Hold on to short gold positionsBros, as I said in my last opinion, we can short gold with the 2645-2650 resistance area. I have already shorted gold at 2645 and 2651 as planned.
Although gold has not fallen effectively so far, it still remains above 2640. But we can see that gold has not effectively broken through 2650 in many rebounds, so I think that after consuming a certain amount of long energy, gold will fall again.
So I am still very confident in my short position. Bros, have you followed me to short gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Goldsell
Short gold after reboundBros, the lowest retracement of gold during the day was around 2622, and then rebounded and is now running around 2634. Since gold has chosen to break through downwards and is particularly weak during the rebound, we still give priority to shorting gold in the short term. The top focus is mainly on the resistance in the 2640-2650 area. The main focus on the 2640-2650 area resistance. In terms of short-term trading, we can short gold based on this resistance area.
Scalping! Gold price recovers in the short term to 2648SCALPING XAU / USD
⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) remain under pressure during the early European session on Monday, trading near $2,630, at the lower end of the day's range. The US Dollar (USD) rebounds sharply from a nearly three-week low, supported by a rise in US Treasury yields, adding downward pressure on the precious metal.
Additionally, expectations that President-elect Donald Trump's proposed tariffs and expansionary policies will drive inflation higher, potentially prompting the Federal Reserve (Fed) to halt further rate cuts, further weigh on gold. However, concerns over trade tensions, geopolitical uncertainties, and a cautious market sentiment may help limit losses for the safe-haven XAU/USD as investors await key US economic data releases later this week.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price has recovered - continuing sideways, scalping the liquidity zone 2648
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2648 - $2650 SL $2653
TP1: $2644
TP2: $2638
TP3: $2630
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
XAUUSDHere is our quick view and update on XAUUSD . Potential opportunities and what to look out for. This is a quick overview on the pair.
XAUUSD is currently trading at around 2630s.
If we break our KL (Key Level) 2624 , we could revisit 2604 and our target 2590 . Safe sell entries would be at the break of the KL 2624 . Be careful of possible pullbacks to the upside and breaks of 2640 .
Personal opinion:
XAUUSD has tried to break below 2624 several times last week but failed to do so. A clear break below 2624 would confirm the direction and based on that we could take advantage of the sells on gold and potentially hit our 2590 target.
KEY NOTES
- XAUUSD breaking below 2624 would confirm sells.
- Breaks below 2604 would result in sells, down to 2590 would result in even lower prices.
- Breaks above 2640 could confirm buys.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
Analysis of the Downward Trend in Gold Prices This WeekGold prices remained stable above $2,600 in the past week, primarily supported by increasing geopolitical tensions. However, after Donald Trump's victory in the U.S. presidential election, gold still faced pressure to limit its price increase, as the U.S. dollar is expected to be supported by Trump's win.
Regarding gold's recent recovery, after the release of the U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data earlier this week, which met expectations, market anticipation for a Federal Reserve rate cut in December has risen, driving gold prices higher. Currently, the market is pricing in about a 66% chance of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December, a significant increase from just over 50% a week ago.
Geopolitical tensions in Europe, caused by Russia's missile attack on Ukraine, have also provided support for safe-haven assets like gold. The Israeli military announced on Thursday that their air force had struck a facility in southern Lebanon used by Hezbollah to store medium-range missiles, as both sides accused each other of violating the ceasefire agreement. On Thursday, Russia launched its second major attack this month on Ukraine's energy infrastructure, causing widespread power outages in the country.
Gold OANDA:XAUUSD is generally seen as a safe investment during periods of economic and geopolitical instability.
Gold prices have dropped about 3% this month, hitting a two-month low on November 14. This is mainly due to the strengthening U.S. Dollar since Trump's election, and his tariff policies, which are seen as likely to push inflation higher, thus slowing down the Federal Reserve’s rate-cutting cycle.
