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Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 46 - USDPLN - (17th June 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis using ICT's Concepts in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions. A couple of things to note: - I cannot see news events. - I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range. - I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks In this session I will be analyzing USDPLN, starting from the 3-Month chart. If you want to learn more, check out my TradingView profile.
Education
by Road_2_Funded
2
Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 44 - EURNOK - (17th June 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis using ICT's Concepts in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions. A couple of things to note: - I cannot see news events. - I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range. - I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks In this session I will be analyzing EURNOK, starting from the 3-Month chart. If you want to learn more, check out my TradingView profile.
Education
by Road_2_Funded
EUR/USD ShortContext: • DXY has upwarts potential: Supports short in EUR/USD • Monthly neutral • Weekly neutral to bearish bias • Daily one confirmed bearish swing, respected daily FVG and disrespected bullish FVGs. Broke through prev. day low and took out weekly demand. Closed below these lows Ideas / Entry: • Short in the 4h-FVG → Shown with black arrow • Preferred: Short around 1.072 which is in the area of the broken lows with 1h Reversal setup 1) Blue arrows: Reversal with respecting lower 1h-FVG. Look for entry on LTF, for example 5min-15min 2) Orange arrows: Last resort and higher risk! Needs strong and confirmed reversal on preferred 15min. Scenario invalidated: • 4h Close above 4h FVG • Break above 1.0745 • High caution if 4h close above broken lows around 1.072! Immediate reversal needed (confirm on LTF), otherwise cancel trade Stop • Above your entry signal or 1.0745 if traded on 4h Take Profit(s) • 1st at daily low around 1.067 • 2nd around 1.065 • 3rd around 1.06 (optimistic) Please feel free to comment!
Short
by MichaelBw
BTC - Top-down Analysis (ICT)Hello traders, This is my observation and analysis for Bitcoin using ICT's Concepts. So, recently we had price break it's all-time highs in March 2024. Since then, we have been chopping around in a consolidation. We may make new highs, or we may retrace deeper into a discount. I'm not here to guess, I will just show you what I see. On the monthly timeframe, we can into a BISI and had a reaction, but we did not create a new high. On the weekly we have the most clear price action. No gaps, but multiple bullish and bearish Breakers forming, which has price bouncing from a premium to discount in a consolidative manner. Currently in terms of taking a trade, I anticipate us moving up again next week into the bearish Breaker above us, then moving lower into the bullish Breaker below. After that, I would be awaiting more confirmation on the Daily chart, such as gaps being disrespected and gaps being created. We are currently still high in a premium overall, but we could create a "Bull Flag" type of pattern. It is not something I trade, but what I mean it is completely possible we just consolidate in this tight range before displacing more to the upside. OR, we could go lower back into Equilibrium. Either way, trade safe out there. - R2F
by Road_2_Funded
R2F Weekly Analysis - 15th June 2024 (ICT Concepts)Welcome to another R2F Weekly Market Analysis using ICT Concepts along with my own discoveries. I'm going to go through various assets/markets, and give a real-time view of how I perform my analysis on the weekends. I'll give my take on what has been happening, and what I'm expecting in either the coming days, weeks, or months. Without further ado, let's get into it! I feel like the Dollar Index is primed to move higher. It has so far been acting how I have anticipated, respecting institutional order flow. Let's breakdown what has happening, and my thought process around it. In May, price retraced after a consolidation, engineering equal highs. This bodes well for my bullish outlook. Price bottomed it's retracement on the 7th June 2024. If you check the Dollar futures chart took out buyside liquidity and created an SMT divergence on the DXY chart. Because of this, I am more confident in price not coming down to take out the relative equal lows below. Price expanded from there, and retraced into a weekly wick CE coupled with a daily bullish Orderblock, halting in its tracks and expanding higher again. The sudden drop and equally sudden recover adds additional confluence to my bullish outlook, not because of the "strength" but because of the manipulation of sentiment. Now we are re-entering a previously used weekly SIBI for the potential of using it as an iFVG. We did not close the weekly conventionally higher than the actual iFVG, as I would usually like, but the bullishness of the previous week's candle leaves the idea open of us expanding higher in the coming week with little retracement below it's open, therefore creating a BISI that may or may not be used later. As for targets, first is the previous month's high that is coupled with equal highs. The two other targets are a weekly swing high that goes way back, and a New Week Opening Gap which is deeper into the general liquidity void residing above. If you enjoyed this analysis, leave a like or a comment. If you want to learn how to analyze like this, check out my profile for more videos and information. Happy Trading!
