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Fundamental Analysis in Forex Trading Economic indicators and announcements are an essential part of fundamental analysis. Even if you’re not planning on finding trades using fundamentals, it’s a good idea to pay attention to how the overall economy is performing. Here’s a cheat sheet covering six key indicators and announcements to watch out for. 1. Non-farm payrolls (NFP) The non-farm payrolls report estimates the net number of jobs gained in the US in the previous month – excluding those in farms, private households and non-profit organisations. 2. Consumer price index (CPI) The chief measure of inflation is the consumer price index, which measures the changing prices of a group of consumer goods and services. 3. Central bank meetings As we’ve seen, most traders follow economic figures so they can anticipate what a central bank might do next. So, it only makes sense that we pay attention to what happens when they actually meet and make decisions. 4. Consumer and business sentiment reports Multiple organisations are constantly surveying consumers and business leaders to create sentiment reports. While the number of reports they produce is staggering, they all play their part in shaping the markets’ expectation for the future. 5. Purchasing manager index (PMI) Purchasing manager indices measure the prevailing direction of economic trends in a given industry, according to the view of its purchasing managers. They are used as an indicator of the overall health of a sector. Pay close attention to these fundamentals. They play a crutial role in trading.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by UnitedSignals
12
Candlestick Analysis - A Classic Way Of Using Candlesticks An overview of Candlesticks A candle represents the changes in price over an interval of time, such as 1 day or 1 minute. The main body of the candle illustrates the opening price at the start of the time interval and the price when the market closed at the end of the interval. The head and tail represent the highest and lowest prices during the interval. If the price closed at a price above the opening price, then the candle is referred to as a 'bullish' candle and if the price closed below the opening price, then the candle is referred to as a 'bearish' candle. The length of the shadows shows how much the price has moved up and down with respect to a candlestick within a specific duration. The size of the candlestick body shows the difference between the opening and closing price and it tells us a lot about the strength of buyers or sellers. Below, the most important characteristics of the analysis of the candlestick body are listed. A long candlestick body, that leads to quickly rising prices, indicates more buying interest and a strong price move. If the size of the candlestick bodies increases over a period, then the price trend accelerates and a trend is intensified. When the size of the bodies shrinks, this can mean that a prevailing trend comes to an end, owing to an increasingly balanced strength ratio between the buyers and the sellers. Candlestick bodies that remain constant confirm a stable trend. If the market suddenly shifts from long rising candlesticks to long falling candlesticks, it indicates a sudden change in trend and highlights strong market forces.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by TopTradingSignals
9
The 12 Days of Effective Trading Learning Hey traders, In this article, we gathered for you 1 2-days intensive trading learning marathon. We hope that it will help. 1 Day: Practice placing support and resistance lines. 2 Day: Perfect placing trend lines. 3 Day: Study candlestick patterns. 4 Day: Review chart patterns. 5 Day: Practice placing fibonacci retracements. 6 Day: Learn about moving average. 7 Day: Master market structure. 8 Day: Watch videos on momentum oscillators. 9 Day: Learn about divergence. 10 Day: Study risk managment. 11 Day: Review fundamental literature. 12 Day: Create a trading plan. Let us know if such a marathon helped you in your journey.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by UnitedSignals
9
KLSE Advance Analysis : Price BottomDisclaimer : Opinions below are based on our own analysis & for educational purposes only. It does not constitute an offer to buy or sell securities mentioned herein. Viewers/readers should do their own research & studies before investing. Round & Surge or its associates are not responsible for any trading or investment losses incurred. We often analyse daily charts for stocks in KLSE. This is because the stock prices in the 5 mins chart are not as "beautiful" or well formed as the daily candlestick. But not for us, we find the most important information of the big boys next move are shown in the 5 mins chart & their transaction data. Although there aren't well-formed candlesticks in the 5 mins chart, analysing the price & volume flow will help us to understand more about the current intention of the big boys, whether there will be a price pause or continuation of price in the short term. Example in this stock we can see the price down in the daily chart on 21 October 2022, which many retail investors who bought at the higher price for their own reason would have been panicking. They could be Google-ing for the answer of the price fall (Often we don't find any reason for its price action.) and wondering whether the price will fall further? Traditional way to look for a price bottom is either by the guts feeling of "is too low to go lower" or using the technical support. Finding where the next support & watch whether it will rebound. To find the bottom of the price, we will need to look into the 5 mins chart to analyse where the major volumes are created within the day. *kindly open the 5 mins chart of 21 OCT 2022. Not able to post 5 mins chart in idea* We can see the volumes are mainly created at the day low from the 5 mins chart, which shows multiple high volumes but price is not moving lower. If the selling pressure is high, the price should go down lower instead of staying at the same price. From our point of view, this price & volume action is a sign of a pause in price fall or the price fall is softened. But this is only a PAUSE, it is not showing signs the price will have a markup or rebound. We will need to wait for the big boys to show us that they have intention to mark the price higher to attract buyers in for profit taking at higher price. The price movement now is just indicating there aren't any buyers in the market for the big boys to sell their shares. *Note : a pause in price is not a signal of rebound, the price might stay sideways within a price range & continue to fall. For short term traders, always wait for the big boys to show us that they have intention to mark higher. It is always about the best timing, not the best entry price. When will the price markup? We will have to continue monitoring the price movement after this for price & volume actions that show the big boys are ready to mark higher. How far will they mark the price up will depend on how soon the big boys distribute their remaining shareholding. Visit our website to find out more about our upcoming webinar to learn the detail price & volume analysis for KLSE!
