Get started

GDP

Aussie shrugs off soft GDPThe Australian dollar is showing limited movement for a second successive day. In European trade, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6696, up 0.12%. Australia's economy underperformed in Q3, with a modest gain of 0.6% m/m. This was lower than the Q2 print of 0.9% and beneath the 0.7% consensus and also marked the weakest quarterly growth this year. Annualized GDP climbed 5.9%, an improvement from 3.6% in Q2 but shy of the consensus of 6.2%. The RBA is projecting that GDP will continue to slow through to 2024. The economy is showing clear signs of slowing down. Services, manufacturing and construction PMIs are all in decline. There was more bad news this week - Current Account for Q3 showed a deficit for the first time since 2019 and Company Operating Profits fell by 12.4% in the third quarter. Household spending remains strong, but high inflation continues to erode savings and consumers will have no choice but to cut back on spending at some point. Inflation has been more persistent than the RBA anticipated, and Governor Lowe has reiterated that inflation is a "scourge" that must be defeated. The RBA would prefer to avoid a recession, but it will be a tricky task to guide the economy to a soft landing. The RBA raised rates by 25 bp on Tuesday, bringing the cash rate to 3.10%. The move was widely expected. As a result, the Australian dollar showed a muted response. There was little of note in Governor Lowe's rate statement, which was almost identical to the November statement. Lowe noted that the RBA expects to increase rates, but "is not on a pre-set course" and rate decisions would be data-dependent. This last point may seem obvious, but events such as consumer spending, employment and inflation will be key drivers which determine rate policy in the early part of 2023. There is a great deal of uncertainty as to the terminal rate, which forecasts ranging from 3.3% all the way to 3.8%. This means there is some life left in the current rate cycle, and there is a strong possibility that the RBA will deliver another 25 bp hike at its next meeting in February. AUD/USD tested support at 0.6676 earlier. Next, there is support at 0.6558 There is resistance at 0.6760 and 0.6878
by OANDA
USD/JPY roars back after solid NFPThe Japanese yen has been on an impressive streak but has dropped sharply on Monday. USD/JPY is trading at 135.83, up 1.13% on the day. The US dollar is showing some signs of life, courtesy of Friday's US employment report, which was stronger than expected. The economy created 263,000 jobs in November, slightly lower than the October reading of 284,000 but well above the consensus of 200,000. Wage growth also outperformed, as the reading of 5.1% y/y was up from 4.9% and beat the forecast of 4.6%. The labor market continues to show a surprising resiliency and the increase in wage growth will drive inflationary pressure. It was less than two months ago that the ailing Japanese yen was below the 150 level and there was increasing talk of Tokyo implementing another currency intervention to save the currency. The yen has turned the tables, gaining a superb 7.4% in November and another 2% so far in December as it trades at its highest levels since mid-August. At the same time, it's important to note that the yen's recent upswing is more a story of broad weakness on the part of the US dollar rather than newfound strength in the Japanese currency. The Bank of Japan has no plans to change its ultra-accommodative policy, which has capped rate yields and weighed heavily on the yen, which is still down by about 18% against the dollar this year. With the Fed signalling that rates could go higher than it previously anticipated, the US/Japan rate differential will continue to widen and make the yen less attractive to investors. Japan releases Household Spending later today for October, with a consensus of 1.0%. The downturn is expected to continue, following a 2.3% gain in September and 5.1% a month earlier. This will be followed on Wednesday with GDP for Q3, with an estimate of -1.1%. The economy contracted by 1.2% in the second quarter, so another decline in growth would mean that technically the economy would be in recession. If these releases are weaker than expected, the US dollar could gain more ground. USD/JPY is putting strong pressure on resistance at 135.96. Above, there is resistance at 1.3699 There is support at 1.3412 and 1.3333
by OANDA
Silver - Long Above Key SupportWe see Silver moving higher and continuing its recent uptrend from September lows just above $17 whilst it is above key support at around $21. However, we await key data releases such as the Q3 US GDP growth rate tomorrow and non-farm payrolls on Friday. This could indicate whether FED chair Powell will continue with aggressive rate hikes or increase market expectations that he would pivot as the US economy slows in particular with the recent lower than expected inflation data. A more dovish stance would boost Silver demand both as a safe haven and in it's use for industrial production.
