#XAUUSD/H4 CPI today determines the long-term trend of GOLD.Analysis of the European - US session on August 13, 2024:
On the second day, we have seen a strong increase in all sessions. Gold has approached the old peak area.
Today's CPI news will determine whether a triple peak pattern will form and whether there will be a deep correction. A reversal creating a peak has appeared on H4. The trading trend today is mainly BUY. But caution is required in sensitive price zones like this.
Price areas to watch: Zones 2430-2434; 2444-2447 and 2481-2486.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 2430-2433
SL 2427
TP 2440 - 2450 - 2470.
Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 2444 - 2447
SL 2441
TP 2452 - 2460 -2470.
Plan 3: SELL XAUUSD zone 2483 - 2486
SL 2492
TP 2475 - 2450 - 2430 - open.
Goldprediction
Gold (XAU/USD) new ATH After Breaking Key The 30-minute chart shows a strong upward momentum, with the price currently trading above several key support levels.
The recent breakout above $2,469.76 has paved the way for further gains, and the price is now targeting the psychological resistance level of $2,500.
If the price continues to follow the projected path, we could see a short-term retracement to retest the $2,474.51 or $2,482.67 levels, providing potential entry points for traders.
The overall trend remains bullish, and a sustained break above $2,500 could signal a continuation towards higher levels, with $2,505 and $2,510 being the next areas of interest.
Traders should monitor for potential consolidation or pullbacks near $2,485, as this could serve as a launchpad for the next leg higher.
Gold Price Advances to Amid Rising Middle East Tension
Gold prices have surged to a one-week high, buoyed by a confluence of factors that have ignited investor interest in the safe-haven asset. For the third consecutive day, the precious metal has experienced upward momentum, driven primarily by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and mounting expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.
The escalating conflicts in the Middle East have cast a shadow over global markets, prompting investors to seek refuge in gold. As a traditional safe-haven asset, gold tends to appreciate during periods of heightened uncertainty and geopolitical instability. The ongoing tensions in the region have heightened concerns about potential disruptions to oil supplies and the broader economic implications, thereby bolstering gold's appeal.
Simultaneously, growing speculation about a potential pivot by the Federal Reserve towards a more dovish monetary policy stance has also supported gold prices. As economic growth concerns persist, market participants are increasingly betting on interest rate cuts later this year. Lower interest rates typically benefit gold, as they reduce the opportunity cost of holding the non-yielding asset.
However, the upside potential for gold prices may be tempered by the overall positive risk sentiment in the market. While geopolitical tensions and rate cut expectations have provided a solid foundation for gold's rally, a generally upbeat market mood could limit gains. Investors are also likely to adopt a cautious stance ahead of the release of crucial US inflation data this week. The inflation figures will provide valuable insights into the trajectory of the US economy and the Federal Reserve's monetary policy path.
As the market digests the evolving geopolitical landscape and awaits key economic indicators, gold prices are expected to remain volatile in the near term. While the underlying fundamentals remain supportive, the potential for profit-taking and shifts in investor sentiment could introduce some headwinds.
Going forward, the interplay between geopolitical tensions, interest rate expectations, and overall market sentiment will be crucial in determining the direction of gold prices. Traders and investors will be closely monitoring developments in the Middle East, as well as economic data releases, for clues about the metal's future trajectory.
XAUUSD: Buy when it falls back to the support rangeGold market fundamentals:
Affected by this week's US economic data, according to the CME FedWatch Tool, the market currently has a 55.5% probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 50 basis points in September, down from the previous 70%.
The increase in geopolitical risks in the Middle East has led to an increase in safe-haven demand (it is not convenient to explain in detail here, you can learn about the latest Middle East conflicts on your own)
Gold market technical aspects:
Yesterday I said that once the dense resistance range of 2411-2422 is broken, the potential for growth will increase. Now that the gold price has come above the resistance range, the dense resistance area has also turned into a dense support area. At the same time, this rebound has now formed an upward trend. If it can break through 2430-2440, then the gold price is likely to test the historical high again.
Trading strategy:
In the figure, 2416 is the previous high and the support of the lower track of the Bollinger Band. 2422 is the support of the middle track of the Bollinger Band and the Fibonacci retracement of 0.618. Therefore, I will buy if it falls back to the support range of 2416-2422 today, and I am bullish on 2430-2440.
Support range: 2410-2400
Resistance range: 2430-2440
Daily risk data: Canada's July employment (little impact)
Sell Gold (Xau/Usd) wedge BreakoutThe XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Wedge pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 2427, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 2403
2nd Support – 2388
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 2440. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
USDJPY Scalping SignalBUY USDJPY now 147.200-147.000
↠ Stoploss 146.800
→Take Profit 1 147.500
→Take Profit 2 148.200
Japanese Yen remains tepid as US Dollar advances due to diminished bets of Fed rate cuts
The Japanese Yen declines due to low trading as traders observe the Mountain Day holiday in Japan. The US Dollar receives support due to diminished odds of Fed rate cuts following last week’s upbeat US data. Safe-haven flows may limit the downside of the JPY amid increased geopolitical tensions.
Gold Analysis August 12Fundamental Analysis
Gold (XAU/USD) attracted some dip buying near the $2,424 region on Monday and looked set to extend last week’s decent recovery from the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) support. Investors remain concerned about the possibility of a wider conflict in the Middle East, which is seen as a key driver for the precious metal. In addition, expectations of further rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed) also provided additional support for the non-yielding asset.
However, the intraday rally lacked any bullish sentiment following the generally positive tone around the equity markets, which tended to weigh on the safe-haven bullion. Moreover, a modest appreciation in the US Dollar (USD) continued to limit the upside in XAU/USD. Traders also seem reluctant and prefer to wait on the sidelines ahead of the key US inflation figures - Producer Price Index (PPI) and Consumer Price Index (CPI) on Tuesday and Wednesday.
