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Macdivergence

GBPCAD Divergence LongThe 1d chart on the GBPCAD is showing lots of divergence. The ADX is also falling indicating a large movement could be coming soon. With all the resistance there is a high probability that it will go long. Also the 4h 40 and 110 EMA are about to cross showing a great probability of a long. Both pairs are very weak right now so wait a little bit to see what goes happpens. So possibly a short term downtrend with a long term uptrend. AGAIN WAIT BEFORE YOU TRADE THIS PAIR. The weakness in both pairs makes it unpredictable. But in a few days to a week defiantly long.
Long
by Eliphaz
Looking for a short that wont go up as the S&P recovers? KODK is circling the drain. Their balance sheet and quarterly income is very unimpressive; they don't look like the books of a company on a rebound but rather a company winding down operations. Q4 2014 they had $260m~ assets over liabilities, that number is down to a scant $75m~. During the same period, cost of revenue is down about 17% vs revenue being down 'only' 13% but that's not terribly impressive. Don't get me wrong, I like film cameras. Working in a dark room to print your own photos is great. But it is a niche market that doesn't match up with Kodak's half billion market cap (they don't even make cameras mind you!) The film market is dominated by Polaroid, toy cameras, and pre-owned sales. Film and paper are not a monopoly for Kodak in the 21st century with Fuji, Ilford and others long pushing Kodak out of frame. This chart shows Kodak's next slide. The 1 day MACD is already breaking negative and the chart below is the 3-day MACD showing that the leveling/upturn from the start of this year is over. Kodak may as well have agreed to sell their wares exclusively at Radioshack. Much of what their current business is (business services etc) doesn't have the same economies of scale that Xerox and others have. They could have held some patents and licensed the remainder to get some revenue streams but it's too late now. Maybe Kodak is already "winding down" and doesn't want to acknowledge it publicly. They don't have to wind down to zero; they can still be a single factory film manufacturer, making a tidy profit for a few dozen employees. But a half billion dollar multinational? Sorry, but that image is fading fast. Bottom line: Buy put options for as far out as possible and sit on them---Take a higher strike price (>$8) if you are looking for a cheap bet, low strike price if you are looking for a super cheap bet.
NYSE:KODKShort
by RyanMartin
Short EURGBP: Bearish Crab at TL ResistanceEURGBP has entered the PRZ of a bearish crab. Long-term trendline resistance may add to the probability of reversal in this area. MACD has printed bearish divergence as well as RSI being overbought to add to bearish bias. Entry is placed at 1.618XA with SL at 1.786XA and target at .382CD. Bearish Confluence: Bearish Crab Long-term trendline resistance 4AB=CD 5BC Projection Bearish MACD Divergence RSI Overbought 1.272 structure projection
Short
by glennmercer
Long CADJPY: Crab + Bat + AB=CD + Fan + Pivots + SR + DivergenceCADJPY has entered the PRZ of a series of bullish harmonic patterns in an area of strong support. The PRZ, which is formed by the combined reversal zones of a bullish bat and crab, may also be tested near the .5 Fibonacci speed fan line for an added level of time-based support. On a larger TF, a bullish AB=CD pattern is complete in the center of the PRZ. There is also a weekly .618 Fibonacci retracement level from structure low to structure high in this area. Five missed weekly pivots and one missed monthly pivot sit above price to add to the bullish bias. In addition to all of these factors, bullish divergence is printed on both the MACD and RSI oscillators. Entry is placed at the .618 retracement level with a stop loss below the S/R zone. Target is placed at .382CD (AB=CD pattern) which coincides precisely with the nearest missed weekly pivot and significant structure highs. This setup yields a R/R of about 3:1. Confluence in the PRZ: Bullish AB=CD pattern completion Bullish bat pattern completion Bullish crab pattern completion 2.5BC projection (bat + crab) 2.5AB=CD (bat + crab) .5 Fibonacci speed fan support Strong S/R Zone .618 weekly fib retracement level 5 missed weekly pivots above price Missed July, 2015 pivot above price Bullish RSI divergence Bullish MACD divergence Thanks for your continued support and don't forget to follow for future updates and more trade ideas!
