CPI forecast with mixed opinionsRecently, central banks have been instrumental in supporting the value of gold. Their interest in purchasing precious metals has reached new heights, playing a major role in stabilizing gold prices.
Despite this, the US Federal Reserve continues to hold a significant position in the gold market, and many anticipate an increase in gold prices once the current monetary tightening cycle comes to a close.
Gold is currently selling at $196.20, which is the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of its most recent daily drop.
This indicates a potential downside risk and suggests that the lows of $1932.00 may be tested monthly in May.
The daily chart reveals that gold is positioned below the bearish 34 and 89 EMAs, with its slope extending below the aforementioned Fibonacci level.
Goldtradingsetup
Today GOLD - Volatility In Big FrameGold prices saw a decline on Monday after hitting a five-day high of $1,973 on Friday.
However, prices remained within last week's range, as investors turned cautious ahead of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) and policy announcements of the United States Federal Reserve.
The bearish 89-day Moving Average (EMA) has been causing rejection, with the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) below the midline, indicating a bearish bias in the near term.
However, a daily close above the 89 EMA could eliminate the possibility of a drop and trigger a new uptrend towards Friday's high of $1,973, with a challenge to the June 2 high of $1,983. Additionally, Gold buyers will aim to reclaim the resistance at $1990.
Gold advice for next week
Gold fluctuated back and forth this week, and next week will be long and then short
This week, gold has been ups and downs for a few days, and then the backhand empty rhythm is completely correct. Gold did not fall rapidly again on Friday. Gold began to have support at the 1956 line, and the shock ended. I believe that for many friends, this period of time is either on the road of chasing ups and downs, or going back and forth on a roller coaster, which is really uncomfortable. If we don’t fall in love with the past, then we should focus on the next market. How should we operate next week?
The triple top structure of the golden weekly line is still there, so it is still necessary to short rallies in the big cycle, but now gold is more than 100 US dollars away from the top, so it is normal to have a wave of rebound.
Trading strategy for next week:
gold: sell@1967 tp1:1957 tp2:1952
Next, there will be a lot of trading opportunities for gold, and I will provide you with more signals, don't miss the opportunity to make money!
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Follow me: Attention! Gold continues to be bullish today! ! !The closing price of gold yesterday was 1965, and the daily chart formed a saturated Yang line, indicating that the market is still relatively strong. Then in the afternoon, the lowest level on the disk was back to 1961, and it is often difficult for a strong market to fall below this point. If there is an unexpected retracement, then focus on around 1950, which is the 61.8% position of the golden section from 1937-1970.
So the direction of operation : today it is recommended to continue buying above 1960, with a stop loss of 1950~1955. If there is a loss, then step back to 1950 and continue to buy, and the target position continues to look at 1975-1980
1945 or 1985? Where is the destination today?On Friday, the gold and metals markets remained stable and were expected to experience a second week of growth.
This was due to the dollar weakening and predictions that the Federal Reserve would halt its rate hike cycle.
The yellow metal had its highest intraday gain in two weeks on Thursday, reaching the highest end of a trading range seen since mid-May due to an increase in weekly US jobless claims, which further supports the idea of a Fed pause.
In the short term, it is highly likely that the price of gold will reach $1985 as soon as it breaks out of the $1970 price zone. It is recommended to establish a breakout order at this price zone. Furthermore, based on the multi-frame chart, a bullish momentum is still warranted.
Gold trading recommendations today
The current key pressure position is the 1957 position, which is the market pressure position and the moving average suppression position! Today's rebound relies on this pressure to continue shorting. The support below pays attention to whether the 1930 line breaks. If it breaks, the market will start a new round of decline!
Trading straregy:
gold: sell@1955 tp1:1940 tp2:1930
Next, there will be a lot of trading opportunities for gold, and I will provide you with more signals, don't miss the opportunity to make money!
Follow me: short gold at 50-54, long at gold 30-33The golden hourly line fell in a row, which was stronger than expected, and the 1950 mark was not held
It is recommended to go long when it hits the low of 1930. In the short term, look at 1950 and then go short. This drop is still used as a fund wash
First of all, the sideways volatility formed since the anti-drawing this week did not continue the breakthrough of the bulls, but continued to retreat after piercing the high point yesterday. This also probably shows that the era of short selling has come again. Breaking is also a way to wash the market, and the key support below will continue to be maintained at the 30-line. This position is also the low point in the previous period. Although the bears have touched it many times, they still have not achieved the effect of breaking the position.
Then this drop is very likely to form a breakthrough effect again, and we still need to wait for a small back-drawing of gold within the day to make a layout, while the upper pressure is maintained at the 55 line, but there is a high probability that it will not continue to be in place
Then we wait patiently for the anti-drawing to see shorting around 50-54 , and the target is long around 35-33 . The short-term strategy is recommended to follow the latest signal
A Profitable Gold Trading Signal
There is no completely consistent market, but there are always similar fluctuations. This is the gold 1H chart. In the picture, I marked 4 M patterns. No. 3 is similar to No. 1, and No. 4 will be similar to No. 2.
