GU Long from 30Min POILooking to take a GU long from this 30 min point of interest. Looking for order block mitigation as well as an imbalance around the 50% area of a 1min TF orderblock within the POI.
Entry 1.36278
SL - 1.36080
Target - 1.376+
Imbalance
Smart Money Concepts - StructureThe basics of Smart Money Concepts with an overview of market structure and liquidity.
Bitcoin (BTC) Short & Long Term Analysis - Smart MoneyFull Bitcoin Short & Long Term Analysis - Smart Money
EURUSD SHORT LOOKING FOR AA SHORTER TERM SHORT ON EU, SWEPT HIGH MAY RETURN FOR LOWER LIQUIDITY AND ODER BLOCKS, CAN SLO SEE A PUSH HIGHER AND SWEEP OF THAT LEVEL WITH EVEN A POSSIBILITY OF A SIGNIFICANT PUSH HIGHER IF BOTH FAILS OR INVALIDATE OPPORTUNITY. WOULD LIKE TO SEE A ROLL-OFF WITH MORE CONVICTION HOWEVER, SO IF THIS WAS TO TAKE THESE HIGH AGAIN I WOULDNT BE SURPRISED, (LOOKING TO LIMIT RISK ASAP) YOU DONT CATCH THEM ALL AND ILL BE MONITORING PRICE IF THAT HAPPENS
XAUUSD SHORTPrice broke the previous uptrend without retesting aiming the previous support liquidity area, leaving an imbalance at 1906-1895.
After a period of consolidation price created a downtrend formed a new trend liquidity which then were swept by a single instututional candle before creating the recover
of the previous break. Now price is going to the imbalance area meanwhile retesting the break. I would not enter below 1970 for a sell as soon as the price arrives there, but would wait for everyone to enter on a sell and expect price to do the contrary, creating a stophunt. So basically i would enter only after this scenario.
EURGBP LONGCheck the priceaction on 15min if u wanna enter now otherwise wait for the 4h candle to close
15min timeframe enter only if the price break above the trend liquidity
GBP AUD - Break or rejection 61.8%?GBP AUD - 4hour chart
Be ready for either direction on the lower timeframe.
Technicals to assess.
We have a bearish hammer forming on the 4 hour chart.
The Fibonacci down trend is in play, however the 61.8% has not been attacked yet with no signal of a lower high formed.
With GBP AUD - price moves quick with a strong engulfing once the orders are ready and filled to either the downside or upside.
If the trend line is intact, then the lower high rejection wicks are in play.
A break will see downsides to look for positional holds to 1.74 with the weekly imbalance looking likely again.
This can be a good hedge trade to longs.
However, buys can be engineered by a perceived short position in which we will look long again with 1.767XX to remained untested.
See the main idea here for longs, shorts.
Why follow us?
Updates on our pairs as and when we can.
Swing trade out looks
10 years combined experience in capital markets
simple breakdowns for beginners through to advanced .
KISS - keep it simple stupid.
we trade purely from naked charts, less indicators - remove the noise.
If you like our work, please leave a like or comment. To all our followers, we appreciate the follow and likes.
Regardless we will continue producing analysis.
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Team Lupa
GU Buy Higher time frames showing imbalance due to gap which is currently being retested and used as support im waiting for my 50 and 61 fibs to be broken and retested where I will enter at the retest
S&P500 2021 outlookSPX500 to 4300 target for 2021.
based on the projection of a correctional move within certain months, however the rate of debt the debt market cycle has not been reacting negatively yet with yields still intact and further debt creation to refinance debt obligations .
There will be weeks and months which have negative returns, however the overall Fibonacci and rolling returns model suggests that the pricing model shows 4,000+ to be created and surpassed due to SPDR health sector and tech sectors beating the benchmark.
This is a quick example - a further explanation will be provided.
Why follow us?
Updates on our pairs as and when we can.
Swing trade out looks
10 years combined experience in capital markets
simple breakdowns for beginners through to advanced .
KISS - keep it simple stupid.
we trade purely from naked charts, less indicators - remove the noise.
If you like our work, please leave a like or comment. To all our followers, we appreciate the follow and likes.
If you feel our work is exceptional and would like to donate coins, this is highly appreciated.
Regardless we will continue producing analysis.
Thanks,
Team Lupa
Team Lupa
SELL GBPCAD SWINGJUST PUT OUT A VERY SIMILAR TRADE ON GBPJPY. GC IS IN A TRIANGLE AND IT HIT A IMBALANCE POINT, WHILE CONTINUING TO MAKE HIGHER LOWS. LETS EAT GIVE FEEDBACK!! WE ALSO HAVE DIVERGENCE WITH RSI AS A SMALL CONFIRMATION
SELL GBPJPY SWINGENTRY: HIT IMBALANCE OF PRICE AND IS MAKING HIGHER LOWS!
