THIS IS A FAKE OUT IMO! BUY THE DIPNASDAQ:QQQ AMEX:SPY AMEX:IWM
THIS IS A FAKE OUT! BUY THE DIP 👇
-Strong Economic Fundamentals
-Hawkish FED spreading FUD
-Same Government shutdown scares every year
-2T+ in options (mostly call) expiring today
-Gains being pressured to be sold for 24 taxes
-Scare meme coin & gambler bro's out the markets
-Incoming party is for business & the stock market
-VIX spiked faster than Japanese trade crisis
-Inflation still coming down
-AI is still strong and a catalyst
-Company earnings are still hefty
-Global markets are curling up not down
All of these reasons explain my point of this being a FAKE OUT. I will be buying this DIP because I see nothing CONCRETE! All I see is that the market maker and FED Chair Powell teamed up to be the GRINCH & SCROOGE this Holiday season. Not financial advice.
Investing
Doubt Me If You Want, But My Strategy Speaks for Itself!NASDAQ:QQQ AMEX:SPY
Do you see how my Williams CB is one of the best strategies out there for predicting markets short & long term moves? How coupled with my H5 trading strategy it gives me the best chances to beat these crazy markets.
Two weeks ago we were at the top and called for a no more than 3% market pullback. I was wrong and right at the same time. We got a pullback but it wasn't what I anticipated but who anticipated the FED nuking the markets yesterday? Nobody but the FED.
I show you this so you understand when we get to the barrier we don't know what it's going to be that pulls the market back or causes us to consolidate and peel off the red barrier. BUT, we need to understand where we are at and that running into the barrier is not the time to be adding to trades or exploring new ones. It's the time to take profits, consolidate, and maybe hedge a little.
I'm not putting this out to be applauded or to act like I'm some type of Oracle. I simply want to show all my friends who have decided to stick it out with me the last few days when others chose to leave that you can entrust in my strategies and I will teach you everything I know so you can beat the markets on a consistent basis too!
FULL Trading Portfolio Update! How I'm positioningFULL Trading Portfolio Update! How I'm positioning for what comes next in the markets.
In this video, we will discuss:
-How I'm positioning my trading portfolio right now
-All my current H5 trades
-All trades I CUT loose
-What comes next!
Check it out now for all the updates and some great trade ideas
Not financial advice.
MARA Marathon Digital Holdings A Crypto Mining Stock to Watch
Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:MARA )
“Bitcoin at $96K? It’s like Monopoly money growing into something real—fueling wealth and lifting stocks like $MARA. Let’s break down the crypto miner making waves in this dynamic market.”
After Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) surged to $96,000, Marathon Digital Holdings ( NASDAQ:MARA ) has positioned itself as a significant player in the crypto ecosystem. For investors, NASDAQ:MARA represents a unique opportunity tied directly to Bitcoin’s price movements and the operational efficiencies of crypto mining. Let’s dive into the details to evaluate its potential.
Current Market Data
Stock Price: Around $22.73
Market Cap: Approximately $4.65 billion
Earnings Per Share (EPS): -$0.42 (last quarter)
At first glance, NASDAQ:MARA ’s financial metrics might raise eyebrows. A negative EPS highlights the ongoing challenges of profitability in the volatile crypto mining industry. However, its substantial Bitcoin reserves tell a different story.
Bitcoin Holdings: A Key Asset
Marathon Digital holds 40,435 BTC, valued at approximately $3.88 billion at the current Bitcoin price of $96,000. This means that 83% of its market cap is backed by Bitcoin holdings alone. Such a significant asset base provides a unique valuation anchor in an otherwise speculative industry.
Book Value Breakdown
Total Bitcoin Value: ~$3.88 billion
Estimated Shares Outstanding: ~204.6 million
Book Value Per Share: ~$19.00
Compared to its stock price of ~$22.73, this suggests NASDAQ:MARA is trading close to its asset-backed value, making it an intriguing option for Bitcoin bulls.
Valuation Metrics
Traditional valuation methods struggle with companies like NASDAQ:MARA , given the negative EPS and the speculative nature of the crypto market. However, using a forward-looking EPS of $1.22 (an optimistic assumption), we can estimate:
Graham Number:
At a stock price of ~$22.73, NASDAQ:MARA appears fairly valued by this metric, though this assumes optimistic future earnings and stability in Bitcoin prices.
