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Occidental Petroleum ($OXY): Buffett-Backed Value Play in Energy Introduction: Occidental Petroleum ( NYSE:OXY ) is an energy giant🌍 that’s catching attention for all the right reasons. With Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway owning 28.8% of its shares, record-breaking production levels, and innovative strides in carbon capture, OXY has positioned itself as a compelling investment opportunity. Despite a challenging year with a -20.33% YTD decline, the company’s improving financials, operational efficiency, and strategic acquisitions point toward significant long-term potential. Let’s break it down. 📈 Key Points 1. Market Context 🛢️ Stock Price: $46.50 52-Week Range: $42.00 - $66.00 Market Cap: $52.3 billion Market sentiment around OXY is cautiously optimistic. With Buffett’s backing, many investors see the current dip as a potential buying opportunity. 2. Financial Health 💵 OXY’s financials showcase a balance of value and efficiency: P/E Ratio: 12.7x, below the 5-year average of 18.4x. Price-to-Book Ratio: 1.43, indicating undervaluation. Dividend Yield: 1.85%, with room for growth as debt reduces. Q3 2024 Highlights: Net Income: $964 million ($0.98 per share). Operating Cash Flow: $3.8 billion. Debt Reduction: $4.0 billion, bringing the debt-to-equity ratio down to 0.75. 3. Operational Performance 🚀 Production: 1.4 million barrels/day in Q3 2024, exceeding guidance and setting company records. Margins: Operating margins improved to 57.01%, driven by lower well and drilling costs. 4. Strategic Initiatives 🌱 CrownRock Acquisition: Boosts Permian Basin operations, positioning OXY for long-term growth. Carbon Management: Leading in carbon capture technologies, aligning with sustainability goals and opening new revenue streams. 5. Investment Case 🛡️ Buffett’s Confidence: Berkshire Hathaway’s 28.8% stake reflects a belief in OXY’s undervaluation and long-term potential. Valuation Metrics: Trading at a discount compared to historical averages provides an opportunity for value investors. Growth Potential: Stabilizing oil prices, improved operational efficiency, and innovation in carbon management suggest significant upside. Conclusion Occidental Petroleum offers a unique blend of value, growth, and innovation. With Buffett’s endorsement, record production, and strategic focus on sustainability, OXY is well-positioned to reward long-term investors employing a Dollar Cost Averaging strategy. 🌟 Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research or consult with a professional before making investment decisions.
NYSE:OXYLong
by DCAChampion
The ₿itcoin Strategic Playbook: Timing Crypto Market CyclesWhy 4 Years Matters: The Confluence of Cycles Markets move in cycles: periods of growth and contraction, driven by psychology, supply/demand, and macroeconomic forces. Two major cycles intersect in the cryptocurrency market: Bitcoin Halving Cycle: A predictable event every 4 years, reducing Bitcoin's supply. Historically, prices surge in the months following. US Election Cycle: Presidential elections occur every 4 years, influencing fiscal policy, monetary policy, and investor sentiment. The strategy leverages the intersection of these cycles for precision timing. Interplay Between Cycles Historically, Bitcoin halving’s and US elections have occurred in the same year, creating a "perfect storm" for market volatility and opportunity. Example: The 2020 halving coincided with the US election, followed by a historic bull market. This alignment reflects how macroeconomic events can amplify crypto trends, rather than being purely coincidental. Fundamentals Behind the Halving Cycle What is Bitcoin Halving? Bitcoin halving reduces the block reward miners receive by half, occurring approximately every 210,000 blocks (~4 years). This built-in scarcity impacts Bitcoin’s supply, historically leading to price increases post-halving. Why It Matters Historical Trends: 2012: Halving triggered a bull run peaking in 2013. 2016: Halving triggered the 2017 bull market. 