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EURUSD Trade Idea Dec 13-17 2021The Logic: Overall EU is bearish from the weekly and Monthly TFs. Also on the weekly TF price has broken key structure, moving towards the downside, hence I'm anticipating a pull back to the OB which caused the break of structure, then a continuation downwards. On the daily TF, price has created a shift in market structure upwards, possibly signaling the pull back has begun. With this SMS I'm anticipating that price will return below the shift as liquidity has been engineered in the area of the shift and as such I'll be looking for buys inside my 1H POI until price returns to the 1W POI that initially created the BMS downwards.
Long
by ThePhoenicx
$BTC - Pullback to Discount Level, Then Bullish *Smart Money**SMT = Smart Money Theory = everything you think that is not retail related to trading. First, SMT does not believe that triangles, wedges , trendlines , channels, harmonics, etc. has any effect on how price reacts. The second is to recognize that the price is not random, it is set by an algorithm controlled by those that control the asset. The Third thing to remember is price will move toward Liquidity and Balance. That's the basics. The rest is very unique in the vocabulary you need to have and the concepts that wrap around these ideas. Bitcoin is pulling up to possibly reach above the current small liquidity high resting near $50,850. I can see it pushing up a little harder to take out people thinking this is a "Resistance" level but then going to the median bearish order block of $51,3385 before getting pushed back down into the 1-hour fair value gap which is an imbalance that needs to be filled. Or it could simply touch the bottom of the 1 hour fari value gao from the "great fall" last week, and turn bearish and into the newly created 1 hour fair value gap, which is an imbalance it would most likely pursue and fill. At the bottom of this imbalance is the 61.8% (Discount level) of the fib if you place it at the recent current low to the current recent high. This area is also near the 4-hour Fair Value Gap bottom. So all of these confluences make sense as to where it would go before moving bullish. So I have the entry price as $49,160. Now the target is above the current high and it's the next tiny 1-hour order block at around $52,645.So to be safe I put my target at $52,640. See Chart I'm giving it until the end of the week to make this happen so we have a nice green weekly candle. If there are any Smart Money / ICT students out there that have any critiques or suggestions, please let me know what you think. Agina, this is not the retail way of thinking, if you tell me a Trend line and a triangle is going to somehow magically make the price do something, I would point you toward what the chart usually does and that is attack liquidity and balance. And I believe this idea has both. Cheers and happy trading. P.S. I'm still holding my trade from "The great fall" from last week. I knew it would come up but I'm just hoping it comes up quicker because my time decay is killing me on my futures call. COINBASE:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD KUCOIN:BTCUSDT PHEMEX:BTCUSDT BYBIT:BTCUSDT OKEX:BTCUSDT FTX:BTCUSD
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by BodiesXWix
2
$EURUSD - Breaking Sell Side Liquidity to long 2020 Bullish OB ***Smart Money Theory - Nothing that I have learned in retail trading has brought m profits, So I use Smart Money Technique or Institutional Trading. Currently, with EUR/USD it Appears that the Price Action is slowly making its way back toward levels from 2020. It has hit an Order Block on a daily time frame (Wick) and I believe it will drop below the Asian range (Around 1,14385) to take out the sell-side liquidity, Possibly even spike down to the hit the body of the Daily bullish Order Block (around 1.14280) before turning around and making a reversal. I see the bullish bias Already because it has broken the market structure at 1,14560 taking out short-term highs. Once The New York Session may give it the charging it needs to break up and over the equal highs near 1.14775 and possibly to the end of the 4th varition of the Asian range which also fits near the Median of the old 2020 daily fair value gap. See chart for historical references. I would be s little more careful on the stop loss with 30 pips and not 15 pips but have multiple take-profit zones along the way. The last without leaving 5 % on after going long near (now) 1.14360, highest aim would be 1,4885. Taking profit along the way at 1.14565, 1.1.4680, 1.14770 and lastly 1.14900
Long
by BodiesXWix
$BTC Hit Bearish Order Block median--- twice. (SMT)***If you don't know Smart Money Technique Vocabulary, this may confuse you as we believe all charts in all markets are controlled by an algorithm, don't believe me? Pay attention to Inner Circle Trader. As his student, I've learned everything I know through him And he's so spot on*** It seems that bitcoin has made. Decent Run and no one can explain it. Well for one, It spent way too much time in the discount portion of the monthly fair value gap. And two it was nearig the end of the month and for the algorithm to work on it to keep going higher we needed to create a bullish order block on the monthly. That didn't happen but the bullish Order Block on the Weekly looks great. Yesterday before the end of the week, the orice dropped to hit the order block which propelled it into today to hit the median of the bearish order block, and that's why it stopped where it stopped (Bearish order block = last up candle before down candle closing below the up candle, measure that (weekly) in half and thats the median Bearish order block, right where BTC stopped) (Too Much time in the Discount portion of the Monthly FVG Chart) (Half the Order Block Stopping the momentum - Weekly) However if we don't get. quick fall like we have been getting when the price hits a bearish order block, but instead it has hit the mediann twice, I believe we're looking at price breaking that median barrier. It will probably zig zag for a minute to confuse people, (people will start chasing a buy, then it may sell off a bit, then they start chasing that) Watch for the lin of the very last bearish order block (4 hour 1 hour 15 min) If it appraches that it will get rejected but it could continue moving up trying to take out the liquidity above tht most recent swing high. That is what I personally believe it is going to do. 4 hour: $51,050 1 hour: $52,515 Above the most recent high lies all the liquidity where evereones buy stops, or sell limits are at, price wnts to get there if it continues to push up. I don't see anything in the form of liquidity on the way down. Mybe we'll get as high as the last weekly beariish order blocks median which is 59136 \ this is all Smart Money Technique, The best way to describe smart Money technique is to think about how you would normally trade, now think about the guy that has 1000000x more money than you knows you would trade, the chart is going with the guy that has 100000000x more money than you. Thanks for reading, Hope this made sense COINBASE:BTCUSD
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by BodiesXWix
CHFJPY Analysis M15My directional bias is bullish based on the higher time frames: M,W, D TFs. I found a point of interest (POI) as outlined in the label on the chart, then proceeded to refine the point of entry. Point of interest was found based on the break of structure(BOS) and identifying the Order Block (OB) which created that strong impulse to the upside. Another confirmation also was the liquidity created by the sell stops resting below the area of consolidation after the impulse upward. Price is magnetized to these areas of liquidity as well as the OB that created the impulse. The fact that the impulse was strong enough to break structure makes it a strong and valid area of interest.With the strong possibility of price returning to this area of interest, a pending order (Buy Limit) is set with entry at 119.298, SL 119.281, TP 120.220, 55:1 RRR.
Long
by ThePhoenicx