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Gbpusdforecast

GBPUSD I Potential bearish continuation Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** GBPUSD Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!
Short
by BKTradingAcademy
4
GBP/USD Shorts from 1.27400 pro trend idea.My previous scenario (A) for GU unfolded precisely as expected, with the bullish reaction aligning perfectly with the marked demand zone. This week, I anticipate further upward movement towards my supply zone (A) near 1.2400. My reasoning is that price will likely seek to address the significant imbalance in that area before initiating a downward move. Although not the closest point of interest, I also consider scenario (B), wherein price mitigates my 17-hour demand zone. This could trigger a temporary bullish reaction, potentially driving price to reach the marked supply level (A). Confluences for GU Sells are as follows: - Price has broken structure to the downside. - Major imbalance left below the supply level which needs to be filled. - Market trend is overall bearish on the higher time frame. - Aligns with the dollar (DXY) as that's moving bullish currently. - A clear 20-hour supply zone where I anticipate a Wyckoff distribution to take place. - Lots of liquidity to the downside in the form of equal lows and Asia lows. P.S. This idea is in line with the prevailing bearish trend, as price has broken structure to the downside, confirming its direction. Additionally, it aligns with the strengthening dollar (DXY), which I perceive to be on a bullish trajectory. Have a great week ahead guys and happy trading!
Short
by Hassan_fx
2
GBP/USD Alert: Next Week's Inflation Forecast GBP/USD Alert: Next Week's Inflation Forecast The week is relatively quiet, so we are looking ahead to next week’s major events. With UK and US inflation released one day apart, perhaps the GBP/USD is the pair to watch. On February 14, U.S. inflation rate data is set to be released. Despite the diminishing market expectations for a Fed rate cut in March, if U.S. inflation falls below 3.0% this month, there might be renewed hopes for some rate relief. With expectations still hovering around 20% for a March rate hike, market participants may grasp onto any positive news to maintain the possibility of such a move. The question arises: what is the threshold for rate-cut enthusiasts? Perhaps 2.8% or below? Moving on to February 15, UK inflation rate data will be released. Some policy makers are already calling for rate cuts from the Bank of England (Board member Swati Dhingra voted for a 25-basis point cut during the last meeting). Will a significant decrease in UK inflation this month guarantee this course of action sooner than previously thought? Dhingra makes a sound argument for loosening monetary policy at this point pointing to weak consumption and the low likelihood that inflation resurges. But will anyone else on the BoE board join her on her dovish stance?
by BlackBull_Markets
GBPUSD M30 / OB Taken, Looking for a Long Entry Confirmation 📈Hello Traders! This is my idea related to GBPUSD M30. I like the reaction from the OB, and I expect another bearish move before going bullish. I expect also that BOSS will be taken and after that, I will look for a long entry. Traders, if you liked my idea or if you have a different vision related to this trade, write in the comments. I will be glad to see your perspective. ____________________________________ Follow, like, and comment to see my content: www.tradingview.com
by GoodTradeST
GBP/USD Longs from 1.25400 back up to 1.27400This week, I'm watching GU closely for a potential uptrend starting from the 11-hour demand zone below. If price reacts as expected, it could fill the gaps left after Friday's NFP. Another possibility is an upward move from the current 3-hour demand area towards a newly identified 10-hour supply zone. While navigating this situation, I exercise caution, especially concerning the 10hr supply zone, despite the presence of relative equal highs. Prior to considering any sell positions, I ensure that additional confirming factors align with my analysis. Nonetheless, my bias leans towards seeking buy opportunities, considering the temporary bullish sentiment prevailing in the market. Confluences for GU Buys are as follows: - Price is near a clean 11-hour demand zone that has broken structure to the upside. - Liquidity above zone so when it gets swept we can expect price to re-accumulate within our zone to then buy back up. - GU has been temporarily bullish as well so it's a pro-trend idea. - There's lots of liquidity to the upside that needs to be addressed as well as some imbalances. - Dollar (DXY) is still looking bearish as well which means more upside is still left for GU. P.S. Examining the higher time frames, we're currently in a consolidation phase with significant liquidity above and below our nearest Points of Interest (POIs). However, for now, I'll stay flexible and adhere to my trading strategy. If price enters any of the zones I've identified, I'll execute my plan accordingly. HOPE YOU TRADERS END THIS WEEK IN BLUES!
