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Macroeconomics

THE BIG SHORT: UPDATE - The Big BTC ShortThe steep angle of ascent as seen in this most recent BTC bull run has occured only twice since 2018 (longer term daily chart), both seeing BTC trade sub $4k vs. USD within the coming weeks. - Break of trendline support would be confirmation that BTC bulls have exhausted and an equally vicious downside swing is in store - Shorts on breakouts below the recent uptrend support level open the door high r:r opportunities - Holding medium to long term short positions with stops above 20k barrier and likely to add to position on a breakout below the recent extreme angle of ascent on trendline support as its provides confirmation of most likely choppy price action followed by a steep downtrend in BTC Long run, I am long BTC...swing trades on short or long side are to accumulate more BTC holdings. Trades are based on top down macro-economic fundamentals with technicals primarily applied for risk mgmt purposes to attain high r:r setups
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by skoracle
UP OR DOWN?INTEREST RATES WOULD RISE IF PRICES WERE TRULY DETERMINED BY FREE MARKET SUPPLY AND DEMAND! BUT THE CENTRAL BANKS WILL MONETIZE EVERY GOVERNMENT BOND IN EXISTENCE BEFORE THEY ALLOW YIELDS TO ENDANGER THE SOLVENCY OF ANY GOVERNMENT! IF THERE IS AN EXPLOSION IN YIELDS, FORCING CENTRAL BANKS TO ENGAGE IN UNPRECEDENTED LEVELS OF MONETIZATION, THIS WILL UNDERMINE FAITH IN THE PURCHASING POWER OF CURRENCY, LEADING TO A COMPLETE SELL-OFF IN ALL BOND MARKETS, FORCING OVERALL INTEREST RATES MUCH HIGHER! THE INEVITABLE OUTCOME OF ALL THE ACTIONS OF THE CENTRAL BANKS AND THE OVERALL IMPLOSION OF THE FINANCIAL SYSTEM IS CLEAR: HYPERINFLATION!
TVC:US10YShort
by UnknownUnicorn4195243
HYPERINFLATION! VOLATILITY!AMERICAN EQUITIES ARE SO COMPLETELY OVERVALUED, THEIR SHARES NO LONGER REFLECT ANY SEMBLANCE OF ECONOMIC REALITY OR POTENTIAL PROFITABILITY! DESPITE THIS THEY MAY VERY WELL MAKE NEW ALL-TIME HIGHS, BUT ADJUSTED FOR INFLATION (THE ACTUAL RATE, OF COURSE), THEY WILL BE IMPLODING! THIS IS BECAUSE THE DOLLAR WILL FALL SO HARD, ALL PRICES WILL RISE! THE UNCERTAINTY OF THE ELECTION AND THE COMPLETELY VAPORIZED GLOBAL ECONOMY WILL OF COURSE CREATE A GREAT AMOUNT OF VOLATILITY IN ALL MARKETS! BUT OUTSIDE OF BONDS, ALL PRICES WILL INEVITABLY EXPLODE! THIS IS THE SCENARIO THAT MANY EXPERTS HAVE BEEN PREDICTING FOR DECADES! IF YOU DO NOT ALREADY HAVE FORMS OF PROTECTION, IT MAY ALREADY BE TOO LATE!
TVC:DJILong
by UnknownUnicorn4195243
2
DOLLAR IMPLOSION!THERE IS SIMPLY TOO MUCH EVIDENCE SUGGESTING AN IMMINENT DOLLAR CRASH! FISCAL DEFICITS, FEDERAL RESERVE DEBT MONETIZATION, AN UNSOUND ECONOMY, CIVIL UNREST, POLITICAL DIVISION AND AN OVERALL ABANDONMENT OF TRADITIONAL AMERICAN VALUES ARE ALL DOMESTIC FACTORS DIMINISHING DEMAND FOR THE U$D AND SLOWLY ERODING ITS RESERVE CURRENCY STATUS! I BELIEVED THE DOLLAR WOULD SHOW STRENGTH HEADING INTO 2021 (AFTER ACCURATELY PREDICTING A CRASH DURING 2020), AND THIS MAY STILL OCCUR, BUT I NOW BELIEVE THE ELECTION AND THE EVENTS THAT WILL SUBSEQUENTLY UNFOLD WILL TRIGGER A TOTAL IMPLOSION OF DOLLAR EXCHANGE RATES!
