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Gold's Rally Nears an Interesting Zone: Time to Lock in Profits?In six of the last seven months, Gold has hit new all-time highs. It's been an impressive rally, especially after breaking the significant psychological level of $2000. It took almost four years and seven failed attempts before the 8th finally succeeded, followed by a textbook retest—and here we are today. From my perspective, XAUUSD has now reached a highly interesting zone. Two of my key criteria— channel projection and equal waves —are in play, which are useful when there's no previous price action traffic from the left. Is this a short/sell zone? No, I don’t think so. Instead, it’s a prime spot to consider taking profits . If you've been wondering when and why to lock in some gains, the price action suggests this could be an ideal opportunity. While shorting opportunities may present themselves, it will take time for the price action to develop and show signs of a potential downturn. The last time we saw a Lower Low on the Weekly chart was back in September 2022. So, jumping into a short position right now could be extremely risky. Even on the Daily chart, higher lows have been forming consistently. To sum it up: this is not an area to short but rather an interesting zone to watch for future developments. If you’re uncertain, this could be a perfect point to take partial or full profits. A Quick Overview of the Criteria: Channel Projection – You may have heard that prices move within channels. Right now, we’re trying to predict the upper trendline of the channel as the price takes shape. Start by drawing the lower trendline, from wick to wick (or body to body). I’ve drawn mine using the wicks, marked with a red circle. Then, copy and paste it to the highest peak between the lower points. This gives us the channel projection. Feel free to try this on other charts and share your results in the comments! Equal Waves – I call this method "equal waves," though others may have a different term for it. The idea is to measure major price swings. In this case, the first major swing was from near all-time lows to the 2011 high. After the correction, the second swing started in December 2015. Copy and paste the length of the first swing, and you’ll see it matches closely with the parallel channel’s projection. Together, these two criteria have worked well for me to identify both buying and profit-taking zones. For example, I’ve applied them successfully to stocks like MMM , AMD , and NVIDIA . Summary: Gold (XAUUSD) has hit new all-time highs in six of the last seven months, breaking the $2000 level after years of attempts. Now, the price has reached an interesting zone for profit-taking rather than shorting. Two key technical analysis criteria—channel projection and equal waves—suggest it’s a strong area to consider locking in gains. However, it’s too early to consider shorting, as no clear signs of a downturn have appeared yet.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by VaidoVeek
9.25 Gold short-term operation analysis strategyIn the early Asian session on Wednesday (September 25), spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range near its historical high and is currently trading around $2,660.16 per ounce. Gold prices rose by $30 on Tuesday and hit a record high of $2,664, continuing the recent rally. The daily line closed with a big positive, with basically no leads. In addition to the tensions in the Middle East that have enhanced the safe-haven appeal of gold, the US consumer confidence index has recorded the largest drop in three years, and concerns about the labor market are growing. Market expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 50 basis points in November have increased, and the US dollar index has recorded the largest single-day drop in nearly a month, which also provides momentum for gold prices to rise. Gold is undoubtedly strong at present, whether from a short-term or long-term perspective, especially in the 4-hour period, which basically starts to rise as soon as it steps back on the moving average, and there is basically no retracement. Although gold is undoubtedly strong, this round of gold has risen by nearly 200 points in just two weeks, so the risks of peaking and retracement that I have been emphasizing in my previous articles are needed. Of course, we have no idea where the top is. We all have guessed the top, but the current price is already in danger. When it reaches our position, we can still participate in short orders. Detailed intraday operation strategy: Short at 2665, defense at 2670, target 2650-2640 Long at 2635, defense at 2628, target 2650-2660
TVC:GOLDShort
by David_strategy
2
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Another PITASTIC day on the chart with our chart idea playing out perfectly once again. After completing our Bullish target at 2631 yesterday we stated that we were now looking for ema5 cross and lock above 2631 to open the range above. We got the cross and lock above 2631 opening 2644 and if momentum allows potentially 2658. 2644 was hit perfectly completing this target!!! A candle body close or cross and lock will further confirm the potential target aswell. We are happy with 2644, as our target in this range and now observing for the rest of today. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before, each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2631 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2631 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2644 - DONE POTENTIALLY 2658 BEARISH TARGETS 2618 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2618 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE RETRACEMENT RANGE 2603 - 2588 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2588 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2575 - 2558 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