Long
by Hassan_fx
2
GBPUSD Imminent Longs or wait for 1.26600 for bullish reactionThis week's analysis suggests a bullish reaction in line with the current uptrend, making it a favorable pro-trend opportunity. Currently, price resides in a 2-hour demand zone, and I'll be closely monitoring for a Wyckoff accumulation pattern. Should my confirmation on the lower time frame align, I'll consider buying, although this zone isn't the most optimal. Ideally, I'd prefer this zone to fail, allowing for a potential move to mitigate the 2-hour demand zone below or the 3-hour demand zone that swept the bottom boundary of the consolidation. While this zone presents a promising setup, I'll exercise caution and await additional confirmation before considering an entry. Confluences for GBPUSD Buys are as follows: - Price has been temporarily bullish and this idea goes along with the current trend. - Pullback is ongoing so I can anticipate a potential Wyckoff accumulation to unfold. - Lots of liquidity above that needs to be swept as well as a strong supply as well. - Price has swept the bottom part of the consolidation causing price to break structure to the upside. - A few clean demand zones that need mitigating like the current 2 hour or the ones just below. P.S. Despite the current bullish sentiment, I find the supply zone around 1.28000 on the 10-hour chart intriguing for potential sell opportunities. Therefore, my plan is to aim for buying opportunities leading up to that zone. HAVE A GREAT TRADING WEEK EVERYONE!
Long
by Hassan_fx
1
GBPUSD Shorts from 1.27400 down towards 1.26200This week's analysis for GBPUSD is promising. I'm currently anticipating a slight upward movement to reach the nearby Asian high and mitigate the supply zone at a deeper level. Alternatively, if this doesn't happen, I'm prepared for a potential reaction from the 4-hour supply zone above. This particular supply level has triggered a change of character (CHOCH) to the downside and aligns with the 0.78 Fibonacci range. Since the price is in proximity, I'll be patiently waiting for a redistribution within the zone. Subsequently, my plan involves executing sell orders to guide the price down, targeting the trendline and addressing the 3-hour demand zone situated beneath it. Confluences for GBPUSD sells are as follows: - Overall trend of the market is bearish on the higher time frame - Price has caused a new CHOCH to the downside. - New supply zone has emerged that caused this move which aligns with 0.78 fib range. - Trendline liquidity below to target as well as a 3hr demand zone that needs mitigating. - Bullish momentum is slowly dying down and I can see price reversing soon. P.S. While this is my current perspective, I acknowledge the possibility of a temporary bullish scenario due to substantial liquidity to the upside. Therefore, I wouldn't be surprised if the price surpasses my identified supply level and reaches the extreme one ontop at the 10hr LET'S HAVE A GREAT WEEK AHEAD TRADERS AND LET'S CATCH THESE PIPS!
Short
by Hassan_fx
1
GBPUSDOn the monthly charts we have a long term bearish scenario. After a break of structure, the price hit the demand zone and corrected for the better part of 2023. Moving down to the weekly charts, we see a mitigation of a previous supply, thereafter there was a reaction to the downside creating a bearish order flow. On the daily charts, we have correction that seems to have come to an end. We have a bearish bias with no confirmation. We are awaiting for a break of key price levels to confirm our bearish outlook. If that happens, we are targeting the demand at 1.21656. Should the market break higher, we are awaiting for it to settle at 1.20-1.30 price levels.
by morrisgitau
GBPUSD Trade IdeaThe GBPUSD daily chart suggests a confirmed downside break of market structure. While a healthy retracement is ongoing, the 50-61.8% Fibonacci retracement zone offers a possible shorting opportunity if price action confirms on a lower timeframe (e.g., 15m / 5m). Targets lie at the current candle low and prior daily lows (refer to snapshot). Please note: This is an informative analysis, not a trade recommendation. Conduct your own due diligence and risk management before taking any trading decisions.