TVC:DXYShort
by UnknownUnicorn4195243
SILVER REMAINS KING! HYPERINFLATION!SILVER IS AND WILL BE THE BEST PERFORMING ASSET OF THE 2020s! PRECIOUS METALS HAVE SHARPLY INCREASED IN PRICE DUE TO RISING INFLATION EXPECTATIONS! OIL REMAINS CHEAP BECAUSE OF BROKEN AND DYING GLOBAL TRADE! OTHER COMMODITY PRICES ARE INCREASING AS SUPPLY CHAINS COME UNDER PRESSURE AND DEMAND IS FUELED BY CREDIT EXPANSION AND GOVERNMENT DEFICITS! CORPORATE BOND PRICES ARE BEING JAWBONED HIGHER BY CENTRAL BANK OFFICIALS AND THEIR OFF-THE-BALANCE SHEET MANIPULATION! REAL ESTATE BOND PRICES ARE ONLY SLIGHTLY LOWER AS URBAN AND COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE MARKETS HAVE ESSENTIALLY IMPLODED BUT CENTRAL BANK INTERVENTION IN CREDIT MARKETS HAS PREVENTED A COMPLETE CREDIT FREEZE AND SELL-OFF...FOR NOW! GOVERNMENT BOND PRICES REMAIN ELEVATED AS UNCERTAINTY AND ILLIQUIDITY HAVE PUSHED CAPITAL INTO DEFENSIVE ASSETS AND CENTRAL BANKS HAVE MONETIZED DEFICITS AT AN UNPRECEDENTED PACE, BUT INFLATION EXPECTATIONS, ESPECIALLY FROM ABROAD, HAVE PREVENTED A FURTHER FALL IN YIELDS! MEANWHILE, EQUITIES HAVE BEEN BID HIGHER THROUGH CURRENCY DARK POOLS AND FEDERAL EXPENDITURE! THE GLOBAL ECONOMY HAS ENTERED THE GREATER DEPRESSION, AS MANY EXPERTS PREDICTED WOULD HAPPEN FOR YEARS! HOW THE NEXT DECADE PLAYS OUT WILL BE THE DEFINING EVENT OF OUR LIFETIMES! HYPERINFLATION IS NOT ONLY POSSIBLE BUT LIKELY!
TVC:SPX
by UnknownUnicorn4195243
ON THE VERGE OF BANKRUPTCY!FRANCE HAS THE HIGHEST DEBT LEVELS ON EARTH! ITALY HAS ARGUABLY THE SLOWEST GROWTH ON EARTH ADJUSTED FOR INFLATION AND GOVERNMENT DEFICITS! THEIR LARGEST BANKS REFLECT THIS! BOTH ARE APPROACHING THE KEY 5$ LIQUIDATION PRICE! OF COURSE, IT IS FAR FROM RIDICULOUS TO SUGGEST THESE BANKS WILL NOT BE ALLOWED TO FAIL, AS THEY POSE SYSTEMIC RISK TO THE ENTIRE GLOBAL FINANCIAL SYSTEM! IN FACT, THE ACTIONS OF THE EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK DURING 2020, ALL UNDER THE GUISE OF "PANDEMIC RELIEF", WERE MOST LIKELY AIMED AT SUPPORTING THESE FAILING ENTITIES BY ALLOWING THEM TO OFFLOAD THEIR GARBAGE ASSETS! THE REPO MARKET TROUBLES SEEN IN SEPTEMBER WERE LIKELY TIED TO A NUMBER OF BANKS, THESE 2 INCLUDED, FAILING TO RECEIVE OVERNIGHT LIQUIDITY DUE TO THE AWFUL QUALITY OF THEIR POSTED COLLATERAL! THIS IS EXACTLY WHAT OCCURRED IN JAPAN, THE CENTRAL BANK SUPPORTED FINANCIAL ENTITIES WITH ZERO CHANCE OF EVERY BEING PROFITABLE, CREATING THE INFAMOUS "ZOMBIE COMPANIES"! THEY CONTINUED TO OPERATE, BUT THEIR SHARE PRICES NEVER RECOVERED AS THEY ESSENTIALLY HAD NO PROFITS TO PAY OUT! DO NOT BUY STOCK FROM SMART MONEY THAT SEES THE RISK AND IS EITHER SHORT SELLING OR JUMPING SHIP!
EURONEXT:GLE
by UnknownUnicorn4195243
2