Long
by glennmercer
8
Short EURUSD: Bat + S/R + Divergence + Overbought + Weekly PivotEURUSD is nearing the PRZ of a bearish bat in a significant area of S/R. MACD is also printing divergence in addition to RSI being overbought. A missed weekly pivot sits below price and is confluent with a larger .5 retracement. Entry is placed at the bottom of the PRZ with a SL above 1.13XA and targets at .618CD and the missed weekly pivot. Confluence in the PRZ: Bearish bat pattern completion 2.5AB=CD 2.618BC projection S/R Zone RSI Overbought Bearish MACD Divergence Missed weekly pivot below price
Short
by glennmercer
7
Valeant Pharma: Moving back downVRX may, at first glance, look like the bloodshed is over and is moving to recovery. Not just yet. The daily MACD and StochRSI are inching toward sell indicators (see screenshot) and despite the markets upward movements today (Mon 12/14), VRX's recovery was pretty modest as more shareholders exit as they see the fall incoming. Bottom line: Put options are a possability for short-term holding if you have the risk appetite. If you don't, then definitely wait to buy (back) in if you have been considering it. If you're holding this in hopes of shaving some of your losses or bought thinking it was recovery time, sell. Sometimes the most profitable thing you can do is take a loss. VRX's financials aren't bad by any means, but they're product pipeline is pretty weak. Consider Addyi, the "female viagra": in the first month on the market only 224 rx's for it were sold. The market is very narrow since it is only considered safe in post-menopausal women who don't drink and think its pretty dramatic side-effect profile is worth the risk. VRX has even hired on a crisis-management firm in response to antipicated F.T.C action in regard to their pricing practices. Valeant should have never reached as high as it did and now the correction is coming. VRX has been around a while but thier $31bln market cap is absurd. They have a price to earnings of 54(!), an earning per share <$2, and still have a fairly high debt-to-assets ratio. Compare those stats to Shire who is $38bln but have an earning per share of $15, and a price-to-earnings of only $12.21.
VShort
by RyanMartin
Long EURUSD: 1H Bat Complete in 4H Gartley PRZEURUSD has completed a bullish bat pattern inside of the PRZ of a larger TF bullish Garltey. Moving into the bat PRZ, RSI and MACD have printed bullish divergence. To add to the bullish bias, an unhit pivot cluster sits above price and coincides with .382 retracement of the Gartley CD leg. Targets are placed at .382 and .618 retracements of CD. SL is placed below Gartley point X and outside of the PRZ of a potential bullish crab pattern. Confluence in the PRZ: Bullish Gartley pattern completion 1.272BC (Gartley) AB=CD pattern completion (Gartley) Bullish bat pattern completion 2BC (bat) 1.618AB=CD (bat) Unhit weekly pivot above price Unhit monthly pivot above price Bullish RSI divergence Bullish MACD divergence
Long
by glennmercer
2
CADJPY Short: Gartley + Pitchfork + Wolfe Wave to PivotsCADJPY is nearing the completion of a bearish Gartley pattern. The Gartley PRZ is confluent with pitchfork support. A completed bearish Wolfe Wave adds to the bearish bias. RSI and MACD are showing bearish divergence moving into the PRZ. SL is placed above point X of the Gartley pattern and a cluster of pivots lies below price, providing a nice target. Confluence in the PRZ: Bearish Gartley pattern completion 1.272BC projection AB=CD pattern completion Pitchfork resistance Bearish RSI divergence Bearish MACD divergence Unhit weekly and monthly pivot clustered below price Bearish Wolfe Wave complete Pitchfork Resistance (D1 TF): Thanks for your support and don't forget to click the thumbs up button and follow for future updates and more trade ideas!
Short
by glennmercer
GBP/JPY DOUBLE TOP FORMING ON 1HR TIME FRAME?GBP/JPY IS APPROACHING SIGNIFICANT RESISTANCE AT 194.59, OFFERING A LOW RISK SHORT TRADE AS A DOUBLE TOP MAY POTENTIALLY FORM. PRICE ACTION PREVIOUSLY SUGGESTED THE 194.59 LEVEL WAS PROTECTED BY SELLERS, A REJECTION OF R1 AGAIN EXPOSES THE DOWNSIDE OF 190.97 (S1) - A BREAK OF THE SHORT TERM TRENDLINE THAT HAS FORMED WOULD ADD EXTRA CONFIRMATION OF FURTHER SELLING. S1 OFFERS A GOOD PROFIT TAKING AREA AS IT IS THE 0.382 RETRACE OF THE ORIGINAL 185.00 (S3) SWING LOW AND THE 194.50 SWING HIGH (R1), A BREAK OF THIS LEVEL WOULD EXPOSE 189.20's. THE 150 DAY MA HAS BEEN ACTING AS SHORT TERM SUPPORT FOR THE PAIR, A BREAK OF THE 150 MA, AND A CROSSOVER OF THE MA'S WOULD ADD FURTHER CONFIRMATION OF SHORT TERM SELLING. CURRENTLY THE SHORT TERM 16 DAY MA IS POINTING TO THE DOWNSIDE. ORDERS ARE BEST PLACED JUST BELOW R1 AT 194.41, IF PRICE REVERSES PRIOR TO THIS LEVEL ENTRIES CAN BE MOVED TO THE AREA OF THE TRENDLINE BREAK - STOPS CAN REMAIN ABOVE R1. SAFE TRADING.
Short
by JoeNeilCarey
Using an old method on daily BTCUSDI graphed the trend-line of the histogram for the MACD/Signal Line. There's a characteristic double peak (triple if you count lull in change of price movement after the big peak) that shows a trend reversal. This says to me a downward trend for the next few weeks at least. On the up side, the daily is still above a green (though thin) ichimoku cloud. This says to me we probably will see a fall in price, but a major crash would require a breach of the main support for this upwards trend.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by berkona
3