GBPUSD 2/9/23Final pair for this Sunday evening is GU
now as per our other USD related pairs we can see the news range clear as day, this again is a very telling sign as to what we want price to do within this range but as always we are not going to jump in head first, and we are using the new POI as we always do with caution!
Iam overall thinking we are most likely going to see a bearish shift, il only be entering with less risk and a confirmed entry point.
Remember to always read order flow and follow what price is showing you instead of trading based on your desired direction. And, as always, stick to your risk and your plan.
We'll be closely monitoring market openings and price action throughout the week. If you find this analysis useful, let us know in the comments below and hit the boost button to show your support. Here's to a successful week of trading!
Gu
$GBPUSD: Looking for longHTF bias is bullish
Price below equilibrium
Waiting for liquidity run
Price impulsively moved up and took 1H buy side liquidity and 1H bearish order block. Then moved back down and bounced of the 1H bullish order block and 70.5% Fib level. Currently ranging and could take previous day low then move up.
But I will not take any trade because of NFP
$GBPUSD: Daily showing strength to the upsidePrice took 1H sell side liquidity (SSL 1H) then moved up and took 1H buy side liquidity (BSL 1H). Could still continue moving up but I will only take longs at price below Equilibrium.
Waiting for price to move below Equilibrium then look for buy signals. It will be high probability if it takes the 70.5% Fib level and 1H bullish order block (BullOB 1H)
GBPUSD: Confirms bullishnessMonthly, Weekly & Daily bias is bullish.
Price moved down aggressively yesterday because of the PMI news, taking multiple levels then reversed back up aggressively. (on daily time frame this shows a long wick). Price could continue moving up to take previous daily high or even the 1.28000 level.
Will wait for price to progress until London open and see if it will provide a setup for long.
GBPUSD: BullishPrice has taken the 78.6% Fib level, sell side liquidity (SSL 1H line) and the previous day low, it could continue down to take the whole number 1.27000 then move up or it could move up from here and target the bearish order block above (BearOB 1H line).
Waiting for a market structure shift and fair value gap on lower time frames to confirm that it wants to reverse back up.
GBPUSD: BullishOn 1hour chart, price is pretty rangebound but since monthly, weekly and daily bias is bullish it could still continue moving up. It is possible that it will take 1hour bullish order block (BullOB 1H line), and 70.5% Fib level, or even the sell side liquidity (SSL 1H line) before continuing moving up.
And it could target previous day high or even the buy side liquidity above (BSL 1H line)
GU One More Impulse Up before the carnage beginsGU and the rest of the xxx/usd assets have been forming obvious corrections this month
Why is it a correction and not a major top.
Well, corrections...
1. begin with very little consolidation (vs peaks that contain big periods of consolidation before reversing).
As you can see GU only consolidated for 2 days before coming down.
2. they usually contain 1-3 corrective bounces. We got 1 arguably 2 from this correction
I marked the corrective bounces up on the chart.
3. They end with a bottom pattern (usually a double bottom or inverse head a and shoulders)
We re looking at a pretty clean inverse head and shoulders...with us being in the process finishing up the second shoulder now.
This pattern will lead us to new highs above 1.32 in the coming weeks..before assets peak and with a market downturn that will be accompanied by a recession and possibly a credit event
I will publish an Idea for the big short when the time comes.
Follow me to make sure you don't miss that and other big opportunities coming.
Thanks!
GBPUSD 20/8/23GU being our second pair this week iam looking for this to show us a bearish open and then head higher into our first session of the week, we will be looking for our ASIA and LDN interaction to see if we can pick up and early entry on this overall bullish move that GU has given us following Fridays very slow session.
So we have a good amount of confirms for this trade including a high volume POI and bank zone within our POI, this lines up with our EURUSD markup so we are going to expect this move to be uniform across the 2 pairs.
**KEY NOTE**
Jackson hole meetings this week that always shake up the markets so please keep an eye on that event!
Remember to always read order flow and follow what price is showing you instead of trading based on your desired direction. And, as always, stick to your risk and your plan.
We'll be closely monitoring market openings and price action throughout the week. If you find this analysis useful, let us know in the comments below and hit the boost button to show your support. Here's to a successful week of trading!
