Short Sell @ 1.29, Long Term Buy @1.25 - Target 1.40?Looking at the weekly chart, Cable has been forming a triangle/wedge pattern, which could also be viewed as a bullish flag after the rise from 1.035 to 1.31500. So, what’s next?
In the bigger picture, I’m bullish on this pair, but there will also be short-term selling opportunities. I expect the price to move up towards March's high at 1.29, slightly above the wedge trendline. This area should act as resistance, where I will look to sell short term.
I’ll execute this sell idea by using my TRFX indicator to look for sell signals as the price moves above 1.285 towards the high. My stop loss will be above 1.30, and the target will be down towards the bottom of the range at 1.25.
If this first part plays out and we see the move back down towards 1.25, which is the wedge bottom trend line, this will be a great area to get in for long-term buys. The target will be a break and close of the weekly wedge, first aiming for last year's high at 1.315. This will be another good short-term selling area, anticipating a move down to test the wedge breakout area. This could be a spot for buyers to test the 2021 highs above 1.40.
I’ve charted what I believe is the likely path for this pair over the coming months and year ahead. Let me know what you think in the comments.
Gbpusdforecast
💡 GBPUSD: Analysis May 20Last Friday up D1 bar for GBPUSD had a lower shadow and closed near the top, showing good buying pressure. Before that, bar D1 decreased but created a bullish pinbar, also showing buying pressure. The recent price behavior of GBPUSD D1 at this resistance suggests the possibility of a breakout from the most recent peak to establish an uptrend again.
GBPUSD H1 broke out of the H1 sideways price range and bounced up, setting a new high price peak to return to the short-term uptrend. Currently, the price is moving sideways above the old peak, which is a form of price compression and can easily lead to a price bounce upward. The main trend of GBPUSD H1 today is waiting to buy.
💡 Trend H1: GBPUSD increases.
Today's trading idea: Buy GBPUSD.
💡 GBPUSD: Analysis May 22GBPUSD has its third consecutive day of increase, but is showing a slowdown as the price creates a Spinning Top candlestick pattern around the old peak. GBPUSD D1 needs a breakout from this peak if it wants to establish an uptrend again at D1.
After surpassing the old peak to reestablish an uptrend in H1, GBPUSD moved into a sideways phase in the trading range. Because the main trend is uptrend, GBPUSD H1 today continues the scenario of waiting to buy from the supports below.
Trend H1: GBPUSD increases.
Today's trading idea: Buy GBPUSD.
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GBP/USD Shorts from 1.27500 back downMy bias this week is to look for nearby sell opportunities as we approach a strong supply zone on the 21-hour chart. I will wait for a Wyckoff distribution to unfold, likely on Monday or Tuesday, to take sells back down to the next demand zone.
Since the equal highs have been swept, I expect the price to slow down and provide a clear entry model for shorts. Despite the current bullish trend, I plan to take these sells down to the next demand zone, where I will look for long positions to continue the trend.
Confluences for GU Sells are as follows:
- 21hr supply zone has caused a break of structure to the downside and has an imbalance
- The overall trend on the higher time frame is bearish and the dollar is also overall bullish.
- Price has swept equal high liquidity enough to now break back down.
- Bullish pressure is getting exhausted after the bullish rallies we saw last week.
P.S. Since the price hasn't yet tapped into the supply zone, I'm also watching for an Asian high sweep, which will further confirm my sell bias. Additionally, we're approaching the psychological level of 1.27500, so it will be interesting to see how the price reacts.
Have a great trading week!
GBPUSD is oversold. Now is the time to buy
Everyone must have seen yesterday’s analysis. Both GBPUSD and EURUSD are in line with my expected decline range of 500-1000. The US dollar also reached a high of 105.5. Oil is back at buying prices. Gold has also come to a profitable price.
At present, I simply observed the market. There is currently no better opportunity to earn the difference in gold or oil prices. On the other hand, there are some good deals in Forex. The U.S. dollar index remains near 105.5, which puts strong pressure on the U.S. dollar's upward trend. So when the US dollar pulls back, GNPUSD can add some buy orders. About 600 pips profit
Friends who like to trade foreign exchange can trade in moderation. 600 points is equivalent to a 6 dollar fluctuation in gold. (Some people may not know the fluctuation ratio of foreign exchange. Here I will briefly popularize it)
In the past, you always failed when trading alone.
But everything will change after you follow me.
Because we will be the ultimate winner!
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upJoin us as we delve into the latest developments shaping the GBPUSD landscape. The Pound Sterling rebounded in the second half of the week driven by robust Q1 GDP figures from the UK's Office for National Statistics, indicating a resilient economy. With a growth rate of 0.6%, surpassing expectations, the UK appears to be steering clear of recessionary woes.
This buoyant economic growth paves the way for a 'soft landing,' according to Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey, instilling confidence in inflation returning to target levels. However, amidst this optimism, there's a divergence of opinions within the BoE's Monetary Policy Committee, with talks of a potential rate cut looming.
Meanwhile, across the pond, the US Dollar faces headwinds as jobless claims soar, reigniting concerns about the strength of the labor market. Against this backdrop, all eyes are now on upcoming data releases, including UK labor market statistics and US Consumer Price Index data, as investors brace for potential market shifts.
GBPUSD Technical Analysis:
Will the pound maintain its momentum below the critical $1.25400 zone?
In this video, we've examined the 4-hour timeframes, dissecting bullish and bearish sentiments to unearth the most promising trades for the week ahead. Our analysis dives deep into key levels, trendlines, and support/resistance points, providing invaluable insights into the prevailing market structure.
