JPM JPMorgan Chase Call OptionsIf you haven`t sold JPM here:
or here:
then you should know that JPM JPMorgan Chase seems to be most capitalized bank in the US, ready for the economic hurricane that its CEO, Jamie Dimon, predicted.
Most business and retail clients will move their funds to JPM after this bank run.
Looking at the JPM JPMorgan Chase options chain, I would buy the $140 strike price Calls with
2023-7-21 expiration date for about
$3.95 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, i would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Jpmorgan
JPM: No CrisisRecord first-quarter revenue on Friday that topped analysts’ expectations as net interest income surged almost 50% from a year ago on higher rates.
Here’s what the company reported:
Adjusted earnings: $4.32 per share vs. $3.41 per share Refinitiv estimate
Revenue: $39.34 billion, vs. $36.19 billion
The bank said profit jumped 52% to $12.62 billion, or $4.10 per share, in the first three months of the year. That figure includes HKEX:868 million in losses on securities; excluding those losses lifts earnings by 22 cents per share, resulting in adjusted profit of $4.32 per share.
Companywide revenue rose 25% to $39.34 billion, driven by a 49% rise in net interest income to $20.8 billion, thanks to the Federal Reserve’s most aggressive rate-hiking campaign in decades. That topped analysts’ expectations for interest income by more than a billion dollars.
The bank also boosted a key piece of guidance that bodes well for the near future: Net interest income will be about HKEX:81 billion this year, about HKEX:7 billion more than their previous forecast of $74 billion, CFO Jeremy Barnum said Friday.
The change was mostly driven by expectations that JPMorgan will have to pay less to depositors later this year if the Fed cuts rates, he said.
Shares of the bank rose 7.5%. That is its biggest upside move on an earnings report in more than 20 years, according to Bespoke Investment Group.
“The U.S. economy continues to be on generally healthy footings — consumers are still spending and have strong balance sheets, and businesses are in good shape,” CEO Jamie Dimon said in a release.
“However, the storm clouds that we have been monitoring for the past year remain on the horizon, and the banking industry turmoil adds to these risks,” he said, adding that the industry could rein in lending as banks become more conservative ahead of a possible downturn.
Money in, money out
JPMorgan, the biggest U.S. bank by assets, is watched closely for clues on how the industry fared after the collapse of two regional lenders last month. Analysts had expected JPMorgan to benefit from an influx of deposits after Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank experienced fatal bank runs.
Indeed, JPMorgan saw “significant new account opening activity” and deposit inflows in its commercial bank, Barnum said.
The money flows implied “an intra-quarter reversal of the recent outflow trend as a consequence of the March events,” Barnum said. “We estimate that we have retained approximately HKEX:50 billion of these deposit inflows at quarter-end.”
JPM / JP Morgan - Don't Gamble On Regional BanksI know that whenever something drops by 30 or 50 or 70 percent in one or two days it seems like you might be able to smash buy and ride the bounce back to the top, but just take a look at how well that worked out for tech stocks once the market started to correct at the end of 2021, or just take a look at how well that worked for Silicon Valley Bank dip buyers who found their shares worth $0 in a few hours.
JP Morgan and the other big American banks aren't just "big American banks," but the financial arm of the United States' military industrial complex. Moreover, they're something that's become a pillar of the entire world's financial ecosystem. The heart of the world's economy is in Manhattan, but they're also the ones responsible for providing a financial life line (a blood transfusion) to the Chinese Communist Party all of these years.
Here's some things everyone should think about:
1. Regional banks are not a buy, because they need to be eliminated for Central Bank Digital Currencies
2. SWIFT itself is expanding its CBDC platform pilot globally after a test run that involved a JP Morgan-created centralized fork of Ethereum .
3. CBDCs are required for the global implementation of the CCP's social credit credit system
4. CBDCs mean citizen and small business banking becomes centralized in Federal Reserve proxy accounts ran through the biggest banks
5. Welcome to communism. The purpose of all of this is to install communism for the purposes of attempting to change the human living condition.