Next week, the U.S. will release key economic data, including job openings, ADP employment reports, and non-farm payrolls, which could provide direction on the Federal Reserve's policy outlook.
Important Economic Data to Watch Next Week
Monday: ISM Manufacturing PMI
Wednesday: ADP Employment Report, ISM Services PMI, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will participate in a panel discussion at the New York Times DealBook Summit
Thursday: Weekly Jobless Claims
Friday: U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls Report, University of Michigan Preliminary Consumer Sentiment
Technical Outlook for XAUUSD (Gold Price)
Gold is attempting to recover but remains limited by the 50% Fibonacci level and the EMA21, as pointed out in yesterday's publication. In terms of overall structure, gold still leans towards a bearish outlook, with the main trend indicated by the price channel (a) and resistance from the EMA21. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has also not yet surpassed the 50 level. Therefore, in terms of trend and momentum, gold is more likely to face downward pressure rather than rise.
As long as gold stays within the price channel (a), it does not meet the technical conditions for a long-term price increase, so any rallies should be viewed as short-term recoveries.
In the short term, if gold drops below the 0.618% Fibonacci retracement level, the next target for a decline would be around the $2,600 level.
In conclusion, the technical outlook for gold on the daily chart is bearish, with the following key levels to watch:
Support: $2,634 – $2,606 – $2,600
Resistance: $2,663 – $2,693
However, traders must note that in the context of geopolitical conflicts, technical structures can be broken very quickly due to sudden, impactful events. Therefore, the risk will be higher in the short term.
This concludes the article. Henry wishes for a healthy, joyful, and happy weekend.
Gold (XAUUSD) ShortThis is not an financial advice. This is just my observation.
1. Gold is obviously bearish and the price is on its correction way.
2. Based on Elliot, the A and B wave has been completed and we are now in the wave C. In the wave C, the first and second waves are almost done and we are going to enter wave 3. The 2/C is reached to 50% correction. However, I have to admit that On Friday I expected that price should reach 2670 (on of the strangest price resistance level). On 4H time frame, yesterday price crossed down the EMA 200 which can be considered as an entry signal.
3. For long term (I think until next Fed reserve rate announcement, unless other news interrupt) price should meet about 2470, although more bearish is also possible. After 2470, I suppose we should look for a bullish signal. Until then, we have some minor SR levels, expectedly on about 2568, 2515.
I am looking forward for your comments.
Bests,
Gold price moves up trendline - short term⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) gain momentum on Friday, reaching a four-day high near $2,662 during the Asian session. Heightened geopolitical tensions and trade war concerns continue to fuel demand for the safe-haven metal. Additionally, expectations of another Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut in December and a drop in US Treasury yields further support gold's appeal.
Meanwhile, the likelihood of additional Fed rate cuts has pressured the US Dollar (USD) to a two-week low, boosting gold demand. However, hopes that President-elect Donald Trump's policies will spur inflation and indications of stalled progress in reducing US inflation could make the Fed cautious about further easing. This may limit USD losses and keep a lid on XAU/USD's gains.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
H1 frame moves in 2 uptrend lines, gold price moves mainly sideways below the price range of 2700
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2670 - $2672 SL $2675 scalping
TP1: $2665
TP2: $2658
TP3: $2650
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2688 - $2690 SL $2695
TP1: $2680
TP2: $2670
TP3: $2660
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2640 - $2638 SL $2633
TP1: $2650
TP2: $2660
TP3: $2672
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold trend! continued decrease ! sideway⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) continue to decline during Thursday's Asian session, following the previous day’s pullback from the $2,658 level. Strong US economic data released on Wednesday, along with limited progress in reducing inflation, suggest that the Federal Reserve (Fed) may approach further rate cuts cautiously. This outlook has driven a slight rebound in US Treasury yields and bolstered US Dollar demand, putting pressure on the non-yielding precious metal.
However, markets are still largely expecting a 25 basis point (bps) rate cut by the Fed in December. Additionally, US President-elect's tariff threats have sparked concerns over a potential trade war that could harm global economic growth. Combined with ongoing geopolitical risks from the Russia-Ukraine conflict, these factors are helping Gold maintain support above the $2,600 level.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Selling pressure continues - target returns to 2605 area, bank holiday gold price mainly sideways and decreases slightly
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2633 - $2635.5 SL $2639 scalping
TP1: $2625
TP2: $2612
TP3: $2605
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2657 - $2659 SL $2664
TP1: $2650
TP2: $2640
TP3: $2630
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2605 - $2603 SL $2598
TP1: $2615
TP2: $2622
TP3: $2630
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
XAUUSD: ABC Correction Structure Targets $2450Looking at the updated Elliott Wave analysis of Gold (XAUUSD), we can observe a clear ABC corrective structure:
Wave A completed a 5-wave decline from the highs
Wave B formed as a corrective rally, reaching around $2720
Wave C is now in progress, developing as a 5-wave impulse structure downward
Currently in Wave C:
Wave (i) has completed and Wave (ii) is nearing completion.
Wave (iii) appears to be developing, showing the characteristic strong momentum of a third wave
Expecting wave (iv) to form a small corrective bounce
Final wave (v) should complete the entire ABC structure
Key Levels:
Wave B high: ~$2720 (invalidation level)
Current price: Testing key support levels
Target for Wave C completion: ~$2450
The parallel channel formation helps guide the price action and suggests the bearish momentum could continue until reaching our target zone. Traders should note that completion of this ABC structure could lead to a significant reversal.
Shorting gold is my best Thanksgiving gift to youBros, although gold has risen sharply to around 2646 in the short term, from the overall structure, the rebound strength of gold is still lacking, and it has never been able to break through the key level, resulting in limited room for gold to rise; and gold still faces the resistance area of 2650-2655 in the short term.
So don't be scared by the sharp fluctuations in the short term. The rebound is an opportunity to short gold; in addition, once gold forms a falling relay platform, gold is likely to continue to fall and try to reach 2600, or even 2580.
Bros, this is my Thanksgiving gift to you! Be brave to short gold! Bros, have you shorted gold like me? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Xauusd sell signal Gold price (XAU/USD) builds on the overnight bonce from the $2,600 neighborhood, or a one-week low and gains some follow-through positive traction for the second straight day on Wednesday. Concerns about persistent geopolitical risks stemming from the protracted Russia-Ukraine war and US President-elect Donald Trump's tariff plans turn out to be key factors driving haven flows towards the precious metal.
Gold now sell 2647
Support 2631
Support 2621
Hold on to the short position and don't give up!Bros, gold once rose to around 2658. Seeing the sharp rise in gold in the short term, have you given up your short position?
I still insist on holding short orders near 2653. Although gold rose sharply to near 2658 in a short period of time, it did not break through the 50% dividing line in the 2660-2665 area; and the daily level resistance is also located near 2660. and the daily level resistance is also located near 2660. So I have reason to believe that after gold fails to effectively break through the 2660-2665 area, it will usher in a wave of retracement in the short term, and the retracement target is 2640-2635 area.
Therefore, I still continue to hold a short position in gold and look forward to a good result and continue our winning streak!
Bros, have you shorted gold like me? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
The bears are strong at the end of the year! H1 downtrend⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) dropped over 3% on Monday, wiping out much of last week’s strong rally, which had marked its best performance since March 2023. The decline was driven by Scott Bessent's nomination as US Treasury Secretary and reports suggesting Israel was nearing a ceasefire with Hezbollah in Lebanon, sparking a global risk-on sentiment. This overshadowed slight weakness in the US Dollar and pressured the precious metal.
