Rally after FED announcement - US WatchlistStocks reversed sharply higher yesterday after the Fed made its policy announcement. Bulls took over and pushed the markets higher.
The Fed said it will halt pandemic-driven asset purchases sooner than expected. The central bank now plans to decrease purchases by $30 billion per month, leading to a likely halt end of first quarter 2022.
That sets the stage for three interest-rate hikes in 2022, to help counter inflation. This would boost the Fed's benchmark overnight lending rate to a range of 1.5%-1.75% vs. the current 0%-0.25% range.
The major market indices could gain significant ground resulting in a bullish Follow-Through-Day under heavy volume yesterday. That could indicate that the market is back in a confirmed uptrend — swing traders can start again to add positions to their portfolio.
However and as always, we need to take a careful look at this first follow-through-day after a significant market correction. When and only when you see traction in your own portfolio, then you should consider to get more aggressive again.
Stocks in our model portfolio ar making decent gains and there is a good number of new stocks meeting our stringent criteria for our watchlist.
Here is the link to our model portfolio and the watchlist for momentum swing traders:
de.tradingview.com
Momentumstrategy
Potential Crab Forming 🦀GOLD - Potential Crab Forming up to strong supply zone , HUGE imbalances left over from the last week of November and currently price is creating a small ascending channel and is at a good level of confluence for a pullback to build more liquidity playing from the DL to then break highs and continue the bullish weekly momentum!
Let me know your thoughts!
** Disclaimer ***
These ideas I never trade until the end target with my initial lots, I focused on high probable entries with higher lots and use a specific partial taking strategy giving me a very high win rate and take most of my profits very early, I only leave a small % of my capital to run the entire trade. On the flip side im constantly monitoring LTF momentum and will close early if things change, these analysis's are for research purposes only.
Potential Shark Forming 🦈🦈USOIL - Potential swing down to the weekly support line covering off all imbalance etc before the bulls continue, (This move will keep price in bullish structure).
I'm seeing a bearish channel forming on the hourly and price location lines up with good confluence for a potential swing down to those levels, we also have multiple BOS.
I do have 2 better entries above the trapped liquidity but I'm not sure if price will break this line yet, if so I'll take the loss and re-enter with confirmation.
Let me know your thoughts!
** Disclaimer ***
These ideas I never trade until the end target with my initial lots, I focused on high probable entries with higher lots and use a specific partial taking strategy giving me a very high win rate and take most of my profits very early, I only leave a small % of my capital to run the entire trade. On the flip side im constantly monitoring LTF momentum and will close early if things change, these analysis's are for research purposes only.
US Market Sentiment - WatchlistThe stock market's negative action yesterday marked the eighth time since Nov. 22 in which the Nasdaq fell 1% or more. And in most of those occasions, the index saw volume increase which suggests heavy institutional distribution. Also, many of the former leaders in the growth sector are subject to heavy institutional selling and many of them are in their own bear market cycle, being down 40% or more from their 2021 highs.
All eyes are on the Federal Reserve today (Wednesday) when their new guidance on rates will be disclosed. The Fed funds rate has stood at 0% to 0.25% since the spring of 2020, when the coronavirus grew into a pandemic.
We expect even more market volatility due to this announcement coming up.
With our risk model on RED and the performance of stocks on our watchlist being average at best, we do not yet recommend to get aggressive by any means. It is much better to take only very few small pilot positions or sit and wait 100% in cash until market conditions improve again.
Here is the link for our updated watchlist for momentum swing traders:
www.tradingview.com
Bat Complete, Expecting Bullish PushGBPJPY - Expecting a bullish push to build liquidity before price potentially breaks the strong demand zone at the WL
** Disclaimer ***
These ideas I never trade until the end target with my initial lots, I focused on high probable entries with higher lots and use a specific partial taking strategy giving me a very high win rate and take most of my profits very early, I only leave a small % of my capital to run the entire trade. On the flip side im constantly monitoring LTF momentum and will close early if things change, these analysis's are for research purposes only.
Potential Shark Forming 🦈🦈US30 - Nice looking shark forming that lands in a very nice PRZ. We've had multiple BOS price is currently pulling back from small LQ zone, once price breaks current level It should drop nicely towards the D point.
** Disclaimer ***
These ideas I never trade until the end target with my initial lots, I focused on high probable entries with higher lots and use a specific partial taking strategy giving me a very high win rate and take most of my profits very early, I only leave a small % of my capital to run the entire trade. On the flip side im constantly monitoring LTF momentum and will close early if things change, these analysis's are for research purposes only.
Potential Shark Forming 🦈🦈GBP/NZD - Potential Shark forming, nice mitigation from a 3H OB and then entering on a LTF BOS/momentum! Looking for a swing to the D point tapping into another nice PRZ for a potential reversal!
Let me know your thoughts!?
** Disclaimer ***
These ideas I never trade until the end target with my initial lots, I focused on high probable entries with higher lots and use a specific partial taking strategy giving me a very high win rate and take most of my profits very early, I only leave a small % of my capital to run the entire trade. On the flip side im constantly monitoring LTF momentum and will close early if things change, these analysis's are for research purposes only.