FOREXCOM:XAGUSDLong
by KQMarkets
Euro steady as German data improvesUS markets are open for limited hours today, and investors are focussed on the World Cup and Black Friday rather than the US dollar. EUR/USD is trading quietly at 1.0392, down 0.18%. German data has not been spectacular this week, but nonetheless is moving in the right direction, as the German economy is in decent shape. Germany's GDP for Q3 was revised upwards to 0.4% QoQ, up from 0.3% and ahead of the consensus of -0.2%. This follows a 0.1% gain in GDP in Q1 and is all the more impressive, considering the headwinds on the global scene, in particular the war in Ukraine. Germany has made a mammoth effort to stockpile energy supplies and end its dependence on Russia, which should mean that an energy crisis can be avoided this winter. German Consumer confidence remains weak but improved slightly for a second straight month. The November reading rose to -40.2, up from -41.9, although shy of the consensus of -39.6. Business confidence also edged higher earlier this week, as did Business Expectations. The ECB minutes, released on Thursday, indicated that ECB members remained concerned about inflation becoming entrenched. Members were clear about the need to raise rates in order to bring inflation back down to the 2% target, and most members supported the 75-bp hike at the October meeting, with a few voting for a 50-bp move. The markets have priced in a 50-bp increase at the December 15th meeting, after ECB policymakers hit the airwaves and urged that the ECB slow down the pace of rate hikes. Still, with inflation at a crippling 10.6%, there's little doubt that the ECB will have to continue raising rates, and the markets expect the deposit rate, currently at 1.5%, to hit 3.0% in 2023. 1.0359 and 1.0238 are providing support There is resistance at 1.0447 and 1.0568
by OANDA
Pound takes a dive, retail sales nextThe British pound is sharply lower on Thursday as the US dollar has rebounded against the major currencies. In the North American session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.1787, down 1.07%. We continue to see sharp swings from the pound in November. Jeremy Hunt's Autumn Statement was much more in keeping with the difficult economic times than the ill-fated mini-budget back in September, which set off a financial crisis and emergency intervention from the Bank of England. The Finance Minister's budget outlined major spending cuts and tax hikes and Hunt stated that the government and the BoE were working in "lockstep".  The fiscal austerity in the new budget is a step in the right direction, but the pound nevertheless has taken a tumble today. The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) forecast indicated that the UK is currently in a recession, which will see unemployment jump from 3.5% to 4.9%. The BoE's outlook is even worse, with unemployment forecast to hit 6.5% and negative growth expected in the second half of this year, throughout 2023 and into the first half of 2024. GDP declined by 0.2% in the third quarter, and the headwinds look formidable for the UK economy and the British pound. The investor euphoria which sent the stock markets rallying after the soft inflation report has taken a pause, and the US dollar has rebounded. Fed policy members sought to dispel any thoughts of a Fed pivot, reminding the markets that the Fed was planning to raise rates higher than they had anticipated. The hawkish Fed speak may or may not have convinced investors to settle down, but a strong US retail sales report clearly did the job. The headline and core releases both posted strong gains of 1.3%, dampening sentiment that the Fed was turning dovish. US consumers continue to spend despite inflation and rising rates, an indication that the Fed can continue to raise rates and probably avoid a deep recession. Interest rates are expected to peak at 5% or slightly higher, which means that the Fed is highly likely to continue tightening into next year. . There is resistance at 1.1961 and 1.2030 GBP/USD has broken below support at 1.1896 and 1.1786. Below, there is support at 1.1660
by OANDA