GU - Weekly Timeframe Analysis (ICT)There is nothing too significant based on last week's candle. My only observation is that it created equal lows and ended with a green candle.
Based on my analysis on the DXY, I could see that weekly candle being a catalyst to induce the bulls into the market.
The only concerning thing is the Commitment of Trader report with large specs still being heavily long. My experience is limited observing the report week by week, but one thing I've learned is that regardless of the report, bias can change on a dime.
GBPUSD: Could continue moving higherPrice continues to show higher highs and could continue moving higher. Yesterday price broke the buy side liquidity (BSL 1H line) then pulled back down. It could continue moving down to take the sell side liquidity (SSL 1H line) and even the 79% Fib level (OTE level). Waiting for these levels to be broken and see if it will provide setup to get long.
But since price already took the 1H bullish order block (BullOB 1H line with yellow arrow), it is also possible that price will reverse back up from here.
GBPUSD: BullishAfter making a double bottom (yellow circle) price moved up and continued to make higher highs. It could continue to move high to take the 1H buy side liquidity (BSL 1H) or even the 4H buy side liquidity (BLS 4H).
On the 15m time frame, it is currently forming a double bottom (yellow line), which is also around 70.5% Fib level (an OTE level). Waiting for price to break the double bottom and see if market will provide an entry to go long
GBPUSD: Could continue moving down to take 1.26000 levelYesterday price moved down to take sell side liquidity (SSL 1H TAKEN line) then moved back up. It is possible for price to continue moving up to take buy side liquidity (BSL 1H line) which is also the area of hourly 79% Fib level, the deepest OTE level and the previuos day high. A lot of reasons for that area to be taken before moving down to take the 1.26000 level
GU - Weekly Timeframe Analysis (ICT)On the weekly timeframe I have a POI for a potential reversal to the upside (or at least a retracement), which is at a 2 week FVG, possibly digging into the weekly wick Consequent Encroachment slightly below.
Price recently reacted off the high of a NWOG this week. I am keen to see how it plays out from here.
-R2F
GU Analysis - Monthly Timeframe (ICT)Last monthly price fell short of a monthly FVG and this month retraced lower that last month's low.
Price is currently finding some support at a confluence of PD Arrays (Monthly Order Block, Monthly Breaker Block, and Consequent Encroachment of a inverted monthly wick).
I have no bias at the moment on this timeframe as price could go either way, and we may see choppy moves on the lower timeframes.
-R2F
GBPUSD 13/8/23GU giving us a textbook markup here, we have a very clean internal price action move with a bullish short term swig higher, this is perfect to lead us into our overall swing range which we are expecting to sell lower, this will lead us nicely into what we expect for the USD pairs which is a sell off into a huge upside move.
We are looking for sells from our high of the range here as long as we don't clash with news or have any other external factors.
Remember to always read order flow and follow what price is showing you instead of trading based on your desired direction. And, as always, stick to your risk and your plan.
We'll be closely monitoring market openings and price action throughout the week. If you find this analysis useful, let us know in the comments below and hit the boost button to show your support. Here's to a successful week of trading!
GBPUSD: Directional bias is neutralPrice is still pretty rangebound. It left a long wick at the top then aggressively moved to the downside leaving fair value gaps and taking sell side liquidity (SSL 1H TAKEN line) before moving back up to fill up the fair value gaps.
Price could continue moving up to take the bearish order block, which happens to be also the 62% Fib level and this Fib level is the start of the optimal trade entry (OTE) range. Or, since price is already near the levels at the bottom,, it could move down to take those first, then move up.
Waiting for how price will approach the above or below levels and how will it react at those levels.
GBPUSD could move back up to bearish order blockGU has been ranging this week, breaking highs and lows. It could continue to range until it gives us a sign that it wants to break out of the range.
Yesterday it moved aggressively to the upside taking multiple upper side levels then followed by an aggressive move to the downside, taking some bullish order blocks and sell side liquidity. It also left fair value gaps on its way down and likely to come back up to fill those up. In the encircled part, if we go down to 15m TF, there is also a relatively equal lows that were taken out and was followed by an aggressive move up, which adds as a confluence that price is likely to move back up