XAUUSD - Gold 3Month (quarterly)Overview:
Gold and silver have performed remarkablely in 2024, emerging as the two best-performing assets of the year. Precious metals often serve as safe-haven assets during times of economic uncertainty, and this year has proven no exception. Investors have flocked to them as hedges against inflation and market volatility, helping to drive their values upward.
By the end of October, silver had surged by 42.4 percent, a dramatic increase that reflects growing demand and limited supply. Gold, similarly, has gained 33.7 percent, solidifying its role as a reliable store of value. These gains in the precious metals market outpaced other commodities and most traditional financial assets.
For comparison, the NASDAQ—the best-performing stock index—has gained 24 percent over the same period. This robust performance in the NASDAQ reflects strength in technology stocks, yet it still falls short of the exceptional growth observed in gold and silver. Such trends highlight the unique appeal of precious metals, especially during periods of market turbulence and geopolitical tension.
Watch the RSI as another blue candle will indicate a Q4 bullish momentum that may continue into the New Year. As for a Red Q4 Candle... This may push the RSI below the 80, creating a bearish Divergence in the LONG term. This Pullback may even look like a trend reversal. Keep in mind a healthy market needs to retrace.
Key Levels:
2450
2315
2235
(Support)
Goldtrading
99% rate cut odds in election week? With both the election and an upcoming Fed meeting in focus, markets could face a surge in volatility this week.
According to the CME Group’s FedWatch Tool, traders are placing a 99% probability on a quarter-point rate cut at the conclusion of the Fed’s policy meeting on Thursday, following a half-point cut in September.
After the rate decision, Fed Chair Jerome Powell is expected to speak. But, even if Thursday brings a clear election outcome, Fed officials are likely to sidestep any questions about potential policies from the next administration until the winner assumes office. Only then will they assess how campaign pledges translate into actual policy, watching closely to see how businesses, consumers, and financial markets react before making any further moves on monetary policy.
XAUUSD: Preparing for a bullish reversal.Gold is about to go from neutral to bearish on its 4H timeframe (RSI = 45.410, MACD = -2.540, ADX = 22.042) as after breaking under its 4H MA50, it has failed to cross it on two attempts. This pullback is part of the techical bearish wave of the 3 month Channel Up and it is the 3rd in total. The two waves before that found a bottom near the 0.382 Fibonacci level and we are already just over that level. We expect some more sideways movement and ideally when the 4H RSI hits 35.000, begin the bullish reversal. Our aim is a minimum of +7.00% rise (TP = 2,900) for the next HH.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another great day on the charts today with our levels being respected, allowing us to buy dips inline with our plans.
Same as yesterday, we got the bearish target re-test again at 2733, which failed to cross and lock below confirming the support. This gave us another perfect bounce inline with our plans to buy dips and just fell short of the bullish target at 2751 by a few pips. However, we secured our 40 pips clean. The full gap remains open and therefore we will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2751
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2751 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2768
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2768 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2782
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2782 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2799
BEARISH TARGETS
2733 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2733 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
RETRACEMENT RANGE
2717
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2717 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE RANGE
SWING RANGE
2705 - 2692
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold stays strong amid the US election and Fed rate cuts.Early on Tuesday morning, the latest developments surrounding the U.S. presidential election showed that former President Donald Trump is leading Vice President Kamala Harris in each of the seven swing states, although the margin is very narrow. A survey by AtlasIntel revealed that Trump holds the widest margin in Arizona, with 52.3% compared to Harris's 45.8%.
This update seems to have helped the U.S. dollar halt its decline, keeping gold prices in USD at a low level. Furthermore, expectations of a less aggressive easing cycle from the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) have also supported the dollar.
Personal opinion:
Gold prices remain steady, fluctuating between $2,730 and $2,748, with no catalyst pushing them outside this range. While the RSI still indicates bullish momentum, buying pressure seems to be easing. For continued gains, gold buyers need to reclaim the key $2,750 level, which could lead to a target of $2,790. However, a daily close below $2,750 could signal further weakness.
