AUDUSD continuously downtrendComments:
AUDUSD is currently downtrending by Ichimoku trend confirmation (KTS)
Ichimoku Trend Analysis (KTS)
- Kumo (Senko span A and B) down
- Kijun sen down
- Tenkan sen down
- Chiko span below candles
Next Scenario:
Kumo is thick on Daily timeframe so this trend can be continuous. Initial target is 0.6251 level.
Ichimokukinkohyo
EURCAD (Ichimoku Kinko Hyo analysis)Weekly chart:
Span B flat, span A down, Kumo down
Kijun down,Chiko below candles
=> Weekly down momentum
Daily:
Kumo flat
Kijun, Tenkan overlap
BB is squeezing
=> More likely to go down (60% down- 25% range - 15% up)
IF the price break support, the downtrend may continue until next Kihon Suchi (26 Aug)
AUDCAD Ichimoku Kinko Hyo analysis Weekly:
Span B flat
Span A down and break resistant of span A
=> Kumo down
Kijun down
Tenkan down
Chiko below candles
Daily:
Span A,B down
Kijun down
Tenkan down
Chiko below candles
Note: Candles are at support so might consolidate until break the support
Summary: 60% down, 30% sideway, 10% up
If price breaks the support, the down trend may continue until next weekly Kihon suchi (around 14 Nov)
Entry: H4 or H1 if possible
Ichimoku Kinkō Hyō Wave Theory Introduction and Indicator BasicsIchimoku Kinkō Hyō Wave Theory Introduction and Indicator Basics Cheat Sheet.
Note that there are 5 Waves in the Ichimoku Kinkō Hyō System.
1: I Wave
2: V Wave
3: N Wave
4: P Wave
5: Y Wave
I Wave = 1 directional movement in price up or down over a period of time.
V Wave = 2 directional movements in price over a period of time so 1 direction movement up over a period of time and 1 directional movement down over a period of time. Or 1 directional movement down over a period of time and 1 directional movement up over a period of time. Note that a V Wave is made from 2 I Waves.
N Wave = 3 movements in price over a period of time so 1 price movement up over a period of time, 1 shorter price movement down over a period of time and 1 longer price movement back up over a period of time. Or 1 price movement down over a period of time, 1 shorter price movement up over a period of time and 1 longer price movement back down over a period of time. Note that an N Wave is made from 3 I Waves.
P Wave = 2 Converging trend-lines. The P Wave is similar to the Bullish/Bearish Pennant but note that with the Ichimoku P Wave it does not matter the amount of times that the price hits the upper and lower trend-lines.
Y Wave = 2 Diverging trend-lines. The Y Wave is similar to the Bullish/Bearish Inverted Triangle Pattern or Megaphone Pattern but note that with the Ichimoku Y Wave it does not matter the amount of times that the price hits the upper and lower trend-lines.
Please look at the above chart if this all sounds a little confusing and it will all become clear.
For those interested, the 3 basic and most important Waves I, V and N are used in Ichimoku Price Theory for both Negative and Positive price directions.
V Calculation: V = B + (B-C) for Positive and V = B - (C-B) for Negative.
N Calculation: N = C + (B-A) for Positive and N = C - (A-B) for Negative.
E Calculation: E = B + (B-A) for Positive and E = B - (A-B) for Negative.
NT Calculation: NT = C + (C-A) for Positive and NT = C - (A-C) for Negative.
Here is a post with some examples of the Ichimoku Price Theory in action.
Back to Basics for those who are new to The Ichimoku Kinkō Hyō. Note that i’ll be using the original Ichimoku settings 9,26,52,26 in this write up but not on the actual chart.
The Ichimoku Cloud is comprised of 5 indicators, The Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen), The Base Line (Kijun Sen), The Leading Span A (Senkou Span A), The Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) and the The Lagging Span (Chikou Span) with 3 areas of interest, the Bullish Zone, The Bearish Zone and the Equilibrium Zone.
The Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) is the midpoint of the last 9 Period highs and 9 Period lows in whatever timeframe you are in. As well as being a potential support or resistance level, the Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) also gives you a sense of potential short-term price momentum in whatever timeframe you are in as well as potential reversals. So if the Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) is pointing either upwards, sideways or downwards, then this gives you a sense of what the short-term price momentum is in whatever timeframe you are in. Note that the Tenkan Sen is not an SMA or EMA and should not be treated as such.
The Base Line (Kijun Sen) is the midpoint of the last 26 Period highs and 26 Period lows in whatever timeframe you are in. As well as being a potential support or resistance level, the Base Line (Kijun Sen) also gives you sense of potential mid-term price momentum in whatever timeframe you are in as well as confirmation of a trend change if the Tenkan Sen crosses under the Kijun Sen. So if the Base Line (Tenkan Sen) is pointing either upwards, sideways or downwards, then this gives you a sense of what the mid-term price momentum is in whatever timeframe you are in. Note that the Kijun Sen is not an SMA or EMA and should not be treated as such.
The Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is a momentum indicator and also a 2nd confirmation indicator that enables you to see potential trend changes. The Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is the current price shifted 26 periods in the past. If the Lagging Span (Chikou Span) indicator is above where the price was at 26 periods ago then that is considered an uptrend for the timeframe you are in. If the Lagging Span (Chikou Span) indicator is below where the price was at 26 periods ago then that is considered a downtrend for the timeframe you are in. A Bullish and Bearish confirmation signal can be seen if the Lagging Span (Chikou Span) indicator crosses up (Bullish) or under (Bearish) for that previous 26 period price respectively, but also using the other indicators as confirmation. If the Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is inside the previous Price from 26 Periods ago, then that is considered sideways trading, choppy or trend-less.
The Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) is a Leading momentum indicator and is calculated from the Conversion and Base Line values. Note that the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) is plotted 26 Period into the future and identifies future areas of support and resistance.
The Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) is calculated using double the periods of 26 so 52 Periods and is again plotted 26 Periods into the future and also identifies future areas of support and resistance.
The Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) & Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) make up the Cloud (Kumo). If the Cloud (Kumo) is green, that indicates we are potentially in a Bullish Trend for that timeframe. If the Cloud (Kumo) is red, that indicates we are potentially in a Bearish Trend for that timeframe.
The area above the cloud is the Bullish Zone & the area below the cloud is the Bearish Zone. The area Inside of the cloud is the Equilibrium Zone, which can be seen as trend-less, uncertainty or trading sideways. A key move to look out for is if the Leading Spans A,B are Crossing/Twisting from either a green cloud into a red cloud or vice versa to indicate a trend reversal for the timeframe you are in. Note the Cloud (Kumo) can be Red or Green while the price action is in the Equilibrium Zone depending on if it dipped down or up into the Cloud (Kumo). Note that because we dip downwards outside of the Cloud (Kumo) that doesn’t mean the Cloud will turn red because we may rebound before the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) gets a chance to cross Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) and vice versa. If the Cloud (Kumo) is thin pointing upwards or downwards then this is a good sign of momentum. When the Cloud (Kumo) starts getting wider, that means momentum is slowing down.
An important thing to note is that the Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) & Base Line (Kijun Sen) are not SMA’s or EMA’s they are X amount high/low calculated period midpoints, so they should not be used as SMA or EMAs.
I hope this basic quick introduction is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
ATOM : resisted against pressureHey Cosmonauts,
ATOM remains strong as prices didn't even go below the daily cloud.
The main support is still at 12.84$ and the second one at 11.73$ .
Note that a clear bullish signal will be given by a break of 14.35$ , with prices exiting the cloud.
Cheers Cosmonauts !
CANFIN HOMESHello and welcome to this analysis
The stock had a very sharp decline in September due to management reshuffle.
It is now showing a reversal from a strong base area.
Short term Ichimoku is indicating a possibility of 530 and 560 if it holds above 490
Good risk reward set up at current juncture.
GBPAUD Bullish on H4Comment:
GBPAUD H4 timeframe shows market is bullish according to Ichimoku trend confirmation.
Ichimoku Trend Analysis:
- Kumo (Senko span A and B) up
- Kijun sen up
- Tenkan sen up
- Chiko span above candles
Next Scenario:
Market has also been supported by H4 Tenkan sen. And the last candle is a pin bar bounced on Tenkan sen.
Initial target is 1.7652 level.
AUDUSD: Ichimoku cloud to cap gains!AUDUSD
Intraday - We look to Sell at 0.6540 (stop at 0.6600)
We are trading at oversold extremes. A higher correction is expected. With the Ichimoku cloud resistance above we expect gains to be limited. We therefore, prefer to fade into the rally with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back lower.
Our profit targets will be 0.6365 and 0.6200
Resistance: 0.6560 / 0.6680 / 0.6790
Support: 0.6400 / 0.6200 / 0.6000
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Ichimoku Analysis Weekly:
Kumo down
Kijun down
Tenkan down
Chiko below candles
Daily:
Kumo down (kumo quite thin)
Kijun down
Tenkan down
Chiko below candles
Price break the support
intermarket analysis: S&P still going down and broke the support a couple of days ago
=> In the long term price can still going down until next weekly Kihon suchi (14 Nov)
NZDUSD daily Ichimoku analysisWeekly:
Kumo down
Tenkan down
Kijun down
Chiko below candles
Daily:
Kumo down
Kijun slightly sown]
Tenkan down
Chiko down and far away from candles
Note: Price can still rang until Oct 4 - the next Kihon Suchi, where the buyers and sellers are 50-50 . However, the Weekly is down so after Oct 4 price likely to be sideway-down
H4: entry if price breaks the H4 forecast line
Overall in daily: 60% down, 10% up, 30% range
EURUSD is bearish but may retraceComment:
EURUSD both Weekly and Daily timeframes show the market is downtrending.
Ichimoku Trend Analysis (KTS) on Daily timeframe:
- Kumo (Senko span A and B) down
- Kijun sen down
- Tenkan sen down
- Chiko span below candles
Next Scenario:
The market has been resisted by Weekly descending trend line. However market may reverse for the next couple of days because
- Kumo is thin on a Daily timeframe
- Currently forming a Pin bar on Daily timeframe
So better to wait for a breakout of 0.9554.
OIL INDIA LTDHello and welcome to this analysis
Oil India in the daily time frame after activating a Bullish Harmonic ABCD completed a 38% Fibonacci retracement. In the process it activated an Ichimoku C Clamp in the weekly time frame.
Stock could be accumulated between 180-190 for 210 (short term) 240 (medium term) and 350 (long term)
View would be invalid below 170
Happy Investing