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Momentumstrategy

Believe in the Gods! -->🔱--< But do not count on them for help Dollar Bulls Take the Win? We have dropped below our Last Daily Zone at 1.09219. I have been talking about dollar bulls Since we had FOMC data coincide with our extreme highs at 1.1095. A Coincidence? I thought this may be Suspicious! And it turned out that way. That was a good tell for the beginning of this descent. FOMC was last Wednesday and dollar bulls have blessed swing traders with 190 Pips in 1 Week. Everyone says EU is Weak in comparison to the # of pips it gives to most other pairs... It Doesn't give that much , heh 😉. It Respects level's very nicely! Very clean price actionnn. From a Technical Standpoint.. As Long as we stay below 1.09211, only sells for the rest of week. The Price I like are 1.0897 as the next Pit stop. Ultimately with Friday's daily candle I'm liking 1.0866 Weekly Level as mentioned in previous publishing's. Also I like the Daily level just beyond that at 1.08535. As long as NY and our last remaining 4Hr Candle prints below 1.09219, Sells are fantastic. I would prefer that we waste no time and close below 1.09112 4Hr zone. Trading : Trading today went quite well. Looking at my data.. my Thursdays are typically good. --<< I've seen that remark impact my trading psychology before. The brain is a wonder. Managing trading psychology is a large part of trading. Given that I am profitable, I still cut my winners a bit short sometimes. Why? Out of Fear. Complicated.. But for now we must stay consistent and discplined to the system. the trading plan. 3 Setups today.. The First one I ran because i was scared and closed for B.E. It would've been a nice +5 Pip scalp. The Second was a great. Just closed a little early. The third was a great! Closed a little early once again. I can complain because green is green. Profit is profit and we must learn and move onto the next day. On Thursday's.. 1. The Market sets itself up early in the week. By the time Thursday comes around, the weekly candle is ready to extend itself in the preceding direction from Monday/Tuesday Etc. 2. New and Struggling Traders are Tired and Exhausted from trading since Monday. They begin to make mistakes and become sloppy with their execution. Leading to larger losses than are necessary. I have been there.
Short
by ShrewdCatfx
[ CPI ] : A Catalyst for Optimism? 🏳‍🟧‍⬛‍🟧- The Weekly candle pulled back up after creasing last week's low - The Daily Candle yesterday closed in between our Daily Level's 1.09715 and 1.09495 - This was good for bulls as I mentioned because we closed above 1.09495 - Either way Eurusd was still technically inside our overarching Daily range between 1.106 Daily/Weekly level and 1.09495 Daily Level - CPI Coincided with a Bounce off Daily Support at 1.09495! How Beautiful. I mentioned this occurrence in my update on my previous 2 Posts. CPI decreased signaling optimism for markets. Inflation is decreasing and is on a smooth downward projectory. -Now will we observe a continued change of character with CPI data as the catalyst. We reject our lower prices and bottom part of the range and go back to 1.106 Daily/weekly Level. -Our first pit stop to the upside being Monda's Daily Level at 1.10226? -Price is currently at . If the Daily candle closes like this I say yes. But we must observe how the daily candle closes and if there is a follow through after the Initial bounce from CPI on the 1Hr TF. -The 4Hr Timeframe closed beautifully rejecting our Support areas below + We must observe if the 4hr zone which coincides with our daily level at 1.09715 can hold for more upside + We must consider that we often see a correction of news price action. It can take 2-3 Hours, 1-3 Trading sessions , or 1-2 trading days. We would observe a correction down to 1.09456 More Analysis: Trading went well as I earned profits with reduced position size due to increased news volatility. I made a few mistakes but overall I can't complain with a +.65% profit on the session and and similar +.60% gain during yesterday's Asian Session. It makes up for the tough trading Day I had on Tuesday and plus some. I do want to learn from my mistakes so I will be doing some further reflecting .
Long
by ShrewdCatfx
Are Crypto Bears in Denial? Eth 🌄Is this the Bull Run we have all been anticipating? Or Does Price need more time to accumulate above 2018 Highs. Ethereum has been trading in between 1942 Daily Level and 1785 Weekly Level for nearly a Month now. Price has spent 70% of the time inside this range. It spiked to the upside and stayed above the range for a week as some buyers Took Profit and shorts came in to flush out late longs. Price printed an engulfing candle on the Weekly Timeframe as price retreated back into our 1942 to 1785 range. We'll see if this bullish movment can sustain itself.