2020: Halving led to the 2021 price surge. Each halving decreases new Bitcoin supply while demand continues to grow. Altcoins: Following Bitcoin's Lead Bitcoin’s dominance often peaks post-halving as it leads the market rally. During the bull phase, altcoins typically follow Bitcoin's lead, offering higher growth potential. The Role of Elections Macroeconomic Impacts Election years bring uncertainty about future policies, creating market volatility. Policies on inflation, interest rates, and technology affect both traditional and crypto markets. Why It Aligns with the Halving The convergence of halving-induced optimism and election-driven uncertainty amplifies market movements. Example: 2020 saw the halving, COVID-19 stimulus, and election uncertainty, setting the stage for Bitcoin’s explosive growth. How the Strategy Plays Out Start at the Bottom (Accumulation): Look for signs of market capitulation (e.g., extreme fear in sentiment indices, low volume, prolonged price stagnation). Use indicators like RSI divergence to identify oversold conditions. Build positions gradually, focusing on projects with solid fundamentals. Ride the Markup Phase (Bull): Hold positions as prices rise, following the trend. Adjust exposure based on market conditions but avoid selling too early. Exit at the Top (Distribution): Watch for euphoric sentiment (e.g., excessive media coverage, speculative mania). Use tools like Fibonacci extensions, volume analysis, or the Fear & Greed Index to identify when to take profits. Survive the Markdown Phase (Bear): Avoid buying into dips during the crash. Preserve capital for the next accumulation phase. Source: Bitcoin Liquid Index: BNC:BLX
BNC:BLX
by azad.motala
USD/JPY Delivers Exactly as Predicted—Next Stop: 161.92?Daily Context: The daily timeframe continues to respect the bullish structure, with strong upward momentum intact. We’ve successfully broken the last high, achieving the medium-term target of 156.74. My long-term target of 161.92 remains firmly in place, aligning perfectly with the broader trend. 4H Perspective: The market played out exactly as we talked about in the last analysis. After the accumulation phase, the breakout was clean, and the price delivered a strong markup, reaching 156.74. This perfectly confirms the bullish shift we anticipated following the distribution phase and validates the daily demand zone as a solid foundation for upward movement. Updated Trade Plan: Now that 156.74 has been achieved, I’ll monitor for a potential pullback into the 155.50–156.00 zone for a continuation setup. If the bullish structure holds, the next target remains 161.92, which aligns with the higher timeframe trend. 💡 Key Takeaway: Patience and structure-based trading paid off here—once again, the market delivered exactly as expected. The most important thing is to trade markets with clear context and solid setups. Stay focused, and let the market come to you!
Long
by TraderOuss_LumaNex
S&P is Shaping a Bull Flag While Awaiting the FED DecisionLast week was characterized by increasing selling pressure that hindered upward price progression but failed to trigger any substantial pullback. The market has not even retested the previous consolidation zone ( 598-601 ), which highlights the weakness of the sellers. Looking at the daily chart, the recent price action resembles a bull flag, favoring a continuation of the upward trend. For sellers to demonstrate their strength, they must not only break this pattern to the downside but also breach the 598 support level and drive the price further down to 594 . Much will depend on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision this week, alongside the release of key economic data. The most favorable outcome for the bulls would be a 0.25% rate cut. Any other scenario could spark concerns—either about an impending recession (if the cut is larger) or about a prolonged high-interest-rate environment (if the cut is absent). The market outlook remains bullish; however, the current price level is not ideal for new long positions. Buyers would be better served by waiting for a more meaningful pullback (e.g., to the 600 level), provided it is not driven by a negative shift in economic sentiment.