Short
by fxtraderanthony
GBPUSD → Two Sell Signal Bars! Time to Short? Let's Answer.GBPUSD gave us more upward price action to finish last week and thus far has failed to break the neckline. The Weekly chart shows two wicks over the 200EMA, but not a clean break. Should we short here? How do we trade this?  🤔 We do not yet have the justification to short for several reasons. Most important, we're lacking a confirmation bar below the 200EMA. We have the two sell bars, but notice the last Daily candle from last week, it's a strong buy bar near a resistance line. A buy bar at a resistance line is not a buy signal because the context doesn't support a buy here. Buy bars this late in the game are often indicative of a potential reversal. The bulls tried to buy after a quick dip in price but failed to close above the 200EMA. This is a sign of potential weakness, key word: *potential*. That weakness needs to be confirmed with a strong bear bar closing on or near its low. Such a dip will likely bring us to the 30EMA where I would expect some support. My preference would be to wait for that price action to either close below the 30EMA, or come back up to the Resistance Zone (as depicted) and fail again to confirm the short entry. Until then, it's best to wait on the sidelines for the required price action. 💡  Trade Idea  💡 Short Entry: $2,225 🟥 Stop Loss: $2,510 ✅ Take Profit: $1,940 ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:1 🔑  Key Takeaways  🔑 1. Two Sell Signals at Resistance Zone 2. Failed to break 200EMA 3. Watch for Bear Close Below 200EMA and a re-test of Resistance Zone. 4. Look for Strong Bear Signal at Resistance to Short. 5. RSI near 58.00 above Moving Average, Contradicts Short Bias. 💰  Trading Tip  💰 A buy bar in isolation (bull candle with a large wick on the bottom) is a bullish bar. But bars in isolation are irrelevant when it comes to addressing a chart. Context is everything and when a buy bar appears near a Resistance Zone at what is possibly the end of a trend, it should not be considered a buy signal, but potentially a sign of weakness before the bears take over. ⚠️  Risk Warning!  ⚠️ Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk! Like 👍 and comment if you found this analysis useful!
Short
by TraderEngineering
GBPUSD I Detailed Trading Plan & How to ExecuteWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** GBPUSD Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!
by BKTradingAcademy
11
GBPUSD END-WEEK ANALYSIS 2 UPDATE 08/10/2023📈🌟 GBP/USD Market Analysis: A Potential Shift in Sentiment GBP/USD has exhibited a bearish trend in recent times. However, an interesting development to note is the shift in the US Dollar Index (DXY). The DXY broke its previous structure to the downside and re-entered a range dating back to August 30, 2023. This change could impact GBP/USD sentiment. Be on the lookout for potential retracement or trend reversal opportunities in the coming sessions. Stay adaptable and prioritize risk management. 📉📊 #GBPUSD #Forex #TradingView #MarketAnalysis Same for AUDUSD and NZDUSD
Long
by Dion-FX
4
GBP/USD: Forecasting the Week Ahead GBP/USD: Forecasting the Week Ahead Following the latest US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, keeping a close watch on upcoming public addresses from Federal Reserve officials is crucial for insights into the direction of the US dollar. Given recent developments, traders shouldn't be surprised if central bank communication takes a more hawkish stance, signaling reluctance to cut interest rates despite Wall Street's anticipation of approximately 135 basis points of easing this year. Such a scenario could be favorable for yields and the US dollar. Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, addressing the inflation data shortly after its release, emphasized that December's inflation figures didn't provide clarity for Federal Reserve officials considering potential rate cuts this year. Next on the agenda is Neel Kashkari, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, scheduled to speak on Friday morning. Looking ahead to next week, the GBP/USD pair may attract attention with UK inflation data on Wednesday. Despite weakening on Thursday, the GBP/USD held above channel support at around 1.2675. A failure to defend this technical support level might lead to a probe towards 1.2600, with further declines potentially exposing the 200-day simple moving average. If the cable strengthens and breaks above resistance at 1.2760, favorable conditions could set the stage for an ascent toward December's highs above the 1.2826 level. Achieving this target might pave the way for a rally toward 1.3000.
by BlackBull_Markets
GBPUSD Longs from 1.25400 back up!GBPUSD once again is in a very good place right now and opportunities are looking very good. even though I have marked out two scenarios I will focus on the buy opportunity that could potentially play out. For this i'm expecting price to descend to take out the equal lows and fill in the imbalance. From there I will be expecting a wyckoff accumulation to present itself within my 11hr demand zone. Once price changes character and leaves a clean entry point I will be looking to buy back up to the supply zone which sits above the equal highs and imbalance. From there I will be anticipating a good bearish reaction from as price would have swept lots of liquidity. Confluences for GBPUSD Longs are as follows: - Bullish pressure weakens, evident in a CHOCH and confirmed by a BOS - A 11hr demand zone below triggered a break of structure to the upside. - The market trend is bullish, aligning with this idea. - Imbalance above the demand signals favourable reaction at my POI. - Abundant liquidity above, including trend lines and untouched Asian highs. - Price needs to dip to a significant demand level for an upward rally to persist. - Triple Equal lows above my zone, once liquidity is swept we can expect a nice reaction. P.S. I do see a close 4hr demand but the reason why I didn't highlight that one in this post is because I expect it to fail. The relative triple equal lows below it makes this POI not a good one so I will rather wait for the most extreme lying at the more discounted area.
Long
by Hassan_fx
2
GBPUSD: Morgan Stanley changes US dollar forecast to neutral amiMorgan Stanley updated its outlook for the U.S. dollar, switching to a neutral stance, sharply departing from its previous forecast for an 8% rise in the dollar spot index in the fourth quarter. Two this year. This adjustment was made in response to the Fed's recent dovish stance and the resulting decline in US Treasury yields. The bank's dollar spot index fell just 0.2%, prompting a reassessment of its currency strategy. Given the changing economic situation, Morgan Stanley strategists are now advising clients to avoid short positions in the Eurodollar. Instead, it recommends shorting the euro against the yen to protect against currency fluctuations that may occur in the current market environment. This guide highlights strategic turning points in foreign exchange trading, in line with the latest economic indicators and central bank policy directions.
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
GBPUSD → Falling From Resistance! Should We Long or Short??GBPUSD touched the Resistance Zone and fell into the 30EMA ribbon, putting a slight pause on the fall. Will the price fall further or are we about to make contact with the Resistance Zone again? How do we trade this? 🤔 I do not believe a short is reasonable here because we don't have enough bear strength on the chart. Wait for another rejection at Resistance or wait for the price to fall and find support to enter a long. There are two potential long entries, at the Support Zone around 1.21150 and above the current Resistance Zone around 1.29. Both zones need to establish support and show confirmation to justify a long entry. This includes a bull signal bar closing on or near its high followed by a strong bull candle closing on or near its high. Until then, it's best to wait on the sidelines for a better opportunity! 💡 Trade Ideas 💡 Long Entry: 1.21150 🟥 Stop Loss: 1.18650 ✅ Take Profit: 1.26150 ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2 Long Entry: 1.29000 🟥 Stop Loss: 1.26450 ✅ Take Profit: 1.34100 ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2 🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑 1. Trading Range after Bull Run, Bias to Long. 2. Macro Trend is Bearish, Use Caution at Weekly 200EMA. 3. If in Short Position, hold until Support Zone. 4. If not in a Position, Wait until Support to Long. 5. RSI near 53.00 under Moving Average, Bias to Short. ⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️ Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk! Like 👍 and comment if you found this analysis useful!
Long
by TraderEngineering
GBPUSD Longs from 1.26500 Up towards 1.28000This GBPUSD scenario catches my attention due to the intriguing structure that price has formed. Presently, my strategy involves waiting for a slight dip in price to reach the Asian low and touch my 10hr demand zone. Following this, I anticipate a Wyckoff accumulation process, providing an opportunity for a buy position targeting the 10hr supply zone located within the psychological level of 1.28000. In the event that price decides to rise first, my inclination would be toward short-term sells initiated from the same 10hr supply zone, with the aim of guiding it down toward the demand. Additionally, my interest is piqued by the backup zones, where substantial liquidity is visible near my Points of Interest (POIs), offering reliable areas for potential trading opportunities. Confluences for GBPUSD Buys are as follows: - Unmitigated 10hr Demand zone has been left which caused a major BOS to the upside. - Temporary trend is also bullish as price has broken structure once again. - DXY is still looking bearish meaning that GBPUSD is expected to rise. - Asian low on top of demand is a good sign as price will sweep liquidity before entering. - In order for price to continue in its bullish course, it must ideally react off a demand level. P.S. As the current market conditions remain in equilibrium, my approach is to wait for price to reach either a discounted or premium level. Given the ongoing short retracement and the presence of liquidity below, I anticipate the demand to be mitigated first at the discounted price. However, I acknowledge the possibility of price reaching my 10hr supply, in which case, I would opt for selling positions to capture a downward movement. HAPPY NEW YEARS TO ALL OF YOU AND HOPE THIS YEAR BRING EVERYONE PROFITABILITY AND CONSISTENCY. LETS CATCH THESE PIPS!
Long
by Hassan_fx