Analysis of the USD/JPY currency pair on the 4-hour time frameAnalysis of the USD/JPY currency pair on the 4-hour time frame
- We have price divergence and RSI indicator
- We have two FVG in the middle, which the price tends to fill
- We also have a PVOTE on the way
- We have a good distance from the 99-day EMA
- From a macroeconomic perspective, we also have extremely important news for the US dollar today
- We also have the speech of the Federal Reserve Chairman, Mr. Powell
My analysis is the growth of the dollar, especially in the news and speech period
Don't forget capital management
It is necessary to respect risk to reward
Good luck and be profitable
Jpy
USD/JPY - H1 - Bearish Flag The USD/JPY pair on the H1 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bearish Flag pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 150.80, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 149.20
2nd Support – 148.50
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Falling towards pullback support?AUD/JPY is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 95.69
1st Support: 94.30
1st Resistance: 96.92
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
AUDJPY: Channel Up bottomed. Bullish.AUDJPY turned oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 30.123, MACD = -0.750, ADX = 46.331) as it touched the bottom of the Channel Up. Unlike the price's LL decline, the 4H RSI has formed a Channel Up from oversold range, which is the exact same formation it had after pricing the September 11th bottom. Consequently, we should be expecting the pair to bottom now and start the new bullish wave. The last one hit and even breached the R1 level and then pulled back to the 4H MA50. We are aiming for the same level (TP = 101.550).
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GBPJPY Breakout And Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring GBPJPY for a selling opportunity around 190 area, GBPJPY was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 190 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
gbpjpy next moveAs can be seen, a bear flag has also formed. The top of this flag corresponds to the filling of the FVG. In the short term, I expect a further decline to hit the monthly liquidity. After this, I anticipate an upward movement fueled by the momentum from the liquidity grab. At one of the potential liquidity points on the 4H timeframe, there will likely be a break of structure, hopefully forming a new FVG, allowing us to take a significant short position targeting 180,000, where another liquidity grab could occur.
Mastering GBPJPY: Key Trading Zones Revealed for Optimal Entries
Greetings, traders! Welcome to this GBPJPY market analysis, where we focus on identifying higher-probability trading opportunities.
In this video, I start by analyzing the yearly down to the daily charts, highlighting key trading zones, and discussing the confirmations we look for to optimize our swing entries.
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Trade safely
Could the price bounce from here?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance which has been identified as an overlap resistance.
Pivot: 149.33
1st Support: 146.85
1st Resistance: 151.60
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GBPJPY daily/montly liqOn the chart with monthly candles, a liquidity grab can be seen at the last higher low (HL). On the daily timeframe, you can observe that there has already been a break of structure and a test of a fair value gap (FVG). Therefore, the expectation is for further decline. For this, I will conduct an analysis on a smaller timeframe.
GBP/JPY Weekly Analysis My prognosis for GBP/JPY for the upcoming week.
Bearish
Here's why:
We've moved off a weekly FVG after having a weekly MSS. There are REL's below where my 'weekly target' line is. We have the liquidity to drive to those areas, the only area of bullish behaviour is the weekly FVG located right about the REL's. Be cautious once we mitigate these areas.
discussion about the trend of the #USDJPY in the new week.Friends who are interested, let's start a discussion about the trend of the #dollar in the new week.
As you know, for example: the dollar-yen exchange rate has reached 149.53 from 156.76 units and has decreased by more than 72 pips or 4.61%.
- On the valid 4-hour time frame, the RSI indicator is in the oversold zone
- The chart is in its own good support zone
Regarding the election of Mr. Trump, the stability in the global economy and the expansionary policy, etc., the above exchange rate will not remain at the current number.
For example, we can look for a suitable bottom for a #long position by examining the relevant currency pair (of course, with technical confirmation and appropriate candlesticks.)
USDJPY Bearish ContinuationWe are currently looking for bearish continuations to keep selling and following the higher timeframe trend.
Following the 4H timeframe down to the 1H, we have 2 potential areas of interest we can have a minimal risk high reward trade.
AS price continues to accumilate into our areas I will keep updating for possible trade entries.
EURJPY The EUR/JPY market remains resilient, showing no significant signs of retracement despite potential resistance levels. Traders are witnessing a steady upward momentum, with bullish sentiment continuing to dominate. Market participants are closely monitoring key economic indicators and price action, as the pair maintains its upward trajectory without pulling back. The lack of corrective movements highlights strong buyer interest, suggesting further potential for gains in the near term.