Our focus remains fixed on the pivotal level at $1.25400 and descending trendline, where the direction of price action could herald the onset of significant market shifts. How the market responds here will chart the course for GBP/USD in the days to come.
Stay engaged and join the discourse in the comment section to stay abreast of the latest developments. Thank you for tuning in, and brace yourselves for further insights into GBP/USD in our upcoming content. Get ready for an exhilarating journey ahead! Happy trading!
Disclaimer Notice:
Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy.
It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances.
Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it.
Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
💡 GBPUSD: Analysis May 16GBPUSD extended the series of increasing prices, creating the strongest increasing day after yesterday. The D1 bar structure creates a bullish marubozu model reflecting good buying pressure. At this time, the price is located at an important resistance zone. An upside break from this price peak will help GBPUSD D1 establish an uptrend again.
GBPUSD H1 continues its uptrend with the establishment of a new high price peak. The steep slope confirms strong bullish momentum. Today's pullbacks will be an opportunity to buy GBPUSD H1 during the day.
💡Trend H1: GBPUSD increases.
Today trading idea: Buy GBPUSD.
GBPUSDDear Traders,
As DXY remain extremely bullish since a week now, price have dropped heavily, in fact more than any other dxy pairs; and there is strong reason behind for it, GBP was dropping due to only economic sides not favouring it. Now, DXY and GBP have started making few corrections in their respective trends. What we are looking at here is a strong possibility of selling big. Therefore, we can identify that area.
💡 GBPUSD: Analysis May 10Prices fell in the first half of the last session, retesting the important 1.2470 support level but could not successfully break this resistance level, buying pressure returned and created a bullish signal here. This signal is a disadvantage for the current selling strategy, we can consider turning around and buying
GBPUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
💡 GBPUSD: Analysis May 7GBPUSD looks like this is a false break around the resistance area so there is a high possibility that the market will decline, but currently the market is not giving us any sell signals.
Now you can wait for the price to form a new trading signal before you can trade, or you can wait for the price to form a downtrend in a low time frame and then sell.
Currently, we just need to wait for more confirmation from the market to form a clear trend
💡 GBPUSD: Analysis May 8GBPUSD turned down in price, confirming the previous false breakout signal, so you can see that the short-term trend of this currency pair is decreasing so you can sell.
The nearest resistance area is the supply area and also the previous peak and bottom area around 1.2530. You can wait for the price to return to this area and then look for a signal to sell later. Currently, there is no price recovery but the downward momentum is still strong, so please wait patiently.
GBP/USD outlook: Pre-BOE decision time The British Pound has seen a partial retreat against the USD ahead of the Bank of England's interest rate announcement.
It's widely anticipated that rates will remain steady at 5.25%. Consequently, attention is likely to be directed towards the voting split among the nine-member Monetary Policy Committee and the accompanying commentary, as these factors could influence market sentiment. How this split lands could affect the present futures markets predictions that the first UK rate cut will come in September.
If the forecast is pushed back, we could see the 1.2500 psychological level provide support potential for the GBP/USD. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has recently declined below the 50 level, highlighting a lack of bullish momentum, so we might like to see this pick up also.
Moreover, the GBP/USD has dipped below the 200-day moving average. This could be the first level of resistance to take note of that could impede any upward trend. After this, levels of resistance the GBP/USD pair could face include the 50-day moving average (DMA) close to 1.2600.
💡 GBPUSD: BOE reduced interest rates at the May policy meetingMUFG predicts that the Bank of England (BoE) may signal its readiness to lower interest rates soon, potentially starting as soon as the upcoming meeting. Recent statements from MPC members and upcoming inflation forecasts support a shift towards a more dovish policy stance. Key points:
Policy rate expectations: BoE will likely maintain the current policy rate at 5.25% in its next meeting. However, recent dovish changes in the rhetoric of MPC members, especially from Deputy Governor Dave Ramsden, indicate a growing trend towards interest rate cuts.
Inflation and economic outlook: The BoE's quarterly inflation report is expected to reflect an updated economic outlook, suggesting the risk of inflation overshooting target is receding. This change could confirm a softer approach to monetary policy.
MPC voting pattern: Many MPC members may be influenced by Lieutenant Governor Ramsden's views and moderate in the upcoming vote. This change in voting dynamics could pave the way for interest rate cuts in the next meetings.
GBP/USD BUY TO SELL (up towards 1.26500)This week's analysis for GBPUSD presents promising opportunities based on anticipated price movements. Near current price levels, there's a nearby 4-hour demand zone that could potentially trigger a bullish reaction, although I'm cautious about its strength. However, my primary focus is on the daily supply zone.
If price fails to reach the daily supply, it might delve deeper to interact with a stronger demand area, possibly sparking another bullish rally. In such a scenario, I'll align my trades with the prevailing uptrend, considering the recent pattern of higher highs and higher lows. Once price reaches the daily supply zone, I'll be prepared to enter significant sell positions.
Confluences for buys are as follows:
- Price has recently been in an uptrend, forming higher highs and higher lows.
- Daily supply zone that needs to get mitigated eventually.
- Good demand zones left that price might pick up another bullish rally from.
- Liquidity to the upside as well as substantial imbalances that need mitigation.
- price has also recently broke structure to the upside once again to confirm the trend.
P.S. If price reaches the supply zone without eliciting a reaction from any of my demand points of interest (POIs), I'll patiently wait for a wyckoff distribution to develop on lower time frames before initiating my short positions.
Have a great trading week guys!
GBPUSD Short planGBPUSD bounce from support as i was expecting. Price finally reached the first reversal area were we could look for short. I have another good level to add shorts, that is 1.26. This is a another resistance level on higher timeframe. First target area 1.2425, i will share my entry on my page