Harmonic Patterns
Is $AMD a massive buy opportunity for 2025?Is NASDAQ:AMD a massive buy opportunity for 2025?
AMD is doing great financially/fundamentally with chips that is 2nd to NVDA. In addition, their data center revenues are growing exponentially.
It is a probably a great buying opportunity here at $121 going into 2025.
If you mess this up you can lose very badly.You will lose money if you complicate things here!
BTC CRYPTOCAP:BTC is currently holding above its 1W S level.
It will likely range here until Trump's inauguration.
It will range in 3 ways, bullish, bearish, or sideways.
Just stay calm and accumulate altcoins in spot.
Avoid leverage and don't FOMO into every rally.
For more -> x.com/intent/user?screen_name=...
etc long midterm"🌟 Welcome to Golden Candle! 🌟
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GASOLINE sits 4 straight months on the Support. Expect reboundGasoline (RB1!) has been trading on the 4-year Support Zone for 4 straight months, forming a confirmed technical bottom. The September 09 Low was also on the Lower Lows of the long-term Falling Wedge, which makes the probabilities of a rebound even stronger.
At the same time, the 1W RSI bounced from oversold territory (below 30.00) and has stabilized back above its MA trend-line, confirming a bullish reversal. In addition, the 1W MACD just formed a Bullish Cross, with the previous 2 such formations since January 2023 aligning with the Wedge's Bullish Legs.
The previous Lower Lows bottom reached marginally above the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level. As a result we remain committed to our long-term Target of 2.600 (below also the Lower Highs trend-line), which we expect to get hit within the next 4 months.
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Altseason is cancelled for now.USDT.D shot up like a rocket during this crash, while Total3 is in freefall.
BTC only took a -4% hit, but the altcoin market? A brutal -8%.
It’s clear: CRYPTOCAP:BTC and those ETF approvers are running the show, draining liquidity from retail investors to keep pumping BTC at the expense of altcoins.
I warned you—invite these guys to your party, and they’ll clean out the buffet.
If you’re holding altcoins, all you can do is hang in there and hope BTC throws some karma their way.
Crypto Market analysis - Total 2TOTAL2 has been a very reliable chart to base the bull runs on. We're looking at it now to see where we could potentially reverse. For this chart to be bearish, we would have to take out the low at 850 billion. As long as we put a higher low above that, the chart will remain bullish in the longer term.
Between August and November, we went through an accumulation phase, where we put consecutive higher lows after completing a bullish harmonic. We can also see that from the low to the first higher low, before breaking out of the exponential down curve, we retraced a perfect 0.786, which is very typical of a wave 2 retracement. If you then take the Fibonacci extension levels from the high to the low, we hit a perfect 4.618 extension, which is uncommon but very possible for a wave 3 extension. This would currently put us in a wave 4 correction.
We have retraced and have today cut through the 0.382 retracement level and are sitting at the 1.26 support. However, this isn't a reliable support, as it only acted as resistance in the past and has never been held as support. We could, therefore, expect to go lower, and the next level would be the 0.5 retracement level at 1.21 trillion.
For a wave 4, it is common to retrace between the 0.5 and 0.618, and the 0.618 is around 1.11 trillion, which is where the next zone of support sits. I would, therefore, find it possible, if not probable, to retrace all the way down to the 0.618 at 1.11 trillion dollars and accumulate within that zone of support before the next substantial rally.
The next substantial rally will hopefully bring us to all-time highs, but it does not necessarily have to do that. We could retrace and put in another lower high, which would, at that point, confirm distribution and likely indicate a mid-to-long-term pause in the bull market, if not a reversal into a bear market. Until this happens, or we take out the low at 850, we remain bullish.
The last points to consider are that we didn't distribute at the highs and didn't have a major liquidation event, this suggests that these assets will revisit the highs or have deep retraces into them. We are also developing bullish divergence which will mature as long as we stay above 850 b. For that reason, we are not selling anything at these prices.
Conclusion
Analyze prices carefully around these levels:
The current support at 1.26.
The next support at 1.11 trillion.
Look for TOTAL2 to showcase bullish accumulation or reversal.
Once TOTAL2 signals its direction, focus on individual assets that align with the macro trend.
Updates on specific positions will follow.
Filecoin (FIL): Possible Fall To One of Support Zones!Filecoin has made a good bounce back to daily EMAs, where logically we should see some kind of support from buyers but it seems the pressure from sellers is way to big currently.
We are expecting to see further fall to one of two supports where in-between those zones would be good to DCA the Filecoin for a long position.
So now we wait for price to fall more here!
Swallow Team
Planning SPX Longs into A Break Lower SPX made the top off the 2.61 and today on the news of rate cuts it slammed to the implied target level for that.
Hit targets on a lot of my shorts today. Have some extremely deep OTMs still running but these are a nominal part of my risk and just there to benefit from a super rejection of the macro 4.23 fib.
In terms of nearer term swing assessment, we're now getting close to the level I think we'd be likely to find support if this is a bull move that is just having a flash crash correction.
Planning to start picking up longs if we spike down closer to 5800. Will likely buy deep OTM calls at this price if we hit it.
Broadly speaking risk off on my positions at the moment. Banked most of my profits. Don't plan to do much trading the rest of the year.
Do plan to do a lot of trade plan prepping for decision at the macro inflection point.
Whatever way it goes, my hypothesis is we're going to see faster and faster markets going forward. Great times to be a trader. I want to make sure I'm prepped to benefit from any of the "Known" outcomes that fit inside my strats.
Bearish drop off pullbacksupport?WTI oil (XTI/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could srop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 69.65
1st Support: 68.56
1st Resistance: 70.71
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
near/usdtin my opinion, near and all crypto market will fall and I think the entire crypto market will fall, because btc.d is rising up.
And also the policy of the US government is to cover the budget deficit and the depreciation of the dollar from the pockets of the people as usual.
That is why they increased the price of Bitcoin so that more money enters the market
When more money enters the market, they reduce the price and collect their profits.
In general, the Bitcoin market will be bearish for now and until the dominance of Bitcoin falls, altcoins will be in a disastrous situation
Because when Bitcoin was $64,000 three years ago, altcoins were at their historical ceiling, but now, even though Bitcoin has exceeded $100,000, they are spending at the bottom of 2020
Falling towards overlap support?EUR/JPY is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 162.11
1st Support: 160.37
1st Resistance: 164.43
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop?EUR/CAD is rising towards the pivot which lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop to the 1st support which acts as an overlap support.
Pivot: 1.49673
1st Support: 1.48477
1st Resistance: 1.50585
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
XAUUSD- $2750 / $2800 NEXTXAUUSD- $2750 / $2800 NEXT
As illustrated, market has grabbed liquidity above a mid-term high just above $2720.
The market is selling all of that liquidity toward the lower side of the internal range, where there is a lot of sell-side liquidity below $2612 (near $2600) and below $2580 (near $2570 in extension).
Should those areas hold as support, the yellow metal should see a strong rebound off of key psychological prices (such as $2600 or $2575/70) to make a year-end bull expansion move reaching near it's historical max of $2790.
That being said and technically speaking, keep an eye on key psychological price levels and wait for an evident "V" Shape manipulation pattern on the 1H and 4H timeframes in order to take a long entry and try to catch what could be an interesting and promising bullish push.
GOOD LUCK!