Pay attention to the price range:
Buy Zone: 2715 - 2713
SL: 2708
Sell Zone: 2747 - 2749
SL: 2754
Sell Zone: 2761 - 2763
SL: 2768
Gold rebounds ahead of U.S. elections, market cautious on Fed.Gold prices have halted their adjustment from the record high of $2,790 set on Friday, as the U.S. dollar faces strong selling pressure. The gap opened lower following the latest poll results regarding the U.S. elections, which showed Kamala Harris surpassing Donald Trump in Iowa, marking a significant shift. The presidential race between the two candidates is intensifying, with Americans set to vote on Tuesday.
Additionally, U.S. Treasury yields are also declining due to market caution and expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points on Thursday, which has supported non-yielding gold prices.
Personal opinion:
Gold prices are heavily influenced by the U.S. elections and the economic situation. Kamala Harris leading in the polls might make investors feel more optimistic. The drop in bond yields also indicates that people are looking for safe places to invest, increasing gold's appeal during this uncertain time.
Pay attention to price levels:
Buy zone: 2727 - 2725
SL: 2720
Sell Zone: 2747 - 2749
SL: 2754
Sell Zone: 2760 - 2762
SL: 2767
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEK Hey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing a gap above at 2751 and a gap below at 2733. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2751
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2751 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2768
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2768 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2782
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2782 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2799
BEARISH TARGETS
2733
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2733 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
RETRACEMENT RANGE
2717
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2717 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE RANGE
SWING RANGE
2705 - 2692
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEK Hey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing a gap above at 2754 and a gap below at 2724, as weighted Goldturns and will need ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2754
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2754 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2784
BEARISH TARGETS
2724
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2724 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2696
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2696 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
2672
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2672 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE RANGE
SWING RANGE
2640 - 2611
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD DAILY CHART SHORT/MID TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Please see update on our daily chart idea that we have been tracking for a while with the updated retracement and swing range.
Previously after completing 2725 target, we stated that we had a candle body close above 2725, opening 2760. Although ema5 is lagging on this chart but we still also got the ema5 cross and lock to further confirm this target.
- This was hit last week completing this target!!!
We now have a candle body close above 2760 for a continuation above with a gap open to 2797, but no ema5 lock, which would further confirm this. Failure to complete this gap will see price test the retracement range for bounces and a further lock below the retracement range will open the swing range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we will continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups.
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Please see update on our weekly chart idea that we have been tracking and trading over the last 4 weeks.
Last week we stated that we had a candle body above 2729 leaving long range gap open to 2856 and Ema5 lock will further confirm this long range target.
- We got a nice push up, which we took using our smaller timeframes but the gap remains open and we are yet to see the ema5 lock to further confirm this.
We will also be keeping in mind the channel top for long range corrections, which is likely to provide support like we stated before, if tested at all.
As stated before if the channel top continues to provide support then we will track the movement up, confirmed with ema5 cross and lock or candle body close.
However, if we continue to see tests on the channel top and then get a break inside the channel, then we will track the movement down, inline with our plans to buy dips, using our smaller time-frames, keeping in mind the long range gap for the future..
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings, instead of chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another great day on the chart today, buying dips inline with our plans from yesterday and our updates on this chart throughout the week.
Yesterday we stated after completing all our targets that we were seeing price back in the range on both 1H and 4H chart and therefore the levels and our cross and lock weighted levels are active once again.
We also stated that price was testing the retracement range Goldturn 2737 and we will likely see a reaction here. This played out perfectly with the retracement range providing the support for the bounce into 2760 inline with our plans to buy dips
We will now come back Sunday with our updated Multi time-frame analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for the week ahead.
Have a smashing weekend!! And once again, thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAUUSD Up Trend ContinuationXAUUSD experienced a deeper pullback following yesterday's news release and has since bounced off a support level, signaling a potential entry into a consolidation phase. With another busy day of news events ahead, we could witness increased volatility and market spikes. The market may pull back further, potentially taking liquidity below the previous day's low and retesting the psychological level at 2700 before resuming its upward movement. The target is the resistance zone around 2770
GOLD (XAUUSD): Buying After Pullback
With a yesterday's bearish movement, Gold dropped to
a key intraday/daily horizontal support.
