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Gold price analysis December 19⭐️Fundamental Analysis Gold prices fell sharply due to the impact of the Fed's less dovish outlook. Fed Chairman Powell emphasized cautious policy in the context of ongoing high inflation risks. The Fed forecasts inflation target to reach 2% in the next 1-2 years, indicating slow progress. The latest dot chart shows few interest rate cuts until 2026, stabilizing the Fed funds rate at 3.4%. ⭐️Technical Analysis Gold prices fell to the 2685 area and were accepted by buyers to push prices up around 2610 in the Asian session. If the European session fails to break 2613, Gold will continue to fall in the European session and the destination is relatively far away at 2585-2558. In case the resistance zone at 2613 is broken, the direction is towards 2633, which is the first corrective wave SELL zone and the second corrective wave SELL zone around 2663
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
GOLD: Technical Trends and Fed Meeting Impact AheadGold remains relatively stable, hovering around $2,644 on Wednesday as I draft this article. This follows a rebound from a one-week low reached on Tuesday. The precious metal is currently under some pressure as investors anticipate the results of the final Federal Reserve meeting of the year. From a technical standpoint, gold has already tested a significant daily demand zone, subsequently retreating from a high of $2,720. Now, the metal appears poised for a potential bearish trend as the US dollar continues to gain strength. Retail traders are predominantly holding long positions, whereas commercial traders seem to be reducing their long exposure, which could suggest a shift in market sentiment. Looking ahead, the upcoming economic data from the US, including the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting today and the unemployment claims report tomorrow, could provide further support to the dollar. If these reports indicate stronger economic conditions, it may exacerbate a bearish trend for gold prices. As the market assesses the Fed's policy direction and its implications for interest rates and the dollar, gold will likely remain on the defensive. Investors should monitor these developments closely, as they could significantly influence gold's price movements in the near term. The combination of potential dollar strength and a shift in positioning among traders adds to the likelihood of continued bearish pressure on gold. ✅ Please share your thoughts about GOLD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FOREXN1
1
Gold Price Analysis December 16Fundamental Analysis Expectations of a hawkish Fed rate hike next week boosted the US dollar and US Treasury yields on Wednesday, leading to a corrective pullback in gold prices from multi-month highs. US President-elect Donald Trump's tax plan will add to inflation and delay the Federal Reserve's easing policy. Technical Analysis Gold is in a strong bearish channel with 2636 being the first target of the downtrend and 2626 the next. The recovery to be considered a trend reversal only when gold closes above the 2691 area. Gold is still considered a downtrend if it faces the 2672 and 2691 port areas. Pay attention to price reaction to have the best trading strategy Trading attention zone BUY zone 2626-2624 Stoploss 2620 SELL zone 2673-2675 Stoloss 2678
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
XAUUSD Trade LogXAUUSD Daily/Monthly Long Setup Trade Logic: - Setup: Long position initiated within a high-confluence zone supported by multiple technical and structural factors. - Confluence Factors: - Daily/Monthly Buy Signal: Higher timeframe signals indicate strong bullish momentum and continuation potential. - Trendline Support: Price has respected a long-term ascending trendline, acting as dynamic support. - Fair Value Gap (FVG): Entry aligns with a daily FVG in a discount zone, offering a high-probability long opportunity. - Kijun Support: Both daily and weekly Kijun lines provide additional support confluence. - Liquidity Zone: Recent sweep of liquidity below equal lows clears the path for a bullish reversal. - Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): - Stop-loss set below the trendline and daily FVG for tight risk management. - 1:3 RRR targeting the weak high at 2,910 , with secondary targets near 3,000 for extended profits. Macro Context: - Market Sentiment: Safe-haven demand for gold is rising amid geopolitical and economic uncertainty, aligning with bullish technical signals. - Dollar Weakness: Weakening USD supports upside momentum in XAUUSD. - Volume Profile: Strong buy-side volume near key support levels indicates institutional participation. Execution Plan: - Long entry near the confluence zone of the trendline, FVG, and Kijun support. - Maintain stop-loss below the daily FVG to manage risk effectively. - First target near 2,910 , with extended targets at 3,000 for partial or full profit-taking. - Reassess position if price closes below the trendline or invalidates the daily buy signal. Extra Note: Monitor macroeconomic events such as interest rate announcements or geopolitical developments that could affect gold prices. Let me know if further adjustments are needed!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Fondera
H_1 SCENARIOThe current analysis for XAU/USD (Gold vs. US Dollar) suggests a mixed outlook influenced by technical and geopolitical factors The current analysis for XAU/USD (Gold vs. US Dollar) suggests a mixed outlook influenced by technical and geopolitical factors combined with a positive RSI trend, suggests a potential continuation toward higher levels like $2,668 if the bullish sentiment persists On shorter timeframes, consolidation is observed near $2,640, with potential bearish movement if the resistance levels hold. A pullback to previous levels like $2,620 could act as a pivot for further trend assessment Immediate resistance is noted around $2,668, while support lies near $2,620. Breaking either of these levels could dictate the next directional move​ Prediction: In the near term, XAU/USD appears likely to continue testing resistance levels. If the bullish momentum holds, a rise to approximately $2,660-$2,670 could occur. Conversely, failing to maintain current levels may lead to a retracement toward $2,620. Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor, and this analysis should not be considered financial advice. Please consult with a professional for trading decisions.