AMEX:SPY
by hermes_trisme
USOIL BULL Triangle The oil chart is showcasing a large triangle pattern within a smaller triangle, and the breakout of the smaller triangle to the upside strongly suggests that the larger triangle will also be broken. This breakout signals the potential to target significantly higher levels. Additionally, the bottom has been tested approximately four times, with the last test clearing out all liquidity. Now, the chart appears to be gearing up for a major upward move after a prolonged accumulation phase. As for my perspective, I’m betting on oil’s rise rather than its decline, even though the current triangle formation is typically a bearish (descending) triangle. The second entry opportunity will present itself after the larger triangle is broken and confirmed through a retest. Note: I don't care about the count if it right or not don't comment on that please
BLACKBULL:WTILong
by hakimbo989
Decentraland (MANA)📊 MANA Analysis 🔹 Overall Status: MANA has successfully broken out of its descending channel. However, it failed to push higher after reaching the weekly resistance (red zone). Currently, the coin is correcting and pulling back from this resistance toward the top of the descending channel. 🔹 Daily Timeframe Analysis: Correction of the Uptrend: The upward wave, which started from the bottom of the channel, has now retraced to the 0.382 Fibonacci level. Forecast: This correction might deepen further and test lower support levels, such as 0.5 or 0.618 Fibonacci levels. 🔹 Weekly Timeframe Analysis: If MANA can break its weekly resistance: The price could rally toward the gray zones. These zones align with the 1.618 and 2.618 Fibonacci levels. 🔹 RSI and Entry Signals: The RSI entering the Overbuy zone on both daily and weekly timeframes can act as a trigger for entry. ✅ Conclusion and Recommendations: 1️⃣ Key Support and Resistance Levels: 0.382 Fibonacci level (current support). Red zone (weekly resistance). 2️⃣ Entry Strategy: Gradual laddered entry after confirming support or breaking the weekly resistance. Support confirmation could include retesting and stabilizing at these levels. 3️⃣ Monitor RSI: Pay close attention to RSI signals on the daily and weekly timeframes to ensure trend strength. 4️⃣ Risk Management: Laddered entries help reduce investment risks and allow for adjustments if deeper corrections occur. 💡 Pay close attention to price behavior, manage your risk effectively, and stay alert to key support and resistance zones.
Long
by alizeynali69
Intraday Analysis: CADJPY Forecast and Trade SetupThe overall trend on the major timeframes for CADJPY remains bullish, despite a breakdown continuation observed last week. Current Market Overview: The lower timeframe (M5) printed a bullish wave structure this morning. We anticipate a corrective move below 105.76. In the short term, a potential downside reversal is expected. Trade Setup: Look for shorting opportunities below 106.34, targeting a break below 105.77. If price action breaks below 105.77, we can consider buying opportunities, aligning with the larger bullish trend. Key Levels to Watch: Sell Point : 106.34 Buy below : 105.77
Short
by Charts247TradingAcademy
USDT.D UpdateCup and Handle Pattern Identified Early We successfully spotted the Cup and Handle pattern from the beginning, and the price moved exactly as outlined in my previous analysis . However, I may have forgotten to highlight an important point: there’s a rejection zone (Order Block) where the price is expected to bounce slightly. But don’t worry—this order block is not strong enough to sustain a significant reversal. The price will likely rise a bit before continuing its movement. So, don’t panic if you see your assets dropping today. This is simply the natural flow of the market. Prepare for further downward pressure as the dominance of the dollar strengthens.
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DShort
by hakimbo989
XAUUSD need to be careful Liquidity is extremely strong in this area, creating a high probability for price to move both up and down to trigger all stop-losses before continuing the downward trend. What we expect: The price breaks this box to the upside, grabs liquidity from the minor high, and then resumes the downward movement, aligning with the overall bearish trend for gold. This scenario highlights the importance of staying cautious and planning trades carefully around these key levels.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by hakimbo989
WLD Long Spot Trade (Consolidation Opportunity)Market Context: WLD is consolidating within a significant zone, presenting an ideal opportunity to ladder into a long spot trade for potential upside gains. Trade Details: Entry Zone: Ladder between $2.50 and $3.50. Take Profit Targets: First target: $4.50 - $6.00 Second target: $9.00 - $10.50 Stop Loss: Set just below $2.25. This trade aims to capture a breakout from the consolidation zone, leveraging the support level for a favorable risk-to-reward setup.
