Moving Averages
$SPY December 20, 2024AMEX:SPY December 20, 2024
15 Minutes.
As expected base being formed after brutal fall.
Still in downtrend as below all moving averages.
We can see oscillator divergence.
We have multiple hits around 586 levels.
If break. i see more 10$ downside towards 576 levels.
To test 100 average support 240 minutes chart.
No longs. Yet.
$MSTR - The Rocket Takes OffHere is the daily chart for $MSTR. With its recent inclusion in NASDAQ:QQQ , the stock appears poised for further growth.
From a technical perspective, the current triangle formation suggests potential downside movement toward $368, where the price may test the lower boundary of the pattern. Following this, I anticipate a bullish breakout to the upside.
The resistance near the previous all-time high (ATH) is unlikely to hold for long, and I expect NASDAQ:MSTR to surpass this level in its upward trajectory.
Delta Air Lines Has Pulled BackDelta Air Lines has been ripping since the summer, and some traders may see an opportunity in its latest pullback.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the gap on November 6 after Donald Trump was confirmed as next U.S. President. DAL retraced that move to hold its election-day high on Wednesday. Has old resistance become new support?
Second, prices are trying to hold the rising 50-day simple moving average (SMA). That may suggest its intermediate-term trend is pointing higher.
Next, the 50-day SMA had a “golden cross” above the 200-day SMA in October. That may suggest its long-term trend has turned bullish.
Finally, stochastics are rebounding from an oversold condition.
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MASTERCARD Huge sell signal emerged, hit 1D MA50 after 4 months.Mastercard (MA) has been trading within a 2-year Channel Up that has given us very accurate trades. Our previous signal (April 02, see chart below), was a sell right on the pattern's top that easily hit our $440 Target:
Once more we see a long-term Top on this stock as the price almost priced a Higher High and on yesterday's Fed fueled pull-back, it hit its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in 4 months (since August 06).
Apart from that, the 1D RSI has been on a Bearish Divergence of Lower Highs (against the Higher Highs of the Bullish Leg/ dotted Channel Up) since October 18. All such previous Bearish Divergences within this 2-year Channel Up, have started the Bearish Legs (red ellipses) of the pattern, which hit at least their 0.382 Fibonacci retracement levels.
As a result, we have a high probability short signal at our hands, targeting $495.00 (Fib 0.382).
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NILI.V Possible Trend Reversal & Entry - First AnalysisNILI.V (Surge Battery Metals)
Candlesticks:
This past week NILI.V closed Thursday with a dragonfly doji candle, followed by a bullish engulfing on friday. The last time a dragonfly doji appeared was on September 9th, which marked a trend reversal that resulted in a 90% in price over 45 days.
Technical Indicators:
MACD on the daily is about to crossover indicating a possible shift in momentum from bearish to bullish.
Possible Entry:
looking for a confirmation on the trend reversal on Monday with a candle closing above the downward channel that Nili has been trading in over the past couple weeks. If that happens I will take a long position and be looking for profit taking opportunities at .40, .45, and .50 cent price ranges.
I am new to trading and this is my first analysis. Let me know what you think and if I got anything wrong here, any feedback is appreciated!
$SOL Short-Term Pain Ahead CRYPTOCAP:SOL price broke to the downside of the 50D SMA
Bearish Crossing from the 20D MA ahead.
Needs to hold critical support at $190 / .786 Fib
Another bearish day could dump CRYPTOCAP:SOL to $175 / .618 , and if that doesn’t hold the move should finish at $165 / 50% level.
RSI shows more downside for confluence.
Ethereum Fibonacci Retracement SetupThis ethereum setup I use is on the 15 minute chart. The signals are SMA crossovers of the 13/55. And the moving average plots are using Golden Ratio numbers to forecast near term price movements. Lastly I use a sessions indicator to show the New York & Tokyo sessions. As well as a tick value indicator to show me how much the tick value of the futures contract for Ethereum.
Crossover Signals:
Long - SMA 13 > SMA 55
Short - SMA 13 < SMA 55
Golden Ratio Plots (SMA):
111 - White
233 - Red
610 - Green
Timeframe :
15 minute
Bitcoin: Hold now, buy laterHello,
Bitcoin is a clear uptrend as the price is above the moving averages, as the picture on the left side of the chart shows. Technical indicators like Ultimate Oscillator, ADX, MOM, and MACD are bullish. However, RSI indicators are overbought, which means Bitcoin might go higher, but there'll be a better time to buy when the market corrects the overbought conditions. I hold my Bitcoins, but I won't buy any more until the upcoming correction, which might come soon.
Regards,
Ely
SQ a buy in 2025?SQ is coming out of a long phase of base building that has lasted several years and has repeatedly failed at resistance around the 90 dollar mark. The stock is now at precisely this level, which coincides with the AVWAP from the ATH. It is questionable whether the share can hold above this level or fall below it again.
Optimized MACD Study with AlertsThis Pine Script study enhances the classic MACD indicator with additional functionality, making it a powerful tool for traders who want actionable and visually intuitive signals on their charts. It is designed to help traders identify BUY and SELL opportunities with customizable alerts, along with visual labels for better chart interpretation.
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$TOTAL Crypto Market Cap Signals End of CorrectionCALLING IT NOW 🚨
THAT WAS THE BOTTOM OF THE DIP 💯
✅ Bounced beautifully off the 50DMA
✅ RSI is fully reset to when the Trump Pump started
✅ Volume has turned bullish to signal trend reversal
✅ The Crypto CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL Market Cap needs to stay above 3.2 - 3.3T
Some clustered days around this region will signal even more strength.
🚀 3.6 - 3.7T reclaims bullish trend.