Japanese yen rises despite GDP declineThe Japanese yen hit its highest level since August 29th, as the currency powers higher. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 139.17, down 0.53%. The US dollar can't find its footing, and even a soft GDP reading out of Japan hasn't put a dent in the current yen rally. The economy declined in the third quarter for the first time in a year. GDP fell by 1.2% YoY, much weaker than the consensus of a 1.1% gain and the 4.6% gain in Q2. The usual suspects were the drivers of the decline in GDP - weak global growth and rising inflation. In addition, the weak yen, which recently fell to 32-year lows, has contributed to higher prices. The yen has reversed its fortunes since the unexpectedly soft US inflation report and has soared 6.4% in November. The investor exuberance which sent the stock markets flying last week appears to have subsided. Investors jumped on the soft inflation report, as risk sentiment soared and the US dollar retreated. Fed members have responded by sending a hawkish message to the markets, as any dovish signals could complicate its battle to bring down inflation. Fed Vice Chair Brainard said on Monday that she was in favor of slowing the pace of rate hikes, but that further hikes were still required in order to bring down inflation. Brainard's stance was echoed by Fed member Waller who said that while the Fed may ease up on the size of future rate hikes, it should not be seen as a "softening" in its fight against inflation. Waller added that the 7.7% inflation reading in October was "enormous", in sharp contrast to the markets, which chose to focus on the fact that inflation fell sharply from 8.2% in September. The Fed is committed to curbing inflation and is far from convinced that inflation has peaked, even though inflation appears to be trending in a downward direction. USD/JPY is testing support at 1.39.66. Below, there is support at 138.69 There is resistance at 140.88 and 141.61
by OANDA
GDP is Bad and You Should Feel BadThe GDP number of 2.7% growth is being propped up by net exports, while consumption is at a cycle low. This is horrible for earnings expectations and risk assets. Net exports were at a low in prior quarters, making the economy look worse off than it was. Now the economy is actually worse off than it is and the metric is instead making it look better. This is why the NBER doesn't use "two quarters of negative GDP" to date recessions. There are too many false signals. Don't fall for the GDP meme. The pain is coming.
FRED:GDPC1Short
by coinhoIio
EUR/USD Loses Ground After ECB Rate Hike, U.S. GDP dataThe EUR/USD pair fell Thursday following the European Central Bank interest rate decision, which was followed by cautious comments from President Christine Lagarde during the press conference. At the same time, the greenback is gaining ground thanks to solid GDP readings. At the time of writing, the EUR/USD is trading at the 1.0000 area, 0.70% below its opening price, after being rejected from a high of 1.0093. The European Central Bank announced today its decision to hike rates by 75 basis points for the second time in a row. During the press conference, Christine Lagarde said economic activity in the euro area will likely have contracted "significantly" in the third quarter and will likely continue to do so for the rest of 2022 and 2023 due to higher prices and falling real wages. When asked about inflation and forward guidance, ECB President stated that "there is still ground to cover," but the future path and pace will be decided meeting by meeting and will remain data-dependent. Lagarde confirmed that higher rates are needed to reach their medium-term target, but she refrained from giving more insights into her estimations of the neutral rate. Meanwhile, the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis released its first estimates of the third-quarter Gross Domestic Product. Q3 GDP growth came in at 2.6%, above the 2.4% increase expected. Other data revealed that Durable Goods Orders increased by 0.4% in September, below the 0.6% expected. The focus will now shift to next week's Fed meeting when the broad market consensus expects another 75 bps hike. From a technical standpoint, the EUR/USD short-term bias looks neutral, according to indicators on the daily chart. The RSI has turned south but remains above its midline, while the MACD printed a lower green bar, indicating a dwindling buying interest. At the same time, the price remains capped by the 100-day SMA (1.0087) and moves to test the broken channel as support at the 0.9910 area. A break below could add pressure on the euro, with the following supports seen at 0.9830, 20-day SMA, and 0.9800. If the EUR/USD manages to overcome the 100-day SMA, the next resistances could be found at September's highs in the 1.0200 zone.
