BTC reversing back to up directionWe had reverse head and shoulders from the daily fibo 61.8 level. looking forward to 101k to 104k. Let’s see, it is all prediction till we reach the destination. cheers !
Headshoulders
EUR/USD's Déjà Vu: Ready to Ride the Next Wave?So, here’s the deal with EUR/USD – it’s throwing out a pretty juicy head-and-shoulders pattern. If you’re not familiar, just think of it like this: the market is literally shrugging its shoulders, and when it does that, it usually means it’s getting ready to slide downhill. And guess what? We’ve seen this exact move before... twice. 📉
Pattern Repeat: Déjà Vu, But Profitable
Flashback 1: Way back on the left side of the chart, there was a head-and-shoulders (that’s like the market’s favorite I’m-outta-here move). It shrugged its shoulders, and then – boom – dropped about 400 pips. Nice little payday if you were ready for it.
Flashback 2: Middle of the chart, same thing. It pulled another head-and-shoulders, neckline broke at around 1.0920, and down it went about 350 pips. It’s like clockwork – see a shoulder, expect the floor to drop soon after. 🕰️
Now, Let’s Talk About This Current Setup
We’re seeing another head-and-shoulders pattern forming on the right side. And here’s the fun part: if it follows the same pattern as the last two, we’re in for a similar ride.
Neckline Level: This one's got its neckline (the line where we know things could start falling fast) around 1.0740. And look – it’s already cracked below that. This means we’re potentially heading towards our next target.
Targets 🎯
Alright, so where’s this going if it drops? Here’s the roadmap:
First Stop: 1.0460 – This level’s like a speed bump. If price respects it, we might see a little bounce, but if it doesn’t, the road is wide open for more downside action. 🚗💨
Next Destination: 1.0175 – Think of this as the next major support level. Historically, every time EUR/USD has done its head-and-shoulders thing, it didn’t just stop at the first target. Nope. It kept on trucking, usually another few hundred pips. So if you’re looking for a bigger move, this level’s worth watching. 📉
Ultimate Bear Zone: 0.9650 – Now, if we’re talking about a full-blown trend continuation, then 0.9650 is the jackpot. That’s where things could get seriously interesting. But hey, let’s not get ahead of ourselves – let’s take this step by step. 🚀
How to Play This 🕹️
If you’re looking to trade this, here’s the game plan:
Entry Point: If the price slides down to 1.0460, that’s a prime spot to watch. If it hesitates here and starts bouncing, you might see some action going back up a bit – maybe a chance to reset or take some off the table if you’re short.
But if it breaks through 1.0460 like it’s not even there? Buckle up for 1.0175.
Stop-Loss: Look, head-and-shoulders has been reliable here, but we still need to protect ourselves. Set a stop above 1.0550. Worst case? You cut your loss if the market decides to play tricks.
Profit Goals: Go for 1.0460 first, and if things are looking spicy, aim for 1.0175. And if we’re really riding this bear wave – there’s that 0.9650 ultimate bear zone waiting at the end. 🐻💰
Quick Recap
EUR/USD is giving us a déjà vu setup with this head-and-shoulders action. This pattern has been on point the last couple of times – each breakdown led to big drops, so history’s on our side. If this one plays out similarly, 1.0460 is the first floor, 1.0175 is the basement, and 0.9650... well, that’s where we hit the goldmine if the bears take over completely.
Keep it simple. Watch for those levels, manage your risk, and let’s see if EUR/USD does what it’s done before. You know what they say – the trend is your friend... until it’s not. 😉
Put Your Speculators On!This head and shoulders pattern could be just pure speculation at this point. In fact, let me reword that.. this IS speculation based on the fact that I missed the lows and psychologically, I'm really hoping this comes back to shore so I can get back on the boat with everyone else.
I do however do my technical analysis in advance and set alerts at levels like you should do and if it plays out then great if not there's always the opposite idea too. We move onto the next one.
For now though what I'm looking at is BITGET:ADAUSDT.P has closed the daily candle back inside the value area high ( VAH ) of the range they just left. I am now in a waiting game to see what happens with the second candle close but we just had a 7.5% drop from that value area high (white dots) and the weekly level.