COINBASE:ETHUSDShort
by ShrewdCatfx
Would like to be proven wrong Bulls! Eurusd 💶We have printed two Bullish Monthly Candles back to back. The first week of this current monthly candle for May 23' has closed as an indecision candle. I am gravitating towards the Bull side but would not be surprised to see more of a sell off after the May FOMC decision The FOMC decision to raise rates by 25 basis points coincided with our extreme highs of the Year around the 1.105 Weekly Level In a way I want to be proven wrong on the Sell Side for EU. I want to see Buyers stay strong around our extreme Highs here in the 1.10's and not be phased by a short term descent in price as FOMC price action settled after the initial announcement. I would like to see buyers at 1.09718 and 1.09480 Daily Level's be taken out before any more of an ascent occurs. The Price I'm looking for is 1.09176 Daily Level. To begin the week before CPI data on Wednesday I will be looking for price to pullback but will be happy if proven wrong instead with price displaying a quick ascent back to 1.1095 and beyond with CPI numbers.
Short
by ShrewdCatfx
Buyers want 1.1024 4Hr Zone Holdd.. before potential Avalanche ⛄Scalping, Scalpingg. Has taken my heart. Discipline and Patience. Aggressive when it times to be aggressive. Fearless when it's time to be fearless. Trust in thy system and process. And Gold to be attracted to thy pocket with time and accumulate in ever increasing quantities. Will bulls hold 1.1024 4hr Zone? Or as the Daily candle flips bearish at 1.10239 will bears take us back to Support on the daily timeframe once more at 1.09718. 1.10148 Current Daily Low being the current Daily Low --> 1.10148 is a 1Hr Zone and our last potential Support before I see Sellers taking over once again. The 1hr timeframe and 4hr timeframe have clean traffic to the left hand side and we should mirror those as we go back down. CPI on wednesday will most definitely shake things up. Early in the week we have seen the market be proped up by Asian session buying. Will this buying pressure be sustained? Bulls + Monthly Candle is Bullish + New Weekly Candle gapped up and is Bullish + Friday Daily Candle Closed bullish + the first 1hr of our new 4hr candle jsut closed Bullish above 1.104 + 4Hr market structure is Bullish + A bullish Asian session to begin the week. Price has been consolidating since London Session open with 1Hr candles printing in a tight range +De-Dollarization appears to be more evident than ever Bears the 9am GMT 4hr candle closed below 1.104 4Hr Level Price is still holding steadily below 1.10590 Weekly Level Price is leaving a Top wick appearing to reject Daily Level 1.1059 The weekly candle last week printed a Lower Low and a Lower High on that timeframe.
Short
by ShrewdCatfx
💵 Dollar Buyers Pile Back in with NFP DataWell Dollar Buyers Piled back in with positive Jobs data. Eurusd returned back to the bottom of the range for the 3rd time in 2 Weeks. Our Daily Levels being 1.097 and 1.095. Quite the week for Swing traders and Scalpers playing the range.. Like who cares about breakouts anymore 😂. We were anticpating this data to take us out of the range and up to 1.115 but that is for another day. The Weekly candle will either Pullback up or continue dropping to end the week. It appears that we may be going to correct the NFP release at 1.10111. This occurs a majority of the time. The timing can be quite tricky however. I've seen it take 2-3 Days or 2-3 Trading Session or even 2-3 Hours. Yes, or even less than an hour. Either way have a great weekend. No trades today because the sum of my Previous 5 Friday's were profitable BUT only on 20% of the days. I had a Big Friday in Late March which brings the sum of my recent Friday's to a positive. If I had traded today I would have done well. But as mentioned previously the majority of Friday's are a Small Loss or Break even. It's Friday and even though I'm overall up on the sum of my friday's, I would rather save my energy and go enjoy the weekend. This doesn't mean that I can't still watch the charts. I did. I had a B.E. week. It's better than a Losing Week! Another week of experience under the belt. Safe Trading.
by ShrewdCatfx
May FOMC announcment 🫨Do we have enough steam to take us to 1.11500? Anticipating that rates stay the same and that the May Decision is Bullish. Planning since Staurday this past weekend that we may be onto something here. My Belief is that May Decision is viewed as an Optimistic data point. Preparing for a fall to 1.086 if not the case. Safe Trading. I'll be looking for opportunities about 1hr after the announcment once we have momentum and determined the direction with lowerd lot size and FOLLOW you TRADING PLAN. Okay good luck and safe trading.