Long
by Richtv_official
S&P: Weekly Recap and OutlookLast week, the market opened with a gap up that was quickly filled, after which price hovered near the previous all-time high. Bolstered by new economic data, which delivered no negative surprises, bulls pushed the price out of the trading range, establishing a new all-time high. While this is undoubtedly a positive development that reinforces the bullish thesis, a few warning signs warrant closer attention: 1. Low Breakout Volume: The breakout occurred on significantly low volume. While volume is less critical in indices and ETFs compared to individual stocks, observing below-average volume during such an important event raises concerns about the breakout’s sustainability. 2. Relative Weakness in the Tech Sector (XLK): This deviation signals hesitancy among growth investors, which could potentially ripple through to other market participants. Additionally, concerns highlighted in my previous review remain unresolved and continue to be relevant. At this stage, there is no concrete evidence of a sentiment shift or technical signals pointing to a broad trend reversal. However, there is a growing impression that the rally may be nearing temporary exhaustion, which could lead to a significant pullback. Key Focus for the Upcoming Week Investors will be closely watching the employment data, which has already hinted at labor market weakness. If new data further support this trend, it could heighten bearish sentiment. Price action this week will likely provide important clues: • Bullish Confirmation: If the breakout is followed by a swift continuation, this will confirm buyers’ conviction and overall market strength. • Bearish Signals: Conversely, if the price pulls back below 600 or oscillates indecisively around this level, it may signal uncertainty among buyers, creating an opportunity for short sellers to capitalize.
AMEX:SPY
by hermes_trisme
BellRing Brands: Capitalizing on Health and Wellness GrowthBellRing Brands has broken out of a stage-one double-bottom base, signaling strong technical action and providing a compelling entry point. As a leading company in the health and wellness industry, BellRing Brands is well-positioned to benefit from the increasing demand for ready-to-drink protein shakes and nutrition bars. This breakout suggests a strong potential for further upside. Technical Overview: The stock has seen accumulation over the past several weeks, bouncing off the 21-day EMA and currently trading near highs. Using the IBD base pattern methodology, we aim for a 20% profit target , with an 8% stop loss to manage risk. Profit Target: $75.96, reflecting a 20% gain from current levels. Stop Loss: $58.65, which is approximately 8% below the entry point. Squeeze Indicator: The MTF Squeeze Analyzer confirms that a squeeze has fired on both the daily and weekly timeframes. This indicates that volatility is expanding, supporting further price acceleration and aligning with the breakout setup. Momentum and Market Overview: With the MTF SqzMom Indicator, we observe that momentum is in an uptrend for the 4H and higher time frames (W, 4D, and 2D). The current RS Rating is 87, further confirming its relative strength in the market. Final Thoughts: BellRing Brands offers a strong opportunity for growth investors, driven by solid fundamentals and technical strength. The 20% target aligns with IBD’s proven methodology, while the tools provided by TradeVizion , including the Squeeze Analyzer and MTF sqzMom , provide additional layers of confirmation for timing and managing the trade. Leverage the advanced insights from TradeVizion ’s to improve your trading strategies with clarity and confidence.
NYSE:BRBRLong
by TradeVizion
Amazon: Riding the E-Commerce and Cloud WaveAmazon is currently showing promising signs as it forms the right side of its base, presenting an excellent setup for long-term investors. With strong revenue streams from e-commerce and Amazon Web Services (AWS), the company remains a dominant force in multiple sectors. This diverse business model positions Amazon for sustained growth, even amid market fluctuations. Technical Overview: Recent price action shows Amazon bouncing off a strong support level around $182.38 , with its 21-day EMA acting as a key indicator of momentum. As it approaches the $200 mark, investors should keep a close eye on these critical levels. Profit Target: Initial target at $201.20 , with further potential upside to $210 if momentum continues. Stop Loss: Set just below the $182.38 support level to manage risk. Indicator Insights: Using tools like the MTF Squeeze Analyzer - and MTF SqzMom , we notice a squeeze firing on multiple lower timeframes, signaling that volatility is likely to increase. The 4Hour and Weekly timeframe shows a build-up in momentum, suggesting that this could propel Amazon toward the $200+ range. Monitoring these momentum shifts provides an edge in timing entry and exit points for the trade. Momentum and Market Overview: With the Larry Williams Valuation Index Indicator, we observe steady momentum on both the daily and weekly charts, supporting a positive outlook. The readings show consistent strength in Amazon’s price action. Notably, the stock has not yet reached its overvalued level , signaling a fair entry point for buyers. This provides confidence that Amazon is trading within a favorable range, with the market continuing to support buying interest. Additionally, the general market is in an uptrend, as confirmed by the IBD Market School , with 100% exposure currently active and the Power Trend ON . This signals a favorable environment for growth stocks like Amazon. Final Thoughts: This trade idea leverages both fundamental strength and technical precision, supported by our indicators available in the TradeVizion toolset. By combining a clear understanding of Amazon’s market dominance with insights from these smart tools, this setup offers a well-rounded opportunity for both short-term gains and long-term growth. Feel free to explore our scripts, designed to enhance your market understanding without overwhelming you with unnecessary complexity. Whether you’re trading breakouts or managing risk, having the right tools in your corner can make all the difference.
