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Jnug to Gold Italy Vote WeekendDaily Chart I think that that was a great sign on Friday, Jnug up strong even in the wake of multiple days of great economic data. We broke out of the wedge and should move up with the Italy vote. But I think we will only reach around the $8.90 range before a little pullback. Then up hard to the second oval. At the end of the week or over next weekend we might hear a ruling from the British Supreme court about there decision for the Brexit. There are some other significant events that will also be coinciding with the later part of the week into early next week. Should help move gold and Jnug up. The 50 DMA (BLUE) should meet my price target about that time. And we should peek just above it. Hopefully we have a good couple of weeks.
AMEX:JNUGLong
by SalN
Tick-Tock Tick-Tock - GDX Long SetupPretty straight forward long setup for miners. It's all about patience and finding the pivot point in the coming days for first entry. RSI divergence, MACD divergence and also end of C wave impulse. This could also possibly be the absolute bottom of wave 2, but we'll need a couple of weeks or so to know for sure. With that said, there's going to be (at the very least) a nice swing into December. Keep an eye on DXY and gold for signals. Will comment with entry when the time comes.
AMEX:GDX
by xsubtownerx
3
Jnug to Gold Last week of November 20164 Hour Chart Time for a bounce yet? I think yes. But nothing too fabulous. The oscillators need to cool off because the next drop will be big. We are way oversold with a lot of bullish divergences. I think we arein the middle or our B pattern and the Fed hike should mark the beginning of the downward C. I also think that the December 4th Italy vote cold give us a little pop but nothing like Brexit. I measured the drop for a with a purple line. (look at the chart. I copied it and then moved it to where I think our possible high for Jnug could reach (around $11.30), and then used the purple line to measure a possible C move. And as you can see, it was quite a fit right down to where I think a bottom will reach this year or early next year. Short and sweet this time. GL
AMEX:JNUGLong
by SalN
Jnug to Gold possible bottom at 1186Dollar Daily Chart I wanted to start off with the Dollar chart because this week something happened. The dollar broke to new 13 year highs. And from my point of view, that changed the count for the dollar. By changing the count, I worked out as best that I could what to expect in the near term future. First lets look at Fib #2. Fib #2 shows the 100% level of Wave #1, (which we just passed this week). What that suggests is that we are currently in Wave 3. So how high can Wave three go. My absolute top is 103.10, But I think it will end at 102.81. WHY 102.81? Because if the Wave 2 correction was a steep clean nearly 61% retracement as Fib #1 shows, then Wave 4 retracement should be a shallow 38% retracement as Fib #3 shows. Fib #3 shows 102.81 with a retracement back down to the top of the major resistance, Which is now support, which is coincidentally the 38%. Make Sense? Hope I am not confusing you. So then what, I think we start Wave 5 with the December 14th rate hike. I marked it with a black line. Wave 5 should also take gold way down to the 1115 - 1120 level. That's my low for the end of January. Possibly turning around on Inauguration day. Fib #4 shows a 100% measurement of Wave #1 and of course it could be higher than that. So anywhere from 104.45 to 106.89. I will follow up with Gold in a little bit. But you should get where I am going with all of this.
TVC:DXYShort
by SalN
Jnug to Gold Nov 15Daily Chart Well so Far so Good. We still have room to run, but to how high? I measured the height of this move over the last two days. Then I extended it and it reached that resistance area up around $12.27. My thought on the issue is that tomorrow will kind of give me an idea of how the next three or four days will go. Today was very promising. The economic data this morning should have killed gold but it did not. That is very bullish. I am hoping for tomorrows data to gap us up to that first strong resistance between the $8.90 - $9.60 area. If we punch through that then I feel good about us reaching the $12.27 range. Then, As you can see, we should be due for a couple days of consolidation. I am envisioning a wedge type of trading for a couple of weeks. Not what I like to trade unless its real big swings. But based on what I am seeing, I think, IF we reach that $12.27 area by EOW or beginning of the next, then I will quickly buy into dust for about four days and then reconsider what to do. I may jump into OIL DWTI for a couple weeks at that point as the upward consolidation for oil to $48 should be over by then and the continuation down to $40 - $39. The real question that is plaguing me is, .....when do we fill that gap up to $15.76? GL everyone
AMEX:JNUGLong
by SalN
2