Credit Suisse is probably going to implode for real and that's going to cause some chaos for the markets. This play is pretty much a mirror of the 2008 GFC with Bear Sterns, which everyone would do well to educate themselves on how that went down .
The problem with Central Bank QE isn't all the Libertarian crap you've been told. The problem is that deposits are a liability for banks because they have to pay interest on them, and so they need to seek yield. Seeking yield on a very large position is very hard, because guys like JPM and Blackrock and Vanguard happen to make the markets, and markets are a euphemism for a casino, and casinos are zero sum games where there's a small number of winners and a large number of losers.
And so when there's no interest rates, banks have to take risks to generate cashflow to pay interest to the very, very large depositors. When QE was hot that seemed to have meant long bonds, long equities. And then the Fed raised rates 5 percent while they were holding a lot of equities and bonds and now those bonds and equities aren't worth very much.
So they're red on their positions and can't HODL through it because of bank runs and go under.
It's as simple as that and it was an engineered play for smaller banks to be destroyed and then the big banks buy the liquidations.
It's the same as how whales kill sharks by holding them upside down in the water, which makes them disoriented and paralyzed, and then the whales eat their livers and leave them to die.
JPM on the monthly is not likely to have topped and gives you no reason to think there's a financial crash or any real bearishness brewing:
Yet the weekly shows you confluence between Fib levels and gaps, and that it's just too early to go long, and kind of scary to scalp short to boot:
JPM's double tops at $145 made very little sense at the time, and that's because, in my opinion, they were short their own stock under $150 in anticipation of what everyone who's running big data analysis for real knew, that SIVB and SBNY and SI would collapse, that CS was a bloated corpse in the river that the Swiss National Bank couldn't save, and that it was time to start taking down the regional banks by using the crisis as an opportunity.
Naturally, being a bank and part of the sector, this will give grounds to make JPM's shares drop, so they just sell, and then buy back, and then give themselves bonuses and go for happy hour with cocaine and strippers when the drama is over because someone buys CS and the Fed pauses hikes, and they pump their own stock back to $200.
Another thing is that the narrative is that equities are *going2themoon* because the Federal Reserve just HAS to stop hiking rates now. Look at how much damage the rate hikes caused! They just have to stop hiking now!
They probably won't. FOMC hasn't led to a dumpster fire in quite a few months and you should be concerned about that.
After Wednesday's FOMC, the next one afterwards is May 2. Expect them to pivot then, not now, and for May, June, July to become another "most hated rally" for bears.
Except this time it won't be a bear market rally, but a bump and run reversal, that pumps tech and other dumpster trash to a new ATH that makes bears blow their accounts.
Look for longs in the $110 range on JPM and expect the October bottom to hold, because it's called a pivot for a reason, sons.
It's JP Morgan. This kind of disaster in the markets today was arranged by them, and is not something they're personally subject to.
The disasters that lie ahead for the current regime because of what they've been doing to help the CCP as it persecutes Falun Gong over the last 24 years are retribution that they haven't arranged and that nobody can dodge, and something that will catch the entire market off guard.
But for now, you can get $40 a share if you buy in the $110s and sell at $150. And the time horizon is probably literally no later than the end of May, too.
Don't go long on regional banks. Go long on the big banks. And then get out and be careful, because everything in this world is about to change very quickly, and human beings are not going to be able to bear the terribleness of what happens when the regime goes to install communism worldwide.
JPM JPMorgan Chase & Co. Options Ahead Of EarningsIf you haven`t sold JPM here:
Then looking at the JPM JPMorgan Chase & Co. options chain ahead of earnings , I would buy the FWB:124 strike price Puts with
2023-4-14 expiration date for about
$1.35 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, i would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
JP Morgan HnS Dragon with Bearish ConvergenceJPM after Bearishly Engulfing on the Monthly has formed a bit of a Head and Shoulders pattern while at the sametime forming a Bearish Dragon with some MACD Bearish Convergence as the RSI enters the Bearish Control Zone if price continues to do what it's doing i could see JPM making a full 0.886 Retrace.
JP Morgan mostly unaffected from the banking turmoil of early MaJP Morgan Chase & Co (symbol ‘JPM’) share price has been making consecutive gains in the beginning of the year with a correction taking place in early March where the failure of banks in the US shocked the markets . The company is expected to report its earnings for the fiscal quarter ending March 2023 on Friday 14th of April. The consensus EPS for the quarter is $3,43 compared to the result for the same quarter last year of $2,63.
‘JP Morgan took a light hit through the turmoil in the banking industry mainly because of its big size, too big to fail. With a dividend yield of over 3% and with a strong balance sheet, the company is an attractive addition to investors portfolio.’ said Antreas Themistokleous at Exness.
From the technical analysis perspective the price found support on the 38.2% of the daily Fibonacci retracement level after incurring losses in early March when news about bank failures hit mainstream media. The Bollinger bands are shrinking indicating the volatility is slowing down while the 50 day moving average is still trading above the 100 day moving average indicating the bullish momentum might still be valid.
In any case the levels of $134 and $123 consist of technical support and resistance areas since they are the 23.6% and 50% of the daily Fibonacci retracement levels respectively.
JP Morgan locally correcting. JPMBounce off a local resistance, which I did not show, sinking in the phase of a possible B Wave. Very short term out look of a ~5% drop in stock price or more. ATR (moving) for Stop.
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Confirmation level, where relevant, is a pink dotted, finite line. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe.
Will tomorrow be the day $JPM drops to $71? I think it could >It sounds a little nuts, I know. But hear me out. We clearly have a double touch on the upper channel line on the 12 month- clear rejection. The 9 MA on the yearly looks awful too. General weakness, there and within the stoch rsi and mac d. The 3 month also looks awful. Let's hone in though on the 9 MA and 20 MA on the chart though- they're clearly about to fall through them. Oh, not to mention, the major obvious head & shoulders pattern. Everything looks horrible. Almost makes me wonder if the speech wasn't "awful" news today because tomorrow is the real drop, when everyone thinks the worst is out of the way... who knows? I just call the technical analysis like I see it. And based on the daily time frame anyway, I don't see anywhere else that JPM could LOGICALLY retrace to... so why would it? Time to drop :)
KBE: S&P500 / BANK RUNS / RSI / MACD / DIVERGENCE / BANK CRISIS DESCRIPTION: The chart above shows a relationship between KBE & SPX which is important for the current ongoing banking issues. KBE is a BANK ETF that reflects the overall performance of the banking sector in the United States. At the moment there is a major discrepancy between KBE & SPX value. Normally there is a consistent relationship between the banking sector performance and SPX value but one will have to give in eventually.
POINTS:
1. Deviation is 6.25 Point difference & represent crucial points of control for price action.
2. Vertical Orange Lines represent peak price action for S&P 500 & KBE before correction.
3. AVERAGE CORRECTION OF 12% ON KBE DURING BEAR MARKET.
RSI: Overextended from RSI AVERAGE banking sector can see some pullback in the coming days.
MACD: Currently in EXTREMELY OVERSOLD TERRITORY on MACD
FULL CHART LINK: www.tradingview.com
AMEX:KBE
SP:SPX
JPM short - megaphone pattern - target 118-120Financials are struggling a bit here for obvious reasons. I see a megaphone pattern appearing with likely target around 118-120 within a few weeks. A larger megaphone pattern also appearing with much lower target. Not sure if that will play out though. Best of luck to all.
JP Morgan Bank will have a big crashJB Morgan Bank will collapse we are already at the beginning of a financial global crisis and it will be affect even on stock prices and we may see stocks fall by 90-95% of current prices. The gold is the only one safest in this next collapse. Even Bitcoin will not survive this collapse and will be pricely affected significantly and can see it on 1k or lower, so be careful and prepare new liquidity to enter
SPX Jamie Dimon: economic hurricane coming our way!Jamie Dimon, the JPMorgan Chase CEO:
"Right now it's kind of sunny, things are doing fine. Everyone thinks the Fed can handle this." "That hurricane is right out there down the road coming our way." "We just don't know if it's a minor one or Superstorm Sandy. You better brace yourself."
Jamie Dimon is predicting an economic "hurricane" caused by rising inflation, interest rate hikes and the war in Ukraine.
I have 2 scenarios: the most optimistic is that SPX formed and inverse head and shoulders chart pattern and it will close the year at the same level that it started it, around $4900.
And the worst case scenario is if Jamie Diamon is right and we are going lower after this bounce to the resistance.
In this case, the first strong support is $3400.
I see that it go lower only if oil stays higher than $140 - 150 for this year, then this is the strongest sign of a recession or if China invades Taiwan.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Top of the hill for JPM, for nowFor the first time in over a week JPM, D chart has closed above the 9SMA, but this comes at the cost of being in range of the three previous swing highs. With the 1H showing a negative cross at the end of the day and the 4H hitting the 9 count, JPM's recovery run may be coming to an end for now.
NYSE:JPM
JPM primary trend remains bullish.JPMorgan Chase - 30d expiry - We look to Buy at 136.22 (stop at 132.88)
The primary trend remains bullish.
The stock is currently outperforming in its sector.
50 1day EMA is at 136.07.
The sequence for trading is higher highs and lows.
Early pessimism is likely to lead to losses although extended attempts lower are expected to fail.
We look for a temporary move lower.
Our profit targets will be 144.92 and 146.92
Resistance: 144.34 / 148.00 / 155.00
Support: 139.87 / 138.00 / 135.00
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
JPM JPMorgan Chase Options Ahead of EarningsLooking at the JPM JPMorgan Chase options chain, i would buy the $135 strike price Puts with
2023-6-16 expiration date for about
$7.90 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, i would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
How did the U.S. biggest bank perform in 2022?During the summer of 2022, we laid out a thesis about the stock market progressing in the second stage of the bear market. We said that we would look for signs of corporate underperformance and downgrades in forward guidance within earnings statements for 3Q22 and 4Q22. In the 3Q22 earnings season, many companies began downgrading future outlooks and warning investors of a tough time ahead. For some sectors, inventories rose, and revenue streams showed a decline compared to the previous year's period.
With the start of the new earning season, we will pay close attention to the new data, which may or may not confirm our thesis about the market diving deeper into a recession. Interestingly, the last Friday, multiple big banks on wall street announced their earnings statements. These names included JP Morgan Chase, Bank of America, Citigroup, and Wells Fargo.
Today, we will briefly examine the biggest U.S. bank - JP Morgan Chase & Co. This bank has $3.66 trillion in assets and has not posted a yearly loss for more than 15 years. Its earnings report is divided into five segments: Consumer & Community Banking, Corporate and Investment Bank, Commercial Banking, Asset and Wealth Management, and Corporate.
The bank’s Consumer and Community Banking segment showed gradual growth in net income and net revenue quarter after quarter in 2022. Furthermore, it maintained relatively stable noninterest expenses throughout the year. However, despite that, it posted a 29% less net income in 2022 versus 2021.
In 4Q22, the Corporate and Investment Bank experienced a drop of 27% YoY (year over year) in net income. Additionally, in that same period, this division saw a decline in revenue by 9% YoY, and an increase in non-interest expenses by 10%. As for the full-year 2022, the Corporate and Investment Bank brought in 29% less net income versus 2021.