by Alex_Boltyan_FXAnalyst
Why is the S&P500 ready to go short again?Why is the S&P500 ready to go short again? This question can't be answer, I'm not a magician and no one will know what the market is going to do, but let's see what's giving me the hint of the short idea. Let's start from the Real GDP . We're going to consider the Real GDP which I'll be calling GDP during the post. After doing some research you can see how the S&P is directly correlated with the GDP, and that the GDP is directly correlated with the S&P, if one goes down in most cases the other one goes down and vice versa. If we lag the GDP by 6 months, we can see how over 80% of the times if the GDP goes in a direction, within 6 months will be followed by the S&P. There is only one scenario where we're not interested into trading, which is the ones where the GDP goes down and the S&P goes up. This is the most important rule in analyzing the market. If we want to see how the S&P is going to move than we have to predict the GDP, how can we predict the GDP? By looking at the Macroeconomics and Microeconomics data. In this post I'll only take into consideration the US Yield Curve otherwise the post is going to be too long and y'all lazy people won't read it. According to Investopedia, the yield curve graphs the relationship between bond yields and bond maturity. More specifically, the yield curve captures the perceived risks of bonds with various maturities to bond investors. The U.S. Treasury Department issues bonds with maturities ranging from one month to 30 years. As bonds with longer maturities usually carry higher risk, such bonds have higher yields than do bonds with shorter maturities. Due to this, a normal yield curve reflects increasing bond yields as maturity increases. However, the yield curve can sometimes become flat or inverted. In a flat yield curve, short-term bonds have approximately the same yield as long-term bonds. An inverted yield curve reflects decreasing bond yields as maturity increases. Such yield curves are harbingers of an economic recession. The S&P is also in a bear market since it's lost the 20% from its highest point and once our fundamental analysis is done, we can move on the technical part, it's not useless but can give us a good timing. Here in the chart, you can see the first cup and the second cup which are giving us the first hint of a continuation in down trend. Obviously, we need more confirmations but that's a first suggestion of what's going to happen. I know it's a short and quick post, but I'll update this or create a new post once I understand how the ideas section of TradingView works :) Good luck traders!
FX:SPX500Short
by DennisMantineo
Will GDP shake up GBP/USD?GBP/USD is trading quietly for a second straight day. In the North European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.1035, down 0.18%. The pound has not posted a winning day since October 12th and has lost 400 points during that time. GBP/USD dropped below the symbolic 1.10 line earlier today, and a break below 1.10 will likely increase talk of the pound following the euro and dropping to parity with the dollar. The UK labour market is one of the few bright spots in the economy, and today's employment report reaffirmed that the job market remains tight. Unemployment in the three months to August dipped to 3.5%, down from 3.6%, while average earnings jumped to 6.0%, up from 5.5% and ahead of the consensus of 5.9%. These rosy numbers are dampened by an inflation rate of 9.9%, which has badly hurt real UK incomes. The strong job market bolsters the likelihood of the Bank of England will deliver some tough medicine at its November meeting, perhaps a super-size rate hike of 1.0%. The BoE was forced to intervene on an emergency basis after the mini-budget almost caused a bond market crash, and investors have circled October 14th, which is the expiry date of the BoE's gilt-buying intervention. There are concerns that if the BoE does not renew its bond-buying, the result could be another exodus from UK government bonds. On Wednesday, the UK releases GDP for August, which is expected at 0% MoM, down from 0.2% in July. In the US, inflation will be in focus this week, with PPI data on Wednesday and CPI a day later. Headline inflation is expected to fall to 8.1% in September, down from 8.3% in August, but core CPI is expected to rise to 6.5%, up from 6.3%. Unless inflation surprises sharply to the downside, the release will not cause the Fed to rethink its hawkish policy. GBP/USD faces resistance at 1.1085 and 1.1214 There is resistance at 1.0935 and 1.0776