However, the decline paused near the $2,600 level during the Asian session on Tuesday as renewed safe-haven demand emerged following President-elect Donald Trump’s tariff threats. Even so, expectations of a less dovish Federal Reserve, rising US Treasury yields, and renewed USD strength may limit gold’s recovery. Traders now await the release of the FOMC meeting minutes for further direction.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
The combination of many factors causes gold prices to almost certainly continue to decline: Fibo H1, seller liquidity, touching EMA, trendline H1
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2646 - $2648 SL $2651 scalping
TP1: $2640
TP2: $2630
TP3: $2620
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2688 - $2690 SL $2695
TP1: $2675
TP2: $2660
TP3: $2650
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2607 - $2605 SL $2600
TP1: $2615
TP2: $2622
TP3: $2630
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
XAU sideway - in DOWN range below zone 2646SCALPING XAU / USD
⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Optimism surrounding Scott Bessent's nomination as US Treasury Secretary and progress on the Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire agreement put significant pressure on gold prices at the start of the week.
Expectations that Bessent will adopt a gradual approach to tariffs to address the budget deficit drove a sharp decline in US Treasury bond yields, further weakening the US Dollar.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold moves sideways, stuck in the 2600 - 2646 range, still in a downtrend
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2630 - $2632 SL $2635
TP1: $2620
TP2: $2610
TP3: $2600
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold sideways below 2700 price zone ! Scalping XAU / USD trend forecast November 25, 2024 ! SCALPING
Gold prices (XAU/USD) remain under significant selling pressure during the early European session on Monday, though they manage to stay above the $2,650 mark and hold support at the 100-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) on the 4-hour chart. The nomination of Scott Bessent as US Treasury Secretary has removed a key source of uncertainty for the markets. Additionally, reports suggesting that Israel is nearing a ceasefire agreement with Hezbollah in Lebanon have bolstered investor confidence, reducing demand for the safe-haven yellow metal.
Monday gold price is under a lot of selling pressure below $2700, sideways and accumulating below this price range
/// SELL XAU : zone 2685-2688
SL: 2691
TP: 40 - 80 - 150 pips (2673)
Safe and profitable trading
XAU / USD ! 25 Nov ! Gold price adjusted downXAU / USD trend forecast November 25, 2024
Gold prices (XAU/USD) surge to approximately $2,720 during the early Asian session on Monday, supported by a weakening US Dollar (USD). The USD's sell-off lends support to the USD-denominated Gold price, while escalating geopolitical tensions further bolster demand for safe-haven assets like the yellow metal.
Investors remain focused on developments in the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Last week, Russian President Vladimir Putin lowered the threshold for a nuclear strike in response to an expanded range of conventional attacks, following reports that the US had permitted Ukraine to use American-made weapons for deeper strikes into Russian territory. This situation is likely to sustain safe-haven flows, benefiting Gold prices.
Gold adjusts H2 fibo, downtrend creates more liquidity for the market
/// BUY XAU : zone 2651-2648
SL: 2643
TP: 50 - 150 - 300pips (2678)
Safe and profitable trading
Continue downtrend - target 2506 coming soon✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 11/18 - 11/22/2024
🔥 World situation:
Gold prices fell for the sixth consecutive day, heading for a weekly loss of over 4%—the steepest since September 2023. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's mildly "hawkish" remarks strengthened the US Dollar, reducing demand for gold. As of now, XAU/USD trades at $2,564, down 0.17%.
On Thursday, Powell stated that the Fed is not in a hurry to cut interest rates, citing a resilient economy, a robust labor market, and inflation still above the 2% target.
🔥 Identify:
The decline in gold will continue as money is being drawn to other opportunistic financial sectors, the decline could be prolonged, sending gold prices to 2500 or 2400.
