ETHEREUM (ETH) ALGORITHMIC MANIPULATIONGood morning, Alkalites! Today we are starting with slightly green watchlists. There is not too much to see today, as most of our long term orders have been placed. We are waiting until more tokens from our watchlist become favourable to enter in.
This morning we have seen ETH making a wedge, probably formed by algorithms battle with EMAs. Today's levels are based on algorithmic volume, as low-frequency buyers won't probably place orders near the recent all-time high.
If ETH breaks above them, we could see more growth in the short term. If not, remember this is not a recommendation for you to sell or to place shorts, as we believe this ETH will perform well in the long term.
Stay tuned on updates like these in our FREE CHANNEL in Telegram!
Have a great Tuesday, Alkalites!
Manipulation
SOLANA (SOL) READY TO FLYHey, Alkalites! Today we have seen spikes across mid and low-cap crypto! Things are getting interesting day by day.
Today we are adding more positions to our Solana (SOL) portfolio.
As analysed in the past, we expect its technology “Proof of History” (PoH) to grow in value if the entire crypto market keeps growing and investors find value in advanced mechanisms. It wouldn’t be difficult to see Solana surpassing other tokens in the future.
Solana is drawing some demand zones that could be seen on charts and order books. Low-frequency buys are expected at the 38-40 USD area.
What's your opinion on Solana? Let me know!
Get daily analysis like these on our FREE Crypto Alkaline channel on Telegram TODAY!
Have a great day, Alkalites!
BTC RETRACEMENTS MANIPULATIONBitcoin has shown minor retracements during today's session.
If this bull run continues, we can project buy zones based on retail structure breakouts.
Those levels marked could help us placing our DCA (Dollar Cost Averaging) based buy orders with as much accuracy as possible.
Stay tuned on updates like these in our Crypto Telegram!
Have a great Sunday, Alkalites!
Critical to Understand this Flash Crash ConceptLook at this huge wick down on the daily time frame back in the 2017 bull run. Don't think that this can't happen now - it absolutely can. These flash crashes we see every week are a smaller version of this. You always have to be on your toes and make sure you are being diligent as far as following the rules. Always use pretty tight stop losses that follow you up into profit. Always take profits off the table when your trade is in profit. You can lose it all in a matter of minutes, it's not worth the risk.
Most importantly, don't leverage trade, and if you insist on doing it anyway, don't ever take your eyes off it unless it's in profit and you have a stop loss set in profit. When I tried leverage trading and leaving it over night, 9 times out of 10 my stop loss got hit. If you aren't in profit, you are losing money every single time that happens. Preserve your capital!
OVERBOARD? Or just PREPARED?Super rough draft of AITX. Just my thoughts rough handing it. Im going to do a dive, use all the tools and try to find all the trends plausible. Its always that one hidden trend you dont see that can make the difference. These market makers, institutions and whales already have the benefit of money, the minimum one can do is limit there element of surprise, prepare for the worst and ride the wave. From only a year trading 6 months I quickly learned how important the charts are. All the lick of news dosent change a thing if you ask me it seems like the charts the charts predict the news. Call me crazy but I swear charts will show something on the brink of making a move. Take bitcoin for a example. It was so over bought right around 58-60k the mac is telling me its coming down and all of a sudden all the corruption kicks in wether it be the hash rate power, whether it be the tax bill being blasted on every outlet when having no real meaning at the time as we can see now. The contract options expiring, the statement that some exchanges are going to be served felony charges. All these played a part in the first price fall that was forseen by many and exaggerated on both sides with something to gain. So i ask this, are these algorithms left behind from mankinds most brilliant as tools for prediction. Are tyey actually predicting the events to come in a little way. And if so as we progress and technology progress will we be able to predict the future kinda like a minority report. Maybe im just to stoned and its something as simple as the corruption already being baked into a the data seeing that the data is no really affecting it. Check back at the charts when we had the corona flash crash on the market itself. If you zoom out you can clearly see that that dip was going to happen just as it had before. It ts just the other time that it wasn’t corona or the time before that. All the mirco dips that line up on the crashes. Id like to believe there is something goin on that cant yet be explained but im sure someone got a simple answer. I was just telling my friend a joke that all fortune tellers just now how to read charts lol. They just check the usd index matched whatever currency is the hot topic, dominant or in a struggle and the charts will sing to a them. I low key want to write a volume based on currency wars. Following nations currency's paired to one another such as USD/CYN or USD/GBP or whatever, its endless. From there i want to get the life data of the pairs and have the charts tell the stories. What made the chart move the way it did, not what would have happend if those events did not happen. For instance checking USD/CYN you can clearly see CYN setting on a critical support level some might say economic crushing if broke. Right up untill covid hit getting the bounce they needed to save the economy. Not saying this happened, but like i was saying earlier ether the manipulation is already baked in or there is something beyond what we conceive. And I think if its not something beyond or control, such as what I call the Trend. Then the chart was manipulated. Because following the trend up untill corona hit eveything said the CYN matched to the USD was about to dramatically collapse. Which would have been horrible world round. People say American first ya I understand but if a whole country goes under that the rest of the world get 90% of there crap from we could have seen a situation like the housing market crash of the 2008 where the debt of another collapses all of it. Like the that but the on a world wide scale. I dont know just my stupid conspiracy.
