Ichimokukinkohyo
BTCUSD 🔥 Breakout or Correction!Hey guys!
Today, I'd like to share my two ideas to which price might go for. I'll keep it short and sweet!
1. Breakout: This would mean continuation of the trend, this is resistance but can still totally be broken through and explode higher. The Ichimoku Cloud shows strength pointing upwards, usually when it gets flat it means a retracement is imminet and the trend needs to pause and breathe but we are not seeing that yet. Pay attention to Daily chart to forecast higher timeframe retracements on the cloud.
2. Rejection of Supply Zone. We could see a failed breakout ending up in climax because it's reaching the brodeaning area that BTC has been respecting and bouncing off for the past months. This means it will hit a diagonal resistance of the broadening channel. Keep in mind, we are approaching to a Supply zone too, which means a lot of people have been sitting in the red and are waiting for BTC to get there to break even and get out clean once and for all.
Once we got a nice support confirmed for BTC, I'll suggest right then you can resume spot or futures trading with the alt coins. Meanwhile, wait for Daddy BTC to be in the clear to keep on the bullish continuation team! Remember the trend is your friend! ♥
Peace out,
Kina
Customized Ichimuku-With SignalsToday tried to customize the ichimuku indicator.
The output is in your screen...
Pls like if you liked it.
AUDCHF Ichimoku Kinko Hyo AnalysisMonthly:
Based on 5 lines of Ichimoku, it is ranging
Bearish monthly Kyushu Ashi, monthly is very close to Kihon Suchi 9 (around 1 May)
Weekly:
Kumo down but now flat
Tenkan-sen, Kijun-sen at a same level
Chiko-span below candles
Bearish Kyushu Ashi (can still bearish till next Weekly Kihon Suchi (also Monthly Kihon Suchi - aka 1 may)
Daily:
Kumo down however now flat
Kijun-sen down
Tenkan-sen will soon point down
Chiko-span below and far from candles
Price below Tenkan-sen; Kijun-sen and Kumo and in the P wave and supported by Weekly Forecast line=> stay away until price break P wave down => Sell
If not => not Reccomend to buy cause Weekly Kihon Suchi is a month later => price may likely to down-range till then
EURCAD Ichimoku Kinko Hyo AnalysisWeekly:
Bullish Kyushu Ashi
Kumo up (Span A + B up)
Kijun-sen up
Tenkan-sen up
Chiko-span above candles and far from candles
Daily:
Kumo quite flat
Kijun-sen up
Tenkan-sen flat
Kijun-sen quite close to Tenkan-sen
However Chiko-span is far away from candles => bullish momentum still exist
Note:
Next daily Kihon-suchi will be 30 March => price can still be range till 30 March
Bullish Kyushu Ashi
After 29-30 March, if price break previous high => buy; if no, not recommend to sell cause it will be range
EURJPY Ichimoku Kinko Hyo AnalysisMonthly:
Kijun-sen flat
Tekan-sen flat (Price bounce at Tenkan)
Kumo flat
Chiko above candles
Bullish Kyushu Ashi
Weekly:
Tenkan-sen; Kijun-sen overlap
Price is above both Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen
Kumo flat
Chiko above candles
Bullish Kyushu Ashi appear => Price will be more likely sideway-up until next Kihon Suchi (17 April 2023)
Daily:
Tenkan-sen; Kijun-sen is up
Senko-span A cross Senko-span B upward (still need to watch)
Chiko above candles
Since Weekly Kyushu Ashi is bullish
=> In a long term till 17 Apr , price can reach the target given
BTC/USD - Analysis of recent events and a Double TopQuick BTC/USD analysis of the last few Months:
Looking at the Price and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) Convergence/Divergence:
From Tuesday 13th Sept 22 until Saturday 5th Nov 2022 we had Convergence with the Price and RSI which indicated a reversal was most likely on its way.
Price = HH - LH (Higher High - Lower High)
RSI = HH - HH (Higher High - Higher High)
Next from Wednesday 9th Nov 2022 to Monday 21st Nov 2022 we had Convergence with the Price and the RSI which then lead to a reversal breakout.