TVC:DXYLong
by Road_2_Funded
DXY - Long Trade Idea (ICT)Hi guys! I feel like the Dollar Index is primed to move higher. It has so far been acting how I have anticipated, respecting institutional order flow. Let's breakdown what has happening, and my thought process around it. In May, price retraced after a consolidation, engineering equal highs. This bodes well for my bullish outlook. Price bottomed it's retracement on the 7th June 2024. If you check the Dollar futures chart took out buyside liquidity and created an SMT divergence on the DXY chart. Because of this, I am more confident in price not coming down to take out the relative equal lows below. Price expanded from there, and retraced into a weekly wick CE coupled with a daily bullish Orderblock, halting in its tracks and expanding higher again. The sudden drop and equally sudden recover adds additional confluence to my bullish outlook, not because of the "strength" but because of the manipulation of sentiment. Now we are re-entering a previously used weekly SIBI for the potential of using it as an iFVG. We did not close the weekly conventionally higher than the actual iFVG, as I would usually like, but the bullishness of the previous week's candle leaves the idea open of us expanding higher in the coming week with little retracement below it's open, therefore creating a BISI that may or may not be used later. As for targets, first is the previous month's high that is coupled with equal highs. The two other targets are a weekly swing high that goes way back, and a New Week Opening Gap which is deeper into the general liquidity void residing above. If you enjoyed this analysis, leave a like or a comment. If you want to learn how to analyze like this, check out my profile for more videos and information. Happy Trading! - R2F
TVC:DXYLong
by Road_2_Funded
Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 44 - USDMXN - (14th June 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis using ICT's Concepts in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions. A couple of things to note: - I cannot see news events. - I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range. - I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks In this session I will be analyzing USDMXN, starting from the 3-Month chart. If you want to learn more, check out my TradingView profile.
by Road_2_Funded
Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 43 - USDSEK - (14th June 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis using ICT's Concepts in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions. A couple of things to note: - I cannot see news events. - I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range. - I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks In this session I will be analyzing USDCOP, starting from the 3-Month chart. If you want to learn more, check out my TradingView profile.
TVC:DXY
by Road_2_Funded
Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 42 - USDCOP - (14th June 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis using ICT's Concepts in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions. A couple of things to note: - I cannot see news events. - I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range. - I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks In this session I will be analyzing USDCOP, starting from the 3-Month chart. If you want to learn more, check out my TradingView profile.
by Road_2_Funded
Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 41 - USDIDR - (13th June 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis using ICT's Concepts in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions. A couple of things to note: - I cannot see news events. - I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range. - I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks In this session I will be analyzing USDIDR, starting from the 3-Month chart. If you want to learn more, check out my TradingView profile.
by Road_2_Funded
GBPUSD: Intraday Trade Alert - Potential Sell OpportunityGreetings Traders! Analyzing Bearish Institutional Order Flow At the moment, I am observing continuous bearish institutional order flow stepping into the market to reach sell-side objectives. I am selling price action off the M15 bearish order block, which is strong due to an inefficiency (FVG & liquidity void) resting below it. As price reached into the order block, it filled those inefficiencies and has now reached a balanced price range, which I expect to hold. Therefore, I am considering a risked entry on the order block to target the M15 sell stops. Key Observations: Bearish Momentum: Order Block Resistance: Price is using the M15 bearish order block as resistance, indicating strong bearish momentum. Targeting Sell Stops: The primary objective is the M15 sell stops. As well as the H1 Discount Sell Stops. Buy Stop Bearish Scenario: m15 Buy Stops: If price moves towards the M15 buy stops, I will look for a confirmation entry to sell price towards the downside. Trading Strategy: Primary Focus: Entering a risked sell entry on the M15 bearish order block to target the M15 sell stops. Secondary Consideration: Monitoring the m15 buy stops, if they get taken I will look for confirmation entries to sell towards the bearish targets. GBPUSD & DXY Video Analysis: Key Expectations and Trends Ahead! If you'd like to further understand why I am anticipating a bearish draw towards the downside on GBPUSD, please watch my end-of-week outlook video on GBPUSD and the DXY through the link provided. It's important to know how you will be approaching the market, so please conduct further analysis to make well-informed trading decisions. Kind Regards, The_Architect
Short
by The_Archi-tect
*SMC* DXY correlated with US02Y Bonds As we can see on the daily tf, DXY has created Relative Equal High at 105.459 which translate to this level being a liquidity pool. We are likely to see 105.459 being taken out put where can it go? As we can see, above 105.459, the closer PDArray is the OrderBlock (made the 30 Apr) which confluate with the 75% of the Dealing Range and another buyside liquidity pool at 105.742. I dont expect DXY to trade above the mean threshold of the OrderBlock and if it touched I expect a strong reaction to the downside. Concerning the 02 year Bonds , the body has respected the OrderBlock (30 Apr) creating relative equal low which has been taken out (june 12). There is a ''crack'' in correlation right now between the DXY and the major Bonds of the US which leads me to think that there is a higher probability for the DXY to follow the Bound and drop lower. Fundamentally, Powell has been pointing out the progress that has been made (which could eventually lead to a cut of rates) However, the ''Dot Plot' ' surprised the market of a likely to only 1 cut this year instead of 2-3 rate cut priced-in, which could be the reason why DXY has been going higher the last couple of days.
