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Ictstudent

$BTC - Fill 4 HR FVG - Bullish Scalp to Bearish OB - *SMT**SMT = Smart Money Theory = everything you think that is not retail related to trading. First, SMT does not believe that triangles, wedges, trendlines, channels, harmonics, etc. has any effect on how price reacts. I'm Sorry, but you won't convince me that Bitcoin knows it has created a triangle and that it knows how to react from that? It does and will remember price levels, that's it. The second is to recognize that the price is not random, it is set by an algorithm controlled by those that control the asset. The Third thing to remember is price will move toward attacking where there is Liquidity (Equal Highs, Equal Lows, phantom Trendlines etc.) and Balance (Fair Value Gaps, Liquidity Voids.) That's the basics. The rest is very unique in the vocabulary you need to have and the concepts that wrap around these ideas. According to SMT price wants to fill imbalances, there is a current 4 hour imbalance in the chart and it stops near 36,000 (Just below) So I gave it some wiggle room for entry after it fills the imbalance it should start a bullish move until the price level hits something the algorithm will remember, such as a bearish order block. A bearish order block is your last bullish candle before the bearish candles close below the bullish candle. The beginning of that bullish cand will be the bearish order block. That is what I think will happen to this chart. It will drop and fill the imbalance and pull up to the bearish order block. All you need to make a money in this game is to see that possibility and put a decent lot size on a futures trade and trade with about 10-15x leverage. You can easily pull off $either $5 or $2,000 depending on how much you have in your account and how much you want to risk. But these types of setups should be easy to spot and easy to capitalize on. It will act as if it wants to continue bearish after filling the imbalance but that is to get retail traders in the trade selling short so smart money can they take it north, ripping the money out of the short sellers pockets and into theirs. Think like them. This is how I would play it if I were an institution. This is not trade advice. This is simply an observation of my experience and my training in Smart Money. COINBASE:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BYBIT:BTCUSD GEMINI:BTCUSD CME:BTC1! INDEX:BTCUSD CME:BTC2!
FTX:BTCUSDLong
by BodiesXWix
3
US30 long ideaWhile the market structure confirmed bullish yesterday, I expect the price delivery to continue bullish towards FOMC meetings. I anticipate the move to be already priced in. However, if bullish price action continues, expect a deep retracement lower with the news, before a continuation higher. If you observe the pattern formed on the 15M, an inverted head and shoulder has been printed despite being in a range. this 2nd leg could be the accumulation of long positions for a draw to at least 33532 with a safe target at 33457 Long term target is 33532. safer target at 33457
ULong
by Quantum_Labs
$APE - BoS on 4HR -Long at Order Block *SMT**SMT = Smart Money Theory = everything you think that is not retail related to trading. First, SMT does not believe that triangles, wedges , trendlines , channels, harmonics, etc. has any effect on how price reacts. I'm Sorry but you won't convince me that Bitcoin knows it has created a triangle and that it knows how to react from that? It does and will remembers price levels, that's it. The second is to recognize that the price is not random, it is set by an algorithm controlled by those that control the asset. The Third thing to remember is price will move toward attacking where there is Liquidity (Equal Highs, Equasl Lows, phantom Trendlines etc.) and Balance (Fair Value Gaps, Liquidity Voids.) That's the basics. The rest is very unique in the vocabulary you need to have and the concepts that wrap around these ideas. APE has been all over the place lately. However, with Smart Money theory, we canb digest where this coin is going next. On the 1 hour time fram it looks as if this is going south. Buit larger time frames Trump smaller ones. The 4 hr time fram has a break of Structure, meaning that the 4 hour candles close higher than the previous highs close. The Wicks do not matter, the closes are what matter. And with the 4 hour closing much higher, this is a bullish sign to the chart. Therefore according to Smart Money theory, we should see a bullish move at the order block which it has just entered. the order block is the last bearish candle prior to a bullish candle that closes above it. (P.S. I Found a great indicator for Smart Money Markings. Search for "Super Order Blocks / FVG / BOS TOOLS" in the "Indicators" section and that's the indicator, you'll see they've coded exactly how I normally make my charts. I copied the code and changed a few thingas in the codie to my liking and renamed it ICT TOOLS anmd left the original authors of the code in the name) So it has entered the order block and it can go as far as the bottom, however, it really shouldn't go past the median of the body of the 4 hour bearish candle, which is where the prange box is, in all honesty. If it does it could be more bearish. I do not believe this will be the case. So I'm Longing it here and aiming for the first high just prior the bearish order block. If you don't feel comfortable with the full take profit area, I have marked 3 price points in which you should be able to safely take a little profit at each one and move your stop loss up each time you hit one of these take profit points here is the chart the the take profit price points We'll just have to wait and see if I am correct on my assessment Cheers