Potential Shark Forming 🦈🦈GOLD - Potential shark trading with HTF momentum, we have trapped liquidity below and a very large imbalance zone that needs to be filled landing on the D point of the shark, I'm looking for a LTF pullback in a zone of confluence before potentially entering this short down to the PRZ.
Let me know your thoughts!
** Disclaimer ***
These ideas I never trade until the end target with my initial lots, I focused on high probable entries with higher lots and use a specific partial taking strategy giving me a very high win rate and take most of my profits very early, I only leave a small % of my capital to run the entire trade. On the flip side im constantly monitoring LTF momentum and will close early if things change, these analysis's are for research purposes only
Potential Crab Forming 🦀GER30 - Potential Daily Crab Forming, nice .886 tap on the Daily Pullback.
Price has reacted the same on London open for the past 2 days I'm expecting a small fakeout of the LTF momentum line but then price to drop and continue to break the lows. (Price is currently sitting at the weekly BOS)
Let me know your thoughts!
** Disclaimer ***
These ideas I never trade until the end target with my initial lots, I focused on high probable entries with higher lots and use a specific partial taking strategy giving me a very high win rate and take most of my profits very early, I only leave a small % of my capital to run the entire trade. On the flip side im constantly monitoring LTF momentum and will close early if things change, these analysis's are for research purposes only
Potential Crab Forming 🦀NAS100, Got a nice entry on the shift bar earlier, I'm hoping to swing and complete the crab pattern, nice little double top followed by and IFC before a BOS/momentum break with perfect entry!
let me know your thoughts!
** Disclaimer ***
These ideas I never trade until the end target with my initial lots, I focused on high probable entries with higher lots and use a specific partial taking strategy giving me a very high win rate and take most of my profits very early, I only leave a small % of my capital to run the entire trade. On the flip side im constantly monitoring LTF momentum and will close early if things change, these analysis's are for research purposes only.
Potential Shark Forming 🦈🦈USOIL - Potential Shark Forming, looking for a nice pullback into the daily supply zone, theres some strong liquidity here and some nice imbalances to fill, if price reaches this level It's a very PRZ to look for HTF continuations
Let me know your thoughts!
NOTE: Price has just hit some liquidity so a pullback is likely before the drop, keep lots low, this entry location isn't "Ideal" does have some confluence but its not an A+ entry, so may hit some DD. I have a near perfect entry with a lot more confluence above if price decides to rise a little more we get back in an crush the pips.
** Disclaimer ***
These ideas I never trade until the end target with my initial lots, I focused on high probable entries with higher lots and use a specific partial taking strategy giving me a very high win rate and take most of my profits very early, I only leave a small % of my capital to run the entire trade. On the flip side im constantly monitoring LTF momentum and will close early if things change, these analysis's are for research purposes only.
Crab Almost Complete 🦀GBP/AUD - Crab Almost complete, D point landing on the .886 of the Daily uptrend pullback (Very nice PRZ here lots of confluence)
Price may tap into the imbalance below before the continuation, it just made a fake move to the upside from the .786 i'll be waiting for price to hit my zone and watching for reversals on the LTF
Let me know your thoughts!
** Disclaimer ***
These ideas I never trade until the end target with my initial lots, I focused on high probable entries with higher lots and use a specific partial taking strategy giving me a very high win rate and take most of my profits very early, I only leave a small % of my capital to run the entire trade. On the flip side im constantly monitoring LTF momentum and will close early if things change, these analysis's are for research purposes only.
Potential Shark Forming 🦈🦈USDCHF - Potential shark, looking to short against the trend with the Bias of an .886 pullback on the weekly TF completing this shark/filling imbalances/mitigating OB's before then looking for a potential bullish continuation.
Let me know your thoughts!?
** Disclaimer ***
These ideas I never trade until the end target with my initial lots, I focused on high probable entries with higher lots and use a specific partial taking strategy giving me a very high win rate and take most of my profits very early, I only leave a small % of my capital to run the entire trade. On the flip side im constantly monitoring LTF momentum and will close early if things change, these analysis's are for research purposes only.
Potential Shark Forming 🦈🦈Waiting for a smaller pullback after a potential trap move towards the momentum line, then I'm looking to go long to the OB zone (There will be some resistance here) then price should break and continue towards the 1.13 then the Daily Supply zone.
** Disclaimer ***
These ideas I never trade until the end target with my initial lots, I focused on high probable entries with higher lots and use a specific partial taking strategy giving me a very high win rate and take most of my profits very early, I only leave a small % of my capital to run the entire trade. On the flip side im constantly monitoring LTF momentum and will close early if things change, these analysis's are for research purposes only.
Potential Deep Crab 🦀GBPCAD - Potential Deep Crab Forming, price broke structure on the daily TF and is forming a bullish ascending channel which price keeps rejecting from on the HTF.
I've entered based on my LTF analysis confirmations.