MYX:HLT
by ROUNDnSURGE89
PSYCHOLOGY OF A TRADER | TRADING BASICS Market psychology is the idea that the movements of a market reflect (or are influenced by) the emotional state of its participants. It is one of the main topics of behavioral economics - an interdisciplinary field that investigates the various factors that precede economic decisions. Many believe that emotions are the main driving force behind the shifts of financial markets. And that the overall fluctuating investor sentiment is what creates the so-called psychological market cycles. So, the sentiment is made up of the individual views and feelings of all traders and investors within a financial market. Another way to look at it is as an average of the overall feeling of the market participants. But, just as with any group, no single opinion is completely dominant. Based on market psychology theories, an asset's price tends to change constantly in response to the overall market sentiment - which is also dynamic. Otherwise, it would be much harder to make a successful trade. In practice, when the market goes up, it is likely due to an improving attitude and confidence among the traders. A positive market sentiment causes demand to increase and supply to decrease. In turn, the increased demand may cause an even stronger attitude. Similarly, a strong downtrend tends to create a negative sentiment that reduces demand and increases the available supply.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by UnitedSignals
7
A Beginner's Guide to Candlestick Charts A candlestick chart is a type of financial chart that graphically represents the price moves of an asset for a given timeframe. As the name suggests, it’s made up of candlesticks, each representing the same amount of time. The candlesticks can represent virtually any period, from seconds to years. While candlestick charts could be used to analyze any other types of data, they are mostly employed to facilitate the analysis of financial markets. Used correctly, they’re tools that can help traders gauge the probability of outcomes in the price movement. They can be useful as they enable traders and investors to form their own ideas based on their analysis of the market. The following price points are needed to create each candlestick: Open — The first recorded trading price of the asset within that particular timeframe. High — The highest recorded trading price of the asset within that particular timeframe. Low — The lowest recorded trading price of the asset within that particular timeframe. Close — The last recorded trading price of the asset within that particular timeframe. Collectively, this data set is often referred to as the OHLC values. The relationship between the open, high, low, and close determines how the candlestick looks. The distance between the open and close is referred to as the body, while the distance between the body and the high/low is referred to as the wick or shadow. The distance between the high and low of the candle is called the range of the candlestick. Being able to read candlestick charts is vital to almost any investment style, learn different candlestick patterns and you will be surprised how accurate they are.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by TopTradingSignals
8
INVESTING VS TRADING VS GAMBLING | Know the Difference Hey traders, In this post, we will compare investing and trading with gambling. 📈Investing Investing is the act of putting money in a financial market with the expectations of a long-term positive return. The investing decisions are usually made using fundamental analysis. The main goal of an investor is to predict the long-term market trends and benefit on them. Professional investing also involves assets allocation and diversification aimed to hedge potential risks. 💱Trading Trading is the process of selling and buying financial instruments expecting a short-term (occasionally, mid-term) profit. The trading decisions are usually based on technical and fundamentals analysis. The goal of a trader is to predict local price fluctuations and catch them. Professional trading implies strict, rule-based actions following a trading plan. 🎰Gambling Gambling is the act of betting on a specific event with the expectations of winning some value. Being completely luck-based, gambling usually involves get rich quick schemes and pursuit of easy money. What differs professional trading and investing from gambling is the fact that professional trading / investing involves objective analysis and strict planning, while gambling remains purely intuition based. Unfortunately, most of the market participants pretend that they trade and invest professionally while acting as gamblers in fact. Remember that long-term, consistent profits can be achieved only with the plan. Your intuition may bring some short-term profits, but in a long-run it will most likely lead you to a bankruptcy. ❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section. Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
10
