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EURUSD 4 - 8 Dec 2023 Weekly Analysis - NFP WeekThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 4 - 8 Dec 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: Weekly Daily 4H Economic Events Weekly Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ 2. After the iBOS we expected pullback, price tapped into Liq on the lift and a Weekly demand zone which provided a pullback and formed a bullish CHoCH confirming INT Low. 3. Price had fully mitigated the weekly supply (FLIP Zone and swept the Liq above the zone by not fully closing the candle above. Still it could be a sweep of liq if we started to see pushes to the down side and structure changes on TF lower than the Weekly TF. Price could be targeting the Supply zone at the INT Structure High to continue bearish as long TFs lower supports that. 4. Extreme supply within the bearish INT structure with Liq below it. A potential zone located in the Swing premium for continuation down Daily Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bullish OF Bullish Reached EQ 2. After BOS we expect a pullback OF turned bullish to facilitate the Swing pullback and we formed bullish iBOS to confirm the Swing Low and the pullback. With that pullback we formed Weekly and Daily demand zones which are potential for longs after confirmation on LTFs. 3. After the Bullish iBOS we are expecting a pullback. First sign of the pullback maybe starting is a CHoCH which price did and confirmed INT High. With that pullback we had formed a Supply zone that can act as a potential zone to play the pullback phase. The bearish CHoCH on the Daily appearing to be a Liq. Sweep as we didn't close below it. So, be mindful that OF is in Strong bullish move and playing against it without confirmation will be rough. Let's watch LTF to guide us. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish Reached EQ 2. Swing low and last demand for potential buys. 3. After the Bullish iBOS we expected a pullback. We created a CHOCH and price continued the pullback for the INT Bullish Structure. The pullback pushed down and swept the Liq. below the Stron INT Low and reached the Swing EQ. It's a tough call now! We have the 2 options valid (Buy / Sell) but we need to see more price development and confirmation to trigger. Option 1 Buy: I'll be waiting to see if price will confirm the failure to close below the INT Low and it was a sweep of Liq. below strong low from the LTF Structure changing to bullish. Option 2 Sell: I'll be waiting for the INT Structure to shift bearish which will confirm the Swing High and we can look now for shorts after the INT pullback. But be cautious that we already reached the Swing EQ and buyers will step in now. Let's see what the LTFs will tell us and we can adopt accordingly while keeping our HTF analysis always in play. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
1
AMMN - POWER PLAYI bought my positions back today October 26, 2023 The reasons: 1. Low-risk entry with a crisp pivot point 2. The stock is up >100% in less than 8 weeks 3. Corrected the least during the pause, less than 25% correction 4. Volume dries up as a sign of less supply coming to the market 5. A high alpha stock with a low standard deviation 6. One of the leaders in this market environment The flaw: 1. Squat after the breakout 2. The market is still in a hard-penny environment with only 30% of total stocks above the 200-day MA. The stock set back another pivot point after I got stopped out beforehand slightly above the breakeven. I like to see if it can hold up during this difficult market environment.
IDX:AMMNLong
by rifqonr
EURUSD 27 Nov - 1 Dec 2023 Weekly Analysis - Inflation US & EURThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 127 Nov - 1 Dec 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: Weekly Daily 4H Economic Events Weekly Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ 2. After the iBOS we expected pullback, price tapped into Liq on the lift and a Weekly demand zone which provided a pullback and formed a bullish CHoCH confirming INT Low. 3. Price had fully mitigated the weekly supply (FLIP Zone and swept the Liq above the zone by not fully closing the candle above. Still it could be a sweep of liq if we started to see pushes to the down side and structure changes on TF lower than the Weekly TF. Price could be targeting the Supply zone at the INT Structure High to continue bearish as long TFs lower supports that. 4. Extreme supply within the bearish INT structure with Liq below it. A potential zone located in the Swing premium for continuation down Daily Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bearish OF Bullish Reached EQ 2. After BOS we expect a pullback OF turned bullish to facilitate the Swing pullback and we reached the INT bearish Structure Extreme. 3. Weekly/Daily supply zone and the extreme of the bearish INT Structure where price swept the Liq above and created a Bullish CHoCH on the Weekly TF. As price currently didn't close above the INT High, there is a probability that this could be a Sweep of LIq to continue down. To Confirm that Sweep concept we want to see at least a Bearish CHoCH which will be a Break of Structure on 4H which will support the concept and with that we can play Shorts. But also be mindful that OF is in Strong bullish move and playing against it without confirmation will be rough. Let's watch LTF to guide us. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish 2. Swing low and last demand for potential buys. 3. After the Swing BOS, we expected a pullback but price still in Bullish momentum and still creating Bullish INT Structures. We didn't have Swing pullback till now which will be identified by a Bearish iBOS. Price reached the extreme of the Bullish INT Structure and we may react only from there as our expectations is to reach (And maybe extend above) the Weak INT HIgh. So the current supply there may provide some bearish reaction, but our expectations on the 4H TF is to continue up. But keep in mind that the bearish scenario we have from the Weekly and Daily could be starting from this area or a bit higher. In all ways, bearish scenario will be confirmed with bearish structure formation which we don't have till now. So patience is always the key of success! plan and wait for confirmation. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 20 - 24 Nov 2023 Weekly Analysis - FOMC WeekThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 13 - 17 Nov 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: Weekly Daily 4H Economic Events Weekly Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ 2. After the iBOS we expect pullback, price tapped into Liq on the lift and a demand zone which showed a reaction that the pullback of the internal bearish structure maybe starting and now price is targeting the CHoCH and the liquidity areas. 3. Price currently within a Weekly Supply (FLIP) Zone which could be the zone to continue down. But it's not a high probability one as price didn't sweep any liquidity after the Bearish iBOS and most probably this supply zone will fail and we will sweep the Liquidity above it to the next and extreme supply zone of the bearish INT Structure. 4. Extreme supply within the bearish INT structure with Liq below it. A potential zone located in the Swing premium for continuation down. Daily Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bearish OF Bullish 2. After BOS we expect a pullback OF turned bullish to facilitate the Swing pullback and most probably we will continue bullish till we sweep Liq on the lift above the INT High. 3. Weekly/Daily supply zone and the extreme of the bearish INT Structure which could provide a short opportunity if we are going to react from these zone. Be mindful that price OF is so bullish and most probably this INT high will fail as it will be the Liquidity on the Weekly and we could tap into the Daily supply above to start the pullback and maybe the bearish of Daily/Weekly structure. Let's watch LTF to guide us for potential shorts. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish 2. Bullish Swing continuation happened as expected and we created a Bullish BOS. After a BOS we are expecting a pullback and first sign will be a CHoCH. We did a CHoCH but it was only a Sweep of Liquidity and even the 15m didn't close below the Structure. 3. After reaching the Daily/4H Supply, price started to show some reaction. The CHoCH that happened just confirmed the INT High and it was only Sweep of Liquidity due to the aggressive bullish move. Currently we have a Bullish iBOS and again we are expecting a Pullback which could start from the current 4H Supply or i prefer to Sweep the Liquidity above the Weekly supply and we will be starting a nice pullback to the 4H Swing and it could evolve to a Weekly / Daily bearish continuation. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 13 - 17 Nov 2023 Weekly Analysis - CPI WeekThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 13 - 17 Nov 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: Weekly Daily 4H Economic Events Weekly Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ 2. After the iBOS we expect pullback, price tapped into Liq on the lift and a demand zone which showed a reaction that the pullback of the internal bearish structure maybe starting but still the OF is bearish 3. Potential flip supply zone to continue the INT bearish structure and Swing bearish leg. Price didn't tap it yet and was close to it and started to move down. Possibly that price had pulled back and in the continuation down which i don't prefer. Instead i prefer that price is targeting the Liq above the Flip zone for better move to the down side. 4. Extreme supply within the bearish INT structure with Liq below it. A potential zone located in the Swing premium for continuation down Daily Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bearish OF Bullish 2. After BOS we expect a pullback OF turned bullish to facilitate the Swing pullback and most probably we will continue bullish till we sweep Liq on the lift which reside below the Weekly and Daily Supply zones before we see bearish continuation. Price swept the Liq above the Daily Flip zone and and didn't tap the Weekly/Daily supply zones yet. The pullback after sweeping the liq is currently in progress and price could pullback to the daily demand before continuing up. I don't like price to deeply pullback as it's for me a sign of weakness, but f we did pullback deep i'll watch how price will develop to continue bullish if possible. 3. Weekly/Daily supply zone and the extreme of the bearish INT Structure which could provide a short opportunity if we are going to react from these zone. Let's watch LTF to guide us for potential shorts. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish OF Bearish 2. After a BOS we expect a pullback, As we did a CHoCH on the 4H and iBOS on the 15m the pullback started and tapped into a 4H Demand Zone. Price had swept the Liq below the 4H zone and we could be now targeting the previous high formed. Failure to break the previous high will put us in a deeper pullback within the 4H Bullish structure. Always will let the LTF (15m) to guide me. 3. 4H Demand zone could hold the price to continue up after sweeping liquidity on the left. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
BREN - VELOCITY PLAYI have a position October 27, 2023 The reasons: 1. Low-risk pivot point 2. The stock offers the first buyable base after an IPO 3. It skyrockets huge >300% immediately after it went public 4. High relative strength, outperforming the general market 5. The stock is moving on its own universe, marching to its own drummer 6. Volume dries up during the pause 7. Big volume on the breakout Flaw: The market is still in a hard-penny environment with only 30% of total stocks above the 200-day MA. This is a power play type of setup, where velocity begets velocity. I like to see if it can hold up and move higher from here.
IDX:BRENLong
by rifqonr
EURUSD 6 - 10 Nov 2023 Weekly AnalysisThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 6 - 10 Nov 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: Weekly Daily 4H Economic Events Weekly Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ 2. After the iBOS we expect pullback, price tapped into Liq on the lift and a demand zone which showed a nice reaction that the pullback of the internal bearish structure maybe starting but still the OF is bearish Last week we had bounced nicely continuing the pullback after the iBOS and we are currently approaching a Weekly Supply/Flip Zone. 3. Potential flip supply zone to continue the INT bearish structure and Swing bearish leg But be mindful that the INT structure doesn't have IDM and the zone/CHoCH could be used as IDM and we will be in the Swing Discount 4. Extreme supply within the bearish INT structure with Liq below it. A potential zone located in the Swing premium for continuation down Daily Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bearish 2. After BOS we expect a pullback CHoCH will be the first sign of maybe pullback is starting, price did a CHoCH confirming INT Low formation. OF turned bullish to facilitate the Swing pullback and most probably we will continue bullish till we sweep Liq on the lift which reside below the Weekly and Daily Supply zones before we see bearish continuation. 3. Weekly/Daily supply zone and the extreme of the bearish INT Structure which could provide a short opportunity if we are going to react from these zone. Let's watch LTF to guide us for potential shorts. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Bullish Swing Bullish INT 2. As expected, price continued bullish and did a bullish BOS after sweeping the Liq from the previous Swing lows. After a BOS we expect a pullback, but be mindful that all TFs are bullish in Structure or OF so most probably that bullishness will continue. Will be looking for pullback to start once we tap into the Weekly/ 4H Supply zones that is price is approaching currently. Will wait for LTFs to guide for maybe the Swing pullback is starting. 3. 4H Demand zone could hold the price to continue up after sweeping liquidity on the left. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
2
EURUSD 30 Oct - 3 Nov 2023 Weekly Analysis - FOMC/NFP WeekThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 30 Oct - 3 Nov 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: Weekly Daily 4H Economic Events Weekly Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ 2. After the iBOS we expect pullback, price tapped into Liq and a demand zone which showed a nice reaction that the pullback of the internal bearish structure maybe starting but still the OF is bearish. 3. Potential flip supply zone to continue the INT bearish structure and Swing bearish leg But be mindful that the INT structure doesn't have IDM and the zone/CHoCH could be used as IDM and we will be in the Swing Discount. 4. Extreme supply within the bearish INT structure with Liq below it. A potential zone located in the Swing premium for continuation down. Daily Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bearish 2. After BOS we expect a pullback CHoCH will be the first sign of maybe pullback is starting, price did a CHoCH confirming INT Low formation. OF still bearish after reaching the daily flip zone. Expectation is that we will continue the bearish OF but be mindful that the pullback will start at anytime. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Bullish Swing Bullish INT 2. Price made a Bullish Swing BOS and we expecting after a break of structure a Swing pullback and a CHoCH is the first sign that the Swing pullback maybe starting. Price pulled back to almost to the swing extreme and we would expect the 4H swing low to hold and we will target the weak Swing High. 3. 4H extreme demand is the last zone for price to mitigate if it failed at current price to continue up. This is the last option for longs for the current bullish swing. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
bearish retest of top rangeThings are moving fast. Too fast. The last time things moved this fast was before a big blowout. Looking to get in to a 1x short over the next weeks depending on how chart looks. Maybe we see a wick up on the next monthly candle and then retrace? Good luck everyone, good luck to the people who are buying this to hold for longer. It's not back sorry this is not how bull markets start or are being made, .. this is the first lower high and everyone who is still holding this ponzi or still desperate enough to trade this day by day and follow altponzis gets exited. If youre in a rush to make money youre in a rush to lose money. patient.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by ellyn2121
EURUSD 23-27 Oct 2023 Weekly Analysis This is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 23-27 Oct 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: Weekly Daily 4H Economic Events Weekly Chart Analysis 1. Bullish Swing Bearish INT 2. INT Low is confirmed after a fractal CHoCH and we are now in the INT Bearish structure pullback phase. Demand is holding and Supply is failing which means that the INT Pullback is still active and we may reach the INT Extreme Supply zone. But be mindful that the swing is bullish and we maybe targeting the Weak Swing high. 3. Price made a Bullish Swing BOS and we expecting after a break of structure a Swing pullback As price turned bearish, and reached EQ, our expectations now that Demand zones in Discount will provide a good opportunity for longs. And current PA is showing that demand zones are holding well and we are targeting the Weak Swing High. 4. Daily and 4H Supply zone that current price action is targeting and could provide reaction for shorts opportunity using Entry Model with LTF confirmation Daily Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bearish 2. After BOS we expect a pullback CHoCH will be the first sign of maybe pullback is starting and yesterday price did a CHoCH confirming INT Low formation. OF still bearish so we don't have confirmation yet that we are starting the pullback for the recent Bearish BOS 3. As on the weekly, price swept Liq and tapped in a weekly demand zone but we didn't mitigate the daily demand zone below 4H Chart Analysis 1. Bullish Swing Bearish INT 2. INT Low is confirmed after a fractal CHoCH and we are now in the INT Bearish structure pullback phase. Demand is holding and Supply is failing which means that the INT Pullback is still active and we may reach the INT Extreme Supply zone. But be mindful that the swing is bullish and we maybe targeting the Weak Swing high. 3. Price made a Bullish Swing BOS and we expecting after a break of structure a Swing pullback As price turned bearish, and reached EQ, our expectations now that Demand zones in Discount will provide a good opportunity for longs. And current PA is showing that demand zones are holding well and we are targeting the Weak Swing High. 4. Daily and 4H Supply zone that current price action is targeting and could provide reaction for shorts opportunity using Entry Model with LTF confirmation Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
SGER - POWER PLAYI bought my positions today October 12, 2023 The reasons: 1. Low-risk entry 2. The stock went up >300% in less than 8 weeks 3. A fractal of small cup with handle during the pause 4. The pause has less than 25% correction 4. Volume dries up as a sign of less supply coming to the market 5. Strong close with huge volume on the breakout 6. A high alpha stock with a low standard deviation 7. One of the leaders in this market environment 8. Theme: Power Play setups work fine thus far The flaw: The market is still in a hard-penny environment with only 35% of total stocks above the 200-day MA. This stock is so strong, a Power Play on top of a Power Play. I like to see some follow-throughs in the upcoming days.
IDX:SGERLong
by rifqonr
AMMN - POWER PLAYI bought my positions today September 29, 2023 The reasons: 1. Low-risk entry with a crisp pivot point 2. The stock is up >100% in less than 8 weeks 3. Corrected the least during the pause, less than 25% correction 4. Volume dries up as a sign of less supply coming to the market 5. Good close and decent volume on the breakout 6. A high alpha stock with a low standard deviation 7. One of the leaders in this market environment The flaw: The market is still in a hard-penny environment with only 36% of total stocks above the 200-day MA. This is a Velocity Play of a current IPO stock. I expect to see some positive price action in the upcoming days.
IDX:AMMNLong
by rifqonr
EURUSD 16-20 Oct 2023 Weekly AnalysisThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 16-20 Oct 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: Weekly Daily 4H Weekly 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ 2. After the iBOS we expect pullback, price tapped into Liq and a demand zone which showed a nice reaction that the pullback of the internal bearish structure maybe starting but still the OF is bearish 3. Potential flip supply zone to continue the INT bearish structure and Swing bearish leg But be mindful that the INT structure doesn't have IDM and the zone/CHoCH could be used as IDM and we will be in the Swing Discount 4. Extreme supply within the bearish INT structure with Liq below it. A potential zone located in the Swing premium for continuation down Daily 1. Swing Bearish INT Bearish 2. After BOS we expect a pullback CHoCH will be the first sign of maybe pullback is starting and yesterday price did a CHoCH confirming INT Low formation. OF still bearish so we don't have confirmation yet that we are starting the pullback for the recent Bearish BOS 3. As on the weekly, price swept Liq and tapped in a weekly demand zone but we didn't mitigate the daily demand zone below Daily 1. Swing Bullish INT Bearish 1. Swing Bullish INT Bearish 2. Price swept Liq from the previous INT low and broken and closed above the high forming another iBOS 3. Price made a Bullish Swing BOS and we expecting after a break of structure a Swing pullback As price turned bearish, and reached EQ, our expectations now that Demand zones in Discount will provide a good opportunity for longs 4. Daily and 4H Supply zone that current price action is targeting and could provide reaction for shorts opportunity using Entry Model with LTF confirmation 5. Price could be targeting the Liq. below the 4H previous INT Low above the 4H extreme demand zone for longs
by Amr-Sadek
BTC: BIG PICTURE!!Hello everyone, if you like the idea, do not forget to support it with a like and follow. Welcome to this important BTC update. BTC is ranging between FWB:25K -$30k for more than 200 days and currently, it is trading around $26.7k level. Now, one of the biggest questions in everyone's mind is where we are heading after these 2 years of the bear market. I'll try to explain in this post. BTC made a low of $15.5k last year in Nov. month and Imo we won't see that level again. As you know halving is after 6 months and before that, we might see a drop up to FWB:23K -$24k (as you see in the chart). Perma Bears wants a new low or big crash before the halving and Perma Bulls wants a continuous pump from here but IMO market maker disappoint both of them. I'm betting on a move towards $ 23.5k-$ 24.5k zone and then a move upwards (for a new uptrend). Mind it that a wick can even go below $23.5k however weekly candle close will likely happen within this zone itself. What do you think about this? Share your thoughts in the comment section. Hope this chart helps you to take better trade decisions. Thank You!
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by CoreCrypto1
PANI - POWER PLAYI bought my positions today September 25, 2023 The reasons: 1. Low-risk entry point 2. The stock is up >100% in less than 8 weeks 3. Corrected the least during the pause, less than 25% correction 4. Volume dries up as a sign of less supply coming to the market 5. High alpha stock with a low standard deviation 6. Good close on the breakout The flaw: The market is still in a hard-penny environment with only 36.7% of total stocks above the 200-day MA. I'm still trading small with a pilot position until I see some trades work out fine.
IDX:PANILong
by rifqonr
1
KAYU - POWER PLAYI bought my positions today October 6, 2023 The reasons: 1. Low-risk entry with a crisp pivot point 2. The stock went up >100% in less than 8 weeks 3. VCP characteristics during the pause 4. The pause has less than 25% correction 4. Volume dries up as a sign of less supply coming to the market 5. Good close and Huge volume on the breakout 6. A high alpha stock with a low standard deviation 7. One of the leaders in this market environment The flaw: The market is still in a hard-penny environment with only 31% of total stocks above the 200-day MA. This stock is so strong, a Power Play on top of a Power Play. I like to see some follow-throughs in the upcoming days.
IDX:KAYULong
by rifqonr