Finally a chance to buy HK50The market is STILL BEARISH but,
1) HK50 is now fully oversold.
2) There is a harmonic pattern
3) There is H1 RSI divergence
Tight stop loss. We need to ensure to exit quickly as the market is still down.
Hk50
AUDUSD - a slave to Chinese markets We saw a lot of confusion in the headlines as to the weakness in AUDUSD yesterday. The RBA meeting had very little to do with it, and the AUD has just been a proxy of Chinese markets. A higher USDCNH and weaker HK50 saw AUD lower, and a simple overlap will highlight this. Weaker China Caixin services PMI data was behind this, so as we look ahead at China trade data (tomorrow – no set time), international funds continue to use the AUD as a liquid and cost-effective vehicle for trading the yuan. After a big move lower on the session yesterday, we are seeing modest follow-through selling in AUDUSD today – not influenced by Aus Q2 GDP (which was modestly hotter), but USDCNH pushing higher.
Favour this pair further lower, although if China property stocks do reverse higher here, I’d reverse as a day trade and follow the tape.
HKEX bias is still for lower levels.HS50 - 24h expiry - We look to Sell at 18100 (stop at 18300)
Although the bears are in control, the stalling negative momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
A higher correction is expected.
The bias is still for lower levels and we look for any gains to be limited.
We therefore, prefer to fade into the rally with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back lower.
Further downside is expected although we prefer to sell into rallies close to the 18100 level.
Our profit targets will be 17600 and 17510
Resistance: 18015 / 18520 / 18915
Support: 17375 / 17040 / 16560
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group
Selling HK50 at previous resistance.HS50 - 24h expiry - We look to Sell at 19213 (stop at 19373)
We look to trade the current range.
Trading has been mixed and volatile.
Bespoke resistance is located at 19200.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
The primary trend remains bearish.
Our profit targets will be 18813 and 18733
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Resistance: 19000 / 19200 / 19350
Support: 18800 / 18700 / 18600
HKEX to find buyers at neckline support?HS50 - 24h expiry - We look to Buy at 19220 (stop at 19060)
We are trading at overbought extremes.
A lower correction is expected.
Posted a Double Bottom formation.
Neckline support is 19217.
Further upside is expected although we prefer to set longs at our bespoke support levels at 19220, resulting in improved risk/reward.
Our profit targets will be 19620 and 19680
Resistance: 19840 / 20400 / 20965
Support: 19140 / 18015 / 17710
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
HKEX to stall at recent high?HS50 - 24h expiry - We look to Sell at 19220 (stop at 19405)
Price action looks to be forming a top.
The 200 day moving average should provide resistance at 19235.
This is negative for sentiment and the downtrend has potential to return.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Further downside is expected although we prefer to sell into rallies close to the 19220 level.
Our profit targets will be 18770 and 18670
Resistance: 19840 / 20400 / 20965
Support: 18015 / 17710 / 16320
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
A trader’s week ahead playbook: playing defence into quarter-endAfter a dramatic weekend in geopolitical news flow, we revert to areas more closely aligned with our expertise; the ebbs and flow of economic growth dynamic, inflation, central bank liquidity and month-/quarter-end flows.
To set a platform for the week ahead – The USD rallied on 4 of the past 5 days (gaining 0.6%), while it was a rolling sea of red in our core equity indices last week - the HK50 (-4.7%) and GER40 (-3.2%) faring worst on a weekly percentage basis. US equity indices are grinding lower into quarter-end, but it’s the US small-cap plays that need to be on the radar with the US2000 the weakest index – US regional banks once again in the spotlight and finding sellers easy to come by, and the KRE ETF now targets $36.00.
Banks take a central focus
US Treasury Sectary Yellen’s comments that she expects further consolidation within the banks, while the higher cost of deposits is impacting bank profitability have put these institutions back on traders’ radar - we subsequently mark the Q2 US earning calendar on the map once again when JPM kick off proceedings on 14 July.
We can cast our net outside of the US and see banks on a global basis remain key shorting candidates. Notably in the UK and Australia, where Lloyds and NatWest are in freefall, and many are questioning the asset quality and lofty ROE guidance of these institutions amid the unfolding UK mortgage and rental crisis. For AUS200 traders, BoQ and ANZ look particularly vulnerable to further downside, although, tactically, I would consider long CBA/short ANZ as a pairs trade.
