XAUUSD 2H TA : 06.09.22 (NEW)Examining the important supply and demand zones in GOLD : Appealing ranges for the BUY and SELL positions are marked on the chart. Feel free to Ask if you have any questions.
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👤 Arman Shaban : @ArmanShabanTrading
📅 06.09.2022
⚠️(DYOR)
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LUNA
Cross-Exchange Crypto Arbitrages Opportunities AnalysisDue to the inefficiency that still exist within the new crypto industry, large arbitrages exist especially during periods of volatility . Presenting risk-minimal trading opportunities for individuals, sometimes without the need to hold the token/crypto asset for very long at all.
Trading-view did not allow me to share less then 15min timeframe chart, but to analysis arbitrages you need a much smaller time-frame, for example as i examine in 1 minute time-frames below:
The first chart show the price differences between different exchanges for the same asset (easy enough for anyone to setup, just subtract price on one exchange from the price on another for the same token pair). Whilst the second chart shows a small circle / dot whenever an arbitrage of more then 1% opportunity occurs, with the y-axis showing the percentage differences (or gains to be made) from that pairing. If that difference is greater than set 'min_profitability' a label will also pop up with showing which exchange to BUY (or LONG) and which exchange to SELL (or SHORT) the asset to gain this arbitrage profit (eg. >1% - fee's). The labels will remain as long as thats the most recent opportunities for those exchanges, and disappear when a new opportunity arises on that exchange pairing.
To take advantage of this tool:
1. Setup custom charts like i did. And then your 'var' set, go to 'settings' and it gives you options; where you put the name of different exchanges you would like to use (followed by a ":") and then whatever crypto asset(pairing) you want to trade. Eg. in this example i have put BINANCE:LUNABUSD as the first option, KUCOIN:LUNAUSDT , etc.. but you could pick lots of different ones, looking for whatever has good patterns and sufficient liquidity. My tips: i first go to crypto screener: ( www.tradingview.com ), and sort out based on certain criteria, including '24 hour trade volume' > X amount, Volatility > X% amount etc, looking for pairs that have high volatility (means will have lot more arbitrage opportunities) and the exchange/pair have sufficient trade volume & liquidity to allow for high frequency and high enough volume trades to occur. At the time of posting this, OKCOIN:LUNCUSD , COINBASE:OMGUSD , BINANCE:THETAUSDT , BINANCE:GMTUSDT are other examples that have very high volatility. Even INDEX:BTCUSD showed some high volatility this week, and as such would be suitable.
2. Then you can do one of three things here:
Option (a) Bot-trading : to analysis opportunities for using a arbitrage bot find the pair with the best pulsating or radio frequency look. Or in other words an exchange and crypto pair that has a good high frequency pulse (the blue in this example as such is the best exchange pairs). Also not necessarily want the pair with highest arbitrage as you need a pairing that moves above and below the 0 (zero-line) frequently, so it can do lot of trades both ways for example Exchange A > Exchange B (A.BUY > B.SELL) and then (A.SELL >N.BUY), to keep rebalancing the portfolio or holdings of crypto asset or stable-coin in the exchanges so trades can keep occurring frequently and arbitrage profits can be realised. Then you can also examine the pulses and find at what percentage the pulses 'candles' tends to cross or hit above/below the most frequent (or is the most profitable on analysis over a 24hour window) to config your bot. In this case the green lines the blue one tends to hit frequently, so as such this would be the min profitability config i set for the bot on this exchange pairing. This strategy might hold more risk as need to hold both currencies on all exchanges to do it. This approach could also be done manually, if doing it manually set up ALERTS for whenever the dots occur (arbitrage opportunities) which will signal a notification on your tradingview app (computer and/or phone) informing you what trades to make and then do those.
Option (b) Manually Transfer Between Exchanges: the method that Sam Bankman-Fried first got rich and famous for doing with his Alameda Research company before he founded FTX ( finance.yahoo.com ). To do this strategy look for the one with the big arbitrages that hold for a long-time, and manually buy the crypto on exchange 1 (↑) that is the lowest, and then transfer it over manually to sell it on exchange 2 (↓). On this one example, an arbitrage between HUOBI:LUNAUSDT & BINANCE:LUNABUSD of 12.5% occurred today and it has also held up that arbitrage (>2%) for most of the day. If more then one pair is in arbitrage, then you can repeat across a 3rd exchange, before coming over to the first exchange again. This way you balance out all your assets (across the exchanges) back to where they were to start with. Make sure to pick ones that hold their arbitrage for a long-time, so have time to buy, transfer, and sell, then withdraw Fiat or stable-coin back, and exchanges that allow easy withdrawals. Try pick exchanges that have the same bank, or even use the same bank as you do, so withdrawals back to your bank are fast / near instantaneous. The purple in this example is following similar pattern to the KimChi and Japan premiums that Sam Bankman-Fried took advantage of actually, as that is Huobi exchange (a Chinese exchange) which tends to show differences due to different peak trade (liquidity) periods compared to exchanges with Americans and European trading during different time-zones.
Option (c) Derivative Hedge: : probably has the lowest risk. Here to use derivatives or perpetual contracts, and go LONG on the cheaper exchange and go SHORT on the higher priced exchange, so no cross-exchange transfers of assets are needed to re-balance your portfolio across the exchanges, and there is no need to hold onto a possibly risky/highly volatile asset neither. So for this example pick the purple one and then wait until the arbitrage stops, or the difference between the two exchanges comes back near to 0, which you can see on the chart, and then close the positions and thus making the arbitrage gains, and closing off to not hold any crypto. And wait until the peak arbitrage occurs again to open up the two positions again. A hybrid of this can be utilised to minimise your risk in Option (b) to, so open up a SHORT hedge on the exchange once you BUY that crypto and keep that SHORT open until you manage to SELL and withdraw on the other exchange so that you don't risk loses from a sudden price movements of the underlying asset.
Developed by Shane (Laowai Koala on Hummingbot's Discord): Im a sports physiotherapist and Masters in Data Analytics university student (not at all a financial expert), whom is just practicing some coding and data science skills. Still learning, and trying hypothesis out to make easier for anyone. As such this is just opinions and not financial advise, and also may have some bugs in the indicator script code i still need to improve or fix up before its open source (patience is a virtue).
Lunc Luna D F E G worth $0. Big dump incoming for LUNC; it is worth nothing big scam.. every pump is exit pump
LUNA BULL TRAP ONCE AGAIN! WATCH THIS BACK TESTING & HISTORY 👇LUNA is a Smart scam as mentioned earlier many people wanted to become millionaires with this DIP or Hard crush but the truth is this was rugged very smartly where people never wants to accept the fact while they have invested heavy into this shit scam. So with my previous analysis I have clearly mentioned that LUNA2.0 will never work again. The project has broken the trust built within the community.
And here is my chart and what I see on this shit show right now. So the recent pump is for another wipe out. People are starting to gamble again and again on LUNA where many retailers are going to get trapped into this. Try your luck and throw only what you can afford to lose. Expecting another new low soon after this fake rally. Good Luck!
📊Will crypto be banned in the U.S.? Rumors of a new crypto law!A document about the new crypto regulation in the U.S. began spreading in the social media on Monday night.
📊The document is almost 600 pages long, and here is a summary:
🔸 Compliances, DAOs, exchanges, and stablecoin providers would have to become registered entities
🔸 Security laws have been re-painted with clarity, and a host of assets have been re-classified as commodities under the CFTC.
🔸 Compliance costs are proposed to be risen. Investors might have to indirectly bear the burden of the same as exchanges would try to recover the same via higher fees
🔸Bankruptcy definitions have also been changed. Per the bill, assets deposited would get returned to users and not liquidated.
🔸Fee offsetting rules mean exchanges would have to pay the government from fees, and the same would likely escalate costs.
🔸 The proposal also gives depository institutions the right to issue stablecoins.
📈Are the crypto regulations positive or negative for the crypto market The market will be increasingly safer for the retail and institutional investor and what used to discourage will now only attract. For example, Binance has been cleared and passed all inspections in major EU countries. This will only speed up the adaptation of crypto into the normal life of a person who is not even connected with crypto. So it`s a positive.
For example, China, having banned mining and crypto, is trying to regulate and oppose new technologies. The U.S. is trying to adapt new technologies, that is why the economy of this country remains No.1 in the world, and 90% of investment funds are located there.
📈Why should we keep an eye on these trends? What the U.S. starts, eventually adapts in all countries of the world: India, Australia, Pakistan, Malaysia, EU countries, Ukraine, Nigeria and many other developed and developing countries.
The regulation of cryptocurrencies will lead to positive long-term consequences, as a large number of blockchain-based products have been created for fintech, agriculture, retail etc.
What do you think about new possible crypto regulations? Will it help the crypto to grow for the next 2-4 years? Share your ideas in the comment!
💻Friends, press the "like"👍 button, write comments and share with your friends - it will be the best THANK YOU.
📊LINK: does the breakout of the range could lead to the DUMP?Hi friends! Using data from the on-chain analysis you can see that large wallets accumulate LINK for the long term. What can help them to continue this? Of course the trap for the retail traders.
📊After the "good" news about the product development of the alts someone sell a lot of Link`s and retail traders buy it. the bars on the volume indicator are almost reach the level of the previous highs when the dump happen. It`s a HUGE VOLUME, so pay attention to the short scenario which i marked on the chart.
🔥How can this happen? The price break the trading renge where the key level is the top of the range. After the small pullback the price break it again and reach the closest value (resistance) area of $8.61-8.91.