The purple line is the previous Monthly VWAP (volume weighted average price) which when you go down to a lower timeframe it's actually touched (Just doesn't look like that here).
The yellow line is the previous Weekly VWAP which we had confluence with at the weekly level and the value area high and also back tested a couple of hours ago.
The blue bars are to show the 21% from the top of the head down to the neck of the head and shoulders pattern and then a repeated 21% from the neck to complete the pattern right into a point of control ( POC ) from a very high timeframe, I'm talking years.
If we start to lose some levels here like $0.35ish and back test it, I'll probably just wait to lose the POC and then see if we get the drop down into that area of confluence below at around $0.26.
I'm far too broke to be gambling so I'd rather wait and reward myself with a little bit of patience, who knows, it could just happen quickly but “Uptober” isn’t starting off that well so far.
I won't be looking for any long trades unless we can reclaim that weekly level and value area high. Targets would be the weekly level above with confluence from the high timeframe value area high and anchored VWAP from the all-time high (Green line).
This is not financial advice. This is just an idea and some slight education to put out there for anybody that's feeling a little bit lost about what they're seeing on the charts.
The "Head and Shoulders": Real success rates.Inverted Head and Shoulders: WATCH volumes when the neckline breaks!!
Here is what we can say about the success rate of the inverted head and shoulders pattern in trading:
-The inverted head and shoulders pattern is considered one of the most reliable chart patterns to anticipate a bullish reversal.
-According to some sources, the success rate of this pattern would be very high, with around 98% of cases resulting in a bullish exit.
-More precisely, in 63% of cases, the price would reach the price target calculated from the pattern when the neckline is broken.
-A pull-back (return to the neckline after the break) would occur in 45% of cases.
-However, it should be noted that these very optimistic figures must be qualified. Other sources indicate more modest success rates, around 60%.
-The reliability of the pattern depends on several factors such as respect for proportions, neckline breakout, volumes, etc. A rigorous analysis is necessary.
-It is recommended to use this pattern in addition to other indicators and analyses, rather than relying on it blindly.
In conclusion, although the inverse head and shoulders pattern is considered a very reliable pattern, its actual success rate is probably closer to 60-70% than the 98% sometimes claimed. It remains a useful tool but must be used with caution and in addition to other analyses.
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Head and Shoulders:
Here is what we can say about the success rate of the head and shoulders pattern in trading:
-The head and shoulders pattern is considered one of the most reliable chart patterns, but its exact success rate is debated among technical analysts. Here are the key takeaways:
- Some sources claim very high success rates, up to 93% or 96%. However, these figures are likely exaggerated and do not reflect the reality of trading.
- In reality, the success rate is likely more modest. One cited study indicates that the price target is reached in about 60% of cases for a classic head and shoulders pattern.
- It is important to note that the head and shoulders pattern is not an infallible pattern. Its presence alone is not enough to guarantee a trend reversal.
- The reliability of the pattern depends on several factors such as respect for proportions, the breakout of the neckline, volumes, etc. Rigorous analysis is necessary.
- Many experienced traders recommend using this pattern in addition to other indicators and analyses, rather than relying on it blindly.
In conclusion, while the head and shoulders pattern is considered a reliable pattern, its actual success rate is probably closer to 60% than the 90%+ sometimes claimed. It remains a useful tool but should be used with caution and in conjunction with other analyses.
_____________________________________________________________________________
NB: In comparison, the classic (bearish) head and shoulders pattern would have a slightly lower success rate, with around 60% of cases where the price target is reached.
NVIDIA: Bearish: Possible Head and Shoulders: Warning!NVIDIA: Bearish: Possible Head and Shoulders: Warning!
Hello everyone The Wolf of Zurich has detected a possible "head and shoulder" on Nvidia, which would bring the price down to around $42.
I have also drawn a trend line that you absolutely must watch!
The level to watch is around $98-98
Here, watch your Fibonacci levels as well as your exponential mobile means
Have a nice day everyone
Some information to know about Nvidia:
Nvidia, the world leader in graphics chips and AI, is enjoying a flourishing situation despite a recent drop in its stock price.
Here is a summary of its current situation:
-Dominant position in the AI market
Nvidia occupies a quasi-monopolistic position in the field of chips for artificial intelligence. Its GPUs, especially the H100 series, are essential for the development of cutting-edge AI systems and are selling at high prices around the world.
