Trading EURUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 16/07/2024 - big win!Last week, we had awesome trading sessions using the Judas swing strategy. We entered 7 positions across 4 major currency pairs: EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD, and NZDUSD, and secured 5 Big wins! The results we've achieved with this strategy have heightened our anticipation for our trading sessions. As is customary, at 8:25 AM EST, we commenced the day by reviewing the essential items on our Judas Swing strategy checklist, which comprises:
- Setting the timezone to New York time
- Confirming we're on the 5-minute timeframe
- Marking the trading period from 00:00 - 08:30
- Identifying the high and low of the zone
In a few minutes the low of the zone was swept, which meant our focus would be on identifying potential buying opportunities for the trading session.
To increase the likelihood of success of our trades, we wait for a break of structure (BOS) towards the buy side. Once the BOS occurs, we anticipate price to retrace to the initial Fair Value Gap (FVG) created during the formation of the leg that broke the structure.
We patiently waited for price to retrace into the created Fair Value Gap (FVG), and executed our trade upon the closing of the first candle that entered the FVG, as all the conditions on our checklist for trade execution were satisfied. Please note that our stop loss is set at the low of the price leg that broke structure, and we implement a minimum stop loss of 10 pips.
The position underwent minimal drawdown, after 5 minutes we were already in profit. What remains is for us to exercise patience and allow the trade to unfold to our advantage.
We are aware that our strategy does not guarantee a 100% win rate but rather hovers around 50%, indicating that some losses were inevitable. To avoid becoming emotional over the position, we used only 1% of our trading account with the goal of achieving a 2% gain. Upon checking our position later, we observed that the position was a few pips away from hitting TP.
After 4 hours, our Take Profit was triggered, and our patience paid off as we hit our target on EURUSD, resulting in a 2% gain from a 1% risk on the trade.
Imbalance
Trading EURUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 08/07/2024Last week proved challenging for the Judas swing strategy, which experienced losses on AUDUSD and GBPUSD. However, this has heightened our anticipation for a more successful trading week ahead. As is customary, at 8:25 AM EST, we commenced the day by reviewing the essential items on our Judas Swing strategy checklist, which comprises:
- Setting the timezone to New York time
- Confirming we're on the 5-minute timeframe
- Marking the trading period from 00:00 - 08:30
- Identifying the high and low of the zone
Now that our trading zone is defined, we wait for a liquidity sweep at either side of the zone to inform our trading bias for the session. Liquidity was taken at the highs after 25 minutes, signaling our focus would be on identifying potential selling opportunities.
Even though we have a bias for the trading session, we do not enter trades blindly. Instead, we consider the following questions and do not rush into any trades until all the criteria are met. The questions are:
1. Is there a break of structure (BOS) to the sell side?
2. Has the price leg that broke the structure left a Fair Value Gap (FVG) behind?
3. Has price retraced into the FVG that was left behind?
After an hour's wait, two of our previously mentioned conditions were met, indicating we were on the right track. We just needed to wait for price to retrace into the Fair Value Gap (FVG) to execute the trade.
After the Break of Structure (BOS), the following candle entered the Fair Value Gap (FVG) that had formed. However, our thorough backtesting revealed that it is preferable to execute trades after the candle that entered the FVG has closed. This approach is due to instances where the candle entering the FVG may proceed to hit our stop loss, but waiting for the candle to close prevents us from such trades.
After initiating the trade, we experienced a drawdown for approximately 35 minutes before the position began to move in our favor. Patience is now required for the trade to unfold. Based on the data we have gathered, we anticipate an average trade duration of 8 hours and 27 minutes.
We are aware that our strategy does not guarantee a 100% win rate but rather hovers around 50%, indicating that some losses were inevitable. To avoid becoming emotional over the position, we used only 1% of our trading account with the goal of achieving a 2% gain. Upon checking our position later, we observed that it was progressing favorably in the direction we intended.