Jnug to Gold Nov 11 "Preparing for launch" Daily chart WOW! what a drop! And with a pretty strong close. Huge sell volume. But my $6.35 buy order did not get filled yet. So I am going to wait. Look at the oscillators and compare them to the October 5 - 7th price action. Hints that we may hit that line at around $6.25. And the COT report cut off is this coming Tuesday so we could bounce and then drop or just drop. However, we have a possible bear flag on the 4 hours chart. Spot gold also shows more to go. I think we will get down to the 1213 range for spot Gold. There is an ascending neckline at that level. I really believe that after this upcoming nice long pop (see chart) that this is going to come crashing down like the chart shows. As a matter of fact, today Larry Edelson expressed concern about gold being able to break out. And suggested that it could create what he called a cycle inversion, sending gold down to a low in January. Hmmmm, that's what my chart has been showing for a couple of months now. Time will tell but it sure looks that way. And Gary Savage is just pissed at all this dumping. I dont blame him. I am too. I do not see us making new lows with spot gold (I'll post my chart to show you all why). It seems as though we will get down to the trend line at $1115 range by late January 2017. I am not sure if this would cause a reverse spilt for Jnug or not. Maybe we will just get down to a price under $4 by then and start this real bull push all over again. You see, we are either in a large corrective wave 2 or more likely (IMO) in B of the ABC correction. Think about it for a sec. We are just coming out of a long bear market. Isn't there supposed to be the ABC correction? I say yes. This would also explain why soooo many senior analysts are guessing wrong as of late, about gold. If this is an ABC flat correction, then we would come down to near the bottom from 2015. Make sense? So stick with folks. Stay focused and don't get tooo discouraged if you took in in the shorts like so many have. After all. WE HAVNT SEEN NOTHING YET! I'll post the spot gold chart next. On a side note, it's not looking like we will make it up to the $22 range again this year. Also, Ill be expecting some nice gap ups once this thing turns around. And I don't this they will be break away gaps.
AMEX:JNUGLong
by SalN
Jnug to Gold Oct 28thDaily chart So just as I thought, a huge huge GDP report. And no I am not one of those people that thinks that it was priced in or anticipated to be a good report. If you follow along with stock twits, almost everyone (sentiment) was thinking that there was no way we could get up to even the forecasted 2.5%. But 2.9% is really a surprise. Yet we went on a roller coaster throughout the day. Take a look at your own gold chart and compare it to the miners. Now tell me, do you really feel this is Bullish for the miners. I don’t. The miners (Jnug) was starting to tank not too long after open. The only thing that could be argued that saved it was the Hilary Clinton FBI emails announcement. Even though gold went up quite a bit for most of the day, miners did not make a higher high and closed weak. That, in my opinion is a big red flag. (It has been said over and over that the miners lead the price direction for gold). Also, gold did drop back down to the 1275 level at the end of the day. I think follow through from the great GDP report is coming on Monday and Tuesday. On the weekly, we sure look like we are possibly making a bear flag. So obviously don’t allow yourselves to be biased. Monday and Tuesday will tell the tale. My take is that we are just starting to move down into the 5th wave of our C correction. This does not mean that it can’t stop right at the trend line and then turn up. But with a phony huge GDP jump, I think the pressure to gold miners will be too great until the FOMC rate decision comes and goes. I think we go down until that decision and then a nice hard rally for a couple weeks. Another thing that should be noted is that we haven’t really had that huge green volume day with follow though yet. As far as Technical indicators, I really like to use the Willaims R. I modified it to 13 and 18 because those two levels have been very reliable forecasting ‘the’ big moves. I also modified the RSI. I will post charts with both modifications so you can check it out for yourself. When both are either oversold or overbought at those levels, it has been very reliable that a big move is near. So it currently shows that its still moving down with a little more to go. That’s just one of the many things I use. It has been said that October is the most volatile month. I would say they are correct. It is very difficult to trade medium term with this kind of price action. However, if I am correct about this being the start of the 5th wave down, then this 4th wave fits perfectly I would say. It is a shallow correction, complicated, and has been an all around pain in the ass. Cyclically speaking, we are getting near the end of the cycle. This also suggests that we need to move down further. I think for miners, the cycle will bottom on the 2nd. With no rate hike, Jnug and gold should pop. Then there is the election. I have this strange feeling that Trump will somehow win and then that will provide another much bigger pop. (just look at what happened today when this new email stuff came out). Then I think this next cycle will be stretched a bit due to the rate hike date on December 14th. So that’s about it. Short and sweet this weekend. As always, if I have forgotten anything, then I will update it later.
AMEX:JNUGShort
by SalN
2
GDX - POTENTIAL DOUBLE BOTTOM - IS IT ROCKET SHIP TIME?I believe a double bottom has formed at the 22.50 level. This could lead to a potential boost to 26 over the next few weeks. We have seen a nice bounce off this level in the second week of October, and have been progressing well a long the daily bullish trend-line. Unfortunately, miner equities and ETF's have been selling off with the recent equity sell-off, and it's gains have been capped. I believe that as long as gold remains bullish this week and bounces over 1280, we will see the GDX take off, and it will decouple from it's relationship with the other equities, and lean more towards it's relationship with gold.
AMEX:GDXLong
by GeorgeJimas
3