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $2590, $2610, 2645
Support : $2539, $2504
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
XAU ! 11/14 ! still a strong decreaseXAU / USD trend forecast November 14, 2024
The US Dollar gained strongly as markets had largely anticipated a 25-basis-point hike by the Federal Reserve at its December meeting. CME FedWatch Tool data shows the odds have increased from 58% to 82%. The DXY index, which measures the Dollar’s strength against major currencies, reached a year-to-date high of 106.52, just above the previous high of 106.51 from April 16, and is currently around 106.49, up 0.50%.
yesterday's sharp drop - continues to make investors believe prices will fall further: 2500
/// SELL XAU : zone 2574-2577
SL: 2580
TP: 50 - 100 - 150pips (2561)
/// SELL XAU : zone 2590-2593
SL: 2598
TP: 50 - 200 - 300pips (2563)
Safe and profitable trading
Gold reduced! The target is aimed at 2514⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) extends its decline for the fifth consecutive session, hitting its lowest level since September 19 near $2,558 during Thursday’s Asian session. Persistent US Dollar (USD) strength, fueled by optimism over President-elect Donald Trump's pro-growth policies and expectations of a Federal Reserve (Fed) pause in easing, keeps pressure on the non-yielding metal. Elevated US Treasury yields and a strong USD, which reached its highest level since November 2023, further weigh on Gold.
Additionally, Wednesday's US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report signaled slower progress in reducing inflation, suggesting fewer rate cuts in 2024. Coupled with a bullish run in US equity markets, this has driven investors away from Gold. Traders now await the US Producer Price Index (PPI) release for near-term direction, with attention on Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech later today.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
The H4 price frame shows a strong downtrend, pay attention to the support zone, buyer liquidity here is quite large 2548
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2580 - $2582 SL $2587
TP1: $2565
TP2: $2550
TP3: $2530
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2515 - $2513 SL $2508
TP1: $2525
TP2: $2540
TP3: $2560
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2548 - $2550 SL $2545 scalping
TP1: $2558
TP2: $2564
TP3: $2570
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold looks bearish and give a retracement to 2600**Overview:** TVC:GOLD has been on a significant bull run for a prolonged period due to various fundamental factors driving its upward momentum. However, it has recently broken its bullish structure and is now trading below the previous support level of 2710. This level, which once served as support, is currently acting as resistance, marking a potential shift in trend from bullish to bearish. Gold is also forming a inverse Head and Shoulders pattern which can give a good target if played well.
**Trade Plan:**
Since gold is now trading below the critical resistance level of 2710, a short position could be considered. Place a stop loss just above the 2710 resistance to manage risk effectively. If this resistance holds and the price fails to reclaim it, it supports the case for a bearish move. Opening a short position in this setup can provide an advantageous risk-to-reward ratio, aligning well with short-term market direction.
**Targets:**
1st TP: 2670
2nd TP: 2630
3rd TP: 2600
If you found this analysis helpful, please hit the boost and follow for more updates.
**Note:** This analysis is purely my personal opinion and is intended for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own analysis or consult a certified financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions. I am not responsible for any financial loss that may result from following this information.
GOLD UPDATE: First Trade Floating +520 Pips. What's Next?Great start for the week! My final target hasn't been hit yet, floating +520 pips in profit. I'm expecting a pull back to retest QP 2650 which has a 38.2 fib confluence. I will be looking for some bearish price action around this level for a possible second entry. My final Target is still major QP 2600.
What are your thoughts on GOLD? Feel free to leave a comment and share your ideas.
11/12 ! XAU ! Bears determined to continue to lower pricesXAU / USD trend forecast November 12, 2024
Gold dropped over 2.5% on Monday as the US Dollar surged to a four-month high. Speculation that a second Trump term might reignite trade tensions is supporting the USD's strength. XAU/USD is now trading at $2,611 after hitting a daily high of $2,686. This decline follows gold's worst weekly performance in more than five months after the election, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) up 0.6% to 105.57.
Gold prices continued to decline on Monday - returning to the 2610 zone. The 2606 support zone could help gold recover and stay above 2600 in the short term.
/// SELL XAU : zone 2654-2657
SL: 2662
TP: 50 - 150 - 300 pips (2627)
Safe and profitable trading