WHY 95% OF TRADERS DO NOT SUCCEED? The evidence suggests that only a very small proportion of day traders makes money year over year. There are certain patterns which may separate profitable traders from those who ultimately lose money. And indeed, there is one particular mistake that in our experience gets repeated time and time again. What is the single most important mistake that led to traders losing money? Here is a hint – it has to do with how we as humans relate to winning and losing. Our own human psychology makes it difficult to navigate financial markets, which are filled with uncertainty and risk, and as a result the most common mistakes traders make have to do with poor risk management strategies. Traders are often correct on the direction of a market, but where the problem lies is in how much profit is made when they are right versus how much they lose when wrong. Bottom line, traders tend to make less on winning trades than they lose on losing trades. Humans aren’t machines, and working against our natural biases requires effort. Once you have a trading plan that uses a proper reward/risk ratio, the next challenge is to stick to the plan. Remember, it is natural for humans to want to hold on to losses and take profits early, but it makes for bad trading. We must overcome this natural tendency and remove our emotions from trading. That will help you to be a consistently profitable trader.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by UnitedSignals
5
How to Setup Daily Charts using Price Action Trading!Hey Traders here is a quick video that explains what I believe is one of the best ways to setup your charts for trading success. My chart trading style does not use indicators. I use a naked charts with support and resistance levels. I use end of day trading daily charts with trend following, and chart patterns, and of course Fibonacci retracement levels. Learning how to setup your charts to see the long term picture of the market can really benefit us in our trading. Enjoy! Trade Well Clifford
Education
by TradeTheIndex
76
FREE 12 WEEKS INTENSIVE TRADING PROGRAM 📚 Hey traders, For those who just started to trade, I suggest a 12 weeks intensive training program. Each week will be dedicated to a specific topic. Starting from the basics you will gradually mature and by the end of the intensive you will have a complete trading strategy. ✔️Week 1 - Practice market trend identification Learn to identify the direction of the trend. Master the recognition of a bullish trend, bearish trend and sideways market. ✔️Week 2 - Practice support and resistance. Learn to identify key levels. Master support & resistance recognition. ✔️Week 3 - Learn candlestick pattern. Study classic candlestick formations and practice their recognition. ✔️Week 4 - Learn price action patterns. Study classic price action patterns: trend-following patterns, reversal patterns and consolidation pattern and learn to recognize them. By the end of the first month, you will mature the basics of candlestick chart analysis. ✔️Week 5 - Practice supply and demand zones. Learn to identify supply and demand zones. Learn to combine candlestick analysis with support and resistance to identify the potential reversal zones. ✔️Week 6 - Practice multiple time frame analysis. Master top-down analysis. Learn to apply all the techniques studied previously on multiple time frames. ✔️Week 7 - Learn different entry strategies. With all the knowledge being obtained, you can practice different entry techniques. You can try trading candlesticks patterns or price action patterns, or simply key levels. Search what works for you. ✔️Week 8 - Learn risk management. Of course, entry strategies are not enough for profitable trading. Learn how to set stop loss and how to manage your risks properly. By the end of the second month, you will have a foundation for a strategy building. ✔️Week 9 - Practice trade management. Knowing how to enter the trade and how to manage the risks, the next step is to learn how to manage the active position (stop loss trailing, position protection, manual closing, etc.) ✔️Week 10 - Create a trading plan. Combine all the knowledge that you gained in a structured trading plan. ✔️Week 11 - Follow the strategy. Be disciplined and follow your rules. Test them and learn to be consistent. ✔️Week 12 - Review your plan. Following your strategy, you will inevitably find its flaws. Learn to constantly improve it. By the end of the third month, you will have a complete rule-based trading strategy. Of course, that won't be a perfect strategy, but you will have broad knowledge in technical analysis. The next 3 months alone should be sacrificed on polishing and improvement of your trading plan. Try this intensive, traders. I strongly believe that you will see a dramatic improvement in your trading upon its completion. ❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section. Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Education
by VasilyTrader
15