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by TradeVizion
Market Analysis: CADJPY H1 Bearish Wave Structure AnalysisThis evening, my focus is on the CADJPY H1 timeframe. We have identified a completed bearish wave structure on the H1 timeframe. Earlier this afternoon, during the New York session, a trend reset was observed, breaking above the last Structure 4. From this point, based on wave structure anatomy, we anticipate selling interest to initiate a new bearish wave structure downward. The key level to watch is 110.48. Happy trading!
Short
by Charts247TradingAcademy
2
S&P Weekly Recap: Rally Falters Amid Lack of ConvictionLast week’s market action delivered a reversal in sentiment, highlighting the fragility of the rally that had persisted since the so-called "Trump rally." The week began slowly, with the market testing buyers’ conviction to push prices higher. After confirming a lack of such conviction, sellers stepped in, driving prices sharply lower. As suggested in my previous recap, 585 (VAH) provided temporary support, and the week closed near this critical level. Interestingly, most major sectors participated in the downward move, aligning with the broader market trend. However, XLF (Financials) stood out as the exception, managing to post gains despite the sell-off. This divergence suggests that there is still buying interest, with money continuing to flow selectively into the market. The immediate objective for the bulls is to hold 585 and attempt to fill Friday’s gap. Failure to do so, with the price returning to the 568-585 range , would indicate that the rally is nearing exhaustion. While this would not immediately signal a transition into a bear market, it would mark a notable shift in sentiment. The 568 level remains critical for buyers; as long as it holds, the broader uptrend stays intact, and bulls maintain the upper hand. Meaning that I keep "bullish" outlook. This week, the market’s attention will be on NVIDIA's earnings on Wednesday. While the previous report didn’t cause much volatility, traders will be closely watching for any surprises that could influence market momentum.
AMEX:SPYLong
by hermes_trisme
US30 - Markets Getting Ready for Corrections Market as a whole is in All Time High (ATH) zones and due for a correction soon. This can be evident from Warren Buffet selling majority of their stakes in companies and holding over $300bn in cash. Dollar is also in a very strong Bullish momentum which overweighs other pairs and commodities. From technical analysis point of view, Impulsive Wave 5 is nearing completion and we can expect a possible reversal to below level once MA200 is also in touching distance. Please note this a medium term approach and can change depending on macro factors. For entries, please wait for at least two candle reversals at the specified level and apply appropriate risk management. If you found this analysis helpful, please consider boosting and following for more updates. Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
FX:US30Short
by MarketsPOV
S&P Soars on Election Results in a Stunning RallyLast week's market movements provided a strong example of how impactful certain events can be on sentiment and momentum. In the last market recap, I highlighted uptrend continuation as the most likely scenario. However, at the start of the week, there was absolutely nothing on the chart suggesting a V-shape pivot. Week started on a weak note, but Tuesday marked a shift, as buying interest began to surface, quickly escalating into a stunning overnight gap once preliminary election results emerged. Essentially, the election results had a similar impact on the market as an earnings report can have on a company's stock price. This influx of optimism solidified bulls' control over the market, reinforcing a strong weekly uptrend. The buying wasn’t limited to a few sectors; instead, it was widespread, touching every major sector by the week’s end. Such broad-based buying underscores that the rally is not sector-specific but part of a larger, systemic movement. While we’re seeing robust upward momentum, it’s worth noting that both weekly and daily RSI levels are approaching overbought territory. However, as often observed in strong uptrends, prices can comfortably persist in the overbought zone. With no clear resistance above, I would strongly discourage trying to catch the top. Important levels to watch include 585 (VAH) , which is key in the event of a potential retest of the last consolidation zone, and 568 (major weekly low) , which buyers must protect to maintain control. P.S. If you missed this insane rally, don’t blame yourself too much. Had the election outcome been different, it’s easy to imagine the market would have plunged just as dramatically. So holding short-term position was similar to trading company earnings, which is, in a way, a form of gambling.