Bitcoin is Mount SukubaI've posted previously on here and twitter about how Bitcoins price along with the entire crypto market is manipulated either by the CEX's, Satoshi Nakamoto or a combination. This is how Bitcoin will play out if $64k was not the top. If it was then it will play out in the same formation just the left and tallest peak will be 64k . This pattern played out in 2017, 2019 and it plays out all through the chart in small forms making up larger forms of it. Just Look at December-January on the 6 hour chart. I did a little research and the only twin peaked mountain in japan is Mount Tsukuba which by the Ancient legend surrounding it makes a lot of sense attaching it to Bitcoin .
"As legend has it, thousands of years ago, a deity descended from the heavens and asked two mountains for a place to spend the night. With its great summit and almost perfect cone, Mt. Fuji refused, believing with pride and arrogance that it does not need the deity's blessings. Mt. Tsukuba, on the other hand, humbly welcomed the honored guest, even offering food and water. Today, Mt. Fuji is a cold, lonely, and barren mountain, while Mt. Tsukuba bursts with vegetation and is filled with colors as the seasons change.
Ancient chronicles say that the sacred progenitors of the Japanese race are enshrined here, the male divinity, Izanagi-no-Mikoto, at Mt. Nantai, and the female divinity, Izanami-no-Mikoto, at Mt. Nyotai. Legends say that the two deities wed and gave birth to other deities, and even to Japan herself."
Follow me on twitter @MoneroMasterMo
EURUSD, Short Opportunity - 1:22 availableGood morning ladies & gentlemen,
Hope you're all having a beautiful week.
A nice short opportunity has presented itself on EURUSD after trading upwards for several weeks. It's now ready to see some substantial downside. DXY is poised to go higher also.
The monthly orderflow for EURUSD is currently bullish. The weekly and daily however shows that we're in a sell structure.
The objectives below have been clearly outlined.
Objective 1: Refill of the H4 Void. RR 1:6
Objective 2: H4 intermediate lows in line with a H1 Void refill. RR 1:13.
Objective 3: Low of the trading range. If it breaks past this area and closes below on the weekly, we can see further downside with the final target being 1.142. RR for this objective is 1:22.
Psychology. Traps. The reason and the possibility of pump +8200%I made the trading idea about this coin about trading in the channel this afternoon, and I remembered the miracles on the roller coaster of 2.5 years ago on this coin. After all, such games rarely come across in the market to leave such a colorful mark in memories. You do not often see pumps at 19 and 82 x, after accumulating 88 and 100 days. The numbers are not random. Pumping was with an acceptable volume for such a coin.
In my opinion, the project is scam, well, like everything in the crypto world. I absolutely do not believe in anything. I have only cold calculation in trading. No sympathy for scam. In my opinion, all crypto projects including everyone’s favorite “anonymous”, “decentralized” “Beethoven” are frauds, making real money thanks to stupid bidders. But, in addition to “making money” for those who believe that without doing anything, you can become a millionaire. I think the naive point of view is that the "big brother" wants to make all the poor and lazy people millionaires. But they believe in it, because they themselves are such. This faith and inaction will lead to sad consequences. In addition to making money on fools, the crypto market carries more interesting tasks. Which, in case of success of the experiment, will become a reality and the poor will become even poorer, states will receive unlimited power and control.