-Stock market performance
Despite a recent 9.53% drop in its share price, Nvidia has posted an impressive 120% increase since the beginning of the year and nearly 400% over 3 years. This one-off drop does not seem to worry analysts, who still see significant growth potential.
-Technological innovations
Nvidia recently presented its new Blackwell GPU architecture, with the B200 and GB200 processors. These chips promise performance multiplied by 5 compared to the previous generation in the field of AI. The company also reassured investors by announcing that it had resolved the production problems initially encountered.
-Future Outlook
With its dominance in AI training chips and its comprehensive software ecosystem, Nvidia appears well positioned for continued growth. The company continues to innovate and strengthen its position in the AI market, which suggests a positive outlook for the future.
Beginner Chart Patterns: Head & Shoulders, Double Tops and MoreWelcome to the world of chart patterns—the place where every price action tells a story. And if you read it right, you might just walk away with profits. In this Idea, we explore the immersive corner of technical analysis where chart patterns shape to potentially show you where the price is going. We’ll keep it tight and break down the most popular ones so you’d have more time to take your knowledge for a spin and look for some patterns (risk-free with a paper trading account ?). Let’s roll.
Chart patterns are the market’s version of geometry paired with hieroglyphics. They might look like random squiggles at first, but once you learn to decode them, they might reveal where the market is headed next. Here are the mainstay chart patterns everyone should start with: Head and Shoulders, Double Tops, and a few other gems.
1. Head and Shoulders: The King of Reversals
First up is the Head and Shoulders pattern—an iconic, evergreen, ever-fashionable formation that traders dream about. Why? Because it’s a reliable reversal pattern that often signals the end of a trend and the beginning of a new one.
Here’s the breakdown: Imagine a market that’s been climbing higher. It forms a peak (a shoulder), pulls back, then rallies even higher to form a bigger peak (the head), only to drop again. Finally, it gives one last weak attempt to rise (the second shoulder), but it can’t reach the same height as the head. The neckline, a horizontal line connecting the two lows between the peaks, is your trigger. Once the price breaks below it, it’s time to consider shorting or bailing on your long position.
And yes, there’s an inverted version of this pattern too. It looks like a man doing a handstand and signals a trend reversal from bearish to bullish. That’s Head and Shoulders—flipping trends since forever.
2. Double Tops and Double Bottoms: The Market’s Déjà Vu
Next up, we have the Double Top and Double Bottom patterns—the market’s way of saying, “Been there, done that.” These patterns occur when the price tries and fails—twice—to break through a key level.
Double Top : Picture this: The price surges to a high, only to hit a ceiling and fall back. Then, like a stubborn child, it tries again but fails to break through. That’s your Double Top—two peaks, one resistance level, and a potential trend reversal in the making. When the price drops below the support formed by the dip between the two peaks, it’s a signal that the bulls are out of steam.
Double Bottom : Flip it over, and you’ve got a Double Bottom—a W-shaped pattern that forms after the price tests a support level twice. If it can’t break lower and starts to rally, it’s a sign that the bears are losing control. A breakout above the peak between the two lows confirms the pattern, signaling a potential bullish reversal.
3. Triangles: The Calm Before the Storm
Triangles are the market’s way of coiling up before making a big move. They come in three flavors—ascending, descending, and symmetrical.
Ascending Triangle : Here’s how it works: The price forms higher lows but keeps bumping into the same resistance level. This shows that buyers are getting stronger, but sellers aren’t ready to give up. Eventually, pressure builds and the price breaks out to the upside. But since it’s trading, you can expect the price to break to the downside, too.
Descending Triangle : The opposite of the ascending triangle, this pattern shows lower highs leaning against a flat support level. Sellers are gaining the upper hand and when the price breaks below the support, it’s usually game over for the bulls. But not always—sometimes, bulls would have it their way.
Symmetrical Triangle : This is the market’s version of a coin toss. The price is squeezing into a tighter range with lower highs and higher lows. It’s anyone’s guess which way it’ll break, but when it does, expect a big move in that direction.