CITYINDEX:XAUUSD
by TREXTROFX
Gold Analysis December 6Fundamental Analysis Gold prices continued to struggle for a firm near-term direction amid mixed fundamental signals and remained confined within a familiar range in the first half of the European session on Thursday. Persistent geopolitical risks stemming from the worsening Russia-Ukraine conflict, trade war fears, and political unrest in France and South Korea served as drivers of the safe-haven precious metal. Additionally, a weaker US dollar (USD) was seen as another factor providing some support to the commodity. That said, expectations of a less dovish Federal Reserve (Fed) should trigger a modest rebound in US Treasury yields and limit the upside in non-yielding gold. In fact, comments from several FOMC members on Wednesday, including Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, suggested that the US central bank will adopt a cautious stance on rate cuts. Technical Analysis After this morning's unexpected technical decline, it seems that gold will want to fall into Nonfarm today. With prices pushing up near the 2637 area, it marks a recovery in the European session before gold is pushed back down in the US session. There are 2 breakout zones to watch at 2637 and 2643
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Bitcoin Hits $100K: What Does It Mean for Gold?Bitcoin’s historic surge past $100K has reignited debates about its role in the financial world. Fed Chair Jerome Powell weighed in, calling Bitcoin a "speculative asset," likening it to virtual gold rather than a competitor to the dollar: "It's highly volatile, not a store of value or form of payment. It's really a competitor for gold." With Bitcoin soaring, many are asking: Could this mark the beginning of a stronger correlation between Bitcoin and gold, or are they destined to move on separate paths? Gold Faces Its Own Test While Bitcoin grabs the headlines, gold prices slipped below $2,630 per ounce, pressured by firming U.S. Treasury yields. Benchmark 10-year yields rose 0.6%, as markets anticipate today’s U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, expected to show 200,000 new jobs. A weaker report could lift gold, especially as traders assign a 74% chance of a 25-basis-point Fed rate cut in December. Fed Chair Jerome Powell has emphasized caution, acknowledged the economy’s resilience but signaling a careful approach to rate cuts. Gold, often a winner in low-rate environments, now finds itself at a critical juncture. Our Trading Plan for Gold Key levels to watch as we await the NFP report: $2,630: Monitor for price reactions to this recent support. $2,537–$2,530: Look for potential opportunities at this deeper support range. The Bigger Picture As Bitcoin claims new highs and challenges gold’s status as a store of value, gold continues to be swayed by macroeconomic forces. Will gold bounce back, or is it preparing for further dips as Bitcoin surges? Let us know your thoughts—will Bitcoin and gold align as Powell suggests, or will their paths diverge further? For more in-depth gold analysis and updates, stay tuned. And as always, happy trading!
TVC:GOLDShort
by InwardTrader
1
Gold Price Analysis December 4Fundamental Analysis Gold prices traded in a positive bias for the second consecutive day on Wednesday, despite lacking bullish conviction and remaining confined within the familiar range that has held for the past week or so. Traders appear reluctant at the moment, opting to wait for further signals on the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) interest rate cut path before placing any directional bets. As such, the market focus will remain on Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s speech later today, along with Friday’s US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, which will guide policymakers on their next monetary policy decision. Technical analysis breaks the 2647 level once again Gold is heading towards the technical resistance level of 2655. Gold is still trading in the accumulation range waiting for Nonfarm, most likely today there will be no break out of the 55 and 2635 ranges. The sideways market is quite difficult for trend traders. Wait and see how the European session will fluctuate. If it cannot break 2651, you can SELL to 2643-2635. If the price pushes up to 55 but cannot break this area, this is the trading range that can be reported today.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader