Gbplong
GBPAUD to the moon?Taking a long position on GBPAUD, main reasons being:
- BoE holding interest rates for now and less rate cuts are expected next year, could drive more institutions to hold GBP and increase it's value
- AUD are trade partners with China who are experiencing significant economic instability
- COT traders are 57% long on GBP (+2.14% compared to last week)
- COT traders are 52% long on AUD, but are adding more short positions (-4.53% change in net long positions compared to last week)
- Retail traders are 93% short on GBPAUD (I find that retail is usually wrong, so this is a positive signal for GBPAUD longs in my book)
This trade is more based on Australia's weakness rather than Britain's strength. I was also thinking of shorting AUDJPY (see previous trade idea) or AUDUSD.
I couldn't get in a position that I liked on AUDJPY (yet) and I'm already in a short position on EURUSD, so I want to diversify a bit away from the US Dollar.
The reason I'm entering here is because it is filling an imbalance candle, and it's also at the 0.682 mark on the Fibonacci retracement tool.
If I get taken out I don't mind, there may be better entries on GBPAUD available if that happens, or there may be an opportunity to short AUDJPY instead, which I prefer the fundamentals of.
Don't take this as investment advice, I'm just sharing what I'm doing. Please don't follow me blindly, create your own strategy and ideas.
GBPUSDhello friends
Due to the severe fall that we had and cardamom breaking respectively.
Now, with another bottom failure, the price is placed in a good area, and from there, by getting confirmation, we can expect a good reaction.
This analysis is checked from a technical point of view.
Be successful and profitable.
GBPUSD Bullish trade Idea after see some sold breakout confirmatGBPUSD bullish trade idea after seeing some sold breakout confirmations on H1.
Buy Price LEVEL: 1. 2597
SL: 1.2550
TP: 1.27141
After the FOMC meeting yesterday night, the price dropped to 1.25627 with high volume when the Fed rate of 4.50 will boost the USD.
The GBP index is bullish; just find the trade with a tight stop loss.
*Note: The market is highly volitile in December; just place a smaller number of trades.
GBP/USD - Good OpportunityHi,
This is my new analysis for GBP/USD.
Right now we are in a big reversal on 1H timeframe and at the same time we have head and shoulder pattern and both the 1H/4H EMA have crossed over. As you see in the yellow line I expect if the price break above the trendline we are going to reach 1,30.
We have opened a position at 1,27 and we are going to increase our position after breakout.
Gbpusd long Target GBP/USD churned chart paper near the 1.2600 handle, finding thin gains through the day’s market window but failing to recapture the technical level as market flows do little to bolster the Pound Sterling
GBP/USD remains hobbled on the south side of the 1.2600 handle, churning bids north of 1.2500 as the pair finds some breathing room after another leg lower from early November’s choppy plateau just below 1.3000. Cable reached a six-month low of 1.2487 late last week, clipping into a 7% decline top-to-bottom from September’s peaks at 1.3434.
Confirm signal gbpusd
GBPUSD forming a bottom?GBPUSD - 24h expiry
Although the bears are in control, the stalling negative momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
Price action looks to be forming a bottom.
Posted a Double Bottom formation.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
Bespoke support is located at 1.2865.
We look to Buy at 1.2865 (stop at 1.2825)
Our profit targets will be 1.2965 and 1.2985
Resistance: 1.3020 / 1.3060 / 1.3100
Support: 1.2860 / 1.2830 / 1.2800
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GBP/CHF - Bullish Flag Breakout & Strong UptrendOverview: The GBP/CHF pair has not only been in a strong uptrend but has also formed and broken out of a bullish flag pattern, further signaling the continuation of upward momentum. The breakout above the 1.2300 resistance level suggests a potential for further gains.
Technical Analysis:
Bullish Flag: A clear bullish flag pattern has formed, with a breakout confirming further upward movement.
Next Resistance Levels: 1.2550 and 1.2600
RSI: Currently at 65, indicating there’s still room for more upside.
Fundamental Analysis:
GBP Strength: Strong economic data from the UK, including better-than-expected GDP growth and improved employment figures, support the pound’s rise.
CHF Weakness: The Swiss National Bank’s (SNB) dovish stance continues to weaken the franc, providing a favorable environment for the pound’s strength.
Trading Strategy:
Targeting 1.14036 ,1.15070 , 1.16159
Stop Loss: Place a stop below 1.1120 to protect against downside risk.
GBPUSD Rises Above 1.33In European trading hours, the Pound Sterling endeavors to establish a firm position above 1.3300 against the US Dollar. The short - term outlook for the GBP/USD pair remains strong as it stays above the 20 - day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which is close to 1.3150. Previously, the GBP/USD strengthened following its recovery from a corrective movement towards the trendline drawn from the December 28, 2023, high of 1.2828. After breaking out on August 21, it witnessed a sharp increase from that point.
The 14 - day Relative Strength Index (RSI) moves above 60.00, indicating an active bullish impetus.
Going upwards , the GBP/USD (Cable) will encounter resistance near the psychological level of 1.3500.
On the downward side, the psychological level of 1.3000 becomes crucial support.
MKTNews reports that,
BANK OF ENGLAND'S MANN: PREFERABLE TO STAY RESTRICTIVE LONGER, CAN REDUCE RATES AGGRESSIVELY ONCE INFLATION RISK IS MANAGED
BOE'S MANN: I DID CONSIDER VOTING TO REDUCE RATES IN AUG, BUT AIMED TO AVOID "BOOGIE-DANCE" WITH POLICY RATES
BOE'S MANN: I HOLD CAUTIOUS OUTLOOK ON INITIATING RATE CUTS
GBPUSD Daily Chart Analysis: Key Resistance and Bullish Channel The daily chart for GBP/USD reveals a clear uptrend with price action forming a bullish channel. The pair is currently trading around 1.31621, approaching a critical resistance zone.
Key Levels:
Resistance Zone:
The price is heading towards a major resistance around 1.39, a level which has historically acted as a strong ceiling. This resistance could halt the upward movement unless a significant breakout occurs.
Support Levels:
The lower trendline of the channel is acting as dynamic support. If the price retraces, the 1.30 level should provide a cushion for potential buying pressure, maintaining the bullish trend.
Trading Strategy:
Buying Strategy:
Traders can look for a pullback to the lower boundary of the channel around 1.30 for a potential buying opportunity. A stop loss can be placed just below the trendline, targeting the resistance at 1.39.
Breakout Strategy:
A breakout above the 1.39 resistance would signal a continuation of the long-term bullish trend, opening up the possibility for further gains toward higher resistance levels.
RSI Confirmation:
The RSI indicator is approaching overbought territory but still has room to push higher. This suggests that the bullish momentum could continue until resistance is tested.
Conclusion:
With GBP/USD trading within a rising channel, the focus remains on how the price interacts with the 1.39 resistance level. A pullback to the lower trendline offers buying opportunities, while a breakout above resistance would signal further bullish potential.
Over+750 pip in GBP/AUD in our last call(07/31/2024)in our last analysis
We were expecting a big rally for GBP/AUD. Since then the price moved in our favor and made over +750 pip for us.
Despite weaker CPI data for AUD, we are now looking for a correction in the 1.98 zone.
Our technical view has been shown in the chart.
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Thanks For Reading
Team Fortuna
-RC
(Disclaimer: Published ideas and other Contents on this page are for educational purposes and do not include a financial recommendation. Trading is Risky, so before any action do your research.)