17
Gold is just one step away, the Sell opportunity is comingIn today's Asian session, gold rose in the short term, and the historical high was refreshed again, reaching 2640. Driven by the Fed's expectations of a rate cut in November and the decline in US Treasury yields, the price of gold hit a new record high. The growing tension between Israel and Hezbollah has increased the appeal of safe havens, which may further boost demand for gold. From the 4-hour chart, we can see that referring to the rule that the price of gold rises by $50-60 each time, the price of gold is likely to have room for an increase of $10. This is almost the last short-term rise in gold. The high point of this time is likely to be around the range of 2640-2650. Trading strategy: Now chasing the rise, there is not much room above, and there is a risk of an imminent correction, so I don't recommend it. Go short now, because there may be more than ten dollars of room for growth above, and now is not a good selling position, so we can wait until the 2640-2650 range to sell, preferably at 2650. I personally did not close the sell order I held last week. If the gold price reaches 2650, I will continue to increase my position and pull the average price to 2615-2620
TVC:GOLDShort
by AntonyTP
9.24 Gold Short-term Operation StrategyYesterday, the gold market opened at 2621.6 in the morning, then the market rose slightly to 2131.6, and then the market fell rapidly. The daily line reached a low of 2613, then the market rose, and the daily line reached a historical high of 2635.2, and then the market consolidated. The daily line finally closed at 2628.2, and the daily line closed with a spindle pattern with equal upper and lower shadows. After such a pattern ended, today's market still has bullish demand. In terms of points, the long positions of 1996 and 2028 below are followed by stop loss at 2350. After the long positions of 2601 were reduced last Friday, the stop loss was followed by 2601. Today's market operation: 2615 long stop loss 2609, target 2635 2640 short stop loss 2645 target 2620
TVC:GOLD
by David_strategy
1
Gold price analysis September 24Fundamental Analysis Gold prices fell after hitting a fresh all-time high around the $2,640 region on Tuesday and slid to the lower end of its daily range heading into the European session. Rising US Treasury yields helped revive demand for the US Dollar (USD), prompting some profit-taking around the commodity amid a mildly overbought condition on the daily chart. However, any meaningful corrective decline in Gold prices appears to be limited after the Federal Reserve (Fed) stepped up bets on more aggressive policy easing. Additionally, persistent geopolitical risks, US political uncertainty and a gloomy global economic outlook will support the safe-haven XAU/USD as traders look to Fed Governor Michelle Bowman’s speech for fresh impetus. Technical Analysis Gold retreats from the 2640 peak. Technically, wave 5 of the Elliot wave has completed and the ABC correction wave is forming towards 2604. If the 2624 zone where gold is currently located is broken, we will get the 2603 level when the US session jumps in. If the European session price cannot break 2625, we will still wait and prioritize the sell side when retesting the 2640 peak. The 2593-2595 zone is considered a good buy zone. Upper resistance: 2640 - 2645 - 2650 - 2658 Support: 2615 - 2610 - 2605 - 2600 - 2688 - 2657 Sell 2654 - 2656. Stoploss 2659 Sell 2640-2642. Stoploss 2445 Canh BUY scalp 2615 Canh BUY 2604 - 2606. Stoploss 2600 Canh BUY 2593-2595. Stoploss 2590
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
2
9.24 Technical Analysis of Gold Short-term OperationsThe bullish market sentiment after the Fed's rate cut last week and geopolitical tensions pushed up gold prices. Gold hit a new record high yesterday, reaching 2634, and then began to fall slightly, closing the daily line with a small positive. However, the US dollar index stabilized and rebounded, and Ukrainian President Zelensky said that the Russian-Ukrainian war was "close to the end". Everyone still needs to beware of the risk of a short-term correction in gold prices. Gold hit a new high again, and the high point was constantly refreshed, from 2500 to 2634. In the short term, it is still dominated by a bullish trend. The weekly level broke through strongly last week. The current market is running on the upper track of the long-term channel. At present, it is necessary to focus on the support near 2600. The gains and losses of this position are related to the trend guidance of gold bulls and bears. If this position is broken, gold is likely to have a large retracement. It is still expected to fluctuate during the day. In the short term, if gold wants to completely get out of the strong pattern, it still needs time to exchange space. I have repeatedly emphasized that the current point chasing long profits and risks are not proportional. The operation is around the 2600-2635 range during the day. Detailed intraday operation strategy: Short gold at current price 2633, defense 2638, target 2620-2600 Long gold at 2600, defense 2594, target 2610-262
TVC:GOLD
by David_strategy
GOLD 4H Chart Analysis – SELL Signal in Play Hello Traders, A fresh SELL signal was triggered at 2627.96, pointing towards potential downside. - TP Zone: The target ranges from 2614.60 to 2604, offering a possible gain of 130 to 240 pips. - Market Structure: Price action suggests continued bearish momentum as we approach the TP zone. Keep an eye on the market and manage your risk accordingly. Always incorporate this idea into your broader trading plan. Stay sharp and trade smart!