Will the GBP be impacted by reduced growth expectations?
With UK banks in focus, on the data side, there will be focus on the Nationwide house price data (-4% YoY decline expected) and mortgage approvals (+49k in May) this coming week – the market has priced another 50bp hike from the BoE on 3 August, with a peak bank rate of 6.2% by February 2024. However, despite calls that the GBP should now face headwinds as the currency morphs from carry to a relative growth play, we’re not seeing that play out in the price action.
Granted, the UK gilt curve has collapsed but GBPAUD, GBPNOK and GBPNZD all look like they’ve got further upside here. I’d be looking for GBPUSD to test 1.2680, where this could run into buyers here.
In the US we’re seeing signs of reduced system liquidity with bank reserves falling $102b last week and starting to do more of the heavy lifting in supporting the massive US Treasury TGA rebuild. We get further significant US T-bill and bond issuance this week, and we should see an increased decline in the Fed’s US Treasury holdings, but with rebalancing flows a key factor let's see if this issuance has any impact on risk assets.
US data to navigate
The US economic data is mostly tier 2 releases – durable goods, regional manufacturing, new home sales and consumer confidence. Core PCE is the highlight (due Friday at 22:30 AEST) and the market sees an unchanged read at 4.7% - again, this could affect pricing for the 26 July FOMC meeting, where the market prices 18bp of hikes here.
The USD has found signs of form with the DXY pushing 103. The USD bid a function of falling growth momentum in China and Europe, so the US data points, EU consumer confidence and inflation, and China’s manufacturing/services PMI data (Friday 11:30 AEST) need close attention.
It seems the market just can't get enthused by China’s current range of stimulus measures and we see USDCNH another FX cross-rate that has become a trend-followers dream and trades north of 7.2100 – let's see if the PBoC start to push back on the move this week (through its daily CNY fix), as higher levels should accelerate USD buying vs the AUD and the EUR.
Staying long USDJPY, for now
USDJPY remains well traded by clients, and eyes a move into 144.00 and as we posted last week is coming ever closer to potential jawboning from the BoJ/MoF (pepperstone.com) – traders have pointed to the elevated RSI’s, however, this is not a major concern for me, as it’s the rate of change that the MoF look at more closely. We also see the price at a 4.3% premium to the 50-day MA which is not wholly extended, and where a 5%-7% premium (to the 50-day MA) would be where I’d have a higher conviction of mean reversion trades playing out.
Aussie CPI to influence the July RBA pricing
In Australia we get monthly CPI and retail sales this week – the market prices a 40% chance of the RBA hiking by 25bp on 4 July, so this data could easily influence that pricing. There will be a concerted groan from households if we see CPI (due Wed at 11:30 AEST) fail to come down to the consensus call of 6.1% (from 6.8%). If we look at the economist’s range of estimates we see the distribution ranging from 6.9% to 5.6%, which is incredibly well dispersed. A 5-handle should see hikes priced out of the July RBA meeting and see the AUD under pressure.
On the central bank speeches, there will be focus placed on the Sintra Conference where Powell, Lagarde, Ueda and Bailley will be speaking.
The case for gold upside
Commodities get a close look too – my preference for gold is to place sell-stop orders below $1912, with the aim to play bearish momentum into and below the figure. Gold bulls will want a close back above $1938, and if the growth concerns that we saw late last week extend into the new week, then gold should benefit as a hedge, but we’d also need to see inflationary pressure ease.
Crude found buyers into the range lows of $67.00 – huge support and one that should be on all radars, especially those who want to scalp off big levels.
HKEX to find buyers at previous resistance?HS50 - 24h expiry - We look to Buy at 19450 (stop at 19250)
We are trading at overbought extremes.
A lower correction is expected.
Short term bias has turned positive.
We therefore, prefer to fade into the dip with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back higher.
Further upside is expected although we prefer to buy into dips close to the 19430 level.
Our profit targets will be 19950 and 20000
Resistance: 20400 / 20965 / 21770
Support: 19140 / 18015 / 16325
HK50 to stall at current swing high?HS50 - 24h expiry - We look to Sell at 19469 (stop at 19619)
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
Price action looks to be forming a top.
The 200 day moving average should provide resistance at 19458.
This is negative for short term sentiment and we look to set shorts at good risk/reward levels for a further correction lower.
Further downside is expected although we prefer to sell into rallies close to the 19485 level.
Our profit targets will be 19069 and 19009
Resistance: 19650 / 20850 / 22790
Support: 18680 / 17710 / 16320
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
A Traders’ Playbook: China stimulus expectations lift sentimentLooking at the calendar for the week ahead and it’s a quiet affair by way of known event risks to catalyse. We have tier 1 idiosyncratic event risks, with the RBA and BoC meetings holding the potential for a 25bp hike respectively. However, I’d expect the central focus to remain on the USD, US rates pricing, US regional banks and whether we see a further positive flow into the HK50, CHINAH and CN50.
Talk of fiscal support from the Chinese authorities have been making waves and on Friday it’s no surprise that we saw $3.18b net buying into China’s mainland equity markets, amid a 4% rally in the Chinese/HK equity indices – this supported EU and US equity sentiment, copper and the AUD found a better bid (notably vs the EUR and CHF).
After a nirvana US nonfarm payrolls report (a strong level of job creation, amid softer wages and a higher unemployment rate) we now head into the Fed’s blackout period, with the market favourable to the Fed leaving rates unchanged next week but signalling a strong bias to hike again.
Next week’s US CPI print could alter the consensus view of a Fed ‘skip’, but with the core of the Fed leaning to a pause – for now, this is supporting risk and we roll into the new week with the bulls on top.
Digging further into the equity move and breadth was solid on Friday with 92% of stocks closing higher, led by materials, industrial and energy, but the chase is on – FOMU (Fear of Meaningfully Underperforming) is a factor, few want to sell, portfolio hedges are being unwound rapidly and it was momentum frenzy, with the 0DTE crowd have a large hand in this chase higher.
There is a heightened focus on the US Treasury Department starting to tap the market to rebuild its low cash balances – we get 3 sizeable US T-bill sales this week equating to $173b, so the eyes of the market will be whether this is supported by bank reserves or RRP balances. Again, US banks will be keenly watched (put the KRE ETF on the radar), because if bank reserves prove to be the larger support of T-bill issuance it may start to weigh on sentiment here.
Finally, crude saw a 2.6% rally on Friday, largely due to a solid rally in China’s markets. Some would have been covering shorts ahead of the weekend OPEC meeting. However, those running longs would be heartened at the news the Saudis will reduce output by an additional 1m bpd. The news flow on potential China stimulus and the tape in its equity markets will continue to dictate how crude trades - but clearly, the Saudis want a crude price above $80 and a steeper backwardation in the futures curve. Keep an eye on the CAD, and NOK as tradeable crude proxies.
Marquee event risk for the week ahead
RBA meeting (Tues 14:30 AEST) – We could be looking at a lively RBA meeting with the market pricing a 50% chance of a hike. There is greater conviction from economists with 17 of 25 economists (surveyed by Bloomberg) calling for a pause. Market positioning is mixed, with asset managers running a sizeable AUD short position, while fast-money leveraged funds are progressively long of AUD. RBA action will likely have a short-lived impact on the AUD before it reverts to a tradeable proxy of China data and moves in the HK50 and CHINAH.
Bank of Canada (BoC) meeting (8 June 00:00 AEST) – BoC meetings here have been predictable affairs of late, but there is some uncertainty at this meeting – it’s a risk event to consider for CAD traders. The interest rate markets price a 44% chance of a 25bp hike, although the economist community are far more certain with only 6 of 31 (surveyed by Bloomberg) calling for the hike. Into the meeting, the risk for the CAD seems skewed to the downside, where the BoC likely hold and guide to a hike in July conditional on a hot employment report.
China trade balance (Wed - no set time) – the market looks for a further lift in the trade surplus to $94.15b. To get to this increase surplus exports are expected to decline by 2%, while imports are expected to decline by 8%. A key data point given the impact China is having on market sentiment, but this is so incredibly hard to forecast, that the market is conditioned to be shocked.
China CPI/PPI inflation (Friday 11:30 AEST) – The market expects CPI to come in at 0.2% YoY and PPI at -4.2% YoY. With elevated expectations of imminent policy easing from the PBoC, we’d need to see a blowout upside print to reduce expected policy easing calls. Bad news (i.e. lower inflation) should only further increase policy-easing expectations and prove to be good news for the HK50 and the AUD.
China new yuan loans (no set time) - the market looks for new loans to increase to RMB1570b (from RMB718b). With calls for renewed economic stimulus, I expect credit data to start reflecting this going forward to rise from here. I don’t expect the May credit data to move markets too intently unless it’s a substantial beat/miss.
US ISM services (Tues 00:00 AEST) – the market looks for the diffusion index to rise to 52.4 (from 51.9). In a quiet week of US economic data, the services ISM report has the potential to influence market sentiment. However, after both Fed chair Powell and VC Jefferson recently leaning towards a pause (or a skip), it’s hard to see this moving rate expectations for the June FOMC meeting too intently. The US CPI print (due 13 June) is the likely decider on whether the Fed pause or hike.
Canada May employment report (Tues 22:30 AEST) – the market expects 25k net new jobs to have been created in May, with the unemployment rate eyed at 5.1% (from 5%). The form guide suggests a higher probability of a beat, with the last 8 employment reports coming in above expectations. Momentum in USDCAD is lower and we see good support into 1.3330.
Rates Review – we look at market pricing of interest rate expectations and the cumulative number of hikes/cuts (in basis points) for each upcoming meeting. For example, we see 10bp of hikes (a 40% chance of a hike) priced for the June FOMC meeting, but 9bp of cuts to have been implemented by December.
Central bank speakers to navigate:
Fed speakers – the Fed are in a blackout period until the FOMC meeting (14 June), so we can breathe a little easier.
ECB speakers – we hear from Lagarde, Nagel, Guindos, Panetta, Guindos, De Cos, Centeno – EU rates markets price 24bp of hikes for the 15 June ECB meeting, and a peak rate of 3.66% by October.
RBA speakers – RBA gov Phil Lowe speaks the day after the RBA meeting (Wed 09:20 AEST). RBA deputy gov Michele Bullock speaks shortly after (Wed 09:50 AEST)
HKEX to find resistance at psychological level?HS50 - 24h expiry - We look to Sell at 19995 (stop at 20155)
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
The Ichimoku cloud and 200-day moving average provide further resistance and we look to set shorts in early trade to capture this selling opportunity.
The weekly pivot is at 20000.
The hourly chart technicals suggests further upside before the downtrend returns.
We therefore, prefer to fade into the rally with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back lower.
Our profit targets will be 19605 and 19525
Resistance: 20850 / 22790 / 24770
Support: 18680 / 17710 / 16330
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
HKEX to stall at current high?HS50 - 24h expiry - We look to Sell at 20305 (stop at 20425)
We are trading at overbought extremes.
A Doji style candle has been posted from the high.
This is negative for short term sentiment and we look to set shorts at good risk/reward levels for a further correction lower.
Further downside is expected although we prefer to sell into rallies close to the 20305 level.
Although the anticipated move lower is corrective, it does offer ample risk/reward today.
Our profit targets will be 20005 and 19650
Resistance: 20850 / 22790 / 24770
Support: 19650 / 18680 / 17710
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
Buying HKEX on dips.HS50 - 24h expiry - We look to Buy at 20260 (stop at 20090)
Selling pressure from 20753 resulted in all the initial daily gains being overturned.
The current move lower is expected to continue.
Short term bias is mildly bullish.
We therefore, prefer to fade into the dip with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back higher.
Further upside is expected although we prefer to buy into dips close to the 20210 level.
Our profit targets will be 20690 and 20770
Resistance: 20850 / 22790 / 24770
Support: 19650 / 18680 / 17710
lease be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
HK50 LONGHere is my target for your reference only.
Mua(Long): 19200 Ngay(Date): 17/03/2023
TP: 21860
SL: 18700
Hang Seng Index to turnaround?HS50 - 24h expiry - We look to Sell a break of 20150 (stop at 20455)
Previous support located at 20250.