After 12 hours and 20 minutes, our Take Profit was triggered, and our patience paid off as we hit our target on EURUSD, resulting in a 2% gain from a 1% risk on the trade.
Trading GBPUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 02/07/2024Last week saw a lull in trading activity for the Judas Swing, concluding with no trading opportunity on the four major currency pairs we monitor ( FX:EURUSD , FX:GBPUSD , OANDA:NZDUSD , FX:AUDUSD ). This pause in activity has heightened our anticipation for engaging in some promising trades this week. As is customary, at 8:25 AM EST, we commenced the day by reviewing the essential items on our Judas Swing strategy checklist, which comprises:
- Setting the timezone to New York time
- Confirming we're on the 5-minute timeframe
- Marking the trading period from 00:00 - 08:30
- Identifying the high and low of the zone
The next step on our checklist is to await the sweep of liquidity on either sides of the zone, which will give us a directional bias for the trading period. Liquidity was taken at the highs after 20 minutes, signaling our focus would be on identifying potential selling opportunities.
Although a bias has been established for the trading period, we do not proceed to sell indiscriminately. To enhance the probability of successful trades, we await a break of structure (BOS) on the sell side. Following the BOS, we expect the price to pull back to the initial Fair Value Gap (FVG) formed during the development of the leg that broke structure.
Next on the checklist, we wait for the price to retrace into the Fair Value Gap (FVG) and execute the trade only after the candle that entered the FVG has closed.
After executing the trade, we were in profit for about 10 minutes before the price reversed, leading our position into a drawdown. During the drawdown, we remained calm because we had risked only 1% of our trading account on the trade, aiming for a 2% gain if the trade was successful. We were aware that our strategy does not guarantee a 100% win rate but rather hovers around 50%, indicating that some losses were inevitable. To avoid becoming emotional over the position, we let the trade run its course and accepted whatever the outcome would be.
We later reviewed the position and discovered it was once again moving in our favour, only to reverse direction and head towards our stop loss. We anticipated an average position duration of 6 hours and 35 minutes for the trade, so we let the trade run.
We waited with patience, yet our perseverance did not bear fruit on this occasion, as our position reached the stop loss after 4 hours and 40 minutes, leading to a 1% reduction in our trading account. It's important to note that we were on a winning streak for a few weeks and it's normal to have losing trades; no strategy guarantees a 100% win rate. However, with proper risk management and a favorable risk-reward ratio, the potential for profit can outweigh the losses.
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Trading AUDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 17/06/2024 Following a successful trading week, we approached our trading desks in high spirits, eagerly anticipating the start of the trading session. While our week included trading FX:EURUSD , FX:GBPUSD , OANDA:NZDUSD we’re showing this classic example using $AUDUSD. At 8:25 AM EST, we began the day by running through the essentials on our Judas Swing strategy checklist, which includes:
- Setting the timezone to New York time
- Confirming we're on the 5-minute timeframe
- Marking the trading period from 00:00 - 08:30
- Identifying the high and low of the zone
Now that our zones are demarcated, we anticipate a liquidity sweep on either side of the trading zone, as this will assist in establishing a bias for the trading session. Liquidity was taken at the lows after 5 minutes, signaling our focus would be on identifying potential buying opportunities.
To increase the likelihood of success of our trades, we wait for a break of structure (BOS) towards the buy side. Once the BOS occurs, we anticipate price to retrace to the initial Fair Value Gap (FVG) created during the formation of the leg that broke the structure.
We patiently waited for price to retrace into the created Fair Value Gap (FVG), and executed our trade upon the closing of the first candle that entered the FVG, as all the conditions on our checklist for trade execution were satisfied.
Ideally, our stop loss should be set at the low of 0.65854, but that would place our stop loss at approximately 6 pips, which is too tight for our strategy. Extensive backtesting has shown that tight stop losses are often triggered before price reverses and moves in our intended direction. Consequently, we have implemented a minimum stop loss of 10 pips for all our trades.
