zone can offer additional insight on the buy entry. A break and closing below the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line), would be a trend change and sell signal towards 10800.
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NASDAQ going neutral for a while, remains under Resistance.News are not the best for Nasdaq (NDX), at least on the short-term, as it got rejected a little over the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) and below the January 05 Lower Highs trend-line (Bear Cycle Resistance) and the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). This marks the end of our buying trade as we called it on our previous post (January 04):
Right now we see, at best a repeat of the November 15 rejection, which turned the index sideways for a month. As long as the Support Zone holds, we will be buying the dip short-term. Below 10500, we will sell and target the -0.118 Fibonacci extension at 10100.
On the bright side, the 1D MACD shows that we are close to completing a bottom process similar to October 13. Still, we will only get long-term bullish above 12500 and the 0.618 Fibonacci, despite the fact that the 1D MA200 is the obvious long-term Resistance, unbroken since April 05. The reason is that with the Resistance Zone above it, we consider the Triangle area within the 0.618 Fib and the Bear Cycle's Lower Highs trend-line, a 'No-trade Zone'.
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NASDAQ Don't look beyond this confirmed signalsNasdaq (NDX) hit last week and is so far holding the top of the 10500 - 10750 Support Zone, that has been in effect ever since the October 13 Bottom. As you see, the index has been under the Bear Market's Lower Highs trend-line since January 05, so essentially for a full year. The last rejection on it (December 13) was also made just below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level from the previous (Lower High).
This practically keeps the index trapped and currently neutral. A confirmed buy signal would be a break above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), targeting again the 1 year Lower Highs trend-line, while a confirmed sell signal would be a break below 10500, targeting the -0.118 Fibonacci extension (10110).
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NASDAQ rejected on the 1 year Resistance! How bearish is that?The Nasdaq index (NDX) rose yesterday aggressively after the lower than expected U.S. CPI but got rejected exactly on the 1 year Lower Highs trend-line (started on January 05), just below the 0.618 Fibonacci, as we showed on our analysis 2 weeks ago:
As you see, this is the exact cluster level (Lower Highs on 0.618 Fib) that the Highs of March 29 and August 16 were rejected. As a result, this doesn't alter our long-term perspective which continues to be based on break-outs. The 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) has been intact since April 05 and if the price breaks above it, we will turn bullish again, targeting the 1W MA100 (red trend-line), which rejected the August 16 High.
As long as the price is below the Lower Highs trend-line, we will be targeting the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) where a candle close below will bring more selling pressure towards the Nov - Oct Lows.
It is worth mentioning though that the 4H RSI pattern that has been consistent in the previous Lower Lows - Lower Highs sequence these past 12 months, turned upwards (blue circle) instead of downwards. This may be an early signal that there is a long-term trend shift from bearish to bullish.
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NASDAQ Almost 1 month trapped within the 1D MA50 - MA100Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading sideways since November 10, with the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) as Support and the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) as Resistance. On a wide scale, this technically looks like the previous two market tops on the January 05 Lower Highs trend-line, and the 1D RSI illustrates that clearly. However, the Jul 19 - 28 consolidation within the 1D MA50/100 zone, did make a higher extension, so it is best to stay on the sidelines until we have a clear, confirmed break-out signal.
As long as the price remains within the 1D MA50 and 1D MA100, short-term traders can scalp the range. Since the January 05 Lower Highs trend-line is getting closer and closer to the 1D MA100, there is high risk in taking a buy break-out trade there. As the 1D MA200 is unbroken since April 05, it is best to take the break-out buy if a 1D candle closes above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which would be also a break above the 0.618 Fibonacci level and target the 1W MA100 (red trend-line), which would be also a test of the 13,760 August 16 High.
On the other hand, a 1D candle close below the 1D MA50, would be bearish targeting 10850 and quite possibly aiming at a new (Lower) Low.
Notice that the 0.618 Fibonacci level is a critical Resistance level as it is where Nasdaq topped both on the March 29 and August 16 Lower Highs.
Also notice that the 1W MA100 is where the August 16 High was rejected.
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NASDAQ 20 days trapped within the 1D MA50 - MA100Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading sideways since November 10, with the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) as Support and the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) as Resistance. On a wide scale, this technically looks like the previous two market tops on the January 05 Lower Highs trend-line, and the 1D RSI illustrates that clearly. However, the Jul 19 - 28 consolidation within the 1D MA50/100 zone, did make a higher extension, so it is best to approach this with our usual break-out strategy.
A 1D candle closing below the 1D MA50, would be bearish targeting 10850 and quite possibly aiming at a new (Lower) Low. On the other hand, a closing above the 1D MA100, will be treated as a short-term bullish extension signal to the 0.618 Fibonacci level and the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which is where Nasdaq topped both on March 29 and August 16.
A closing above the 1D MA200 would translate into a break above the January 05 Lower Highs trend-line, in which case, we will target the 1W MA100 (red trend-line), which rejected the uptrend last time on the August 16 High.
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NASDAQ setting course for 12500Nasdaq (NDX) completed its short-term technical pull-back, as it held the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) after it was rejected on the 1D MA100 (green trend-line). This doesn't change our outlook presented two weeks ago:
This profit-taking retracement was part of the greater plan, as the index remains within the tolerance levels of the previous counter-trend rebounds of the 2022 Bear Cycle, all of whom hit the Lower Highs trend-line that started on January 05.
As you see denoted by the green circle, every break above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) made a pull-back to test it as a Support shortly after. In terms of RSI , it appears that relative to the rallies of mid-March and July-August, we are just past the Red Flag. Now the minimum target on this bullish sequence is the Jan Lower Highs trend-line, that most likely will make a match on the 0.618 Fibonacci (as both previous rallies) and the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) around the 12500 mark.
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NASDAQ Small technical pull-back part of the plan.Nasdaq (NDX) is on a short-term technical pull-back after it was rejected on the 1D MA100 (green trend-line). This doesn't change our outlook presented last week:
This profit-taking retracement is part of the greater plan, as the index remains within the tolerance levels of the previous counter-trend rebounds of the 2022 Bear Cycle, all of whom hit the Lower Highs trend-line that started on January 05.
As you see denoted by the green circle, every break above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) made a pull-back to test it as a Support shortly after. In terms of RSI, it appears that relative to the rallies of mid-March and July-August, we are where the Red Flag is. After the 1D MA50 pull-back is completed, the minimum target on this bullish sequence is the Jan Lower Highs trend-line, that most likely will make a match on the 0.618 Fibonacci (as both previous rallies) and the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line).
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Bullish NASDAQ WOLFE WAVE SETUPThere is also a bullish wolfe wave setting up on the 4hr and 3D time-frames which all can be used for supporting evidence that a strong rally is nearing. The projected target is calculated by extending a linear line between pivot 1 and 4 and projecting the line. This is represented as the line perforated line, as shown in the chart. If we extend a vertical line from the apex to the perforated target line, the time and price meet on Nov 29, 2022 at 14400. This is a very aggressive time and price target; however, there is a gap open at $13225 and it will most likely fill this year, so I expect the midterm elections along with tax loss selling and christmas rally into january effect will all contribute to a strong rally. I hope the analysis serves you well and you remain on the right side of the market.