BIAS: GBPJPY IS IN A TRIANGLE PATTERN AND I SEE IT PUSHING DOWN TO THE BOTTOM TREND
WHERE I SEE A GREAT POINT OF INTEREST.
AUDUSD - Institutional Liquidity - Understand the WhyImagine understanding how to execute with precision?
Imagine understanding the Why behind the markets....
Liquidity, Footprints, Level ll which is all considered within the framework of 'smart money concepts'
December is traditionally known for the lack of liquidity and reduced volume in turn which causes increased volatility. Traditionally many including myself trade less throughout December and I tend to wrap my trading up around The second week of the month to spend time with my family, friends and loved ones. As we all know from an institutional stand point the seasonal holiday tends to be the month many take off to do the same but other than the above do you ever wonder why? ...... Bonus Month. PnL on institutions books are calculated for the year end and of course subjective to performance the portfolio manager & team are paid in accordance with the 'Net ROI (Factoring in either the hurdle rate or the watermark)
Now the above is somewhat irrelevant but it's important to understand the Why..... So lets now take a look at understanding the Why behind this AUD/USD Short on 28th December 2020 at 08:44am shortly after the London/European open, But, first here are the performance metrics and values;
Percentage ROI: +15.87%
Initial Risk: 1% (factoring in RT Commissions)
Stop Loss: 3 Pips
Drawdown: 0.9 Pips
Trade Duration: 7 Hours (Trade hit TP2 @ 15:46 UK GMT)
____________________
So lets take a look at the trade Breakdown
Weekly Timeframe:
The Weekly going back to 2001 has since been in a bullish uptrend, creating Higher Highs & Higher Lows until 2014 after it printed a Lower Low and failed to purge liquidity and create a Higher High. Price continued to create Lower Highs and Lowers Lows, Building Liquidity on it's way down. In March 2016 we Broke Major structure to the downside and printing a new structurally significant Low, Taking Liquidity. to allow for a Push to the upside, lifting offers, seeking the Institutional level & footprint which was yet to be 'Mitigated' from May / June 2018.
Daily Chart:
Price as we can see on the Daily timeframe is extremely efficient within the market structure & sub-structure. Building & Creating Liquidity to be targeted / purged and swept !
1Hour:
On December 21st 2020 we gapped down with intent and momentum creating multiple Breaks of structure to the downside, then correctively over the next 6 days moved back up to not only fill gap liquidity but tap into the Order Block left, Seen clearly..... Which was the beginning of our short trade ......
Full Ripple (XRP/USD) Smart Money BreakdownHere is a 20 minute breakdown on Ripple (XRP/USD) on what I believe we will be looking for next and how I will be approaching it from an investment perspective and intraday trading perspective.
GBPUSD Short - 15M Imbalance and 50% Fib Retracement - RR 1:30Hey guys
Please give me some feedback, I would much appreciate it
- Price broke weekly key level then rejected down
- Price showed indication of distribution
- Looking at divergence on the 1hr timeframe signifying down trend
- Break to the downside of rising wedge
- Imbalance candle on 15m timeframe lined up with 50% fib retracement.
If you feel the same or disagree with me, please share your analysis with me!
AUD USD - long term to 0.80Must bypass 0.76 hurdle first.
Now the trend is moving, looking to see a weak dollar maintained in 2021 so this will be great for the Aussie.
Remember any bearish news on the world will see a rush to the USD, however with the US attempting to remove the safehaven asset for investors, expect a good move for the Aussie to see bullish movements.
EURAUD Potential Sell LimitClearing the imbalance at the 0.618 retracement off the last institutional candle for entry, and moving to follow the current structure of lower lows. Might take it longer; TP was set to 3.18:1, but could deeper.
Imbalance Trade EURAUD 1hr Imbalance Gap
50% Fib from zone or High of the zone for Entry
1:2 R/R @ 20 pips
Possible Election Rally “if _______ wins?”Price has retested the average price of the bullish orderblock on the daily timeframe.
Higher Low’s being formed on the 4Hr timeframe along with a liquidity tag show signs of bears loosing control. Which is starting to create an imbalance favoring the bulls.
🎯: Untested bearish orderblock off the daily.
::: Election :::
We could see a crazy rally and a major sell-off tomorrow/Wednesday. It all depends on rather Dems or Reps win on the overall outcome. Though with the Election Day we could see whipsaws in price due to the ballot intake this year.
GBPUSD Trade IdeaHere is my GU analysis. I think that since the imbalance has been filled, price will break the channel and return to a previous continuation block.
eurjpy break and retest short move.eurjpy broke structure and fell down. waiting on retracement and retest of the bearish engulfing due to a quick imbalance of price that was created.
potential 5.88 RR