After executing the trade, we experienced a minor drawdown for approximately 25 minutes before price shifted in our favor. During the drawdown, we remained calm as we had only risked 1% of our trading account with the goal of achieving a 2% return.
Price was progressing well in our direction, and all that was required of us was patience for the Take Profit (TP) to be reached. We expected to be in this trade for roughly 8 hours and 6 minutes, so we stayed composed and had faith in our strategy.
After 3 hours and 50 minutes, our Take Profit was triggered, and our patience paid off as we hit our target on AUDUSD, resulting in a 2% gain from a 1% risk on the trade.
Trading AUDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 06/06/2024Despite taking the loss on 05/06/2024, we remained committed to our strategy. The thorough testing of the Judas Swing strategy has bolstered our confidence, allowing us to continue trading whenever our setup forms.
The next day 06/06/2024 At 8:25 AM EST, we got to our trading desk and started the day doing the basics on our Judas Swing strategy checklist which includes:
- Making sure the timezone is set to New York time
- Making sure we're on the 5 min timeframe
- Marking the trading period from 00:00 - 08:30
- Marking the high and low of the zone
Now that we have established the day's low and high, we await the sweep of liquidity on either side of the zone to determine our bias for the trading session. Liquidity was taken at the lows after 20 minutes, signaling our focus would be on identifying potential buying opportunities.
To avoid getting trapped, we waited for price to create a Break of Structure (BOS) to the buy side which occurred at 09:40. Subsequently, our focus shifted to identifying the initial Fair Value Gap within the displacement leg that broke structure.
Price then retraced into the created Fair Value Gap (FVG), so we waited and only executed our trade once the candle that touched or entered the FVG had closed.
After executing the trade, price moved in our intended direction with minimal drawdown. Similarly, we entered a trade on NZDUSD, and it was also progressing well towards our take profit target.
Price nearly reached our take profit (TP) level but then reversed, prolonging our position in the trade. On average, we anticipate being in a trade for approximately 8 hours and 6 minutes, so we remained calm and trusted our strategy.
Our patience was rewarded when we achieved our target on both AUDUSD and NZDUSD trades, resulting in a 4% gain (2% from each trade), having risked a total of 2% (1% on each trade).
Trading GBPUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 05/06/2024 At 8:25 AM EST, we got to our trading desk and started the day doing the basics on our Judas Swing strategy checklist which includes:
- Making sure the timezone is set to New York time
- Making sure we're on the 5 min timeframe
- Marking the trading period from 00:00 - 08:30
- Marking the high and low of the zone
We then waited for liquidity to be taken on either side of our trading zone, which will give us our directional bias for the trading session. Liquidity was taken at the highs after 15 minutes, signaling our focus would be on identifying potential selling opportunities.
Precisely at 10:00, there was a significant bearish shift in GBPUSD that broke the structure, creating an FVG in the process. Keep in mind that high-impact news for the USD occurred at 8:15 and 10:00 EST, which can influence price movements.
We then waited for price to retrace, filling or touching the created Fair Value Gap (FVG), and only executed our trade once the candle that touched or entered the FVG had closed.
After executing the trade, price initially moved against us to fill part of the FVG left behind, it later moved slightly in our direction. However, it took a turn towards our stop loss. Despite this, we maintained confidence in our strategy, given its extensive backtesting, which has demonstrated a win rate of 52% on GBPUSD trades.
Accepting the calculated risk of 1% of our account for the possibility of a 2% return, the closeness of the price to our stop loss did not shake us, and we kept our faith in the strategy. We anticipated an average position duration of 6 hours and 35 minutes, which could extend to 2x longer for the trade.
We waited patiently, but our persistence did not yield results this time, resulting in a 1% loss in our trading account. It's important to note that we were on a winning streak for a few weeks and it's normal to have losing trades; no strategy guarantees a 100% win rate. However, with proper risk management and a favorable risk-reward ratio, the potential for profit can outweigh the losses.
