Gbpusd_forecast
GBPUSD moving higher towards 1.3000 level**Monthly Chart**
Last month closed as a bearish candle after making a new low, just to move back into a consolidation range that was formed at the beginning of this year. This month's candle (which is still active) opened within the range and started moving higher. We will see a clear direction after the close of the monthly candle by the end of this week. However, the short-term bias is still bullish after testing the historical low of 1985 in September 2022.
**Weekly Chart**
last week candle closed higher as a continuation of the bullish move from the previous week. From the weekly chart, the price is heading towards testing the weekly MC around 1.3000 and then 1.3200 level.
**Daily Chart**
GBPUSD needs a short retracement (corrective move) before resuming the bullish trend. More cleared pictures can be seen in lower time frames.
GBPUSD - Look for Continuation Short (SCALP) 1:3!The HTF shows a strong bullish trend, but remember, there’s always a trend within the trend. As the price approaches the HTF Supply Zone, there might be an opportunity for a short position during the correction before the uptrend continues.
Although this setup could be considered high-risk, as it goes against the trend, careful money management can help minimize risks. Don’t be greedy—this could be a good scalp or intraday trade. Close the position when it reaches the Demand Zone, and look for another opportunity to ride the bullish trend towards the next resistance level in HTF.
Disclaimer:
This is simply my personal technical analysis, and you're free to consider it as a reference or disregard it. No obligation! Emphasizing the importance of proper risk management—it can make a significant difference. Wishing you a successful and happy trading experience!
GBPUSD: A Swing Buy Opportunity! DXY will be plummeted soon.FX:GBPUSD
GBPUSD is far over from swing selling yet, our previous idea closed on breakeven, we now expect price to grow and grow big in soon time. However, we do not expect price to rise in days but in weeks or months we can see price to growing to newest higher high of the year. We ask all of you to maintain utmost risk management.
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GBPUSD: Price almost reached our buying! Time To Swing BuyFX:GBPUSD
Price almost fell to our area of entry and will soon be rebounding, the main reason price dropped is strong USD data leading price to drop heavily. We expecting price to rebound strongly towards our take profit. First target can be set at 200+ pips from current price region and long target is 600+ pips.
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#GBPUSD: 500+ PIPS Buying Opportunity! FX:GBPUSD
GBPUSD, price has been bullish since last two weeks since DXY is dropping. We had expected price to drop and reject at our demand zone, however, as usd started weakening our plan did not work out as we planned. Wait, for price to fall to our area of entry and then enter with the price rejection at the demand zone.
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GBP/USD imminent shorts back down or sell from 1.30000My analysis for GBP/USD (GU) this week is bearish due to the current mitigation of the daily supply zone. As price is within this zone, I will be looking for price to distribute and then enter short-term sells. Since price is already in the zone but hasn't yet touched the refined zones, I may wait for price to mitigate deeper.
Around the 1.30000 mark, there's a refined supply on the 19-hour time frame. From there, it would be a more ideal place to sell. If price starts to sell off from this level, I will target the next demand zone, allowing me to buy back up again since the current trend is still bullish.
Confluences for GBP/USD Sells are as follows:
Price has been very bullish recently, and bullish pressure is getting exhausted.
There is a strong supply zone on the higher time frame sitting at a psychological level.
Price has left a lot of imbalances and liquidity below that needs to be addressed.
This outlook aligns with the expectation of the DXY increasing slightly.
P.S. If price doesn't sell off on Monday, I can expect price to consolidate a little and push a bit higher to mitigate the daily supply zone more deeply.
GBPUSD Week 33 Swing ZonesHighlighting 2 swing zones as always. Both of which are identified from previous weeks price action around the levels.