5 Elements of a Smart Trade Plan Find out why you should have a trade plan—and the five elements that may help you put it to work successfully. Element 1: Your time horizon How long do you plan to hold a position? This will depend on your trading strategy. Generally, traders fit into one of three categories: Single-session traders are very active and look to gain from small price variations over very short time periods (minutes or hours) throughout the trading day. Swing traders target trades that can be completed in a few days to a few weeks. Position traders seek larger gains and recognize that it often takes longer than a few weeks to achieve them. Element 2: Your entry strategy Look for entry signals—for instance, divergences from trend lines and support levels—to help you place your trades. The signals you employ and the orders you use to make good on them hinge on your trading style and preferences. Element 3: Your exit plan When it comes to an exit strategy, plan for two types of trades: those that go in your favor and those that don’t. You might be tempted to let favorable trades run, but don’t ignore opportunities to take some profits. Element 4: Your position size Trading is risky. A good trade plan establishes ground rules for how much you’re willing to risk on any single trade. Say, for example, you don’t want to risk losing more than 2%–3% of your account on a single trade. You could consider exercising portion control, or sizing positions, to fit your budget. Element 5: Your trade performance Look over your trading history to calculate your theoretical trade expectancy, meaning your average gain (or loss) per trade. You start by determining the percentage of your trades that have been profitable versus those that haven’t. This is known as your win/loss ratio. Understanding what goes into a smart trade plan is the first step to prepare you for your next trade.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDEducation
by UnitedSignals
4
3 FIBONACCI TOOLS YOU MUST KNOW 💡 Hey traders, In this article, we will discuss 3 classic Fibonacci tools you must know. 1️⃣Fibonacci Retracement Fib.Retracement is my favorite fib.tool. It is aimed to identify strong horizontal support and resistance levels within the impulse leg. We draw this tool based on the high and low of the impulse (from wick to wick) and it shows us POTENTIALLY strong structure levels determined by Fibonacci numbers. Common Fib.Retracement levels are: 0.382, 0.5, 0.618, 0.786. Once one of the levels is reached, wait for a confirmation before you open a trading positions. 2️⃣Fibonacci Extension Fib.Extension indicates strong horizontal support and resistance levels beyond the impulse. Similar to Fib.Retracement tool, Fib.Extension is drawn relying on impulse's high and low (from wick to wick) and it shows POTENTIALLY strong structure levels where the consequent impulses may complete based on Fibonacci number. Common Fib.Extension levels are: 1.272, 1.414, 1.618. Once one of the levels is reached, wait for a confirmation before you open a trading positions. 3️⃣Fibonacci Channel Fib.Channel shows strong vertical supports and resistances (trend lines) within the channel. The tool is drawn based on the trend line of a valid parallel channel (based on wicks) and it shows POTENTIALLY strong trend lines from where the market may retrace. The trend lines within Fib.Channel rest on 0.382, 0.5, 0.618, 0.786 Fib.Levels. Once one of the levels is reached, wait for a confirmation before you open a trading positions. Remember that Fibonacci's are simply tools in a toolbox. In order to use them properly, you need to build a trading system around them, test it and confirm its efficiency. ❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section. Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
11
The Evolution of a Trader | 3 Milestones 📈 Hey traders, In this educational article, we will discuss 3 stages of the evolution of a trader. Stage 1 - Unprofitable trader 😞 The unprofitable trader has very typical characteristics: -total absence of trading skills Most of the time, people open a live account simply after completing some beginners course like on babypips website. Being sure that the obtained knowledge are completely enough to start trading, they quickly face the tough reality. -no trading plan Having just basic knowledge, of course, they do not have a trading plan. Why the hell to have it if everything is so simple?! All their actions on the market is just gambling. They open the positions randomly most of the time, simply relying on intuition. -poor risk management In 99% percent of the time, the unprofitable trader does not even think about risk management. The position sizing, stop placement and target selection are completely neglected. Trading performance of the unprofitable traders is characterized by small wins and substantial losses and negatively trending equity. Stage 2 - Boom and bust trader 😶 Usually, traders reach boom and bust stage after 1-2 years of unprofitable trading. At some moment, winning trades start to compensate losing trades, brining non-trending equity. Such traders have very common traits: -not polished trading plan Being unprofitable for so long, traders start to realize the significance of a trading plan. Sticking to the set of rules, they notice positive changes in their trading performance. However, trading plan requires to be polished and modified. It takes many years for a trader to identify all its drawbacks before it starts bringing net profits. -lack of confidence When one starts following a trading system, confidence plays a substantial role. The fact is that even the best trading strategy in the world occasionally produces negative results. In order to not give up and keep following such a system, one needs to build trust in that. The confidence that after a series of losing trades, the strategy will manage to recover. Such a trust can be built after many years of trading that strategy. Stage 3 - Profitable trader ☺️ That is the final destination. After many years of a struggling trading, one finally sees positively-trending equity. Winning trades start to outperform losing ones, leading to consistent account growth. Profitable trader is characterized by iron discipline, confidence and consistency. He knows what he is trading, when and why. His trading plan is polished, he fully controls his emotions. He never stops learning and constantly develops his strategy. Knowing the 3 stages of the evolution of a trader, one can easily identify at what stage he currently is. That will help to identify the things to be focused on to move to the next stage. At what stages are you at the moment? ❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section. Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Education