Price = LL - LL (Lower Low - Lower Low)
RSI = LL - HL (Lower Low - Higher Low)
Next from Sunday 29th Jan until Tuesday 21st Feb 2023 we had Divergence with the Price and the RSI leading to the bearish reversal drop that we are still in today. I suppose you could start this Divergence sooner if you wanted, but i have started it on the 21st Feb 2023.
Price = HH - HH (Higher High - Higher High)
RSI = HH - LH (Higher High - Lower High)
Here is a closer look at the 1 day chart.
Here is a closer look at the RSI Indicator.
For those who are new and do not know, please note that Divergence/Convergence with the Price and RSI is indicted by the Straight Yellow Lines on the Chart and RSI Indicator.
A few other bits.
BTC has also created a Double Top Pattern as indicated by the 2 circles on the chart with arrows. The 1st Top was at Monday 15th Aug 2022 and 2nd Top was at Tuesday 16th Feb 2023. Note that BTC tried to get above this support level 3x and failed all attempts at closing above this resistance line.
BTC is still in an Ascending Channel Pattern, while it did break out of its Upper Resistance Trend-line, it did not CLOSE ABOVE it, so this Upper Resistance Trend-line is still valid.
Using the Lower Trend-line of the Ascending Channel and the Double Top Resistance line, we can also say that BTC may also be in an Ascending Triangle Pattern.
At the moment of typing this, BTC is still below its 50MA (Yellow Line) and has found some support from its 200MA (Red Line).
Looking at just the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) and Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) of the Ichimoku Cloud, we can see that BTC is in the Equilibrium Zone Inside the Cloud. Note that a successful daily candle CLOSE BELOW the 200MA will also bring BTC under its Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) support level into the Bearish Zone of the Ichimoku Cloud. Please note that i am not using the traditional 9,26,52,26 settings for this cloud.
Looking at the Bollinger Bands, we can see that we have had massive expansion of the Upper and Lower Bands for the negative side, BTC is still way below its Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA and note that the Middle Band is still Pointing Downwards. Note that BTC is still walking on the underside of its Lower Band.
My thoughts:
While Silvergate Bank’s liquidation may have contributed to the drop we are still in, looking at this chart, we can clearly see that the Price and the RSI were already giving the warning signs back in February especially with the Double Top and Price/RSI Divergence. We will now have to see if the 200MA holds as Support, if it doesn’t then next is the Lower Trend-line of the Ascending Channel Pattern.
During these recession, it is iInteresting times ahead for BTC and the whole Crypto market. In any case, i hope this post has been informative and has helped those who are new to charting and using Price/Oscillator Convergence & Divergence to help predict possible price movement.
SECRET - Blocked in a short term rangeAfter a huge retracement, prices found support on the 0.57$ area, one of the most important long term support.
This box show a range scenario, without strong interest from investors on this project for the moment.
Two main scenarii :
First : prices break the resistance at 0.92$
So the activity should be back and the token will be able to go back at 1$ and 1.40$ as second extension.
Second : Prices break the support at 0.57$
Then, expect another leg down to a lower support, at 0.47$.
This short term range should be monitored during the next few weeks !
VET/USDVET/USD very quick update.
Here is a closer look at this VET/USD 1 day chart:
VeChain is in a new smaller Descending Channel which is in a massive Descending Channel. VeChain is also in a massive Symmetrical Triangle.
At the moment of typing this, VeChain is still in the Bullish Zone above its Ichimoku Cloud.
At the moment of typing this, VeChain is still above its 200MA. Note that the 50MA is still traveling upwards so we may eventually see the 50MA cross above the 200MA on this 1 day chart.
Not that overall traded volume is still very low compared to what we were getting from 2018 to 2021.
Looking at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see that the Trend Strength is dropping with the ADX (Orange Line) at 36.08 and under its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) which is at 39.52. Positive Momentum has dropped with the +DI (Green Line) dropping to 19.73. Negative momentum has also dropped a little with the -DI (Red Line) slightly dropping to 15.87 on this 1 day chart.
I hope this very quick update is helpful.