Marketprofile
Cyrpto market cap downtrend resumed, clearly bear dominatesThe market cap of the whole crypto-asset topped out at the end of June 2019, reaching 370 billion dollars. However, in the coming month, market cap contracts significantly, steadily declining to 215 billion dollars for the moment.
More interesting is that even the sharp rise at the end of October, when Bitcoin breaks out above benchmark 10,000 $, doesn't change the downtrend in market cap since the market cap doesn't make a high transcending the high of September.
100, 200 Moving average, which depicts the overall market trend, is in a clear downtrend. Look like 200 billion dollar market cap is an important threshold. We are still in a bear market, before any major steep drop, assuming the current trend will continue is the most tenable action for traders who are still active in the market.
NFLX hasn't make any decision on directionI have been trying to keep on bullish bias, but seems bearish keep coming back, and I don't think big money come yet.eithier for buying or selling. No clear direction at the moment. just a trading money since Monday. 7th was the excess high. then since 8th buyer keep trying at the lows. I am start thinking 285 will be reach this week. NFLX runs every opening with and very thin. very fragile. let see what happen on this Wednesday. if offers can't be lifted higher, I like to see 285 - 280 price this week.
CADJPY Volume cluster Here is my opinion on CAD/JPY from my weekly prediction on my youtube channel.
After nice move down are created strong volume cluster where is accumulatited many orders.
I hope so that strong sellers will be react on this volume cluster and push the market in my direction.
Happy trading
Dale
NFLX’s Wednesday tail285-286 still hold. $NFLX need to trade 280s and break 290 today, otherwise will be more liquidation below 285. I still think for going higher now. Yesterday, buyers exited twice below 290. But reversal move from 286 low was solid. Overnight, buyer liquidating their positions until the low of yesterday. I need to see more confident move on upside, before join the market.
$NFLX may not ready for big up move yetI bought $NFLX put at 290.50 after rejection 291 and out about 287 area, when tested morning low. price now is balancing at below 288 area. if trade below 287, may be go lower to 283-280 area. I have low confident to trade above 288 now. I can be wrong. I may just wait to see if NFLX want to make better clear direction. if today 287 hold as support, I just expect for closing middle for today. price too slow at 288-287 area for now.
I expected price to meet 300 yesterday, but since today it turn lower then yesterday value area, I must wait for more aggressiveness to the upside.
$GOLD loosing momentum at below 1510$GOLD was expected to trade higher and break the upper balance 1520. yesterday , US session, GOLD didn't go back to above 1510. Gold may still maintain the range between 1515 - 1480. i will change my bias to up side when GOLD trade back above 1510. Below 1505 will trigger more liquidation.
NFLX is expected to meet $300$NFLX made nice re-accumulation on last Thursday and Friday. 285-286 is my support zone. Trade above this level will squeeze all sellers and help the price back to $300 level. Today NFLX may gap higher, and I plan to play long side on the pull back.
Unless NFLX trade lower then 285 level, I will stay aside or trade in smaller size to join the bears.
Will $GBPUSD make balance at this area?Since BREXIT being delayed again, and I expect DYX bounce at 97 levels, I like to see $GBPUSD , minimum, to make balance below 1.3 area before any further decision for the direction. I also expecting any taking profit action here. So, this week I don’t have plan to trade above 1.3 yet.
Let see USDJPY - head or tail?As I mentioned on DYX , USDJPY also at an important key level now. If 108 hold, then I expect to see 110 - 111 area as 109 become a poor high. But trade below 108 we may see 105 area. Couple things in my mind, DXY may back to 99 area before make any decision. And JPY is the weakest pair among others. So I will try to build position on Bulls side at USDJPY. I will change my bias to Bears side when I see more liquidation and more new seller below 108 price level.
Beside that, accumulation at daily chart will looks good if the we see aggressive buyers on USDJPY at 108 level.
USDCAD accumulation setup After nice rotation around 1.308 - 1.309 followed by strong buying activity i expect that market will be continue in uptrend.
For that reason i will be waiting for pullback to this area for long trade.
I think that those buyers will become active again and they will start pushing the price upwards again from 1.3089.
Happy trading
Dale
$USDJPY ‘s value is lower$USDJPY made excess high on 30th Oct, which indicate a liquidation. I am little bit late on this but to turn this pair to much deeper, we need to see new seller while USDollar Index is weakening. Otherwise the Pair will loose momentum for bearish move.
$JPY is the weakest currency among the major forex pair, let see if there is more buying on JPY , which is sellers on USDJPY.
Many retail traders jump on selling USDJPY without seeing the strength of the currency and don’t monitor the follow through. We can’t just trade base on the pattern only. We need to check any related instrument. If buyers of USDollar index come back aggressively, this pair turn very quickly.
$Gold try to make a change to upmove$GOLD. Here is can be a trap for many traders who are aggressively buying or selling at 1495 price Zone. I need price to get acceptance between 1495 to 1500 price area.
This is important “if Gold can’t make a change at mentioned zone” the Seller may came back and take control. I don’t want to be the first here. I will see who will take the control from here : “Buyer or Seller”.
$GOLD will likely go lower$XAUUSD didn't make a good change on last Friday. Yesterday , Monday, was another liquidation day. No Aggressive buying. and I think today, will not much different. If Strong buyers don’t appear immediately , I think we will see 1465 , which is a the bottom of bigger balance as mentioned on previous post.
$DAX is the most bullish index Europe $DAX break 12800 level. This key level is very important. SInce EUROSTOXX and FTSE are still within the range, I need to see acceptance above this key level. then 13000 - 13200 will be next destination. The serious failure above this key level will make DAX index just looks too high and too expensive. The profit taking , liquidation and new money selling will make this bullish pattern become ugly. but for now, I will trade with the bulls.
$GOLD need to make a change$Gold has been in balance range for 8 days, 1475 bottom - 1495 top is my small balance, and 1515 top for wider range. The value is in lower half of wide balance, but the buyer still aggressive from every low. i need to see a change above 1495 ; either an acceptance or rejection. This uncertainty kills the hope of medium time frame traders. But note that 1 October was a good excess low. This spring need to bring the price to move above 1515, otherwise that spring will be penetrated. all we can do right now is ping pong trading. News catalyst is need here.. let's wait.
EURUSD long levelHere is my Bonus level from my mebres section for intraday trading.
After nice move up is in the move significant Volume cluster, where is accumulated lot of orders.
I hope, that when the market will make pullback to this area, strong buyers will be defend their long position and push the marked up.
Daily uptrend
H4 uptrend
H1 uptrend
M30 uptrend
This is why i prefere better long trade :-)