But, let's get back to this coin. The legend of the project is Blockchain's solution for the global dental industry. The legend, unlike other promising projects, is supported by the principle: “Someday we will turn the mountains”, at least by their activity. Confuses a large number of blocked coins. Which at the time of "X" can bring down the price on all exchanges to zero. Therefore, this coin is not for holding, but for speculation from a good entry point to the planned exit or exit from certain situations in the market. By the way, not one "holder" could not sell not only on the 80X pump, but in general I doubt that 2-3X even on the accumulation price, although I can be mistaken, as after the pump I did not monitor the transaction. Why, I will describe below.
I started trading this coin in late October or early November 2017. Started by accident. On another exchange, I fell into the "trap" that was made on this coin. A book of orders, the entire history of purchases / sales and the trades themselves in the market with bait were also very cleverly made, but here one zero in the price was superfluous. So in a second I remember about $ 600-700 evaporated. I began to understand, I understood what was happening, well, what happened, what happened. By the way, this case in the future made a lot of money, as this action began to be used en masse at one time mainly on exchanges such as Binance and HitBtc when listing coins. Each manipulation against you, with the correct understanding of the essence of the work, can be turned into a weapon against the manipulator.
Everyone can be wrong, including you. Your mistakes are an invaluable experience.
So the initial acquaintance with this coin was not very pleasant for me, but very useful for work in the future. Then I found where this coin is being traded with great liquidity and without "surprises." It turned out the HitBtc exchange. It was evident from the work on the coin that someone on this exchange was gaining a position on this asset. I quietly started to do it too. Immediately in my work I had not a small amount, but when I understood everything what was being done and on what scale, I substantially added money. Every day +10 20% to part of the position. Not a coin, but a cash cow. Paradoxically, no one wrote about this coin anywhere in the chats, including the exchange’s trobox. It was a taboo.
I will say this, this pump at first at 1900% then at 8200% for the majority of those who stuck to this instrument of trading was a big disappointment. Before the growth, after 1.5-2 months of work in accumulation with strong volatility, I increased the initial amount of entry many times. Traded inside the day. At first I copied the actions of the “major player”, but when my position on the coin grew decently - teamwork through numbers. The work is clear, not complicated, without risk.
But the elephant climbed into the market and began to tear down the walls. Perhaps this "elephant" was this major player or the exchange itself. At first, we wanted to keep the price from rising in order to keep the price in the corridor. But nothing came of it. Money forces were not equal.
The biggest disappointment is when about 70% of the position was thwarted by + 300%. I didn’t think that it was possible, as the position was not small, that’s buying + 300% as an obvious not healthy thing. But what happened, it happened. but then the price was pumped up + 1900%
All further price movements I had to work with those coins that remained. It is good that the high price gave a larger spread, and therefore more freedom to manipulate work within the day. Played by what was left. Gradually increasing the number of coins on rising prices. At any moment I could leave the market, like any exit price - for me there was already a profit. Above + 1000% of the accumulation zone the game stopped, I already had enough. That and the liquidity to work a large amount was not there already, the games began for the schedule, but not for earnings. Then the green light is very greedy and stupid people.
Be less greedy than other people and as a result you will be richer than other people.
Let me remind you that the price soared by more than + 8000%. Why did this happen? Why did manage to raise the price? Why were there mostly inadequate buyers, but no sellers? There are several reasons, I will partially describe what happened so that you see similar manipulations in the future and know what to do and what not to do. By the way, similar manipulations are now happening on some coins, I won’t write the name, how it will look like an advertisement. I don’t need that. But, or will they be able to repeat this? More likely no than yes.
___________________________________________________________________
THE REASONS FOR THE HUGE PRICE GROWTH AND THE ABSENCE OF SELLERS.
1) "Killing faith" in a long downtrend. 88 days from the day of listing. The course is just down. (but only for the hamster).
The main thing is to "kill faith" below, "give faith above." In the market, as a rule, those who in the “non-faith” phase say that they do not believe in perspective, in the “faith” phase they will most likely acquire. The world is cyclical, events go in cycles, the flow of the crowd is cyclical, the thinking of the governed lends itself to cycles.
2) Manipulation of the exchange with dcn / eth and dcn / btc pairs. This was the most important manipulation of the discharge of passengers. It was not possible to lower the price; nobody wanted to sell. They were not going to leave even at + 30% and above. In order to strengthen the dump, they announced a delist from the exchange of the dcn / btc pair.