GBPJPY - Already Over-Bought!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈GBPJPY has been bullish trading within the rising channel in blue.
Currently, GBPJPY is approaching the upper bound of the channel.
Moreover, the green zone is a strong supply and structure.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the green supply and upper blue trendline.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #GBPJPY is around the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
GBPJPY - Yen will continue to grow?!The GBPJPY currency pair is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its downward channel. If it continues to move towards the demand zones, we can buy with a suitable risk reward.
The upward correction of this currency pair towards the supply zone will provide us with the next selling position.
Higher inflation in Tokyo has increased the likelihood of a Bank of Japan interest rate hike in its December meeting. The Cabinet Office of Japan released its September economic report, maintaining its overall assessment of the country’s economic condition. According to the report, Japan’s economy continues to recover at a moderate pace.
The report also highlighted an improvement in bankruptcy conditions, marking the first positive trend in this area in 42 months. This improvement reflects greater stability within Japan’s business sector. Furthermore, the report noted a slowdown in the rise of corporate product prices, which could lead to a more balanced market. The Cabinet Office emphasized the need to closely monitor U.S. economic policies, as shifts in these policies could significantly impact Japan’s economy.
Analysts at JP Morgan predict that the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates twice in 2025, in April and October, bringing its policy rate to 1.0% by the end of the year. Additionally, they forecast two further rate hikes in 2026, pushing rates to 1.5%.
JP Morgan noted that the Bank of Japan’s independent monetary policies could result in weaker performance for Japanese yields compared to other developed markets.
Meanwhile, the Japan Manufacturing Workers Union, representing small and medium-sized manufacturing enterprises, has demanded a minimum base wage increase of 15,000 yen in next year’s wage negotiations. This request exceeds last year’s demand by at least 3,000 yen and marks the highest wage increase proposed in the union’s history. The ultimate goal is to achieve an overall wage increase exceeding 19,500 yen. This development could be seen as positive news for Japan’s government and central bank, as rising wages might indicate mounting inflationary pressures, supporting the normalization of monetary policies.
Tamaki, a member of Japan’s Democratic Party for the People (DPP), stated that the Bank of Japan should evaluate its policies based on wage outcomes for small businesses. He warned that excessive tightening of monetary policy could risk a return to deflation. Tamaki stressed the importance of not rushing changes in monetary and fiscal policies.
In the UK, Finance Minister Rachel Reeves announced a £26 billion ($33 billion) business tax hike that could result in the loss of up to 130,000 jobs. If employers pass this financial burden onto the workforce by reducing employment, the unemployment rate could increase by 0.4%. The analysis also suggests that businesses might respond to higher employer national insurance contributions by cutting working hours or staff.
Separately, the Bank of England recently reported results from its latest stress tests, indicating that all major UK financial institutions are resilient enough to withstand worst-case economic scenarios. While the results have not raised specific concerns, the Bank emphasized its commitment to ongoing close monitoring of the situation.
Potential bullish bounce?GBP/JPY is currently reacting off the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 190.67
1st Support: 189.08
1st Resistance: 192.28
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDJPY Is Approaching The Daily TrendHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDJPY for a buying opportunity around 150.200 zone, USDJPY is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 150.200 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
CHFJPY expected to bottom soon. Unique long-term buy opportunityThe CHFJPY pair has been trading within a long-term Channel Up pattern for more than 2 years (since the September 22 2022 High). More recently on September 16 2024, the price bottomed on its Higher Lows trend-line and the subsequent rebound to the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, initiated a new pull-back that broke yesterday below its 1D MA200 (orange trend-line).
This is identical to the Channel's previous bottom formation in January 2023. The rebound that followed also got rejected near the 0.786 Fib and retraced all the way to the 0.236. Then it started a relentless Bullish Leg all the way to the 2.0 Fib extension. Even the 1W RSI sequences between the two fractals are identical and we are at the point where the RSI is about to break below its MA and give the buy signal.
As a result, we turn bullish on the CHFJPY pair, targeting 188.000 (near the top of the Channel Up).
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ould the price reverse from here?USD/JPY is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support that lines up with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
Pivot: 152.29
1st Support: 150.61
1st Resistance: 153.27
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop?GBP/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 193.54
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 196.11
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 190.33
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
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