QQQ Bear Flag (Potential Correct Start)Classic trend reversal retracement
-Bear flag directly into one of the last imbalances (on 30m timeframe)
- Breakdown to 393 area very possible in the next month or two
- ~10% drop from current levels, would put QQQ squarely in correction territory
- Upside is that 393 area looks to be a very strong (and fresh) support
Trading EURUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 24/04/2024At 8:45 AM EST EURUSD made a big move down that took out the Judas Swing Zone Low. Then it came straight back up to create a BOS(break of structure).
After the liquidity grab at the low and the subsequent break of structure (BOS), we patiently awaited a retracement towards the initial Fair Value Gap (FVG) that emerged during the displacement leg.
We then waited for price to retrace, filling or touching the created Fair Value Gap (FVG), and only executed our trade once the candle that touched or entered the FVG had closed.
After executing the trade, price initially moved favourably in our direction. However, it later took a turn towards our stop loss. Despite this, we maintained confidence in our strategy, given its extensive backtesting, which has demonstrated a win rate of 52.78% on EURUSD.
Despite being in a drawdown at this point, we remained steadfast in our approach. Having accepted the calculated risk of only 1% of our account for a potential 2% gain, we were unfazed by the proximity of price to our stop loss, and maintained our trust in the strategy.
Price eventually reversed and paused briefly around our entry point before resuming its favourable movement. We remained unperturbed by the duration of the trade, as our strategy data indicates an average trade duration of 8 hours and 27 minutes.
We patiently waited, and our persistence paid off when our target was finally reached, securing a 2% gain on the trade where we had risked 1%
GBPUSD: Classic SMC Setup?! 🇬🇧🇺🇸
I see a nice bullish SMC confirmation on GBPUSD
after the release of UK fundamentals this morning.
We see a perfect example of a bearish inducement,
followed by a confirmed bullish imbalance.
I think that the violation was a trap.
We can expect growth at least to 1.2458
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
ADA/USDT SPOT BUY SELL ZONES 13.03.2024I am pretty bulish about ADA , it left so much liquidity and few high time frame BPR's (balance price range/ double imbalances) during the last drop.
This BPR's are will be my take profit levels, only about 30% of my spot position will reach the ath (even if it ever will). It is possible target to reach but i am playing it safe.
Green thick bars are places to buy, for quick correction, deeper, and my favourite: correction for the entire upward movement. I will place there my orders waiting for quick wick
BTC LONG FOR SUNDAY/MONDAYBTC marked Market Structure Break after touching the imbalance, below last long price wicks, that's a bullish sign. I try to look for long trades, these are my spots.
Entry 1 (RR 1:4.5) : Filling/touching multiple timeframes imbalances.
Entry 2 (RR 1:10.8): Touching order block and grabing some liq down there
SL: below actual low, but becouse there is imbalance i prefer not to rush with deposit
TP min: 70 715$
TP main: new ATH :)
Current GBP/JPY TradeRight now I am in a long GJ trade. The reason for this trade was the liquidity that was created with a bearish push towards a higher time frame demand order block. Additionally, a few more imbalances were created with the same bearish push. Once price reacted from the higher time frame OB i waited for a CHoCH and found my 5M TF OB from which i took longs from. Price hovered above and below entry before finally pushing towards the upside. I have already exited with one trade, and have another running, which i will hold towards the first imbalance.