It’s not the understanding of people that they really do not affect the price movement, but are just fuel in someone else’s game, which makes them this fuel for movement.
Whoever had a big position and the corresponding amount of BTC for the terrible visual presentation for hamsters put up walls pouring in them every time a huge sales volume with a gradual price rushing. At that time, the exchange blocked specifically on several days coins on the exchange’s account with many traders. But the panic sat on. Everyone wanted to leave the market, because it was very painful to watch how the price goes down. But they could not do anything, as for "technical reasons" the exchange blocked coins. But major market participants (perhaps the "exchange itself") held the idea of "killing the faith."
3) Bad news in front of the pump . There were a lot of big transfers to the exchange from wallets, many holders also surrendered ... Let me remind you the input / output was opened, but the trading account on this coin was blocked due to the fact that the dcn / btc pair will be delisting soon (those with orders were in this pair). Then, just before the delist of one of the DCN / BTC pairs, when the price dropped significantly by the game, all the accounts of the "traders" were unlocked. Naturally, everyone tried to sell on the market, because soon they would not sell where, as on the other pair there was no liquidity at all. Those who bought up naturally put up weak buy orders, so that hamsters had no hope of a price reversal.
A well-run crowd works like one very stupid person.
The interesting thing is the psychology of the crowd. I’m sure who sold “To get out at any price” after less than 3 weeks they bought from + 1000% and probably many people really got apathy for trading and a feeling of “lost profit” when the price during the pump reached + 8200% (82x) . It is probably painful to realize when you sell at a loss at the lowest price before the pump, and after such a short time you see such an increase.
4) Closed the input / output of coins before pumping coins naturally for "technical reasons". So no holder, with the exception of those who transferred coins to the exchange during the dump and did not have time to sell, could not use this pumped. Holders as always in flight ..
The more stupid a society is, the higher the percentage of earnings in it is for those who are smarter. Do not be one of many, be one among many.
5) After a while, the pair that was delisted from the exchange - DCN / BTC appeared again on the exchange.
6) Good news when pumping. On Twitter, the developers published the news in the manner: “DCN is the last hope of mankind” or “DCN will become the new Bitcoin” and similar nonsense in this spirit. In telegram chats, a similar FUD was also widely used. But the news has never moved or moved the price, they always move with money. News without money does not work. True, the crowd is convinced of the opposite.
6) The first pump at 1900% (19X). So called "Hamster Pump" , but my tongue does not turn + 1900% to call a hamster pump. But in this situation on this coin it was. I think any sane would go out without slowing down at such a price increase.
Then, after this pump, another pump happened, from the accumulation zone + 8200%. There were definitely no passengers on this pump anymore, therefore it was possible to raise the price in such a way by buying out own orders and making appearances of trade by luring hamsters.
Your first enemy is a lack of experience and knowledge. Your second enemy is greed and a sense of lost profits.
7) The presence of a lot of money from those who controlled the price. Without a good amount, this was not possible. You also need to consider that in addition to money (btc), it was necessary to have DCN coins "two or three bags" in order to direct the price. I think you understand who in this situation is the biggest player and initially has the most coins. Without an initially large position, it is very difficult for a trader to accumulate a large position in a short time, although in exceptional cases it is possible.
8) A clear, thoughtful, phased work plan for the manipulators in advance. Good knowledge of the psychology and thinking of the crowd.
This is an old thing, but it is possible for the conscious work and understanding of what is happening in reality in the bidding you will find this information useful. I think you understand that the exchange itself is partially involved in this manipulation. I do not think that exchanges will no longer sin by such manipulations. Be careful, be smart, don't be a herd.
If you understand what is happening in the trade - take part in the trade, if you do not understand - watch from the side.
I wish you all productive study and great profit in trade.
UPDATE: EURUSD Long MANIPULATIONAfter this clear manipulation candle closed back in the range, I'm confident price will now rise.
Bear in mind we are at the bottom of a long uptrend, there is a lot of weight on the market, please use appropriate risk management for a reversal trade.
Let me know your thoughts.