In order to form the No. 4 pattern, tomorrow's data needs to be beneficial to the bulls. Only in this way can gold have a chance to return to around 2000 again.
If tomorrow's data is negative for gold, 1928-1886 is the target!
Several important intervals at present: 1991-2003, 1981-1985, 1963-1971, 1937-1928, 1900-1996
From the shape, today's transaction is more conducive to long, resistance 1985-1991.
GOLD: Continuation of downtrend!When the dust settles, the Fed is set to continue raising rates
If the Federal Reserve meeting were held today, the current uncertainty surrounding banks would prompt them to keep rates unchanged. However, in the ever-changing world of markets, a lot can happen in just one week. If the upcoming weekend remains calm and without any need to rescue banks, there is a strong possibility of a 25 basis points rate hike. The Federal Reserve typically continues to increase rates until they reach a breaking point. Even if the only bank to suffer is SVB, high inflation levels may still require further rate hikes. This scenario would result in a stronger US Dollar, but eventually lead to a decline in the stock market once the initial relief rally following no new bank failures fades away.
Gold - Selling pressure is weighing on sentimentOn Monday, there was a slight dip in the price of gold due to uncertainty surrounding the Federal Reserve's decision on its benchmark later this month.
This drop followed the release of stronger-than-expected Nonfarm data for May, which suggests a more hawkish outlook for the Fed and could lead to higher interest rates for longer.
As a result, non-yielding assets like gold may perform well in this scenario.
dditionally, the recent passing of a bill to raise the debt ceiling has increased investor risk appetite, leading some to move away from safe-haven assets like gold.
Looking ahead, it appears that gold may revisit the price range of $1965-$1970, with $1940-$1935 serving as a strong support area.
However, if this support zone is breached, a Sell fomo order may be activated, potentially leading to a price drop to $1900 in a short period of time.
XAUUSD - It is better to choose the direction of BUYGold prices steadied in a tight range on Tuesday as optimism that the US central bank won't raise interest rates this month kept the dollar under pressure.
The dollar index fell 0.1%, making gold a more favorable option for foreign investors. Yields on 10-year Treasuries also fell after weaker US services data on Monday.
Lower interest rates tend to lift the price of gold because it lowers the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets.
Gold is approaching the H4-frame EMA at 1968 and there will be a price reaction here.
In the short term, I expect Gold to return around the 1950 price range to establish a buy order.
Gold trading recommendations today
On Black Friday, empty orders continued to make profits. The most violent thing was that the price of gold fell directly below the neckline. At this time, the bottom structure directly failed. Relying on the pressure of the neckline at the 1954 line, continue to short the gold. This time the gold price will test the support at the 1938 line below again.
If the price of gold cannot reach the suppression of the mid-line of the daily line, then this wave of gold price will be the reverse draw of the neckline. This is a proper M head structure. The short position is now using the relay structure. With this structure, the gold price will continue this week plunged.
Trading straregy:
gold: sell@1954 tp1:1938 tp2:1930
Next, there will be a lot of trading opportunities for gold, and I will provide you with more signals, don't miss the opportunity to make money!
Gold trading recommendations today
The current price of gold is directly short in 1980, and it is short today.
Anything is possible this Friday. The market is to break everyone's cognition and benefit a small number of people.
The neckline was tested yesterday, the support was effective, and it rebounded strongly. Now the price of gold has once again come to a new pressure level, which is the suppression of the price of gold by the middle rail of the daily line.
From the perspective of the daily cycle, there is an M-head structure here. When gold falls below the neckline, it pulls back to the neckline again, and then starts a new plunge mode, falling below the previous low, and the market is like this.
Use the structure to make orders, and focus on analyzing the market on whether the mid-range of the daily line can be broken through? Instead of analyzing what structure in advance. I judge that it is the top structure now, and then use technology to judge that the middle track of the daily line can suppress the price of gold, then use the inverted pyramid method to increase positions to make a big profit.
Trading straregy:
gold: sell@1980 tp1:1970 tp2:1965
Next, there will be a lot of trading opportunities for gold, and I will provide you with more signals, don't miss the opportunity to make money!
GOLD before NF: Beware of tricksGold prices increased by more than 0.7% on Thursday, resulting in an overall gain of about 1.6% for the week.
This marks the best week for gold since early April. The rise in XAU/USD comes as the US Dollar and Treasury yields weaken, highlighting gold's anti-fiat characteristics.
On the daily chart, the next major technical obstacle for gold prices is approaching. On the 4-hour chart, the pair has rebounded off the rising EMA34 and is attempting to stay above the EMA89.