Long
by BodiesXWix
$BTC - To Long after breaking short of sell side Liquidity *SMT**SMT = Smart Money Theory = everything you think that is not retail related to trading. First, SMT does not believe that triangles, wedges , trendlines , channels, harmonics, etc. has any effect on how price reacts. I'm Sorry but you won't convince me that Bitcoin knows it has created a triangle and that it knows how to react from that? It does and will remembers price levels, that's it. The second is to recognize that the price is not random, it is set by an algorithm controlled by those that control the asset. The Third thing to remember is price will move toward attacking where there is Liquidity (Equal Highs, Equasl Lows, phantom Trendlines etc.) and Balance (Fair Value Gaps, Liquidity Voids.) That's the basics. The rest is very unique in the vocabulary you need to have and the concepts that wrap around these ideas. Bitcoin created a short term low within a 4 hour fair value gap yesterday. Was suspicious that it would break lower, fill the GAP and turn bullish, whi it has somewhat done already but there is time to stuill jump in as it is at a low point, but we didn't make a lower low overall. Exit Strategy would be a short-term fair value gap discount. NOTE: as a smart money technical analysis, My chay, lsart is full of boxes and rays, I apologize if I do not have any of them properly marked but the boxes usually represent an imbalance on a larger time frame (4 hour , Daily) that price is attracted toward filling. It has currently filled the 4 hour fair value gap which is another reason I believe it will long from here. Plus it's Sunday, last day of the week the weekly candle will be finishing up it's formation which I believe the price has cam close enough to the bullish order block on the weekly that we should see bullishness, However there is a possibility that it drops into the price range of the body of that last red weekly candle below current price (38,400 - 37,700)
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by BodiesXWix
$BTC - 42390 then Bullish - Halfway Through Discount FVG - *SMT**SMT = Smart Money Theory = everything you think that is not retail related to trading. First, SMT does not believe that triangles, wedges, trendlines, channels, harmonics, etc. has any effect on how price reacts. I'm Sorry but you won't convince me that Bitcoin knows it has created a triangle and that it knows how to react from that? It does and will remembers price levels, that's it. The second is to recognize that the price is not random, it is set by an algorithm controlled by those that control the asset. The Third thing to remember is price will move toward attacking where there is Liquidity (Equal Highs, Equasl Lows, phantom Trendlines etc.) and Balance (Fair Value Gaps, Liquidity Voids.) That's the basics. The rest is very unique in the vocabulary you need to have and the concepts that wrap around these ideas. In This Signal.... I believe the momentum for the bitcoin chart is moving from the slight pullback that it just had to a more bullish structure. I believe the entrance would be roughly halfway through the the last 15 min fair value gap near the bottom of the current low. It should fill the imbalance to at least half, if not it could fill it entirely and a possibility that it is pulls through down to the daily fair value gap between, 41578.33 and 41766.79. Currently, It has hit the bearish order block, waiting to see which price point will be the turning point. It's the end of the week, second week of April starts today. Which leads me to believe that the price will end the week on a bullish run. The 12% drop of total price which is only 80% of a fibonacci pullpack, 12% drop Chart which is 100% completely normal. To place your fib in the right place, make sure that the low you're measuring from is the most recent low that has broken and closed above a swing high or equal highs. Not all waves that need a Fib will be placed at the very bottom of the wave. You will be disappointed everytime as that is not that way Smart Money views a discount price. So please see this example as to how to place your fibs correctly. Price should retrace 61.8-88.6% to the discounted Smart Money Price. This one is roughly 80% retracement which is about 90% of all retracements. In this area there is the last 15 min fair value gap, the price should turn bullish hit the bearish order block pull down until 42390 area and then finallly start rising. At the end of the week. Where is it aiming for? In the 15 min chart there is a liquidity void where two candles do not touch. This is a dead giveaway that price will want to return to this area. The high of that void is 46376.09 on this chart. It could take a week to reach the objective, maybe two. But we're due for more bullich runs. Especially after doing 30-20-90 day lookbacks and forwards. We should hit a new high by June or July.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by BodiesXWix