A cup & handle pattern formation on that is a reliable signal to buy.
With a high probability, the price will reach 2769 level soon.
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XAUUSD (GOLD) BUY ANALYSIS 4HRS TIMEFRAMEHello trader what do you think about Gold? Here on Gold price forming uptrend and has reached a certain level of resistance and is likely to continue falling till it reach at around level of support zone 2758.45 after then trader can now enter for LONG and target profit around resistance level of 2788.89 . Remember to like and share your thought on comment!
GOLD 4H CHART MARKET UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another great day on the chart for us today with price rejection on the final range after hitting all our targets. As shared yesterday we don't like chasing targets all the way to the top on a new range and safer to buy dips and that's what we have been doing,
Today once again we were able to use our 1H chart levels to buy 30 to 40 pip dips from our strategic levels even against todays trend. That's the power of our chart setups!!
We now have a gap left on the top of the range and seeing price reject into the 4H chart retracement range. We expect a reaction here for a bounce or a cross and lock below this range will see the swing range.
We are now also seeing price back in the range on both 1H and 4H chart and therefore the levels and our cross and lock weighted levels are active once again, for us to track and trade the movement.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2760 (EMA5 LOCK ABOVE 2737 WILL FURTHER CONFIRM THIS) - DONE
POTENTIALLY 2779 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2779 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2797
POTENTIALLY 2814
BEARISH TARGETS
2737 - DONE
2715
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2715 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2693 - 2669
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD 1H AND 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another PIPTASTIC day on the charts today with our 1H chart complete and 4h chart targets also smashed. We got the EMA5 cross and lock above 2762 opening 2772 and 2781, which were hit today completing this 1h chart idea (please see below)
Our 4h chart also had ema5 cross and lock above 2737, opening 2760 and 2779, which were both hit completing this range. We now have ema5 lock above 2779 opening the range above. We always take caution chasing targets all the way to the top and that why using our Goldlturns to buy dips is the safest way to chase targets in a new range
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2760 (EMA5 LOCK ABOVE 2737 WILL FURTHER CONFIRM THIS) - DONE
POTENTIALLY 2779 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2779 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2797
POTENTIALLY 2814
BEARISH TARGETS
2737 - DONE
2715
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2715 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2693 - 2669
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
How to Find Key Levels on Gold XAUUSD Chart Easily
In this short article, you will learn how to find powerful levels on a gold chart.
I will explain to you what is a key level, how to apply it in trading. We will discuss key levels and different time frames, valid and invalid key levels. I will share with you a lot of useful trading tips.
First, let's start with a definition of a key level.
Key level is a single important historic price level on the chart,
from where a significant price movement initiated.
Usually, key levels are based on the edges of candlestick wicks.
Look at Gold chart on a 4H time frame.
I underlined a key level. You can see how strong was a bullish reaction to that. The price tested that level, bounced up and formed a long wick.
Key levels that are above current prices will be called resistances .
We will assume that sellers are placing their selling orders there.
Above is the example of a key resistance on Gold on an hourly time frame.
The price tested 2479 level, dropped rapidly and formed a long wick.
From a key resistance level, a bearish movement is expected.
Key levels that are below current prices will be called supports.
We will assume that buyers are placing their buying orders there.
That is the example of a key support level on Gold chart on a daily.
From a key support level a bullish movement is expected.
Key levels that are lying close to each other will compose support and resistance clusters.
Look at 2 key support levels on Gold on a 4H time frame.
These 2 levels are lying very close to each other and compose a support cluster.
3 key resistance above will compose a resistance cluster on Gold on a daily time frame, because these levels lye close to each other.
With time, the market tends to break key levels.
If the price violated a key support level and closes below that, it turns into a resistance level.
Look at a breakout of key support on an hourly time frame on Gold chart.
After a candle close below that, the broken key level turned into resistance.
If the price violates a key resistance level and closes above that, it turns into a support level.
Above is a recently broken horizontal resistance on Gold on a 4H time frame. After a breakout, that key level turned into support.