Bitcoin is Going DOWN!!!Bitcoin trades just like any other asset class in the sense it seeks Liquidity and Imbalances from the highest to lowest time frames. Typically we gauge liquidity zones from the monthly and weekly time frames. These areas in the markets are our weekly and monthly target zones aka runs on liquidity. These liquidity zones tie in with filling 4 Hr, daily, and weekly imbalances. Once you get trend direction from the monthly you begin to tag your monthly, and weekly targets. We know our standard deviations are birthed from our Dealer Range. Always use the previous day's dealer range and standard deviations when trading Crypto. Typically price tags the 3rd or 4th standard deviations and reverses. Look for weekly and daily targets inside of your standard deviations. They are very precise targets down to the pipette. Always factor in the spread with bitcoin as it is typically very huge. Always trust your set up. Never over leverage. Have a awesome week of trading! - I AM MASTER JEDI & MENTOR at #SniperGang
Imbalance Expert : Guide for mastering imabalance'sCryptocurrency trading is an intricate dance, where understanding and interpreting market imbalances can provide traders with a competitive edge. This comprehensive guide aims to demystify the art of trading imbalances, catering to both beginners and seasoned traders. Through a detailed exploration of strategies and considerations, we'll delve into the world of market dynamics, emphasizing the importance of a holistic approach to trading.
First example has cool reason to go higher ( EQUAL HIGHS ) and big liquidity pool below
Section 1: Understanding Imbalances
1.1 Defining Market Imbalances:
Explore the concept of imbalances in the cryptocurrency market.
Differentiate between bullish and bearish imbalances.
1.2 Reading the Signs:
Learn to identify imbalances on various timeframes.
Utilize technical indicators and chart patterns to confirm imbalances.
Section 2: The Anatomy of Imbalance Trading
2.1 Spotting Imbalances in Price Action:
Analyze real-world examples of imbalances using provided screenshots.
Understand how imbalances manifest in different market conditions.
2.2 Tools of the Trade:
Explore popular tools like volume analysis, order flow, and market profile to complement imbalance trading.
Highlight the role of moving averages and trendlines in confirming imbalances.
Section 3: Strategies for Imbalance Trading
3.1 Swing Trading with Imbalances:
Discover how to swing trade using imbalances as entry and exit signals.
Explore risk management techniques tailored for swing trading.
3.2 Scalping Opportunities:
Uncover strategies for intraday trading based on short-term imbalances.
Discuss the importance of quick decision-making and tight risk control.
Section 4: Advanced Considerations
4.1 Macro and Micro Analysis:
Emphasize the need to consider both macroeconomic trends and micro-level price action.
Discuss how macroeconomic events can create imbalances with lasting effects.
4.2 Market Sentiment and News Analysis:
Incorporate sentiment analysis and news events into the overall imbalance trading strategy.
Understand how sudden shifts in sentiment can create imbalances.
Section 5: Risk Management and Psychology
5.1 Risk Management Strategies:
Explore risk management techniques specific to trading imbalances.
Discuss the importance of position sizing and setting stop-loss orders.
5.2 Mastering Emotional Discipline:
Address the psychological aspects of trading and how emotions can impact decision-making.
Provide practical tips for maintaining discipline during trading.
Conclusion: The Art and Science of Imbalance Trading
In conclusion, mastering the art of trading imbalances requires a combination of technical expertise, strategic thinking, and emotional resilience. Whether you are a beginner looking to enter the world of cryptocurrency trading or a seasoned trader seeking new insights, this guide aims to equip you with the knowledge and tools necessary to navigate the dynamic landscape of imbalance trading. Remember, success in trading is an ongoing journey that requires continuous learning and adaptation to evolving market conditions.
💡 Imbalances Decoded | 📊 Tools of the Trade | 🚀 Strategies for Success | 🧠 Risk Management Mastery
💬 Share your insights: What are your experiences with trading imbalances, and what additional strategies have you found effective? 🌐✨
PYR Weekly Imbalance Retest : $10 are comingPYR, the crypto that patiently accumulated within a horizontal range, unleashed a rapid breakout, leaving behind a significant weekly imbalance. As we tread water in an ascending channel, the journey to surpass the upper bounds awaits a strategic retest, targeting the elusive $10 milestone.
Key Observations:
Extended Accumulation Period:
PYR underwent a prolonged phase of accumulation, consolidating its value within a horizontal range.
This accumulation laid the foundation for a potential explosive move.
Swift Breakout and Imbalance Creation:
The breakout from the accumulation range was swift, propelling PYR to new heights.