Long
by ShrewdCatfx
2
Will the floor hold as volume decreases and reality sets in -> ₿We have 2 Bearish Daily Candle closures back to back to end off the Weekly Candle. The Weekly Candle is closing Bullish. With a top wick. The Top wick is currently -3.18%. The candle body for the weekly candle is +5.5%. 2 Weekly Candles are now closing below 30K Weekly Level that was created during May 22'. Anticipating a correction to previous Daily Candle Low at 29,058. Next stop may be 28.8K 1Hr level. Price is currently sitting at a 4Hr level 29,150$. Considering the timing, The Weekend, Asian Trading Session, a New Daily Candle. These are some confluences I'm considering for a short term correction on Bitcoin ₿
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by ShrewdCatfx
MultiversX (EGLD) Showing Signs of RecoveryMultiversX (EGLD) has been showing signs of recovery after bouncing up from a support level of $40.00. In our last analysis, we identified this level as a key support level, and it has held the pullback so far. Currently, EGLD is on its way to the minor resistance level of $54.50. What is EGLD? MultiversX is a blockchain protocol that offers fast transaction speeds through sharding. It rewards community and active participants with EGLD tokens, which act as a store of value currency to pay for network usage and a medium of exchange between platform users and validators. EGLD allows developers to deploy smart contracts, protocols, and dApps on the platform and empowers participants to perform any network action. EGLD also functions as a governance token, enabling holders to vote on network decisions. MultiversX was announced in August 2019, and its mainnet went live in July 2020. EGLD's Bullish Momentum While it's true that just bouncing up from a support level does not guarantee an uptrend, EGLD has been displaying strong volume in the past two days. This is a positive sign because in the past, every time EGLD had a bullish day with strong volume, it led to an uptrend. This indicates that we may see at least a limited uptrend in the coming days. So far, EGLD has not shown strong bullish momentum compared to the rest of the market this year. This makes it difficult to estimate where the rally will stop. However, this also means that we can expect a stronger rally later on in 2024-2025 when the rest of the market should reach its all-time high. This makes EGLD a promising investment for the long term. Bottom Line: In conclusion, MultiversX (EGLD) has been showing positive signs of recovery lately. The strong volume it displayed in the past two days indicates that we may see a limited uptrend soon. While EGLD has not shown strong bullish momentum so far this year, we can expect a stronger rally in the future. Investors who are looking for a promising investment for the long term may consider investing in EGLD.
by cryptohopper
Inflation Data 📊 Favoring BreakoutHas EUR Topped out and has GDP been enough to put the nail in the coffin? Price is continuing to reject extreme prices and this was anticipated from 1.1045 and 1.1056 Higher time frame level's. However Buy Side took over to close out the NY Session. Maybe this is a precursor to a Bullish /Optiumistic CPI release tomorrow and a rise in EU. This is my Bias for the last Asian session of the week. More Analysis: We may retest 1.10 1Hr Zone during Asian Session. It is wise to be weary of the fact that we are in a range on the Daily TF between 1.1045 and 1.0973. I was anticipating that we would keep pushing and do a continuation for NY session which we did, sort of at least back to the lows which was momentum from the news release. But these low prices didnt hold and the Daily cnalde is pulling back up to end off the session.
Long
by ShrewdCatfx
EURJPY 💶/💴The Daily candle just closed at 147.58. This price was our previous Daily Level. Price is still technically in a range between this price and 146.71. After spiking up to previous Monthly High at 148.4, we rejected those extreme prices and came flying back down into the current range right now. Price may continue bearish from here and we can call it a Fakeout as price failed to stay above 147.58 Daily level initially. Returned back into the range, tocuhed bottom of range, now price is coming back up for a last retest before returning back to the bottom of the range at 146.71.
Short
by ShrewdCatfx
1.1056 Weekly Level Says " Not Today " 🔊 EURUSDLondon Session -- London Volume pushed us hard back up to the Highs. Sellers caught as the Tide went out. New York Session -- "Wait for me I want buys too" London Close -- " Let's Buy I dont want to Miss out" The "Breakout" was corrected shortly after as Buyers TP and Shorts Say " wait before we breakout we must come back down to earth" . If we go up we are going to next weekly level at 1.145 If we go down this will be a triple top on the Daily Timeframe as this daily cnadle comes to a close and leaves a wick rejection failing to close above yesterdays close as Shorts begin to get crowded as we prepare for a 1.095 retest once again. GDP will give us insight on where traders are setting up their positions to hold through Firdya's CPI data. Price is fooling around at the Highs of Structure. Shaking both sides.