AMEX:SPYLong
by hermes_trisme
EURUSD: Intraday Trend Reversal PatternFollowing the low established on Wednesday, 6th November 2024, we have observed a completed bullish wave structure. Subsequently, the price traded the low at 1.0682, forming a bearish completed wave pattern. Based on this price information, a bullish phase is anticipated in the next movement. We are entering a buy position, anticipating increased buying momentum at 1.0682, which could propel the price past the nearest internal momentum high of 1.0727. If this trade materializes, 1.0824 will serve as our momentum high target. Stop Loss: 1.0676 Happy Trading!
Long
by Charts247TradingAcademy
1
S&P Weekly RecapLast week saw significant moves in the S&P 500 , with Thursday’s open revealing a sharp gap down that quickly intensified into a strong sell-off. This correction unfolded despite strong earnings from “Big Tech” and was likely driven by weakness in key economic indicators, such as GDP growth and Non-Farm Payrolls, combined with uncertainty surrounding the upcoming U.S. elections. Still, the broader weekly uptrend remains intact for now, as long as the index holds above key levels. One area to watch closely is the 566.6 support, which has been tested by recent volatility. There’s no guarantee that this level will hold if selling pressure continues, so it’s a crucial line to monitor. That said, the general uptrend is considered safe above 538 , which is the major weekly low. Another significant level to watch is 561.5 , the Value Area High (VAH) of the recent weekly consolidation zone. An interesting signal was the elevated call/put ratio on Friday. This uptick suggests that, despite the sell-off, bullish sentiment remains alive, with many viewing the dip as an opportunity. The continued strength of the XLC sector further reflects this optimism, as it managed to hold firm even through the broader index’s pullback. Considering all the above, the long-term market outlook remains bullish. Key levels to watch in the coming days are 566.6 for immediate support, 561.5 as an important pivot point, and the weekly major low at 538 . Next week is packed with high-impact events, including the U.S. elections and the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision . Both are likely to drive heightened volatility and could serve as key catalysts for market direction.
AMEX:SPYLong
by hermes_trisme
S&P sellers kick in, but the market remains strongLast week was marked by some selling activity. As anticipated, sellers took advantage of temporary bullish exhaustion and attempted to push the market down. A strong sell-off occurred on Wednesday, with the market losing 1.2%. However, this sharp decline did not see much follow-through, as the price found strong support at the top of the previous consolidation zone ( 574.7 ). On Friday, buyers even attempted to set a new daily high, but they were unable to maintain it through the close. All of this leads me to believe that the sellers are not particularly strong, and we remain in a broadly bullish environment. A few key points supporting this bullish outlook include: 1. The weekly uptrend is still intact, and there is ample room for this weekly higher low. 2. There is relative strength in "risk-on" sectors (XLK, XLY), suggesting that bullish sentiment hasn't completely faded. While we might see some short-term rotation within the 584.5–574.4 range, defined by two daily candle wicks (Wednesday and Friday), the long-term outlook remains decidedly bullish. This week, important economic data will be released, along with earnings reports from major tech companies. This is likely to cause increased volatility, but unless there are major negative surprises, bullish sentiment should remain solid.
AMEX:SPYLong
by hermes_trisme
S&P Bulls Hold Strong, But Is a Market Cooldown Coming?Last week wasn't particularly remarkable. Despite two bearish attacks (on Tuesday and Thursday), buyers still managed to push the market to a new historical high. It was somewhat concerning that they couldn’t sustain the high for even an hour after the open, but since the bearish movement didn’t gain momentum on Friday, the bulls still have the upper hand. We may see some consolidation in the upcoming weeks, as there are signs that the rally is approaching exhaustion (weakening of upthrust, weekly RSI entering the overbought zone, weakness in XLK). However, this market has repeatedly demonstrated its resilience and ability to exceed expectations. The long-term outlook remains bullish, but given these signals, it would be prudent for buyers to downsize their positions and refrain from selling PUTs. Mind TSLA report on Wednesday as it can cause some volatility and act as a trigger.
AMEX:SPY
by hermes_trisme