by VasilyTrader
21
Trading Basics | How to Identify The Market Trend 📈📉 Hey traders, In this article, we will discuss a proven price action based way to identify the market trend. ❗️And let me note, before we start, that no matter what strategy do you use in your trading, you should always know where the market is going and what is the current trend. Your judgement should be based on strict and objective rules that proved its accuracy. There are a lot of ways to identify the market trend. One of the simplest and efficient ones is price action based method. This method relies on impulse legs. The market never goes just straight up or down, the price action always has a zigzag shape with a set of impulses and retracements. The impulse leg is a strong directional movement, while the retracement is the correctional movement within the boundaries of the impulse. 📈The market is trading in a bullish trend if 3 conditions are met: 1️⃣the price forms an initial bullish impulse, 2️⃣retraces, setting a higher low, 3️⃣then starts growing again and sets a new high with the second bullish impulse. Once these 3 conditions are met, we consider the market to be bullish, and we expect a bullish continuation in such a manner. 📉The market is trading in a bearish trend if 3 following conditions are met: 1️⃣the price forms an initial bearish impulse, 2️⃣retraces, setting a lower high, 3️⃣then drops lower and sets a new low with the second bearish impulse. Once these 3 conditions are met, we consider the market to be bearish, and we expect a bearish trend continuation. ➖The third state of the market is called consolidation. The market is trading in a consolidation if the conditions for bullish or bearish trend are not met. The price chaotically forms bullish and bearish impulses, usually trading within the range. Knowing the current trend, one always knows whether a current trading position is trend-following or counter trend, or it is a sideways consolidation trade. Learn these simple rules and try to identify the market trend with them. ❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section. Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
9
WHAT IS DRAWDOWN | 3 Types Of Drawdown Explained 📚 Hey traders, In my videos, I frequently use the term "drawdown". Many of you asked me to explain the meaning of that term and share some examples. The account drawdown is the highest observed loss from the highest value of the deposit to the lowest value of the deposit at a certain period of time. Imagine you started to trade with 10,000$ account. At the end of the year, your account size reached 15,000$. However, at some point through the year the deposit value dropped to 6,000$. It was the absolute minimum for the one-year period. At some point, your net loss was -4,000$ or 40% of your account balance. The account drawdown is 40%. ❗️Knowing the account drawdown is very important for the risk assessment of the trading strategy. Usually, 50% and bigger drawdown signifies an extremely high risk. There are 3 types of drawdown to know. Current drawdown - a temporary drawdown associated with the negative total value of opened trading position(s) at present. Once you start trading with 10,000$ deposit, you open several trading positions. Being opened, with the constant price movements, your potential gains fluctuates from positive to negative. For examples, with 3 active trades: EURUSD (-500$ at present); GBPUSD (+200$ at present); GOLD (-100$ at present) your current account drawdown is -400$ or 4% of your deposit. Fixed drawdown - the negative value of the closed trading position(s) at present for a certain period of time. While some of your trades remain active, some are already closed. Imagine the same deposit - 10,000$. On Monday you opened 6 trades, 2 still remain active and 4 are already closed. Your total loss from your closed trades is -500$. Your fixed Monday's drawdown is 5%. Maximum Drawdown - the maximum observed loss from the highest value of the deposit before a new maximum is reached. Starting to trade with 10,000$ you are already trading for 5 years. Your account were growing rapidly and at some moment it reached 25,000$. Then the recession started. You faced a dramatic loss of 12,500$ before you started to recover. That was the maximum observed loss for the period. Your maximum account drawdown was 50%. ❗️Different types of drawdown give a lot of insights about a trading strategy. Its proper assessment will help to spot a high risk strategy and to find a conservative one. Constantly monitor your account drawdown and always check the numbers. What is your highest account drawdown? ❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section. Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Education
by VasilyTrader
15