$BNB - Hints At Bullish Reversal - Shapes mean nothing *Smart $"*SMT = Smart Money Theory = everything you think that is not retail related to trading. First, SMT does not believe that triangles, wedges, trendlines, channels, harmonics, etc. has any effect on how price reacts. I'm Sorry but you won't convince me that Bitcoin knows it has created a triangle and that it knows how to react from that? Nah, it remembers price levels, that's it. The second is to recognize that the price is not random, it is set by an algorithm controlled by those that control the asset. The Third thing to remember is price will move toward attacking where there is Liquidity (Equal Highs, Equasl Lows, phantom Trendlines etc.) and Balance (Fair Value Gaps, Liquidity Voids.) That's the basics. The rest is very unique in the vocabulary you need to have and the concepts that wrap around these ideas. As for the BNBUSD chart, It seems as if the current state of the chart has fulfilled a 4-hour fair value gap. It has created sell-side liquidity to attack which is why I believe it will go lower towards equal lows. Additionally, if y9u put a Fib on it, The "Discounted" area doesn't begin until gets below the equal lows. I personally have an entry at the median of hourly Bullish Order Block which is about 358-359. However, it could easily get into and fill the 4 hour fair value gap which is the yellow rectangle area between 345 and 354. After that I see more consolidation and eventually the run-ups to fill gaps and voids like the area near 378-385 up to a bearish order block at 454. Just my two cents, we shall see what the chart pushers want to do with that chart. I personally shorted it at 374 and currently at 371.42. Crossing my fingers it goes as planned Good luck traders :)
BLong
by BodiesXWix
GBPJPY LONG IDEAGBPJPY is poised to go higher. From a price action point of view. We have a massive pool of liquidity of . With London Open, smart money has played the false turtle soup short to induce dumb money into short positions. However, they are building long positions as the price is pushed lower to be counter the move and potentially run the liquidity pool. Confluence: Smart money had long positions from Friday's Asia Session indicated by the massive range expansion in price from . Logic dictates that most long positions have not been liquidated yet. The run above buyside provides an opportunity for smart money to liquidate their net long positions in that liquidity pool. Expect the 0505hrsNY medium impact news play move to be in play squeezing shorts. Most traders (net short) who have active positions from NFP news are still profitable. Smart money should pair their exits with dumb money stops and potentially squeeze higher. I anticipate a painful squeeze higher which may proceed to the New York or London Close to take out any potential stops and smart money to begin pairing short positions in the move higher at logical levels. As a retail trader, I'd hedge bets to the upside with easy targets with the fib targeting previous liquidity pools at . My final draw is 162.00 as my final target.
Long
by Quantum_Labs
6J1! SHORT IDEAOn further analysis of the Yen Futures, we observe a market structure break for the first time. Any time this happens we anticipate net long traders at that price being triggered long while the smart money is short on their orders. Any net long trader at this level has to be liquidated. Logically any net trader long(dumb money) will have their stops below the Previous Daily Low. This results in price being delivered lower to liquidate any active trader on the wrong side of the market. The result causes weakness in Yen and inverse strength in other pairs such as GBP on GBPJPY.
CME:6J1!Short
by Quantum_Labs
JXY SHORT IDEA After the Open, the price gaped lower trapping net long positions at 81.68. Price is delivered lower and broke a swing low at 81.33. This market structure break illustrates the willingness of the market to go lower potentially reaching a target of 80.70. With entries in the PM Session during the London Close, I expect institutional Selling of JXY at 81.50 as price is delivered lower for smart money entries and failing to give any net long trader long any redemptive exit at break even. Any trader on the wrong side will have to liquidate positions at a loss. Inversely, I expect the weakness in JXY to give strength to GBP for the GBPJPY pair which may seek liquidity higher towards/after New York Close. Asia Session should provide more volatility to squeeze higher and anticipate an impulsive sweep on the highs. Institutional buying seems to be happening as the price is being delivered lower and more long positions are getting added. Observe future J61! next idea
TVC:JXYShort
by Quantum_Labs
SHORT IDEADXY is poised to go lower to a discount price and potentially reach the Previous Weekly high after a market structure shift next week. However, as of Friday, all momentum is bearish potentially till London or NY for a reversal. The expectation is that Sunday's Open should potentially push the price lower to a discounted price and potentially draw higher unless the market structure shifts mid-week. Asia Open should be bearish and provide another shorting opportunity. Since it's Friday, I expect smart money to squeeze any traders long and take them out. As a result, most foreign currencies should be poised to go higher in Sunday's Opening. GBPUSD, EURUSD, US500, NAS100, and US30 are already positioned to go higher, with the expectation to seek liquidity higher as DXY drags lower. USDJPY has already shown its hand and is expected to squeeze lower after purging Buyside Liquidity. The smart money seems to be positioned to squeeze higher on inversely correlated currency futures i.e BXY and EXY. Currency Futures should be poised higher Most annotations are made in the chart, play accordingly Potential long opportunity at 97.900 after sweeping the swing low for smart money pairing longs.
TVC:DXYShort
by Quantum_Labs