Icttrader
$EURUSD higher !FX:EURUSD is very close to a daily buy side liquidity, he will likely reach it today or next week.
I believe we will have first a little bit short where smart money will accumulate long positions and then an orderblock will be created to reach 1.10173.
So every down move have to be seen has suspect.
$GBPUSD: Looking for longHTF bias is bullish
Price below equilibrium
Waiting for liquidity run
Price impulsively moved up and took 1H buy side liquidity and 1H bearish order block. Then moved back down and bounced of the 1H bullish order block and 70.5% Fib level. Currently ranging and could take previous day low then move up.
But I will not take any trade because of NFP
$GBPUSD: Daily showing strength to the upsidePrice took 1H sell side liquidity (SSL 1H) then moved up and took 1H buy side liquidity (BSL 1H). Could still continue moving up but I will only take longs at price below Equilibrium.
Waiting for price to move below Equilibrium then look for buy signals. It will be high probability if it takes the 70.5% Fib level and 1H bullish order block (BullOB 1H)
GBPUSD: Confirms bullishnessMonthly, Weekly & Daily bias is bullish.
Price moved down aggressively yesterday because of the PMI news, taking multiple levels then reversed back up aggressively. (on daily time frame this shows a long wick). Price could continue moving up to take previous daily high or even the 1.28000 level.
Will wait for price to progress until London open and see if it will provide a setup for long.
GBPUSD: BullishPrice has taken the 78.6% Fib level, sell side liquidity (SSL 1H line) and the previous day low, it could continue down to take the whole number 1.27000 then move up or it could move up from here and target the bearish order block above (BearOB 1H line).
Waiting for a market structure shift and fair value gap on lower time frames to confirm that it wants to reverse back up.
GBPUSD: BullishOn 1hour chart, price is pretty rangebound but since monthly, weekly and daily bias is bullish it could still continue moving up. It is possible that it will take 1hour bullish order block (BullOB 1H line), and 70.5% Fib level, or even the sell side liquidity (SSL 1H line) before continuing moving up.
And it could target previous day high or even the buy side liquidity above (BSL 1H line)
GBPUSD: Could continue moving higherPrice continues to show higher highs and could continue moving higher. Yesterday price broke the buy side liquidity (BSL 1H line) then pulled back down. It could continue moving down to take the sell side liquidity (SSL 1H line) and even the 79% Fib level (OTE level). Waiting for these levels to be broken and see if it will provide setup to get long.
But since price already took the 1H bullish order block (BullOB 1H line with yellow arrow), it is also possible that price will reverse back up from here.
GBPUSD: BullishAfter making a double bottom (yellow circle) price moved up and continued to make higher highs. It could continue to move high to take the 1H buy side liquidity (BSL 1H) or even the 4H buy side liquidity (BLS 4H).
On the 15m time frame, it is currently forming a double bottom (yellow line), which is also around 70.5% Fib level (an OTE level). Waiting for price to break the double bottom and see if market will provide an entry to go long
GBPUSD: Could continue moving down to take 1.26000 levelYesterday price moved down to take sell side liquidity (SSL 1H TAKEN line) then moved back up. It is possible for price to continue moving up to take buy side liquidity (BSL 1H line) which is also the area of hourly 79% Fib level, the deepest OTE level and the previuos day high. A lot of reasons for that area to be taken before moving down to take the 1.26000 level
GBPUSD: Directional bias is neutralPrice is still pretty rangebound. It left a long wick at the top then aggressively moved to the downside leaving fair value gaps and taking sell side liquidity (SSL 1H TAKEN line) before moving back up to fill up the fair value gaps.
Price could continue moving up to take the bearish order block, which happens to be also the 62% Fib level and this Fib level is the start of the optimal trade entry (OTE) range. Or, since price is already near the levels at the bottom,, it could move down to take those first, then move up.
Waiting for how price will approach the above or below levels and how will it react at those levels.
GBPUSD could move back up to bearish order blockGU has been ranging this week, breaking highs and lows. It could continue to range until it gives us a sign that it wants to break out of the range.
Yesterday it moved aggressively to the upside taking multiple upper side levels then followed by an aggressive move to the downside, taking some bullish order blocks and sell side liquidity. It also left fair value gaps on its way down and likely to come back up to fill those up. In the encircled part, if we go down to 15m TF, there is also a relatively equal lows that were taken out and was followed by an aggressive move up, which adds as a confluence that price is likely to move back up
GBPUSD is currently ranging and is likely to reach for the lowGU has been ranging this week. Ranging between the 1.27900 & 1.26800 areas. Currently it is at the lower part of the range and it is likely to continue down to take the 1H bullish order block or even the 1H sell side liquidity area. Order blocks and liquidity levels acts as magnets, so it is likely for price to move towards these levels
I am looking for possible setup to target those levels and then wait on how price will react at those levels.
GBPUSD could move up to take the 1.28000 levelMy bias on DXY is neutral and this is the same with my bias on GBPUSD on higher time frames. But looking on the 1H time frame it is more likely for it to move up because there are a lot of order blocks, buy side liquidity sitting above waiting to be taken (green lines above). There is also an equal high (yellow box).
Prior price shows that it took multiple bullish order blocks and sell side liquidities and fib 61.8% level then pulled back up. It is likely to continue to move up to take levels sitting above. As I mentioned before, these levels acts like magnets that draws prices into them.
Why I analyze the direction of DXY.For a trader that trades GBPUSD like me, it is important to analyze the direction of TVC:DXY because TVC:DXY is negatively correlated with $GBPUSD. Knowing the direction of DXY is an additional confluence in trading $GBPUSD.
Here is how I analyze TVC:DXY direction.
Today's TVC:DXY direction analysis.
- DXY is showing a downtrend move.
- It took the sell side liquidity with equal low (SSL D TAKEN line) then moved up.
On its way up,
- it filled fair value gaps (purple shades). 1 fair value gap is not yet fully filled
- it took the 78.6% Fib level, which is the deepest optimal trade entry (OTE)
LONG bias: it is possible for DXY to continue moving up because there is a daily bearish order block just above (BearOB D line)
SHORT bias: it is also possible that TVC:DXY could reverse back down from here because it is showing signs of rejection of the 78.6% Fib level.
For this reasons, my bias for TVC:DXY is NEUTRAL.
Now it's time to analyze FX:GBPUSD