Short
by ShrewdCatfx
BTC Express 🚂 $28,631 April 23' Looking for a Retest of the Lows. Bears appear to have showed up a bit higher than we were anticipating. BTC Appears to be doing it's thing, which we can always appreciate. Since the USD is being dumped BTC may be the future. For now we will trade based off Zones by constructing attractive RR Ideas that may cushion us across a series of data points and into the positive. Surviving as a Trader requires more emotional control than in comparison to other contributing components. My System across the past 6 weeks you may observe a 28% Hit Rate. How are you profitable ShrewdCatFx? I would say maintaining emotional discipline across the vast series of data points. More Analysis : Entry is Only 70 Points lower than our Entry from yesterday that was blown out of the water. Now Price is behaving how we would like it to and are getting in for an entry as price retests the top of our original range between 28.5K Daily level and 27.3K Daily Levels. Price on the Daily looks like major rejection with that top wick. If Daily closes below 28.5K in 2 hours then we can be confident of a leg down during Asian or upcoming London session. Upcoming News : CPI on Friday FOMC next Wednesday NFP next Friday. Plenty of opportunity ahead. Maybe we keep consildating between 28.5K and 27.3K Daily levels until then.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by ShrewdCatfx
Is there an Ocean Floor? 🌊 EurUsdWe have Seen 2 Colossal moves on EU in the last Day. Yesterday was tremendous buys to begin the week as Every Session saw a bullish push up to HTF Levels and Extreme prices around 1.105. For Breakout Traders we saw a Trap near Weekly Highs at Weekly Level 1.1056. Why would you place buys up there without a Daily candle close confirmation above 1.1045 Daily level IDK to be honest. Yet it was still brutal for buyers as price dropped back to more attractive prices. I was one of the buyers but I flipped my bias bearish as mentioned in Yesterday's publishing. I stated that " For better buys one of the previous 1Hr Zones at 1.1045 or 1.1027 or if we pull back harder.. maybe we'll consider more short term downside because it is quite early in the week " . So based off this I let go of my Ego and began taking sells and it went well. Moral of the story.. follow your trading plan and utitlize tight risk management. Taking a step away from the computer and going AFK can help with psychology enormously. The brain is able to do a reset and when you return, it's in a more optimal state. With that said More Analysis : Looking for a pullback to 1.098 4Hr Zone for Asian and continuation of momentum to the downside. Observing the potential Daily Candle bearish engulfing and hard push to upside early in the week on Mondya, I like more opportunities to the downside. Weekly target is looking like 1.086 which would be a break and retest on the Weekly timeframe. 1.086 being a weekly Level. For buys I would like to see support at 1.0953, maybe consolidate and move up from there.
Short
by ShrewdCatfx
Matic 🛤️ Break + Retest 1.0069?Looks Like we can continue the Bearish momentum here back down to yesterday's low at .9792 and beyond to our next daily level at .9755. Matic Polygon did a faekout yesterday above 1.0227. It returned back into the range, then to the bottom of the range then did a break and retest of the daily level on the 30m TF. Left a very large wick rejection and off we go onto the next zone at .9755. We have bounced but I can observe a retest of the low with momntum left over from earlier.
COINBASE:MATICUSDShort
by ShrewdCatfx
Correction Imminent for Liquidity? 🏔️ Eur/UsdLooking for a Correction because price is going straight up. The New 4Hr Candle may be the catalyst for an Asian Session Pullback before the 2nd London Session of the week kicks off. As we approach London Session we will see more volume arrive and anticipating potential corrective structure. The RR is worth a short although you should never walk in front of a train unless you have confluences and a good RR Idea. Anticipating corrective structure during this session and London Session. For Buyers maybe a retest of Broken Weekly Level 1.1058 for more aggressive buys. For better buys one of the previous 1Hr Zones at 1.1045 or 1.1027 or if we pull back harder.. maybe we'll consider more short term downside because it is quite early in the week. 1.1075 Weekly wick Fill from 2nd Week April is likely considering we just had a strong Daily candle close (at) 1.1045 Daily level. We closed below our Weekly Level at 1.1058. So no most optimal buy scenario for continuation here but we'll see. More Analysis: Taking Buys today throughout NY Session was straight forward as we had the NY 4Hr candle close above 1.102. This gave me confidence to take buys throughout the session. Although we had a tough time at first, we kept trading and my system ended the first trading day of the week on a positive note ( No pun intended ). Sometimes my entries are a bit sloppy as I can be quite impatient. This is why I am a Scalper however as it is more suiting towards my persnaility anbd trading style. However, Risk Management is especially significant with a scalping strategy as although wins come faster same do cost's of business.
Short
by ShrewdCatfx
Eth 1850 Hold or Back to Prev Daily Lows 1824 ⚔️Never Sell into Support! We can observe due to candle closures that we may return to previous day's lows at 1842 and ultimately 1824. The 8Hr and the 4Hr timeframes have just closed bearish after some rather large engulfing candles have printed on the Daily TF's and the weekly candle is closing in 7 hours. We may drop further on the Daily to somewhere around 1809 but we must see volume and maybe a break and retest below 1850 on the 30m TF if we can get that far. Selling into to support can be hazardous. Price may respect 1850 and continue to range. Always maintain a good risk/reward. At least 3:1 R walking into the trade. Also the RR changes throughout a trade.
COINBASE:ETHUSDShort
by ShrewdCatfx