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Gbpusdforecast

Pound to break 1.27 amid BOE rate hike?On Monday, the dollar continued to show weakness against most of its major counterparts as traders awaited the Federal Reserve's acknowledgement of the end of its hiking cycle, while also hedging against the risk of a potential recession. Traders are also keeping an eye on the debt ceiling impasse in Capitol Hill, with the Treasury Secretary warning of possible inability to pay debts by June 1. On Wednesday, U.S. inflation data is expected to indicate whether the Fed needs to take further steps to control inflation. The pound rose to a more than one-year peak against the dollar on Monday, trading as high as $1.2668, its highest level since April 2022, before slipping slightly below that to $1.2616. The pound is in focus this week ahead of an anticipated Bank of England rate increase on Thursday, expected by many to raise the base rate to 4.5% after voting 7-2 in March to increase it from 4% to 4.25%. On the 4-hour chart, the price is above the 30-SMA for now, and the RSI is above 50 (although weakening). The price paused at the 1.2650 resistance level after a strong upward movement and is maybe reversing now, with resistance turned support (1.2075) the target to keep an eye on next to the downside. Negative developments with any of the concerns affecting the US or BOE’s rate hike will put 1.650 and 1.2700 in the crosshairs to the upside if the price begins to consolidate where it is now until Thursday.
by BlackBull_Markets
1
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upGBPUSD turns positive for the fourth straight week but this time around did a significant breakout of the 1.25000 level - climbing to a two-week high on Friday to set the tone for a bullish momentum ahead of the new month. However, bets for another 25 bps rate hike by the US Fed Reserve in the coming week could tilt an imbalance in the market influx. It is also important to note that the coming week is laced with a handful of high-impact macroeconomic event that could incite a choppy situation in this market. Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
by darcsherry
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upBritish consumers remain affected by an elevated inflation rate, which stayed in double digits in March. Comments from a couple of Fed policymakers pointed to the US central bank raising interest rates by 25 basis points in early May, judging that inflation is still at problematic levels and monetary policy needs to be tightened. The market's immediate reaction to these sentiments has been positive as the US Dollar edged higher Friday and looks set to a bearish tone for the GBPUSD in the coming weeks. However, technical levels on the chart around the 1.23600 zone suggest bears need a whole lot of momentum and fundamental stimulus to break through this zone first as it does have a strong memory for buying power. With no high-impact fundamental stimulus from the UK docket in the coming week; the video illustrates what to look for in the current market structure to signal a buy or sell move this week. Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
by darcsherry
1
The pound may have downward demandAfter a sharp decline in the US market last Friday, GBP/USD has managed to stabilize above 1.2400 on Monday.The short-term technical side fails to provide directional clues, and may only have to wait for the currency pair to break through the consolidation channel,only then will there be a better continuity of behavior. According to the current market structure, it may be more difficult for GBP/USD to continue to rise, and the daily line is expected to form a head-and-shoulder technical pattern, which will exert pressure on the future market structure and limit the technical upward space of GBP/USD; Moreover, the technical repair of the daily line is far from being in place, so GBP/USD is still in demand for a decline. In the short term, pay attention to the resistance near 1.246 above.
Short
by Short-term-king
Fair value gap back to backThe distribution phase influenced a one directional movement bearish drop which violated the order block and created a demand zone. The market portrayed an inverse hammer candlestick followed by a doji then three white soldiers candlestick pattern which hiked up to mitigate the fair value gap and made a pullback to yet another fair value gap, pushed up and failed to reach the imbalance. Price created a consolidation which led to a drop that mitigated the demand zone to give this high momentum bullish move. Going to the 4h timeframe we get the three soldiers candlestick pattern which gives us the insightful idea that the market is more likely to push upwards and trigger the significant areas above after this minor pullback…
by tokelohomi
GBPUSD : Current Situation & Technical , Fundamental View#GBPUSD - Currently the MARKET SENTIMENT for GBPUSD is slightly UP SIDE. All MARKETS including STOCKS and STOCKS may be UP due to MARKET RISK ON in the past days. It affects the POUND greatly. GBPUSD may be slightly UP this week. Anyway, XXXUSD PAIRS are being BUYed slightly higher because the FED is a bit dovish. - The price can definitely move up to the resistance level above the GBPUSD. The reason for that is because there is a slightly UP BIAS in the MARKET for USD. But GBPUSD can be BUY until 1.2536 LEVEL. After that, you can SELL at 1.2099 LEVEL. So go to GBPUSD SELL ENTRIES.
by benny_marshall
GBPUSD POTENTIAL SHORT FORMATION IN PROGRESSWe have been looking at this pair since the end of Feb. We have been waiting for the price to form a strong bullish pullback. This is opposite to the overall bigger time frame trend, which remains largely bearish. How the price is currently setup has given us the potential to trade in the direction of the bigger time frame bearish trend which will give us a good risk reward trading opportunity. We have listed two reasons for the potential end of the bullish bull back below: 1: Trendline breakout 2: Rising wedge breakout. We are still waiting for two more reasons below to form before we can start looking for entries. These reasons have been listed below: 1:Break out of the key level which signals a change from bullish to bearish market structure. 2: Retest of key level.
Short
by NDOBObanks
GBPUSD: Investors!Greetings to all traders! I have some valuable trading-related information that I would like to share with you. Please give it a read and if you find it helpful, kindly leave a positive feedback and consider following me ❤️ Apart from the unforeseen increase in mortgage transactions, investors must also anticipate a continuous escalation in inflation. Such updates compel the Bank of England to adopt stricter monetary regulations, which bodes well for the British Pound, given that the interest rates and bond yields in the UK are lower compared to those in the US. Note: Full TP, SL for winning the market and safe trading!
Long
by Sphyn-Trader
1
GBPUSD: The Bears' Chance!Greetings to all traders! I have some valuable trading-related information that I would like to share with you. Please give it a read and if you find it helpful, kindly leave a positive feedback and consider following me ❤️ The UK economy is facing various challenges such as strikes, unresolved Brexit issues, low productivity, and pessimistic forecasts from the International Monetary Fund, which are all valid reasons for concern. The Bank of England has recently confirmed this gloomy outlook, which is a significant endorsement of the situation. As a result, the Pound is likely to remain weak against all currencies for an extended period. Note: Full TP, SL for winning the market and safe trading!
Short
by Sphyn-Trader