Using Tradingview's alert, place @ 7389 and @7090
In reviewing previous week; price could swing up, in which case the upper SZ will be highlighted
Price action determines trades: Entry on the 5mins chart to achieve tight stops of 10-15pips
GBP/USD finally looking for some relief after sell-off1.271 is now becoming a nearby support. The Cable is trading in a bearish channel and the bearish momentum is now fizzling out. The DXY has had a decent correction and its about time the Cable capitalizes it. With the recent low as Stop-Loss, look for 1.284 above which we can see 1.291
GBPUSD: +1000 PIPS Swing Sell Entry! OANDA:GBPUSD
First expect price to rise towards the previous high, once price reach to that level we can expect it reverse as DXY will likely to bounce back from it's current bearish trend. The full trade can be divided into three phrases first 300 pips and as it follows by setting two another take profit. In total we will aim 1000 pips in long term view.
good luck.
GBP/USD Continues Downtrend, Aligns with Supply ForecastGBP/USD has extended its decline after reaching our predicted supply area, as outlined in our previous analysis. (Link below.)
Prolonged Downtrend Expected
The current trend suggests that the price may continue to fall over the next few months, potentially reaching the demand area around 1.24 before experiencing a new bullish impulse. This aligns with our forecast, anticipating a bearish phase until October.
Anticipation of Monetary Policy Announcements
Traders are awaiting key monetary policy announcements from the Federal Reserve on Wednesday and the Bank of England on Thursday. These events are expected to inject fresh volatility into the market, possibly pushing GBP/USD even lower.
Market Sentiment and Indices
Meanwhile, the UK's FTSE 100 Index has dipped by 0.3%, while US stock index futures are trading marginally higher, reflecting a cautious market stance.
Strategy and Outlook
Given these conditions, we maintain our bearish outlook and continue to hold our short position, anticipating further downward movement in GBP/USD.
Previous Forecast:
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Hedge Funds' Sterling Bet: A Risky Gamble?A surge in bullish bets on the British pound sterling by hedge funds and other asset managers has ignited concerns about a potential market upheaval. Aggressive positioning on the currency has reached a 10-year high, leaving it vulnerable to a sharp correction should the Bank of England (BoE) decide to cut interest rates this week.
The data, sourced from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, reveals a dramatic increase in net-long positions on sterling over the past month. This bullish sentiment has been fueled by a combination of factors, including relatively high interest rates, signs of economic improvement, and the perceived stability of the UK government. As a result, the pound has gained nearly 1% against the US dollar since the start of the year and reached a one-year high earlier this month.
However, the market's optimism may be misplaced. The BoE's monetary policy decision on Thursday remains a significant uncertainty, with market pricing indicating an equal chance of a rate hike or a cut. If the central bank opts to lower interest rates to stimulate economic growth, it could have a severe impact on the pound.
The heightened bullish sentiment among investors has created a scenario where even a hint of dovishness from the BoE could trigger a rapid unwinding of positions and a sharp decline in sterling.
The potential for a significant market correction has prompted concerns among analysts and investors. Some argue that the current level of bullishness is excessive and that the market is underpricing the risk of a rate cut. They caution that a sudden shift in sentiment could lead to significant losses for those holding long positions on the pound.
As the market awaits the BoE's decision, volatility is expected to remain high. The outcome of the meeting will undoubtedly have far-reaching consequences for the pound and the broader global financial markets. If the central bank surprises the market with a rate cut, it could be a wake-up call for investors who have become overly complacent about the currency's prospects.
Ultimately, the recent surge in bullish sterling bets highlights the inherent risks of relying on market consensus. While past performance is not indicative of future results, the current level of optimism surrounding the pound raises questions about the sustainability of the currency's strength. As the old adage goes, "buy low, sell high," but in this case, investors may be finding themselves on the wrong side of the trade.
GBP USD Trade Setup on 30-Minute TimeframeOn the 30-minute timeframe, GBP USD has formed a bearish break and retest pattern.
Currently, there is no entry candlestick confirmation. We need to see at least a Doji and close below, a Bearish Engulfing, a Pin Bar, or a Hammer candlestick confirmation at this level before we can execute this SELL trade.