Previous resistance located at 20500.
Price action has stalled at good resistance levels and currently trades just below here (20600).
We expect a reversal in this move.
A move through 20150 will confirm the bearish momentum.
Our profit targets will be 19400 and 19200
Resistance: 20500 / 20525 / 20600
Support: 20250 / 20150 / 19500
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
Intraday BUY HK50 (03 APR 2023)HK50 intraday trading alert
3 simple steps to find a quality setup !
Risk Reward Ratio 1: 2
Anyone same idea with me?
BUY HK50
Good luck traders..
HKEX to stall at previous swing high?HS50 - 24h expiry - We look to Sell at 20209 (stop at 20430)
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
This is negative for sentiment and the downtrend has potential to return.
Previous resistance located at 20209.
The medium term bias remains bearish.
Further downside is expected although we prefer to set shorts at our bespoke resistance levels at 20209, resulting in improved risk/reward.
Our profit targets will be 19575 and 18680
Resistance: 20850 / 22790 / 24770
Support: 19650 / 18680 / 17710
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
Shorting HKEX at current resistance.HS50 - 24h expiry - We look to Sell at 19570 (stop at 19810)
Buying pressure from 18823 resulted in prices rejecting the dip.
The current move higher is expected to continue.
The bias is still for lower levels and we look for any gains to be limited.
We therefore, prefer to fade into the rally with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back lower.
Further downside is expected although we prefer to sell into rallies close to the 19570 level.
Our profit targets will be 18880 and 18535
Resistance: 19470 / 20805 / 22505
Support: 18535 / 17600 / 16440
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
HKEX bias remains negative.HS50 - 24h expiry - We look to Sell at 19635 (stop at 19901)
Although the bears are in control, the stalling negative momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
A higher correction is expected.
The medium term bias remains bearish.
We therefore, prefer to fade into the rally with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back lower.
Further downside is expected although we prefer to sell into rallies close to the 19635 level.
Our profit targets will be 18865 and 17710
Resistance: 19650 / 20850 / 22790
Support: 18680 / 17710 / 16320
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You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
HK33 looking for a limited rally?HS50 - 24h expiry - We look to Sell at 19820 (stop at 20150)
Although the bears are in control, the stalling negative momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
A higher correction is expected.
The medium term bias remains bearish.
We therefore, prefer to fade into the rally with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back lower.
Further downside is expected although we prefer to sell into rallies close to the 19820 level.
Our profit targets will be 18880 and 18680
Resistance: 19650 / 20850 / 22790
Support: 18680 / 17710 / 16330
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
HKEX to extend its losses?HS50 - 24h expiry - We look to Sell a break of 19635 (stop at 19860)
Selling posted in Asia.
Selling pressure dominated price action yesterday and we expect this to continue today.
Previous support located at 19635.
The medium term bias remains bearish.
Further downside is expected although we prefer to set shorts at our bespoke resistance levels at 19635, resulting in improved risk/reward.
Our profit targets will be 18985 and 18680
Resistance: 20850 / 22790 / 23640
Support: 18680 / 17710 / 16340
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
HKEX to see a limited rally?HS50 - 24h expiry - We look to Sell at 21020 (stop at 21245)
Buying pressure from 20525 resulted in prices rejecting the dip.
The current move higher is expected to continue.
The bias is still for lower levels and we look for any gains to be limited.
We therefore, prefer to fade into the rally with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back lower.
Further downside is expected although we prefer to sell into rallies close to the 21020 level.
Our profit targets will be 20455 and 20355
Resistance: 20880 / 22590 / 24770
Support: 19525 / 18580 / 17630
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
HKEX to see early pessimism?HS50 - 24h expiry - We look to Buy at 20900 (stop at 20670)
Although the bears are in control, the stalling negative momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
A higher correction is expected.
The hourly chart technicals suggests further downside before the uptrend returns.
We look to buy dips.
Although the anticipated move higher is corrective, it does offer ample risk/reward today.
Our profit targets will be 21555 and 22590
Resistance: 22590 / 24770 / 27550
Support: 20875 / 19525 / 18580
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