Key levels tend to lose their significance with time.
Key level that is broken by the buyers and the sellers or vice versa loses the status of a key level.
The underlined level was a significant resistance in the past.
However, the market stopped respecting this level and it lost its importance.
Remember that you can find key levels on any time frame.
But key levels are not equal in their significance.
Key levels that are spotted on higher time frame will be stronger than key levels that are spotted on lower time frames.
On the chart on the left, I underlined key support and resistance levels on a daily time frame on Gold.
While on the right, I market key support and resistance levels on a 4H time frame.
Daily structures will be considered to be more significant structures.
Hence, the market reaction to such structures tend to be stronger.
In comparison to support and resistance areas,
key levels provide the safest points to look for a trading opportunity from.
Once you spotted a confirmation after a test of a key level,
simply set your stop loss below a support or above a resistance.
You will have a very good reward to risk ratio.
Key levels play a crucial role in technical analysis of Gold.
No matter whether you are day trader, scalper, swing trader or investor, key levels is the first thing that you should always start your analysis from.
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THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we wouldn’t be looking to long for the early part of the week, instead gave the path moving up into the 2727 and 2742 price targets where we wanted to attempt the short. This worked well during the early part of the week, but we didn’t get to complete the move, instead our red boxes kicked in and we continued to look upside into the 2739 and 2745 price point. We then updated traders with the hotspots at the 2750-55 region and suggested looking for a reaction in price there mid-week which was tapped into and rejected giving the lovely move down that we experienced completing the first red box target 2710 before the bounce upside.
It wasn’t an easy week, very choppy and frustrating with burst of volume but we didn’t do to badly completing 6 gold Excalibur targets on top of the bias level targets and the red box targets. Small stops and big captures should have given our followers a decent week on Gold moving level to level with the red boxes we share as well as KOG’s bias of the day. Excalibur performed again with 21 targets completed across the other pairs we trade.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
For this week we’re seeing a little more bullish movement on Gold but there’s a level above which needs to be watched and needs to be broken for us to go higher and target that 2800 level! So we’ll look for price to attempt the 2750-55 region during the early session and if rejected there is potential for the pullback to present itself into the 2735-32 red box defence. It’s this 2732-35 region we feel an opportunity to the long is available back up to attempt 2763 and above that 2765. Please note, 2765 is the level we need to break and hold above for us to attempt to target higher pricing for now.
Those looking to attempt the short trades should be looking at the levels of 2760-5 and if broken 2780-5 for opportunities to capture the pullbacks and maybe even a short swing.
Now, we have a slight issue here with the extension of the move this week and with a lot of news to come together with it being the end of the month, we’re concerned about profit taking and a potential sell off, so for that reason, we’ll play level to level on the upside picking the right levels and using the red boxes for our entries and exits which have proven to give the 50-70pip captures quite easily.
KOG’s BIAS FOR THE WEEK:
Bullish above 2730 with targets above 2755, 2762 and 2779
Bearish on break of 2730 with target below 2709
RED BOXES:
Break above 2755 for 2762, 2768, 2780
Break below 2742 for 2732, 2720, 2709
Good luck for the week.
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Gold soared amid U.S. election instability and geopolitical riskSpot gold prices surpassed $2,770 on Wednesday as market participants sought safety ahead of significant data releases and the upcoming U.S. elections. The precious metal gained momentum before Wall Street opened, accelerating after the release of U.S. data.
The Conference Board's consumer confidence index rose to 108.7 in October, up from 99.2 in September. The present situation index increased to 138.0, while the expectations index surged to 89.1, well above the 80 threshold that typically signals an impending recession.
Personal opinion:
XAU/USD has pulled back slightly from a new high but is still holding most of its gains for the day, trading around $2,766. The technical indicators on the daily chart still suggest that a further bullish trend could continue, indicating the possibility of another price increase in the near future.
Pay attention to the price range:
Buy Zone: 2746 - 2744
SL: 2739
Buy Zone: 2760 - 2758
SL: 2753
Sell Zone: 2794 - 2796
SL: 2801