by OANDA
NZD/USD tumbles despite RBNZ hikeNZD/USD started the day with gains but has reversed directions and is sharply lower in the North American session. The New Zealand dollar is trading at 0.5657, down 1.38%. As expected, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand delivered a 0.50% hike, bringing the benchmark to 3.50%, its highest level since 2015. The RBNZ has now hiked rates at eight consecutive meetings and even discussed a super-size 0.75% increase at today's meeting. The RBNZ has been aggressive with its rate-tightening cycle, and there's likely more to come. The rate statement noted that "core consumer inflation is too high" and the labour market remains tight, a signal that the central bank will continue to tighten until inflation has peaked. This means that the November meeting will likely bring a rate hike of 0.50% or 0.25%, depending on economic data and the inflation picture. Inflation hit 7.3% in Q2, up from 6.9 in Q1. One of the dangers of a steep rate-tightening cycle is choking off economic growth and Moody's rating agency said after today's rate hike that a soft land was "increasingly unlikely". The RBNZ might disagree, pointing to a 1.7% gain in GDP in Q2 and a robust labour market. The economy has proven strong enough to bear sharp rate hikes and Governor Orr is looking for a peak in inflation before easing up on rates. September was a disaster for the New Zealand dollar, which plunged a staggering 8.5% and fell to its lowest level since March 2020. NZD/USD has rebounded 2.0% in October, but the currency faces significant headwinds. The escalating conflict in Ukraine, which has seen President Putin annex 15% of Ukrainian territory, and a hawkish Federal Reserve are likely to continue weighing on the New Zealand dollar in the short term. NZD/USD is testing support at 0.5712. Below, there is weak support at 0.5639, followed by 0.5522 There is resistance at 0.5829 and 0.5902
by OANDA
NZD/USD - All eyes on RBNZThe New Zealand dollar continues to rally. In the European session, NZD/USD is trading at 0.5746, up 0.43%. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand holds a meeting on Wednesday. The RBNZ has been aggressive with its rate tightening and is expected to raise rates by 0.50%, which would bring the cash rate to 3.50%, the highest since 2015. Governor Orr has hinted that the rate cycle could be coming to a close soon, but that is still more work to do to tame inflation. In Q2, CPI rose to 7.3%, up from 6.9% in Q1. The economy has performed well, with GDP rising 1.7% in Q2, along with a strong labour market and solid wage growth. This means that Orr can continue to raise rates above 4.0% in the knowledge that the economy is strong enough to handle additional rate hikes. September was a disaster for the New Zealand dollar, which plunged 6.5% and fell to its lowest level since March 2020. With the US dollar taking a breather, NZD/USD has rebounded this week, with gains of 2.70%. The volatility could well continue, and the New Zealand dollar is likely to face more headwinds in the short term. First, the risk-related currency has been hit hard as risk apprehension has soared. The war in Ukraine has escalated and the energy crisis facing Western Europe could tip many countries into recession this winter. China's economy has been slowing down, which means less demand for New Zealand exports. Second, the Federal Reserve remains in aggressive mode and is committed to curbing inflation, even if that results in a recession. US Treasury yields have been on an upswing, propelling the US dollar higher against most of the major currencies. NZD/USD is testing support at 0.5712. Below, there is support at 0.5639 There is resistance at 0.5829 and 0.5902
by OANDA
MAJOR INDICES in USD / WORLD GDPFormula: (Major Indices/USDxxx)/World GDP (Gross Domestic Product) Indices: USA, Germany, Japan, UK, China. (all converted to USD) After the 2008-2009 bottom, USA performed much better than other countries. So, what's next? We can expect other countries to perform better even a bit from now on. But that dosen't mean that the stock markets will rise. It's a bit confusing, because there are high differences between them, as seen. If we focus on USA, we can say that the stock market is expensive. But others don't tell the same. We will see...
