$MCD missed last four earnings without ill-effectMCD is a safe solid stock, although oddly in XLY rather than XLP.
It has missed the last four earnings, and the pullbacks from those misses are fairly mild recover quickly. Even the double whammy of a miss and loss of CEO in Q319 started to recover within days. Note in Q418, the stock only fell 11.5% against a general market decline of 20%. In this respect it is quite similar to KO (although that is in XLP), another purveyor of junk consumption.
Assuming the current trend continues, a pullback on another earnings miss of 3.84% or less gives you a safe stock to return to $220 in 2020, and the PE return to the highs of 28.
Note MCD is a DJIA component, and risks being dragged on any macro DJIA collapse (election, rate hikes etc).
MCD
"McDonalds on a Weekly Ascending Channel" by ThinkingAntsOkDaily Chart Explanation:
- Price is on a Weekly Ascending Channel.
- Price broke the Inner Ascending Trendline.
- Price is on a Bearish Corrective Structure.
- Bearish CCI.
- If price breaks the Corr Structure, it has potential to move down towards the Bottom of the Channel.
Weekly Vision:
Updates coming soon!
Potential long opportunity - Low Risk, High Reward setup MCD has bounced off the bottom of a long term bullish channel and recently broke to the upside of a pennant pattern on the shorter time scale. We are seeing strong resistance in the $200 price area (+/- ~$5) from both historical price action, fib retracement, and psychological resistance. Positive trade news looks like it has yet to significantly impact MCD so this might just be a good time to get in on a long stock position or even a call option trade. Setting a stop loss just below the bottom of the long term bullish channel, and setting a profit zone at the top makes for about a 10:1 profit/loss ratio. Being a dominate multi national brand, a decent dividend, and with investors such as Warren Buffett, this might be a good opportunity to get in on a long term play. Would love to hear your thoughts!
MCD - Death Cross & Possible Long Entry ForecastWe are sort of in the middle of downtrend. I like to wait for clear trend reversal.
Should be around January/February IMO unless Death Cross flips and price goes above moving averages.
There is also a bear flag formation under the death cross.
What I see as most important - the biggest selloff happened when price crossed under 50DayMA , not the death cross.
This is the reason I am watching SPY and AAPL moving average for downturn.
Next trend on Daily is bearish. Next trend on Weekly is bullish.
To me, this mixed signal implies that the downtrend for MCD will be short as the next Weekly trend is bullish.
When the MCD downtrend stops, this would be a good bullish entry point as the Weekly trend will flip bullish as price crosses back above moving average.
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I am not a financial advisor. My comments and reviews are based on what I do with my personal accounts.
Disclosure - I am long MARA, GBTC, BTCUSD, GDX, and VIXY.
Short SPY, AAPL
To Infinity & BYND - Beyond Meat Inc This is another company we've been watching closely since its IPO. (similar to Uber) Both companies surged on hype and hopium.
$BYND is down -70% from its all time high in late July. Many competitors and rivals are gaining momentum in this market. There's a lot of speculation waiting to see what is going to happen with a BYDN & McDonalds partnership.
Neutral for now.
MCD Public sentimentI know shorting this is not wise, however MCD public sentiment has been steadily declining despite its still incredible popularity, MCD has been in a HUGE bull run, however in my opinion we will see the rise of healthier alternatives and more traditional fast food chains, (Subway, Pizza restaurants)
MCDONALDS: Buy OpportunityThe price reached the support zone between 192.00 and 190.00 levels. In spite of a breakout below SMA200, which gave us a trend reversal signal, the market can continue the previous uptrend. I refer to a similar structure, which the market passed in 2016 and 2018 years.
It is possible to think about buying based on the confirmed reversal signal from the support zone or following a breakout above the local downtrend line.
Stop orders must be placed below 190.00 support level. The main profit target should be at 221.00 resistance.
MCD Long analysisAs always using support and resistance levels, I also checked some fundamentals as well as hedge funds and institutional investors' expectations and also because McDonald's is well-known trademark I don't expect it to drop below 170-175, look at horizontal the support line I drew.
So I entered long position and might enter again even if price drops as I believe in long term (next 6-12 months) to reach price of 235$.