TVC:US02Y
by ezod
2
GBPUSD & DXY Analysis: Key Expectations and Trends Ahead!Greetings, Traders! Join me in today's video for an in-depth analysis of GBPUSD and DXY, where we'll explore key expectations for today's and tomorrow's trading sessions, as well as summarize this week's trends. This analysis is pivotal as it sets the tone for next week's trading. We've reached a critical juncture on both the DXY and GBPUSD charts, making it essential to understand the potential market movements ahead. What do you think will be the major market mover going into next week? Stay tuned for valuable insights, and don't hesitate to leave any questions or comments below. Happy Trading, The_Architect
by The_Archi-tect
2
CL / Crude Oil ShortContext: • Monthly: First signs of bearish orderflow. Bearish FVG in the making • Weekly: Bearish FVGs getting respeced • Daily: Rejection and break below prev. day low. Caution because of two bullish FVGs Idea: • 1h-4h Mitigation Block with 1h close below prev day low. • Respecting 1h FVgs • Inside current 1h candle on 15min closed last 15min bullish FVG • Potentially building a balanced price range on 15min → Long around prev. day low about 77.88 Target: • 1st would be currend day low • 2nd: Upper limit of daily FVG at 77.22 Entry / Stop: • Reversal Setup with stop above the entry signal • Or at 77.88 with stop about 78.05 Signal invalidated: • breaking lower withoug looking back • Prive going above 78.05 I want the current 15min-Candle to close inside the range of the previous 15min candle. Be careful about News in about 30minutes! Please feel free to comment
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by MichaelBw
Trading AUDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 06/06/2024Despite taking the loss on 05/06/2024, we remained committed to our strategy. The thorough testing of the Judas Swing strategy has bolstered our confidence, allowing us to continue trading whenever our setup forms. The next day 06/06/2024 At 8:25 AM EST, we got to our trading desk and started the day doing the basics on our Judas Swing strategy checklist which includes: - Making sure the timezone is set to New York time - Making sure we're on the 5 min timeframe - Marking the trading period from 00:00 - 08:30 - Marking the high and low of the zone Now that we have established the day's low and high, we await the sweep of liquidity on either side of the zone to determine our bias for the trading session. Liquidity was taken at the lows after 20 minutes, signaling our focus would be on identifying potential buying opportunities. To avoid getting trapped, we waited for price to create a Break of Structure (BOS) to the buy side which occurred at 09:40. Subsequently, our focus shifted to identifying the initial Fair Value Gap within the displacement leg that broke structure. Price then retraced into the created Fair Value Gap (FVG), so we waited and only executed our trade once the candle that touched or entered the FVG had closed. After executing the trade, price moved in our intended direction with minimal drawdown. Similarly, we entered a trade on NZDUSD, and it was also progressing well towards our take profit target. Price nearly reached our take profit (TP) level but then reversed, prolonging our position in the trade. On average, we anticipate being in a trade for approximately 8 hours and 6 minutes, so we remained calm and trusted our strategy. Our patience was rewarded when we achieved our target on both AUDUSD and NZDUSD trades, resulting in a 4% gain (2% from each trade), having risked a total of 2% (1% on each trade).
by CleoFinance