Technical Analysis
Gold is approaching the resistance point of 2441-2443 and we can set up a SELL signal in this area. GOLD is on an uptrend so we just look at the Scalping signal and look for a nice entry to BUY long term in line with the main trend of the market.
Pay attention to the support and resistance points to have a suitable trading strategy
Breakout upper border: 2434, 2446
Breakout lower border: 2421, 2416, 2400
Resistance: 2432 - 2442 - 2456
Support: 2421 - 2417-2407
SELL price zone 2442 - 2444 stoploss 2446
BUY price zone 2407 - 2405 stoploss 2401
GOLD - is it retest?? Or again ATH??#GOLD... well guys a new week with important data's is going to start in few hours.
On chart we have our channel that is most important as you can see in history.
That channel can create a bubble for at least 50 points to eitherside.
So keep close that channel if that is market retest then again drop expect f below that.
But keep in mind that if market enter again in his channel the. Cut n reverse should be my next option.
Good luck
Trade wisely
Where will XAUUSD want to go !!!Dear All
This is a very BIG picture of XAUUSD price moving as you see in yearly basis that is in impulse wave 3 of bull-run standard Elliot wave; I think we are in the middle of this big big bull-run move and we should fasten our seat belts for next minimum 3K moving up price which will happen maybe in a decade.
XAUUSD/BUY TO SELL NARRATIVES Hi Guy
Happy weekend,I’m anticipating a potential buy to sell setup on the yellow metals,as price is Gradually getting closer to a H1 key-level
Alternatively GOLD remains bullish as we have seen in recent weeks,but looking at the CPi and FEd report coming up this week and hopefully next,they should serve as ideal catalyst for the move
As The Current Situation Gold Is Still Going BULLAs The Current Situation Gold Is Still Going BULL
As The Weekly Bias Formation I Strongly Believe Gold Will Go More Higher With The The Global Fundamental And Simple Technical Indication Of Price Action.
But More Further Growth Gold need To Breck The Upper Trendline And Make A Pullback Again. Or Pullback First And Then Keep Fly
Let's See More In LTF For More Conformations
EURUSD analysis week 33Fundamental Analysis
EUR/USD traded sideways above the round-figure support of 1.0900 in New York trading on Friday. The ECB is expected to cut interest rates two more times this year as the Eurozone economy struggles and price pressures are on track to return to the desired 2%. However, ECB officials have yet to commit to a predetermined rate-cutting path as they expect a path towards the central bank's 2% target.
The US dollar (USD) consolidated in a narrow range, with investors focused on the extent to which the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates at its September meeting. Looking ahead, the next trigger for the US dollar will be the US (US) Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for July, due out on Wednesday.
Technical Analysis
GBPUSD continues to trade within an ascending channel with the nearest support and resistance in the price range of 1.100 and 1.074. On the H4 timeframe, the EMA 34 has crossed above the EMA 89, indicating that the market structure is starting a new uptrend in line with the current price channel with the highest Resistance at the peak of the beginning of this year around 1.112. On the other hand, any daily close above the support level of 1.075 would confirm that EURUSD could break the ascending channel and move towards the support level of last month around 1.062.
Resistance: 1.100-1.112
Support: 1.075-1.062
Trading Signals
SELL EURUSD zone 1.100-1.102 SL 1.104
BUY GBPUSD zone 1.075-1.073 SL 1.071
GBPUSD analysis week 33Fundamental Analysis
GBP/USD resumed its upward momentum and traded near 1.2750 after an earlier decline. However, as market sentiment remained cautious ahead of the weekend, the pair struggled to gather further upside momentum and is still on track to post weekly losses.
The US Dollar (USD) consolidated in a narrow range, with investors focused on the extent to which the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates at its September meeting. Looking ahead, the next trigger for the US Dollar will be the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for July, due on Wednesday.
Meanwhile, the Pound will be influenced by the UK Employment data for the three months ending in July and July consumer inflation data, due on Tuesday and Wednesday. Economic data will indicate whether the Bank of England (BoE) will make further rate cuts in September.
Technical Analysis
GBPUSD continues to trade in a wide range with the nearest support resistance in the price range of 1.281 and 1.261. On the H4 timeframe, the EMA 34 is below the EMA 89, indicating that the market structure is tilted to the downside with the lowest retracement around the support zone of 1.262. On the other hand, any daily close above the resistance level of 1.281 and a candle close above both EMAs would confirm a bullish trend with the resistance level of the week at 1.286, which is also the price range before the NFP announcement.
Resistance: 1.281-1.286
Support:1.267-1.262
Trading Signals
SELL GBPUSD zone 1.286-1.288 SL 1.290
BUY GBPUSD zone 1.262-1.260 SL 1.258
Gold price analysis September 8Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices eased from a three-day high near $2,430 but held above the key support level of $2,400. The near-term outlook for the precious metal remains solid amid speculation that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will begin cutting interest rates in September.
However, investors remain divided on whether the Fed will demonstrate its aggressiveness in its policy normalization by announcing a 50 basis point (bp) rate cut or a 25 bps cut.
Technical Analysis
Gold prices are in a strong bullish range with a narrow range around 2,418 and 2,434. Prices are trading strongly above the EMA and are poised to make further gains. The resistance levels of 2,454 and 2,404 act as key support and resistance, keeping gold prices steady over the weekend.
Resistance: 2432 - 2448 - 2454
Support: 2412 - 2407 - 2396 - 2388
Price ranges to note:
SELL scalp price range 2441 - 2443 stoploss 2447
SELL price range 2453 - 2455 stoploss 2459
BUY price range 2407 - 2405 stoploss 2400
BUY price range 2397 - 2395 stoploss 2391