4. Flags and Pennants: The Market’s Pit Stop
If triangles are the calm before the storm, then flags and pennants are the pit stops during a race. These patterns are continuation signals, meaning that the trend is likely to keep going after a brief pause.
Flags : Flags are rectangular-shaped patterns that slope against the prevailing trend. If the market’s in an uptrend, the flag will slope downwards, and vice versa. Once the price breaks out of the flag in the direction of the original trend, it’s usually off to the races again.
Pennants : Pennants look like tiny symmetrical triangles. After a strong move, the price consolidates in a small, converging range before breaking out and continuing the trend. They’re short-lived but pack a punch.
Final Thoughts
To many technical analysts, chart patterns are the best thing the market can do. The secret code, or however you may want to call them, they can give you insight into the dealmaking between buyers and sellers and hint at what might happen next.
Whether it’s a Head and Shoulders flashing a trend reversal, a Double Top marking a key resistance level, or a Triangle gearing up for a breakout, these patterns are essential tools in your trading garden.
So next time you stare at a chart, keep in mind that you’re not just looking at random lines. You’re reading the market’s mind from a technical standpoint. And if you know what to look for, you’re one step closer to cracking the code.
GOLD: Bullish - FLAG detected + Breakout of the range.GOLD: Bullish - FLAG detected + Breakout of the range.
1- A "Head Shoulders" has been detected and we did a perfect Take profit ( TP1) at 2 395$.
2- When we break a range the Take profit should be the Height of the range.
Then the TP2 is expected around 2 518$.
3- Plus we can also consider that the range is like a flag and then the TP3 ( green arrow) is expevted around 3 030$
The red horizontals are retracements regarding ICHIMOKU levels .
However a retracement Fibonacci gives a target lower around 2 100$.
Be careful
GOLD → if the neckline breakshello guys.
Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern:
The price action is forming an "Inverse Head and Shoulders" pattern, with the left shoulder, head, and right shoulder clearly marked. This pattern typically indicates a reversal from a downtrend to an uptrend.
The neckline of the pattern is located around the resistance zone at approximately $2,534.
Breakout Potential:
The price is currently trading near the resistance zone (neckline). A breakout above this level would confirm the pattern and could lead to a strong bullish move.
If the breakout occurs, the target of the pattern is set around the $2,555 level, representing a substantial upside potential.
Support Levels:
The key support level is near $2,495, which aligns with the head of the pattern. A break below this level would invalidate the pattern and may lead to further downside.
Key Levels to Watch:
Neckline Resistance: Around $2,534.
Target of Pattern: Around $2,555 if the breakout is confirmed.
Potential Trading Strategy:
Consider entering a long position upon a confirmed breakout above the neckline ($2,534), with a target around $2,555.
Place a stop-loss below the right shoulder or the head of the pattern to manage risk effectively.
Overall, the chart suggests a bullish setup with a potential breakout above the neckline that could lead to a significant upward move. The Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern supports a bullish outlook as long as the price remains above key support levels.
__________________________
✓✓✓ Always do your research.
❒❒❒ If you have any questions, you can write them in the comments below, and I will answer them.
❤︎ ❤︎ ❤︎And please don't forget to support this idea with your likes and comment
BTC → a signal to get a long positionhello guys.
as you can see btc made a Head and shoulders pattern and the neckline broke up!
so we can expect the $65802 area touched!
___________________________
✓✓✓ Always do your research.
❒❒❒ If you have any questions, you can write them in the comments below, and I will answer them.
❤︎ ❤︎ ❤︎And please don't forget to support this idea with your likes and comment
Friday 23, N.Y Gold & USDX: Very very interesting...See charts!
Happy Friday guys, I was tired & late getting into the Asian session earlier. But as soon as I locked-horns with my 42" monitor I saw that Gold & Silver were in a mild upside rally. I soon took a long position & recommended one for you in Silver which was rallying stronger than gold.
The gold price struggled at resistance from 2490 to 2500, not strong resistance at 2490 but volume is always lighter in the Asian session. We quickly booked a profit, I am hoping you did as everything happened so fast in a Long trade which only lasted 40 minutes or so. What happened next? Plz read on below.