SANTA CLAUS IS COMING TO TOWN 🎅
amd isnt looking so hot. Important zone now!if AMD doesnt hold this level, the 200 ema on the week chart, we could be in a much stronger bear market on AMD. watch this level coul dbea good key level for options trading! the indicators are saying that its about to bounce but price and volume are more important. so we will see some time next week!
BTC/USDT Bearish Momentum and Key Support ZonesBitcoin continues to face bearish pressure after being rejected at the resistance zone between $107,000. While occasional reversals may occur, the overall trend suggests further downside potential.
The last strong support area lies between $80,000 and $71,000, which could act as a critical zone for buyers to regain control. Traders should closely monitor this range for potential bounce opportunities or further breakdowns.
CYCLE 4 | CME GAP: Bull Cycle Period First Major Pull Back?Quick post to address BTCs expected potential first major pull back into this bull run period...
BULL MARKET PULL BACKS
Historically, BTC during its bull market enjoys pull back which ranged from 15% to as much as 30%-40% in prior markets. This is essential for trader participants in the market to take profits, allow BTC to retest low levels and prove new heights are sustainable before ranging to new higher price levels.
The first pull back historically for BTC post the start of the 'Bull Run' phase of BTCs 4 year cycle is traditionally the largest pull back opportunity and historically been the best short term buying opportunity in the Bull Run (NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE).
We can expect a 30-40% correction for this pull back based on historic bull market period examples (Let me know in the comments below if you would like me to detail consistent price behaviour during BTC bull run periods in a future post).
ARE WE AT THIS POINT NOW OF THE CYCLE? WHAT ARE THE INDICATORS SAYING?
As highlighted by the RED arrow on the chart, a number of the indicators like to monitor on the weekly chat are suggesting bearish divergences and fading momentum exists with the current price action. This is calling for a cooling off period of the market.
CME GAP
Historically, BTC has had a tendency to want to 'close' open gap, created by weekend trading of BTC that does not align with equities that follow the traditional 'No Trading' over the weekend policy of Traditional Financial instruments. Hence crypto ETFs which align with these policies (such as the CME Futures chart as seen in this chart) can create 'GAP' between the open (Monday) and close (Friday) candles.
To understand CME gaps, please take the time to review the details discussion in the earlier post.
The orange BOX shows the below CME gap target that BTC price may range towards to close.
NOTE: this box has been listed as Partially Closed as the open Monday candle of the gap did go below before rising during the weekly candle but did no dip past the close of the previous weekly candle.
21W EMA & 20W SMA
Historically, a fully developed healthy bull market for BTC has required periodic retesting and holding of these moving averages. A close of the CME gap at this point of the market would also satisfy this historic trend for BTC.
ORANGE TREND LINE
Bears if eager to continue the 'close the CME gap' trend will need to convince the market by first exceeding the orange trend line. Currently this allows BTC to complete a 10 to 12% correction while also taking the price below the key psychological 100K price level, without phasing the bulls conviction to charger higher.
* Holding the Orange Trend Line Scenario: we want to see price bounce and conviction from the bulls to push BTC to higher highs. The goal for Bears would be to achieve the measured move up to 180K. This would most potentially shorted the bull run (time prospective) and potentially cap our ATH for this cycle early; creating a distribution zone similar to the 2021 cycle top.
* Breaking below the Orange Trend Line Scenario: If we break the Orange Trend Line then Bulls will concede ground to the MA levels (allowing the CME gap to also close). Bulls will write this off as a market reset and holding support at these levels will entice Traders to take positions needed to drive BTC up sustainably to the next higher level(s).
Losing the MAs would ask serious questions to the intent of BULLs and the sustainability of the market moving forward this bull run.....
Ethereum Fibonacci Strategy SetupThis ethereum setup I use is on the 15 minute chart. The signals are SMA crossovers of the 13/55. And the moving average plots are using Golden Ratio numbers to forecast near term price movements. Lastly I use a sessions indicator to show the New York & Tokyo sessions. As well as a tick value indicator to show me how much the tick value of
the futures contract for Ethereum.
Crossover Signals:
Long - SMA 13 > SMA 55
Short - SMA 13 < SMA 55
Golden Ratio Plots (SMA):
111 - White
233 - Red
610 - Green
Timeframe:
15 minute
$SPY December 19, 2024AMEX:SPY December 19, 2024
15 Minutes.
The breakdown below 598 was expected to be bad. But this was brutal.
Chart completely messed up.
Needs days to align again.
There was a 30$ difference in daily between 9- and 100-day averages. Hence, I was very hesitant in going longs.
No trade day today for me.
Any retracement up to 598 is a sell.
As can be seen all bars had close near bottom. Very rare to get chart like this.
Jubilant Ingrevia Ltd Jubilant Ingrevia Ltd NSE:JUBLINGREA is currently in an uptrend with bullish technical indicators. While the immediate trend is positive, watch for a pullback near ₹770 for better risk-reward opportunities. If the stock sustains above ₹860, it could open the way for a fresh rally.
The price is now consolidating near recent highs. Recent volumes have increased significantly, especially during the upward movement. This signals strong institutional or buying participation.
BTC $95,105 is as low as it gets!BTC Analysis (3D) 12/18/2024
It's likely one of these two scenarios for BTC plays out.
Depending on the FOMC it could get invalidated but this is what I'm seeing on the charts at the moment.
• Slow grind to 120-130k
or
• Retrace slightly to about 95K where we almost certainly will get SOME bounce, as that is where the preliminary fib line lies on the DFR as well as an anchored VWAP and it matches with the anchored Volume Profile (Im positive one of the MAs is also in this range).
If this level holds, we will most likely create a new ATH at $120,000+
Thoughts?