SP:SPX
by skykhan
US GDP decline sees stocks closing lowerEUR/USD 🔼 GBP/USD 🔼 AUD/USD 🔽 USD/CAD 🔼 XAU ▶️ WTI 🔽 US GDP readings for the second quarter of 2022 were at -0.6%, aligning with market estimates. On the other hand, Initial Jobless Claims have decreased from 213,000 to 193,000, slightly more optimistic than the original projection of 215,000. A contracting economy has sent US stocks further down, all three major indices fell to over a two-year low, Nasdaq 100 dropped the most to 11,164.78, losing 2.86% in the process. Despite Canada’s GDP rising by 0.1% over a -0.15% forecast, USD/CAD still managed to close higher at 1.3677, after retreating from 1.3752. German CPI has reached double figures at 10%, and the Eurozone CPI this afternoon is also expected to have a 9.7% spike. But high inflation didn’t stop the Euro from regaining territory lost earlier this week, EUR/USD regained upward momentum after falling from 0.9640, to a closing price of 0.9814. The British Pound continued to bounce back fiercely after the previous dive, by surging 188 pips to 1.1115. Meanwhile, the Aussie / Dollar pair experienced some oscillation and closed with a modest loss at 0.6499. A strong dollar and recession fears led to more risk-aversion in the market, and gold prices were little changed at $1,660.61 an ounce, despite dropping to $1,642.0 prior. WTI oil futures went slightly lower to $81.23 a barrel, although oil prices could rise since OPEC is likely to cut production, and civil unrest in Iran made the nuclear deal more difficult to close. More information on Mitrade website.
by Mitrade_official
Japanese yen can't buy any loveThe Japanese yen is down sharply for a second straight day. USD/JPY is trading at 144.87 in the North American session, up 1.45% on the day. Later today, Japan releases Final GDP, which is expected to come in at 0.7%, up from the initial GDP estimate of 0.5%. It's been a disastrous week so far for the yen, as USD/JPY has jumped 3.31% and is quickly closing in on the 145 line, which hasn't been breached in 24 years. It was just a few days ago that there was concern about the yen breaking 140, and here we are at the lofty 145 level. Predictably, Tokyo has responded with warnings about the yen's performance, with the Chief Cabinet Secretary saying that officials are ready to take action if necessary and the situation is being carefully watched. We've heard this rhetoric before, but the lip service hasn't been backed by any action. The 145 line is not a magic line in the sand that will trigger intervention by the Ministry of Finance, but if officials elect to stay on the sideline, we can expect the yen to continue to depreciate in the current economic climate. Japan's Household Spending, released on Tuesday, was a disappointment. The reading of 3.4% for July dipped from 3.5% in June and missed the 4.2% estimate. Domestic activity has improved somewhat in the post-Covid era but the economy remains weak and households continue to be hit with high prices for energy and food. Inflation is around 3%, much lower than in other major economies and not enough to force the BoJ to tighten policy. With the BoJ enforcing a cap on JGB yields and the US/Japan rate differential widening, there is more room for the yen's slide to continue. USD/JPY has support at 142.75 and 141.48 USD/JPY is testing resistance at 144.70. Above, there is resistance at 146.65
by OANDA
1
AUD/USD edges lower ahead of RBA decisionThe Australian dollar has started the week with slight losses. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6798, down 0.19%. The Reserve Bank of Australia meets on Tuesday, with investors unclear as to the size of the next rate move. The markets have priced in a 50 basis point move at 68%, with a modest 25 bp increase at 32%. This means that the RBA will likely deliver a fourth straight rate 50bp rate hike, which would bring the cash rate to 2.35%. The RBA has been waging a battle against rising inflation, which rose to 6.1% in Q2, up from 5.1% in Q1. At the July meeting, the Australian dollar lost ground despite a 0.50% rate hike, and this could be repeated on Tuesday, especially if the RBA opts for a small 0.25% hike. The central bank has its hands full with rising inflation and a slowing economy. Policy makers are hoping to avoid a recession and guide the