Operational Highlights
BTC Yield Growth: Marathon has reported steady improvements in Bitcoin yield, signaling operational success and increased mining efficiency.
Renewable Energy Investments: Recent moves to secure wind farms and other renewable energy sources could reduce mining costs and enhance profitability.
Scalability: With a solid foundation and operational upgrades, NASDAQ:MARA is well-positioned to benefit from further Bitcoin price increases.
Risks and Volatility
Crypto Dependency: NASDAQ:MARA ’s performance is tightly coupled with Bitcoin’s price. While this offers significant upside during bull markets, it exposes the stock to extreme downside risk in bear markets.
Regulatory Uncertainty: Potential changes in crypto regulations could impact mining operations and profitability.
Operational Costs: Fluctuations in energy prices and mining difficulty could strain margins.
Buffett’s Perspective: Speculation vs. Strategy
Warren Buffett famously avoids speculative assets like Bitcoin, and by extension, Bitcoin-focused companies. However, Marathon’s strategic moves—such as renewable energy investments—showcase a long-term vision that could appeal to more risk-tolerant investors.
Conclusion: Is NASDAQ:MARA a Buy?
NASDAQ:MARA ’s substantial Bitcoin reserves and operational improvements make it a compelling choice for investors who believe in Bitcoin’s continued growth. At a price of ~$22.73, the stock seems fairly valued relative to its book value and intrinsic potential. However, investing in NASDAQ:MARA requires:
A strong belief in Bitcoin’s future.
A high tolerance for crypto market volatility.
An understanding of the risks tied to mining operations and regulatory changes.
For those ready to embrace the volatility, NASDAQ:MARA offers an opportunity to ride the crypto wave with a company building for the future.
For more in-depth market insights and strategies, visit DCAlpha.net and stay ahead of the game. 🚀
Microsoft - H&S Fake Out to Make Out! 16% Upside🖐️ H5 TRADE - NASDAQ:MSFT
There was to much going on to call out my exact entry on this at the retest area but to be fair I put it on everyone's watchlist a few weeks ago and said a retest would be a perfect entry. This will be different once the H5 Community is up and running as I will have a whole trade alerts channel were I post my trades and buy/sell notis right as after execution!
With this trade we still have over 16% to run upward from here. So, up to you friends! Them and other Mag7 names held up really well during that flash crash and that is very bullish to me! Also, to throw in a learning lesson for all: Just because a charting pattern forms (H&S on MSFT) doesn't mean it's a trade you should enter! Always wait for breakouts and retest! If you struggle with that then you better beat it into your head and tape you hands underneath your desk!
-H5 indicator is GREEN
-Symmetrical Triangle pattern breakout and retest
-Launching off Volume shelf back to ATH and beyond
-Bottom of the two year rising channel
-Williams CB forming and believe we create support next week
I consolidated the account yesterday into the best trades and saw this OLD SAFE n RELIABLE trade and chose to buy some options!
🔜🎯$466
🎯$512
⏲️Before 05May2025
2 Contracts -$420 Calls for May 16th 2025
CB: $40.03 - Currently $43.75
Not financial advice.
META pulled back, I'm taking advantage! 30% UpsideH5 TRADE - NASDAQ:META
If you want a great fundamental investment as a trade then let NASDAQ:META be your huckleberry friends! Called out this breakout two weeks ago but wanted wait for this retest to happen. Well, we got it!
-H5 Indicator is GREEN
-Ascending triangle breakout with a retest which formed a Bull Flag that broke out as well and now retested.
-Williams CB formed and thriving, even with the big pullback yesterday
-Sitting on a Volume Shelf with ATH free space above
Bought in with 25 shares and will add some options on open.
🔜🎯$706
🎯$780
Not financial advice
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Dec20, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Bitcoin's spectacular pullback to Mean Sup 91800 is noted. We anticipate a rebound to the upside, targeting the key Resistance level of 106000. Nevertheless, it is essential to acknowledge that a retest of the Mean Support level 91800 remains a plausible scenario.
NVIDIA (NVDA): Post-Earnings Battle Between Bulls and BearsIt is getting harder for $NVDA. Nvidia's earnings appear to have produced a muted market reaction for once. The chip maker's blowout quarterly report was good enough to support the stock but not provide another leg to its stunning rally. By any normal measure Nvidia's third-quarter numbers were stunning, as it nearly doubled its revenue from the prior year. However, its guidance wasn't as strong as some analysts had expected. Which is incredibly if you think that doubling its revenue is not enough for Nvidia to surge higher once more. Attention will now turn to the rollout of Nvidia's Blackwell artificial-intelligence chips
Our attention will stay on the chart and we can see this kind of market behaviour in the chart really well. It seems as if bulls and bears are now battling about this earnings report and there are definitely some people trapped with option calls on NVIDIA that they have bought before the earnings.