Meanwhile, the Commercial Bank brought $1.4 billion in net income for the company in 4Q22, showing an increase of 15% versus 4Q21. Furthermore, it also enjoyed a rise in revenue by 30% versus 4Q21. Despite that, these two segments underperformed when compared to 2021. For the full-year 2022, the net income of this division dropped 20% versus 2021.
The Asset and Wealth segment showed steady growth in net income quarter after quarter in 2022. However, it also suffered a drop of 8% in net income for the entire year 2022 versus 2021. The Corporate segment posted a net loss in the first three quarters of 2022 and a net gain in 4Q22. But for 2022, it is the only sector that posted a loss while still showing significant improvement from the last year.
For the full-year 2022, JP Morgan Chase & Co. gained $37.7 billion in net income, which is down 22% versus 2021. Its revenue increased by 5.6%, and non-interest expenses jumped by 6.8%. Meanwhile, the company’s stock declined by 16%.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 shows the daily chart of JP Morgan Chase stock. The stock declined more than 16% in 2022.
2022 (full-year) vs. 2021 (full-year)
Net income 2022 = $37.7 billion
(vs. $48.3 billion in 2021; -22% YoY)
Revenue 2022 = $132.3 billion
(vs. $125.3 billion in 2021; +6.6% YoY)
Noninterest expenses 2022 = $76.2 billion
(vs. $71.3 billion in 2021; +6.8% YoY)
Pre-Provision profit/loss 2022 = $56.1 billion
(vs. $54 billion in 2021; +4% YoY)
EPS = $3.57
4Q 2022 vs. 4Q 2021 (year over year)
Net income 4Q = $11 billion
(vs. $10.4 billion in 4Q21; +5.8% YoY)
Net revenue 4Q = $35.6 billion
(vs. $30.4 billion in 4Q21; +17%. YoY)
Net interest income 4Q = $20.3 billion (+48% YoY)
Noninterest income 4Q = $15.3 billion (-8% YoY)
Noninterest expenses 4Q = $19.0 billion (+6% YoY)
JP MORGAN Ahead of a Golden Cross. Strong bullish signal!JP Morgan Chase & Co. (JPM) has basically turned sideways since November 11 (despite the marginal November 25 Higher High) putting a pause to the enormous 1-month rally since the October 12 bottom.
The big news on this chart is that the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) is about to cross above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) to form the infamous pattern of the Golden Cross on the 1D time-frame. This is technically very bullish and in fact the last time we saw this formation was on November 13 2020, almost 2 years ago!
As with today, the price was again just below the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, just a few days before the Golden Cross formation and after it was completed, started one of the strongest rallies in recent times, making a new All Time High on January 12 2021, essentially just 2 months after.
Now obviously that was the era of 'cheap money', when the Fed printed trillions of USD in a very short period of time to support the economy during the COVID lockdowns. We can't expect the stock to rally as fast and as aggressively but still, as long as the Golden Cross is formed and the 1D MA50 supports, we can target one Fibonacci level at a time.
Notice how similar the 2020 COVID recovery is with the 2022 (today) one. The 1W MA200 is in a symmetrical place, the 1D RSI was pulling back on the same fractal and the 1W MACD rebounded on the same level.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
You may also TELL ME 🙋♀️🙋♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Beating the Banks on BTC!!!Another beautiful day. I pulled off 5 scaled entries within a single trade on BTC as we were having bearish market structure on M15. Market tapped in extreme OF Block . From there on I screened across M1 M5 to add more entries to the single trade. Currently targeting M15 structure Low.
Happy Trading
10/23/22 JPMJP Morgan Chase & Co.( NYSE:JPM )
Sector: Finance (Major Banks)
Current Price: $122.23
Breakout price trigger: $123.50
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $120.00-$112.00
Price Target: $140.40-$142.20
Estimated Duration to Target: 63-68d
Contract of Interest: $JPM 12/16/21 130c
Trade price as of publish date: $3.25/contract