economy to a soft landing, but the central bank, like the Fed, has made clear that its paramount goal is to curb inflation and avoid inflation expectations from becoming anchored. Following the RBA decision, Australia releases GDP for the second quarter. The market consensus stands at 3.5%, which would be an improvement on the 3.3% gain in Q1. Australia recorded a record trade surplus of $A45 billion in Q2, and this should be reflected in a higher GDP. The Aussie remains constrained by weak risk appetite, as the energy crisis in Europe took a turn for the worse on the weekend. The Nord Stream 1 pipeline, which is the main conduit for Russian gas to Europe, failed to reopen on Saturday after three days of maintenance. Russia has now closed the pipeline indefinitely, citing a malfunctioning turbine. Germany is skeptical, to put it mildly, and fears are rising that Moscow is again weaponising energy exports to Europe, which could result in a full-blown energy shortage this winter. AUD/USD faces resistance at 0.6846 and 0.6922 There is support at 0.6737 and 0.6661
by OANDA
EUR/USD near parity, Powell speech nextThe euro has posted gains today and briefly punched above the symbolic parity line. In the North American session, EUR/USD is trading at 0.9978, up 0.11%. It seems that whatever angle you examine Germany's economy, things are not looking good. Services and manufacturing PMIs both remained in contraction territory (below 50.0) for a second straight month. The labour market, which had been a bright spot in the economy, saw the pace of job creation fall to a 1.5-year low. Today's releases didn't add any cheer. GDP in Q2 rose a negligible 0.1%, revised from 0.0%. As well, German Ifo Business Climate fell to 88.5, down from 88.7. This wasn't a sharp drop, but it was significant since it marked the index's lowest level since mid-2020. What is no less alarming than the weak numbers is the pessimistic outlook. As the war in Ukraine drags on with no end in sight, the energy crisis could get significantly worse in the winter, as Western Europe is vulnerable to a cutoff of Russian oil and natural gas. Germany appears headed towards a recession later in the year, and the rest of the eurozone will likely fare no better. The US economy contracted for a second straight quarter in Q2, but second-estimate GDP was revised upwards to -0.6%, up from -0.9% in the initial estimate. This follows a 1.6% decline in the first quarter. The upward revision was good news for the US dollar, as a weak GDP reading could have raised speculation about a Fed U-turn in policy and sent the greenback lower. The dollar's next test comes as soon as Friday, with all eyes on Fed Chair Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium. If Powell reiterates that the Fed will continue to tighten aggressively until inflation is curbed, the dollar could gain ground. However, if the Fed Chair's message is less hawkish than expected, we could see sharp gains in the equity markets at the expense of the dollar, as was the case following the surprise drop in US inflation earlier this month. EUR/USD is testing support at 0.9959. Below, there is support at 0.9877 There is resistance at 1.0113 and 1.0195
by OANDA
No FOMO- Rejection and also GDP TomorrowHi everyone, just as expected yesterday price attempted to break back into the ascending channel but it seems to be failing: There are still 40% chances of it happening but right now a new small dip towards 21,000 is more likely (60%). With indices attempting a rebound, it would had been great to see BTC back into a positive structure (the ascending channel) and hopefully it will happen before the Fundamentals kick in: GDP (*Preliminary one, not the big one but still important) is coming out tomorrow and expected to be negative. It will also depend to see 'How negative is it'. Thus itcoins rebound might be delayed a bit more. ALSO: Mt Gox could become Mt Cock .... stay safe for a while One Love, the FXPROFESSOR *There are 3 versions of GDP released a month apart - Advance, Preliminary, and Final. The Advance release is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact; Why Traders Care It's the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary gauge of the economy's health;
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by FX_Professor
2