I saw that price kept getting rejected at the 20 EMA on the lower-time-frame. I decided to go Short & I recommended a very small lot-size Sell-stop below where price was I think from memory my Sell-stops were around 2489 or thereabouts. Next, I distracted myself on another project on the 'hotcopper' forum with a bullish lithium company I am very heavily invested in called Raiden Resources RDN is the ticker, if you want to check it out, I will never sell Stock trades but this thing is looking good, but you google the stories on Raiden Resources if you wish.
So, I had no Stops on my Short because I generally do not like Stops because I find 9 times out 10 the Market-Makers will hunt your stop down so that Mr & Mrs Market-Maker make their big fat wealthy private bank clients wealthier. Maybe that's a bit harsh, but I often wonder.
So the Gold price found support because I took my eye off the field & forgot to book profits and the Gold price started to properly find support and some strength above 2490.
Guys, that is enough on that. Look what concerns me in Friday trading are these bullish Head 'n' Shoulders patterns & on multiple timeframes. We are still about 0.31% from the trigger line & look they probably won't play out today, but what about next week? If the USDX does turnaround next Monday & it certainly could do that because it is very oversold on the Stochastics. However, the path of least resistance for the USDX is further down because it's below its moving averages & how many bloody times do we go Long & then close out of the trade & look at a higher-time-frame & exclaim to ourselves, 'I am an idiot the trend was down / the path of least resistance was down - Why did I go Long'. I used to do it all the time when I was a very green, greedy & gullible trader. Well I still get greedy!
I will monitor these H & S's on the ASDX.
I see where the boss speaks today, The Fed Chair, Mr Powell at 10am Eastern Time USA & Canada and we also have another chat from FOMC member Bostic. My feeling is that Mr Powell has maybe felt a bit anxious lately & he may give our market a bit of a boost today by reiterating the theme of interest rate reduction(s) next month which of course will bode well for Gold & Precious Metals in general.
Further on the Economic Calendar today, we have Building Permits at 08:30am & then New Home Sales at 10am, the latter having a bit more weight and bearing on our trading. Unless you are looking to Short the Gold price today, with our 2 speakers hopefully talking up an interest rate reduction & if the other 2 mentions on the economic calendar come in a bit bearish then this will be poor or the USD but more than likely supportive of the Gold price and getting back above 2500, which I think is where the 50EMA sits on the 1 HR Chart.
So recapping, my feeling is that today will be bullish for Gold depending on New Home Sales mostly but Mr Powell's endorsements rate reductions for the US economy commencing next month will shrug off any bearishness in the Gold price.
In addition to the Head 'n' Shoulders patterns for the USDX (see the 1st set of charts), I have scouring Precious Metals searching for other H & S's patterns so I will be posting these charts so that you have a road-map for the possibility of taking these H & S trades which are predominately bullish ones, I will post these below very soon & I have tradingview alerts set for when price gets near the neckline.
Cheers,
Chris
Bulls HnS's Prec.Metals below. Plz-read-Friday Gold Commentary!
There are some bullish Head 'n' Shoulders patterns today in Precious Metals.
1st up see charts for Palladium XPDUSD. This is a bullish H & S's on multiple timeframes. 5m played out earlier in Asian session but we still have setups on the 1HR, 2HR and 4HR charts.
If Mr Powell gives the market the boost and shot-in-the-arm that I think he will today because I am guessing he has been a bit on edge lately like a trader who just lost 30k in a day. I am hopeful we will get a good run today Long in precious metals. Mr Powell speaks at 10am Eastern USA & Canada.
Be aware that some of these setups have already retested and others have not, but I will do my best to guide you through it with an alert if Entry becomes noticeable to me in the charts later. This is of course if you are a newer trader. I know most of you are experienced.
Huge LONG-Gains Potential here...XAU JPY
Heads 'n' Shoulder long XAU JPY on 2HR and 4HR.
Note: This trade has not re-tested yet. I will keep monitoring.
BTC → if breaks up get a long positionhello guys.
let's dive in BTC!
1. Pattern Recognition:
Left Shoulder: The first peak formed before the head.
Head: The highest point in the pattern, showing a peak above the shoulders.
Right Shoulder: The final peak, which is lower than the head but roughly in line with the left shoulder.
2. Key Levels:
Neckline: The blue line around $57,571.68 marks the support level that connects the lows from the left and right shoulders.