The D point of the Crab also lands on a very nice potential PRZ which is also a .786 pullback of the weekly TF
Let me know your thoughts!
** Disclaimer ***
These ideas I never trade until the end target with my initial lots, I focused on high probable entries with higher lots and use a specific partial taking strategy giving me a very high win rate and take most of my profits very early, I only leave a small % of my capital to run the entire trade. On the flip side im constantly monitoring LTF momentum and will close early if things change, these analysis's are for research purposes only.
potential Butterfly 🦋 US30 - Potential Butterfly, price is ranging on the 3HH, if this level breaks ill be looking for scalps up towards .886 (Just under the Daily support level) Before then looking to take US30 short with the Bias of a downtrend continuation.
Very nice PRZ up there with lots of confluence, right now PA is ranging, I'm waiting for LTF confirmation to enter scalps (Buy or sells)
Ideally I want to see a pullback before scalping long towards the daily high before then selling.
Let me know your thoughts!
** Disclaimer ***
These ideas I never trade until the end target with my initial lots, I focused on high probable entries with higher lots and use a specific partial taking strategy giving me a very high win rate and take most of my profits very early, I only leave a small % of my capital to run the entire trade. On the flip side im constantly monitoring LTF momentum and will close early if things change, these analysis's are for research purposes only.
Potential Shark Forming 🦈🦈USOIL - Looking to go long today, price right now is in a trap zone (Buying at current level is risky) Unless you want to use a larger SL.
I want to see a false move to the downside tapping the WL (Or getting close) before buying in (For the perfect scenario)
It's a very nice PRZ with lots of confluence, we also have bullish PA on the HTF/trapped liquidity above.
Will be USOIL for buys at the 66.70 level!
** Disclaimer ***
These ideas I never trade until the end target with my initial lots, I focused on high probable entries with higher lots and use a specific partial taking strategy giving me a very high win rate and take most of my profits very early, I only leave a small % of my capital to run the entire trade. On the flip side im constantly monitoring LTF momentum and will close early if things change, these analysis's are for research purposes only.
Potential Shark 🦈 & Deep 🦀 NAS100 - Daily shark and deep crab both landing in strong demand zone (Will be a good zone to look for buys), I'm waiting for price to pullback with LTF confirmation before looking to potentially short NAS. (I may also scalp long to the fib levels if we get confirmation/LTF breakout to the upside.
Let me know your thoughts!
** Disclaimer ***
These ideas I never trade until the end target with my initial lots, I focused on high probable entries with higher lots and use a specific partial taking strategy giving me a very high win rate and take most of my profits very early, I only leave a small % of my capital to run the entire trade. On the flip side im constantly monitoring LTF momentum and will close early if things change, these analysis's are for research purposes only.
Potential Shark Forming 🦈🦈EURCAD - Potential shark forming, trading away from the daily/weekly high (This is a retracement so be careful with your lots)
On the LTF we've had multiple BOS/confirmations for the short, the D point also lands in a very strong PRZ for the potential trend continuation!
LMK your thoughts!
Potential Shark 🦈 & 🦇GBPAUD - Looking for a a break in momentum and a redistribution phase back at the daily low, if this breaks ill be looking to swing this short towards the D points of the Bat/Shark (Monthly low)
Monthly is bullish so I don't expect price to close below.
LMK your thoughts!
** Disclaimer ***
These ideas I never trade until the end target with my initial lots, I focused on high probable entries with higher lots and use a specific partial taking strategy giving me a very high win rate and take most of my profits very early, I only leave a small % of my capital to run the entire trade. On the flip side im constantly monitoring LTF momentum and will close early if things change, these analysis's are for research purposes only.
Potential Shark Forming 🦈🦈USOIL - Trading away from the Daily and previous monthly low, price tapped perfectly into our OB (Yesterdays analysis) the .886 pullback of the weekly PA.
I'm looking to complete this shark pattern to cover previous imbalances before price potentially continues the monthly DT. (Weekly still bullish)
(We may get a pullback before the main push, I've entered early as we had a LTF BOS) if we get a pullback before a push i'll enter again with LTF confirmation!
Lmk your thoughts!
** Disclaimer ***
These ideas I never trade until the end target with my initial lots, I focused on high probable entries with higher lots and use a specific partial taking strategy giving me a very high win rate and take most of my profits very early, I only leave a small % of my capital to run the entire trade. On the flip side im constantly monitoring LTF momentum and will close early if things change, these analysis's are for research purposes only.
Shark 🦈 To PRZ USDCHF - Shark down to PRZ, trading with momentum here, multiple BOS with bearish PA, we should get some heavy rejection once price hits the D point (very strong demand zone)
Let me know your thoughts!
** Disclaimer ***
These ideas I never trade until the end target with my initial lots, I focused on high probable entries with higher lots and use a specific partial taking strategy giving me a very high win rate and take most of my profits very early, I only leave a small % of my capital to run the entire trade. On the flip side im constantly monitoring LTF momentum and will close early if things change, these analysis's are for research purposes only.