📈I think that the price after the return to the trendline can break it down and reach first value (support) area of $6.96-7.13.
📈If Bitcoin also starts falling it push other alts to the support areas, so in this case Link can fall even to the second value area of $6.30-6.57.
💻Friends, press the "like"👍 button, write comments and share with your friends - it will be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. Personally, I open an entry if the price shows it according to my strategy.
Always do your analysis before making a trade.
🔥XRP: is a bull trap possible? Where to open a trade?Hi friends! Is a bull trap possible and where to open a trade? Which scenario should you follow? In this idea about Ripple i`ll try to answer the questions.
📈On the chart, I've marked the trend line to which the price is squeezing. After the false breakout there was no deep pullback, which is positive for the bulls. But what else should we pay attention to? The bulls accumulate long positions every time the price falls, as you can see in the volume indicator.
📊And here the main question! Do they become fuel for the price fall and sell off their XRP at a loss? As long as the market isn't in a trend, that's to be expected. Watch for a false breakout of the trend line and the volume indicator. Volumes growth will show that the bulls have accumulated a position on a trendline breakout, and on a false breakout they will sell out, which is a good opportunity for us to open a short.
✅Targets. I think that the price can reach at least $0.34-0.37 liquidity gap.
📊Also, a scenario with a squeeze under the trend line and a breakout is possible , but before that there should definitely be a bear trap with the same volume growth.
✅Targets:
0.42-0.43 - value zone, local highs
0.46-0.47 - liquidity gap, important price levels
💻Friends, press the "like"👍 button, write comments and share with your friends - it will be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. Personally, I open an entry if the price shows it according to my strategy.
Always do your analysis before making a trade.
LUNAUSD LONGSeeing the crash on Luna one might think it's the end of it's existence but in reality it's a great opportunity for holders as this is one of those life changing opportunities, price is currently @ $0.70 if you would wait for price to go back to $0.80 then buy you'll get price at a truly great value! see you on the other side!!!
Luna price growthIn the previous analysis (attached link) it was stated that the third downward wave will end on June 6. After the end of this wave, the upward movement of the price is expected to continue around $ 7.4 until June 9. After that, if the price can break this resistance area with force, the price on June 13 can be around $ 12, otherwise the price will fall again and on June 13 it can touch $ 4.5 again.
FTM/Fantom short signal🔥#FTM
▪️Fantom is overbought according to the RSI indicator, technically it has a chance for a pump, but if you look at bitcoin in a complex, I think you should not hope for growth in the near future.
💎Expect a decline to $0.3000 support
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ADA/Cardano for those who are catching the bottom, wait!🔥#ADA #Cardano
▪️In the near future, I expect a drop of -30%. Using only technical analysis, not only the coin itself, but also the main cryptocurrency.
💎 I think you should refrain from buying assets and wait a bit.
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LUNC 1 hr chart... not much but enough to see short termLUNC 1 hr chart...the reason for the 1hr time frame
is bc there is hardly any data on this new asset...
Strong community which is great but lets see
what we have here. Stoch RSI is pretty high
sitting above 80, so if this can cool off between
.00008559 and .00008067 and then make a move
up into the first consolidation zone, that would be a
nice bullish move. supports and price targets
are the yellow lines listed.
Bitcoin we dive, friends!🔥#BTC
💎The last bitcoin forecast was not long in coming, it immediately worked out showing growth.
▪️ Bitcoin is currently trading at $31,500. I think it is worth thinking about closing positions, since I do not expect a strong growth further, I am aiming for a fall, other sources speak about this, where you can see the accumulation of orders for a fall.
Watch the chart carefully.
Remember, there is no place for luck in trading - only strategy!
Thanks for the likes and comments.
📈MATIC: will the bulls finally show their strength?Hi friends! In order to understand what will happen to the price of Polygon(MATIC) next, let's look at the history and where its fall stopped. This is the key level of the previous ATH of $0.54. The volume indicator shows that here long traders closed their trades to breakeven, and short traders, closed their trades in profit. That's why there was such a price rebound.
📊Now the price returned to the trend line, from which it had already bounced back several times. This is a good signal, it means that the bulls gain their power back.
Pay attention to the volume indicator when the price rebounds to the trend line - the volumes should increase, which will indicate that the traders' willingness to buy and to move the price higher.
✅The closest target is the liquidity gap of $0.75-0.79. Also in this area are stop-losses of short traders and take-profits of long traders, which can lead to a false breakout and price fall, so watch out for this liquidity gap.
When the scenario starts to be clear, I will make a new idea so you can open a trade in time.
💻Friends, press the "like"👍 button, write comments and share with your friends - it will be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. Personally, I open an entry if the price shows it according to my strategy.
Always do your analysis before making a trade.