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSDShort
by TradersJourneys
Gold short-term operation strategyThe four-hour lifeline, the hourly double-line upper track, the acceleration starting point, the top and bottom conversion position, and the position along the channel line are superimposed at 2584-2590, which is used as a support area for sweeping. The price squats and steps back to determine the support, or look at the upward movement The Asian session breaks the high, the European session breaks the low, and the sprint action needs to be handed over to the US session Pay attention to 2612-2610 in the European session, pay attention to 2622 upwards, and then look at 2630-2632
TVC:GOLDLong
by David_strategy
GOLD SWING SHORT SETUP Gold has seen a strong bullish trend, with a 27% gain year-to-date, largely driven by political and economic dynamics. However, chart analysis suggests the upward momentum may be overextended, indicating the likelihood of imminent institutional profit-taking. In comparison to other assets, Friday's price surge appears more characteristic of stop-loss hunting than a genuine continuation of the rally. Do not over risk SL and TP are marked Do you analyse before taking this trade
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PotentFX
4
9.23 Gold Short-term Operation Analysis StrategyGold's daily and weekly lines are both up, setting new highs. Gold once again stood firmly on the 2600 line. The daily and weekly lines closed directly with big positive lines, with basically no leads. Judging from the current trend, gold will continue to rise in the long run, and the technical forms are undoubtedly strong. There are currently a lot of short-term supports below, 2610-2600 in the short term, and the upper short-term suppression is at 2635. No one can predict where the final high point will be. As gold repeatedly breaks through new highs and madly refreshes historical highs, new highs also hide the risk of falling back. Intraday operation strategy: Short at 2635, defend at 2641, target 2620-2600 Buy at 2605, defend at 2600, target 2620-2630
TVC:GOLDLong
by David_strategy
3
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are in a new rage but just like last time we were able to generate accurate levels to use for the coming week. We are seeing price between two weighted levels. We have 2631 Goldturn resistance and 2618, as Goldturn support. We currently have a gap above on market open at 2631 and below at 2618 and will need ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2631 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2631 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2644 POTENTIALLY 2658 BEARISH TARGETS 2618 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2618 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE RETRACEMENT RANGE 2603 - 2588 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2558 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2575 - 2558 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
24
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN UPDATEHey Everyone, Please see update on the 4H chart we traded last week. This weeks chart is still a continuation from last weeks chart as the chart is still in play and playing out perfectly, as we analysed. We only updated the retracement and swing range to accommodate the new range. Last weeks range played out level to level like we analysed finished off with the last cross and lock above 2590 opening 2608 and 2626, which was completed perfectly finishing off the week at the last target. We are seeing price between two weighted levels. We have 2626 Goldturn resistance and we have 2608, as Goldturn support. We currently have a gap open above at 2626 and below at 2608 and will need ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2626 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2626 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2645 POTENTIALLY 2664 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2664 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2682 POTENTIALLY 2699 BEARISH TARGETS 2608 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2608 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE RETRACEMENT RANGE 2590 - 2564 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2564 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2545 - 2517 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
12
DAILY CHART MID/LONG TERM CHART UPDATEHey Everyone, Please see update on our daily chart structure that we have been tracking and trading successfully for a while now. Previously the candle body close above 2521 opened 2566, which was hit perfectly. We then hade a candle body close above 2566 leaving a long term gap to 2608 and we also stated that if we get a ema5 lock then this will further strengthen the gap. Usually the higher timeframes may not have room for ema5 lock so a candle body close is also suffice. On this occasion last week we got both the body close and ema5 lock and then our target was complete perfectly allowing us plenty of time to get in for the action after confirmation. We now have a candle body close above 2608 leaving a longer range/term target open at 2650 and, as usual ema5 cross and lock will further confirm this. We have to also keep in mind that we have a support range between 2566 - 2521 for longer range support areas to buy strategic dips, should the corrections take place before completing gaps above. We will use smaller timeframe analysis and trading plans to navigate the range in true level to level fashion. Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we will continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups. Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
4