NASDAQ:NVDA has build somewhat of a trend channel and keeps on defending the lower edge of it very well in the past. The question now is if the wave ((iv)) is already finished or not.
With the fact that NASDAQ:NVDA is loosing momentum on the RSI but still being able to reclaim the VAL and putting in higher highs we think is is very likely that we are seeing some kind of pullback/blowout of those positions that have been opened and trapped at the all time high now. Still NASDAQ:NVDA is a stock that can put in 10% next week and nobody would be astonished. Therefore we are moving our stop loss from our current open position to 114.50$ and setting alerts for a possible buying opportunity again on $NVDA.
$EURUSD pessimistic proposal for a pair of yearsI believe, that FX:EURUSD should stay sustainable and reliable pair for a long time, but I suppose it will take a part in an descending flow till the end of 2025 - mid of 2026.
Ratio 0.85:1 looks like a possible scenario for the next time.
Does not constitute a recommendation.
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$POLY - everything shows that time has comeIndicators shows - MOEX:POLY is ready to start moving upstairs. Oversold instrument will lure investors' money.
2. Two crossing channels - main downward and local upward. Both for now stays higher, than an actual price. It should return back to any channel and continue moving inside till the top board of one only or both. Two channels and levels inside will be magnetized for the line.
3. Creating reversed double bottom pattern will be one more fundamental issue to warm an interest.
4. Good potential for the growth for 2 years (x4).
The company shared information recently that the current owner is going to sell 100% of the nearest time. Stay careful and be attentive in any decisions.
$HHRU - time to take a restMOEX:HHRU is overheated a bit and time comes for correction. Horizon is near 2350 during 4 months.
Does not constitute a recommendation.
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$SPX - idea from the historyI've just faced an unpublished idea about SP:SPX . Will publish it in the mid on the road. )
Does not constitute a recommendation.
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$VTBR is accumulating power for the possible leap up.MOEX:VTBR is moving inside the narrow enough channel to the bottom of the triangle. Now is time to touch this bottom line. After that I expect to watch a well-done movie with an example, how to jump x2 higher the place, where you are in.
Does not constitute a recommendation.
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$KZTRUB - 3:1 till the end of 2024I will add nothing except that it will go to the aim in two possible ways during the next 6-9 months.
Does not constitute a recommendation.
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$BBLUSDT - seems we are almost on the bottomMy observation is that the pair BYBIT:BBLUSDT dropping becomes more and more horizontal. This can be a signal for the turn nearing.
If it shows a real jump out of descending channel, I waiting forward to the growing phase of this instrument during the next 2 quarters.
Does not constitute a recommendation.
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BABA shows a signal for the turn aroundYou can notice, that current ascending trend shows a steeper inclination angle for NYSE:BABA , than the previous one. This can indicate, that a growing line will present more intensive and powerful leaps in the nearest future.
I expect, that we will observe a rapid jumps direct to the level of 139 very soon.
More strategic goals for the future are located near the levels of 220 and 470 (this can become a final point of the current long moving up).
Not a recommendation.
$BTAI - is it able to keep on the previous trend line?NASDAQ:BTAI oversold and should return to the range for the further trivial trading in 2 months. I believe, it go back. All pictures show that this drop need to be closed and forgotten as a bad dream.
Good possible profit for the risky investors in a short enough range of time.
Does not constitute a recommendation
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$AFKS - time to breathe out and relaxPropose cooling of MOEX:AFKS temperature till 19-20 degrees during the next 4-5 months.
Does not constitute a recommendation.
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$OZON will cost much much moreMOEX:OZON has shown a very good results during a year. But definetely it will show much more in 4 months. Where to buy - 3350. Where to sell - 4950. Profit - 48%.
Does not constitute a recommendation.
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TAL - first round of the long leaps seriesNYSE:TAL in my opinion a perfect company for investing for the next 7-10 years.
Final vision is to achieve 250 and 450 strategically, but as of now, within the borders of this certain idea, is to get profit between levels of 10 and 38 during the 2025 year.
Not a recommendation.