Breakout Zone: The chart highlights a yellow resistance zone just above the current price. If Bitcoin breaks above this zone, it could lead to a bullish breakout.
3. Bullish Scenario:
Upside Potential: If the price breaks above the yellow resistance zone, the next target could be around $62,343.58. This would confirm the pattern and signal a potential continuation of the upward trend.
4. Bearish Scenario:
Failure to Break: If the price fails to break above the resistance zone, it could result in a pullback to the neckline of around $57,571.68 or lower.
Summary
Pattern: Head and Shoulders identified on the 15-minute chart.
Neckline Support: Around $57,571.68.
Resistance Zone: Key area to watch for a breakout just above the current price.
Bullish Scenario: A break above resistance could lead to a move towards $62,343.58.
Bearish Scenario: Failure to break resistance might lead to a drop back to the neckline or lower.
___________________________
✓✓✓ Always do your research.
❒❒❒ If you have any questions, you can write them in the comments below, and I will answer them.
❤︎ ❤︎ ❤︎And please don't forget to support this idea with your likes and comment
For junior traders on how to trade a head & shoulders pattern:The diagram should be fairly self explanatory. Alerts come in very handy on tradingview when trading heads n shoulders. For example set an alert near the neck-line when price action gets close. That is what I do, any questions please ask. Cheers, Chris
EURNZD_2024-08-13_02-29-02_97e7e.png
Gold Bullish 6 Year OutlookPast chart history shows gold price went into a bear market from 1980 to early 2000's and again in 2011 to 2020. Currently, we are trading in the bull cycle which lasts on average 9 to 10 years. Analysts, projected a price of gold to hit 2500 by the end of this and we seem to be right on track. Price is trading inside of a bull flag where buyers and sellers are repositioning themselves. What will drive the price of gold higher by the end of this year? What about the year after that and so on?
Looking back further on the weekly chart a cup and handle technical pattern is breaking out. Projected price of this breakout caps out at around 3010. Will be interesting to see if and how the price action of this commodity will reach 3k by 2030.
BTC → it will touch the $85Khello guys...
the chart shows a forming head and shoulders pattern! a double one!
I think it will touch the gray area to form the next double right shoulders, afterwards, it will reach the neckline level (I've shown it as a dashed-line)!
if the dashed line breaks up the price will touch the $85k level!
let's see!
___________________________
✓✓✓ Always do your research.
❒❒❒ If you have any questions, you can write them in the comments below, and I will answer them.
❤︎ ❤︎ ❤︎And please don't forget to support this idea with your likes and comment
DOGEHi guys
Considering the consumption of the specified range, the probability of reaction to the specified price range is very high.
On the higher time frame, the probability that a higher ceiling will be formed compared to the previous ceiling is very weak.
As a result, our bullish view is short-term for now.
What do you think?
EURAUDHead and shoulders forming on the EURAUD
Looks very similar to the EURUSD in 2021.
On daily it is at resistance.
NEARING A HEAD AND SHOULDER PATTERNIn this idea, I'll tackle the bullish pattern, inverse head and shoulders forming for $BINANCE:NEARUSDT. Currently, it is sitting on the neckline, and I've been monitoring this coin two days ago. I'm now lending this idea as it could have a potential for a breakout anytime soon. More details for the technical analysis for NEAR in my idea threads below. Stay tuned :)
AMD H&S NASDAQ:AMD AMD clear Head and shoulders pattern
price filled gap and broke downside could see 150 - 145
Put Protection for positions or exit.
XRP Head & Shoulders + Wave Count Chart.XRP is currently in an ABC correction pattern that is forming a perfect Head & Shoulders pattern. If price action continues to drop, I expect it to hit the lower range of the descending wedge indicated by the purple box, which could act as a launching pad for the next wave up.
Good luck, and always use a stop-loss!
EURUSD Inverse Head and Shoulders LongWe expect further upside on this pair, signalled by the formation of an inverse head and shoulders pattern breakout. We can also see the breakout of a key level supports our directional basis
BNBUSD Retesting Head and Shoulders for a Bullish Move 🔥BNB to Retest Head and Shoulders, Setting the Stage for Bullish Momentum