However, the breakout left behind a conspicuous weekly imbalance, signifying a significant pool of untraded volume.
Current Scenario and Anticipated Moves:
Ascending Channel Dynamics:
PYR is currently traversing within an ascending channel, marked by higher highs and higher lows.
The channel signals a bullish bias, but challenges lie ahead.
Struggling at the Channel's Upper Boundary:
Despite the bullish momentum, PYR has faced resistance at the upper boundary of the ascending channel.
The inability to breach this level suggests a need for a strategic move.
Anticipated Move - Retest Strategy:
Retest of Weekly Imbalance and Range High:
To fortify its ascent, PYR is expected to undergo a retest of the weekly imbalance left by the breakout.
This anticipated retest aligns with the range high, providing a confluence of support.
Critical Juncture at $10:
The strategic retest becomes a crucial juncture, determining PYR's ability to overcome historical resistance.
A successful retest could pave the way for a decisive move towards the $10 psychological level.
Strategies for Traders:
Observing Price Action at Key Levels:
Traders should closely monitor price action around the weekly imbalance and the range high during the retest.
A strong bounce from these levels could signal a renewed bullish momentum.
Setting Strategic Entry Points:
Consider setting entry points in alignment with the anticipated retest, ensuring positions are strategically placed to benefit from potential bullish moves.
Conclusion: PYR's Odyssey Continues
PYR's journey, from patient accumulation to a breakout with lingering imbalances, is a testament to the complex dynamics of crypto markets. As we stand at the threshold of a potential retest, traders brace themselves for a strategic move that could propel PYR towards the elusive $10 mark.
🚀 Ascending Channel Dynamics | 🔄 Imbalance Retest Strategy | 💼 Strategic Entry Points
💬 Share your insights on PYR's journey and your strategies for navigating this crucial phase! 🌐✨
UNI Swings from Imbalance to Imbalance on the Weekly Chart! The UNI token has displayed a pattern of oscillating between periods of imbalance on the weekly chart, providing unique opportunities for traders. Understanding these imbalances and their impact on price movements is crucial for strategic decision-making.
Key Concepts:
Imbalance Defined:
Imbalance in trading refers to a situation where there is a significant disparity between supply and demand at a particular price level.
Imbalances are often visible on the chart as sharp price movements or consolidation zones.
Navigating Price Swings:
UNI has demonstrated a tendency to move dynamically from one imbalance point to another.
Identifying and analyzing these points of imbalance becomes pivotal for traders seeking strategic entry and exit positions.
Detailed Analysis:
Imbalance at $8:
The rally in UNI's price faced resistance at the $8 level, representing a notable imbalance in supply and demand.
This imbalance acted as a barrier, triggering a corrective move as the market sought equilibrium.
Correction and Retest at $5.8:
Following the imbalance at $8, UNI experienced a correction, driving prices down to $5.8.
The subsequent retest of this level served as a confirmation of the market's attempt to regain balance.
Next Imbalance Level at $12.6:
The upcoming imbalance level at $12.6 emerges as a potential target for UNI's price action.
Traders should monitor this level closely for signs of renewed supply and demand dynamics.
Trading Strategies:
Imbalance Strategies:
Traders can capitalize on imbalances by strategically entering positions when prices approach these levels.
Recognizing the potential for reversals or extended trends during periods of imbalance is key.
Risk Management:
Imbalance trading requires a robust risk management strategy.
Setting stop-loss orders and having exit plans in place is crucial to navigate potential price reversals.
Conclusion: Navigating UNI's Path from Imbalance to Imbalance
Understanding the recurrent pattern of UNI's price movements from one imbalance to another provides traders with valuable insights. By identifying these key levels and implementing strategic entry and exit plans, traders can navigate UNI's market dynamics effectively.
🔄 Imbalance Dynamics | 📉 Correction and Retest | 📈 Next Imbalance Level
💬 Share your thoughts on UNI's imbalance-driven price swings and your approach to trading these dynamics! 🌐✨