Active Price Suppression in Action1 Minute View
Alameda Research was trusted with 2.7 Billion REEF on March 8th, paying a 20% discount on what was already a fair price, on the grounds that the upcoming project would garner the support of FTX and the Alameda team. On that day, the monthly volume weighted average price was about $0.037035/REEF which means that they had an average position of approximately $0.029630/REEF. On March 15th, most if not all of their coins were dumped onto the market in what is most likely an attempt to bring the price below their original entry in order to not only profit, but to retake their original position or a more advantageous one.
In general, the volume weighted average price acts as a resistance line that flips the acceleration of the price movement into reverse. Institutional trading groups such as Citadel, Alameda, and pretty much any successful hedge fund will use this indicator with higher regard than others. In order to influence the confidence rating of a price movement, there must be significant volume behind the movement on the most active platform trading it and with 2.7 billion units of fuel they had no problem robbing the general population of traders with most, if not all of their holdings. The monthly VWAP was on the verge of rising to continue REEF's bull cycle and Alameda knew it. In order to prevent this, they suppressed the VWAP bounce; locking it into a short, downward cycle by manipulating the moving averages.
A strategic investor knows how to facilitate the growth of a coin's market cap and how to take profit at the same time with responsible dumping techniques. This was no nurturing investment and it is plain to see that it was all just a quick OTC cash grab by Alameda. Startups have also forced the facilitation of growth by enforcing a token unlock schedule to avoid complete and immediate rugs. While the REEF team's inexperience and naivete are definitely contributing factors to this mess, Alameda's malicious opportunism is ultimately why this happened. I don't think that the REEF team will be so careless as to let this happen to them again, but the scars on the charts are going to stay visible until they heal over time.
To any upcoming team of cryptocurrency engineers and innovators, I have to warn you. The only thing I learned about the whole $REEF fiasco is that doing business with #AlamedaResearch is a liability to your coin. Give them no special consideration and make them buy from #uniswap liquidity pools like everyone else. #boycottFTX
Disclaimer: I have a relatively small, long position in REEF that is 20% above Alameda Research's position. I was not aware of Alameda's interest at the time of purchase.
The GME Fiasco Demonstrates the Need for RavencoinYou are probably aware of the unprecedented events surrounding Gamestop stock, retail investors, a potential short squeeze, and market manipulation by institutions. Thousands of retail investors like myself lost out on what could have been hundreds of thousands of dollars in gains on GME stock due to illegal abuses of the influence that brokerages and hedge funds have.
The legislation is already in place to prevent the naked shorting that led to GME being shorted 140% of float, but it still happened. The legislation is in place to prevent the unbalanced and severe effects that Robin Hood had on GME stock by blocking buy orders for GME and not blocking sells. But it still happened. The potential for the short squeeze was a mathematical inevitability, and even now the brokerages admit that the price could have climbed into the thousands, had not the price been tanked by the halt of buy orders. But it hasn't happened, and may never happen now.
We may see some punishment doled out for this, but we'll never see the money we should have made, which for most retail investors would have been life-changing. The issue therefore is not with the laws, but with the limitations with law itself. Rules against this kind of inequitable market influence and mechanical control over trading are not sufficient to prevent it. The only thing that can truly prevent it is that the conditions for this inequity don't exist in the first place. That is what decentralized finance provides.
The cryptocurrency Ravencoin (RVN) is commonly referred to as being to assets (like stock, gold, art, etc.) what Bitcoin is to money. Ravencoin is built such that asset tokens can be created to represent real assets, either in the generic sense (i.e. many identical gold bars) or in the specific sense (i.e. particular works of art within the larger asset of "art"). Such a system can be used to distribute, buy and sell stocks. It could be also be used to distribute dividends, and even potentially handle the options market.
Were such a decentralized system in place, no institution or individual would have the power to shut down the activities of other traders or manipulate stock in the way that Robinhood and other brokerages have in the GME fiasco. Regardless of the laws in place, this wouldn't have happened had the stock been represented by Ravencoin assets rather than paper certificates. As the continued democratization of finance grows and more average people enter the markets, the protections that cryptocurrencies and decentralized financial systems offer will be more and more crucial in pushing that forward.
I have invested in Ravencoin not only because of the potential profit from that growing movement but also because I like technology and believe in the principles it can be used to uphold, of fairness and liberty. If you got into crypto now you would still be early!
Disclosure: This is opinion, not advice. I have positions in both Gamestop and Ravencoin.