Technical indicators are still in positive territory, with the RSI remaining bullish at around 64. More upside potential is expected in the near future, especially if the current positive trend continues.
XAUUSD - 1975 needs to be re-examined The US Dollar Index (DXY) experienced a drop from its 10-week high and fell to an intraday low of 104.00.
Despite this, the US 10-year Treasury yields remain low, around 3.68% at present, while the two-year counterpart also remains low near 4.45% after a 12-day uptrend.
It's worth noting that recent data in the US hasn't supported the Federal Reserve's hawkish bets, leading to a rally in XAU/USD.
However, Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin believes that rate hikes are limiting demand.
As such, the 1975 area needs to be re-examined, and my first target is to place a buy order around 1950.
XAUUSD:Shorting opportunities arise
Gold rose quickly today after testing the 1930 support, testing the 1960 resistance again, and then consider starting to go short
Personal Trading Signals:
xauusd:sell@1955-1960 tp:1945-1940
Next, I will publish more accurate trading signals and continue to lead friends to achieve greater profits!
Gold looking BEARISHGold has had a fantastic bull run since December 2015, however this trend may be due for a reversal ahead.
The Green wave 5 seems to have completed, so an entry on a short position can be taken at the current price of 1960.39
Further size can be added to the short if the price reaches 2068.32 as this could be the final push upwards before the reversal.
The weekly RSI is "bearishly diverging" meaning we are seeing higher highs in price with lower highs in the RSI, although in this case the highs in price are at the same level.
A conservative target that will commonly be reached is the 0.382 retracement of all 5 green waves at the 1641 level.
Given that this is on the weekly chart, this could take between 6-12 months to play out.
Entry 1 = 1960.39
Entry 2 = 2068.32
Take profit = 1641.51
Stop loss = 2185.85
Gold trading recommendations today
Gold rebounded but 1950, continue to be short
The current decline of gold is still the same, the rebound is not under pressure, and it will continue to make new lows after the shock! Relying on the key pressure position is short
The current gold is undoubtedly still in a downward trend. On the 4-hour level, gold fluctuates all the way down! And it keeps breaking new lows, and the high point connection forms the suppression of the current downward trend line! It is also the key resistance of this rebound!
Before breaking through the suppression of the downward trend line, gold will continue to fluctuate downward, and will continue to break new lows! The longer the shock, the stronger the explosive power!
Trading straregy:
gold: sell@1950 tp1:1935 tp2:1925
Next, there will be a lot of trading opportunities for gold, and I will provide you with more signals, don't miss the opportunity to make money!
Gold trading recommendations today
The current decline of gold remains unchanged, and the rebound is still a short-selling opportunity! The pressure in 1957 above is obvious!
The current gold is in a downward trend. Shorting is the only strategy at present. The thinking is clear. The remaining execution points rely on key pressures, and we should deal with them immediately!
From the perspective of the 4-hour level, gold fluctuates and fluctuates, and after each shock, it will break a new low! Mainly operate at high altitudes, relying on the suppression of the downward trend line, and the upper horizontal pressure of 1957 to dry up, continue to look at new lows!
Trading straregy:
Trading strategy for next week:
gold: sell@1957 tp1:1950 tp2:1940
Next, there will be a lot of trading opportunities for gold, and I will provide you with more signals, don't miss the opportunity to make money!
GOLD: The influence of USDUS Dollar eases from recent peaks near 104.40
If the Federal Reserve meeting were to take place today, it is likely that the interest rates would remain unchanged due to the current uncertainty surrounding banks. However, the markets can change significantly within a week. If the upcoming weekend remains peaceful with no urgent need to rescue any banks, there is a high likelihood of a 25 basis points increase in the rates. The Federal Reserve continues to hike rates until it hits a roadblock. In case that obstacle is only Silicon Valley Bank (SVB), the persistently high inflation rates may lead to further hikes. This, in turn, would strengthen the US Dollar and eventually result in a decline in stocks once the initial relief rally wears off due to a lack of new bank failures.
Gold down slightly for the first Monday of the week!The US Dollar is experiencing a minor setback from its two-month high against other major currencies due to the slow performance of US Treasury bond yields.
Although the US Dollar is weakening, Gold price is still under pressure because of the potential risk of a US recession, even though the debt deal still needs to be approved by Congress.
The recent decline in Gold price is also due to the expectation of a 25 basis points rate hike by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) in June. Market predictions indicate a 62% chance of a rate hike next month, up from 12% last week.
Strong US economic data and the debt-ceiling extension could give the Fed room to continue its tightening cycle in June.
The first Monday of the week, I still follow the downtrend of Gold . This decline will start around the price range 1953 -1958
And fall back to 193x or even 1925 in the future